Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries: A Vulnerability Index
This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling approach are used to map information from a parsimonious set of underlying policy, struct...
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2012
|
| Series: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 12/264 |
| Online Access: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Summary: | This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling approach are used to map information from a parsimonious set of underlying policy, structural, and institutional indicators into a composite vulnerability index. The results show that vulnerabilities to a growth crisis in low-income countries declined significantly from their peaks in the early 1990s, but have risen in recent years as fiscal policy buffers were expended in the wake of the global financial crisis |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (41 p) |
| ISBN: | 1475528515 9781475528510 |
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| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:15Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:22Z |
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| owner | DE-20 DE-824 DE-70 DE-155 DE-BY-UBR DE-29 DE-22 DE-BY-UBG DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-1102 DE-703 DE-859 DE-706 DE-384 DE-860 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-739 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-Aug4 DE-1049 DE-12 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM |
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| spelling | Dabla-Norris, Era Verfasser aut Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index Dabla-Norris, Era Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2012 1 Online-Ressource (41 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 12/264 This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling approach are used to map information from a parsimonious set of underlying policy, structural, and institutional indicators into a composite vulnerability index. The results show that vulnerabilities to a growth crisis in low-income countries declined significantly from their peaks in the early 1990s, but have risen in recent years as fiscal policy buffers were expended in the wake of the global financial crisis Online-Ausg Bal-Gunduz, Yasemin Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/20075-9781475528510/20075-9781475528510/20075-9781475528510.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Dabla-Norris, Era Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index |
| title | Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index |
| title_auth | Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index |
| title_exact_search | Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index |
| title_full | Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index Dabla-Norris, Era |
| title_fullStr | Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index Dabla-Norris, Era |
| title_full_unstemmed | Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries A Vulnerability Index Dabla-Norris, Era |
| title_short | Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries |
| title_sort | exogenous shocks and growth crises in low income countries a vulnerability index |
| title_sub | A Vulnerability Index |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/20075-9781475528510/20075-9781475528510/20075-9781475528510.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT dablanorrisera exogenousshocksandgrowthcrisesinlowincomecountriesavulnerabilityindex AT balgunduzyasemin exogenousshocksandgrowthcrisesinlowincomecountriesavulnerabilityindex |