Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts:
This paper presents a procedure to construct an asymmetric fan chart of risks around global growth forecasts. The distribution of risks around global growth forecasts is estimated by weighting information extracted from option pricing and survey-based measures of risk factors of global growth. The w...
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C
The World Bank
2016
|
| Series: | World Bank E-Library Archive
|
| Online Access: | Volltext |
| Summary: | This paper presents a procedure to construct an asymmetric fan chart of risks around global growth forecasts. The distribution of risks around global growth forecasts is estimated by weighting information extracted from option pricing and survey-based measures of risk factors of global growth. The weights are estimated using a vector autoregression analysis. The empirical estimates indicate that forecast uncertainty has increased since January 2016, while the balance of risks to global growth has tilted to the downside |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (24 p) |
| DOI: | 10.1596/1813-9450-7770 |
Staff View
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| id | DE-604.BV048269807 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:00:02Z |
| indexdate | 2025-02-20T07:19:40Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
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| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (24 p) |
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| publishDate | 2016 |
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| publisher | The World Bank |
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| spellingShingle | Ohnsorge, Franziska L. Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts |
| title | Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts |
| title_auth | Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts |
| title_exact_search | Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts |
| title_full | Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts Ohnsorge, Franziska L |
| title_fullStr | Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts Ohnsorge, Franziska L |
| title_full_unstemmed | Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts Ohnsorge, Franziska L |
| title_short | Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts |
| title_sort | quantifying uncertainties in global growth forecasts |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-7770 |
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