The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices:
The "traditional structural approach" to the determination of real commodity prices has relied exclusively on demand factors as the fundamentals that explain the behavior of commodity prices. This framework, however, has been unable to explain the marked and sustained weakness in commodity...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
1994
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 94/9 |
| Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | The "traditional structural approach" to the determination of real commodity prices has relied exclusively on demand factors as the fundamentals that explain the behavior of commodity prices. This framework, however, has been unable to explain the marked and sustained weakness in commodity prices during the 1980s and 1990s. This paper extends that framework in two important directions: First, it incorporates commodity supply in the analysis, capturing the impact on prices of the sharp increase in commodity exports of developing countries during the debt crisis of the 1980s. Second, we take a broader view of "world" demand that extends beyond the industrial countries and includes output developments in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union (FSU). The empirical results support these extensions, as both the fit of the model improves substantially and, more importantly, its ability to forecast increases markedly |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (37 p) |
| ISBN: | 1451927223 9781451927221 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:16Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:24Z |
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| spelling | Borensztein, Eduardo Verfasser aut The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices Borensztein, Eduardo Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 1994 1 Online-Ressource (37 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 94/9 The "traditional structural approach" to the determination of real commodity prices has relied exclusively on demand factors as the fundamentals that explain the behavior of commodity prices. This framework, however, has been unable to explain the marked and sustained weakness in commodity prices during the 1980s and 1990s. This paper extends that framework in two important directions: First, it incorporates commodity supply in the analysis, capturing the impact on prices of the sharp increase in commodity exports of developing countries during the debt crisis of the 1980s. Second, we take a broader view of "world" demand that extends beyond the industrial countries and includes output developments in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union (FSU). The empirical results support these extensions, as both the fit of the model improves substantially and, more importantly, its ability to forecast increases markedly Online-Ausg Reinhart, Carmen Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07143-9781451927221/07143-9781451927221/07143-9781451927221.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Borensztein, Eduardo The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices |
| title | The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices |
| title_auth | The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices |
| title_exact_search | The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices |
| title_exact_search_txtP | The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices |
| title_full | The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices Borensztein, Eduardo |
| title_fullStr | The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices Borensztein, Eduardo |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices Borensztein, Eduardo |
| title_short | The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices |
| title_sort | the macroeconomic determinants of commodity prices |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07143-9781451927221/07143-9781451927221/07143-9781451927221.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT borenszteineduardo themacroeconomicdeterminantsofcommodityprices AT reinhartcarmen themacroeconomicdeterminantsofcommodityprices |