Detecting Cyclical Turning Points: The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators
The intricate issue of detecting and forecasting macroeconomic cycles turning points has been once more perfectly illustrated with the global downturn experienced by most countries around the world in 2000-2001. Governments and Central Banks are very sensitive to economic indicators showing signs of...
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| Format: | Electronic Book Chapter |
| Language: | English |
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Paris
OECD Publishing
2004
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | DE-384 DE-473 DE-824 DE-29 DE-739 DE-355 DE-20 DE-1028 DE-1049 DE-521 DE-861 DE-898 DE-92 DE-91 DE-573 DE-19 Volltext |
| Summary: | The intricate issue of detecting and forecasting macroeconomic cycles turning points has been once more perfectly illustrated with the global downturn experienced by most countries around the world in 2000-2001. Governments and Central Banks are very sensitive to economic indicators showing signs of deterioration in order to adjust their policies sufficiently in advance to avoid further deterioration or even a recession. These indicators require at least two qualities: they must be reliable and they must provide a readable signal as soon as possible. In this paper, we discuss ... |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (33 Seiten) |
| DOI: | 10.1787/jbcma-v2004-art12-en |
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| spelling | Anas, Jacques Verfasser aut Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Jacques Anas and Laurent Ferrara Paris OECD Publishing 2004 1 Online-Ressource (33 Seiten) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier The intricate issue of detecting and forecasting macroeconomic cycles turning points has been once more perfectly illustrated with the global downturn experienced by most countries around the world in 2000-2001. Governments and Central Banks are very sensitive to economic indicators showing signs of deterioration in order to adjust their policies sufficiently in advance to avoid further deterioration or even a recession. These indicators require at least two qualities: they must be reliable and they must provide a readable signal as soon as possible. In this paper, we discuss ... Economics Ferrara, Laurent ctb https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-v2004-art12-en Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Anas, Jacques Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Economics |
| title | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
| title_auth | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
| title_exact_search | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
| title_full | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Jacques Anas and Laurent Ferrara |
| title_fullStr | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Jacques Anas and Laurent Ferrara |
| title_full_unstemmed | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Jacques Anas and Laurent Ferrara |
| title_short | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points |
| title_sort | detecting cyclical turning points the abcd approach and two probabilistic indicators |
| title_sub | The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
| topic | Economics |
| topic_facet | Economics |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-v2004-art12-en |
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