Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese?: Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing
For decades, manufacturers around the world have outsourced production to countries with lower labor costs. However, there is a concern that robotization in high-income countries will challenge this shifting international division of labor known as the "flying geese" paradigm. Greenfield f...
Gespeichert in:
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
The World Bank
2019
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| Schriftenreihe: | World Bank E-Library Archive
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| Online-Zugang: | kostenfrei |
| Zusammenfassung: | For decades, manufacturers around the world have outsourced production to countries with lower labor costs. However, there is a concern that robotization in high-income countries will challenge this shifting international division of labor known as the "flying geese" paradigm. Greenfield foreign direct investment decisions constitute a forward-looking indicator of where production is expected, rather than trade flows that reflect past investment decisions. Exploiting differences across countries and industries, the intensity of robot use in high-income countries has a positive impact on foreign direct investment growth from high-income countries to low- and middle-income countries over 2004-15. Past a threshold, however, increased robotization in high-income countries has a negative impact on foreign direct investment growth. Only 3 percent of the sample exceeds the threshold level beyond which further automation results in negative foreign direct investment growth and is consistent with re-shoring. For another 25 percent of the sample, the impact of robotization on the growth of foreign direct investment is positive, but at a rate that is declining. So, although these are early warning signs, automation in high-income countries has resulted in growing foreign direct investment for more than two-thirds of the sample under consideration. Some geese may be slowing, but for now, most continue to fly |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (25 Seiten) |
| DOI: | 10.1596/1813-9450-9097 |
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| 520 | |a For decades, manufacturers around the world have outsourced production to countries with lower labor costs. However, there is a concern that robotization in high-income countries will challenge this shifting international division of labor known as the "flying geese" paradigm. Greenfield foreign direct investment decisions constitute a forward-looking indicator of where production is expected, rather than trade flows that reflect past investment decisions. Exploiting differences across countries and industries, the intensity of robot use in high-income countries has a positive impact on foreign direct investment growth from high-income countries to low- and middle-income countries over 2004-15. Past a threshold, however, increased robotization in high-income countries has a negative impact on foreign direct investment growth. Only 3 percent of the sample exceeds the threshold level beyond which further automation results in negative foreign direct investment growth and is consistent with re-shoring. For another 25 percent of the sample, the impact of robotization on the growth of foreign direct investment is positive, but at a rate that is declining. So, although these are early warning signs, automation in high-income countries has resulted in growing foreign direct investment for more than two-thirds of the sample under consideration. Some geese may be slowing, but for now, most continue to fly | ||
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| spellingShingle | Hallward-Driemeier, Mary Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing |
| title | Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing |
| title_auth | Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing |
| title_exact_search | Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing |
| title_full | Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing Hallward-Driemeier, Mary |
| title_fullStr | Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing Hallward-Driemeier, Mary |
| title_full_unstemmed | Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing Hallward-Driemeier, Mary |
| title_short | Have Robots Grounded The Flying Geese? |
| title_sort | have robots grounded the flying geese evidence from greenfield fdi in manufacturing |
| title_sub | Evidence From Greenfield FDI In Manufacturing |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-9097 |
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