Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts:
In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budg...
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Other Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Electronic Book Chapter |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2014
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | DE-384 DE-473 DE-824 DE-29 DE-739 DE-355 DE-20 DE-1028 DE-1049 DE-521 DE-861 DE-898 DE-92 DE-91 DE-573 DE-19 Volltext |
| Summary: | In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget. JEL classification numbers: E17, H68. Keywords: Confidence intervals, forecast errors, government budget, nominal GDP, real GDP, treasury, uncertainty |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (19 Seiten) 21 x 28cm |
| DOI: | 10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |
Staff View
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nma a2200000zc 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV047939445 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 007 | cr|uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 220413s2014 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a (ZDB-13-SOC)061272922 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)961400065 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV047939445 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e aacr | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-384 |a DE-91 |a DE-473 |a DE-824 |a DE-29 |a DE-739 |a DE-355 |a DE-20 |a DE-1028 |a DE-1049 |a DE-188 |a DE-521 |a DE-861 |a DE-898 |a DE-92 |a DE-573 |a DE-19 | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Clark, John |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |c John Clark ... [et al] |
| 264 | 1 | |a Paris |b OECD Publishing |c 2014 | |
| 300 | |a 1 Online-Ressource (19 Seiten) |c 21 x 28cm | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 520 | |a In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget. JEL classification numbers: E17, H68. Keywords: Confidence intervals, forecast errors, government budget, nominal GDP, real GDP, treasury, uncertainty | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Finance and Investment | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Governance | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Gibbons, Caroline |4 ctb | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Morrissey, Susan |4 ctb | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Pooley, Joshua |4 ctb | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |x Verlag |z URL des Erstveröffentlichers |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a ebook | ||
| 943 | 1 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033320939 | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-384 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-473 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-824 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-29 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-739 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-355 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-20 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-1028 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-1049 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-521 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-861 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-898 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-92 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-91 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-573 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |l DE-19 |p ZDB-13-SOC |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
Record in the Search Index
| _version_ | 1815091529585262592 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | |
| adam_txt | |
| any_adam_object | |
| any_adam_object_boolean | |
| author | Clark, John |
| author2 | Gibbons, Caroline Morrissey, Susan Pooley, Joshua |
| author2_role | ctb ctb ctb |
| author2_variant | c g cg s m sm j p jp |
| author_facet | Clark, John Gibbons, Caroline Morrissey, Susan Pooley, Joshua |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Clark, John |
| author_variant | j c jc |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV047939445 |
| collection | ebook |
| ctrlnum | (ZDB-13-SOC)061272922 (OCoLC)961400065 (DE-599)BVBBV047939445 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| discipline_str_mv | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |
| format | Electronic Book Chapter |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>00000nma a2200000zc 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV047939445</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr|uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">220413s2014 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(ZDB-13-SOC)061272922</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)961400065</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV047939445</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">aacr</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-384</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-91</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-473</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-824</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-29</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-739</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-355</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-20</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-1028</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-1049</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-188</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-521</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-861</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-898</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-92</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-573</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-19</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Clark, John</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts</subfield><subfield code="c">John Clark ... [et al]</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Paris</subfield><subfield code="b">OECD Publishing</subfield><subfield code="c">2014</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 Online-Ressource (19 Seiten)</subfield><subfield code="c">21 x 28cm</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget. JEL classification numbers: E17, H68. Keywords: Confidence intervals, forecast errors, government budget, nominal GDP, real GDP, treasury, uncertainty</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Finance and Investment</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Governance</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Gibbons, Caroline</subfield><subfield code="4">ctb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Morrissey, Susan</subfield><subfield code="4">ctb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Pooley, Joshua</subfield><subfield code="4">ctb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="z">URL des Erstveröffentlichers</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ebook</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="943" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033320939</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-384</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-473</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-824</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-29</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-739</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-355</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-20</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-1028</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-1049</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-521</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-861</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-898</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-92</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-91</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-573</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j</subfield><subfield code="l">DE-19</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | DE-604.BV047939445 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T19:35:10Z |
| indexdate | 2024-11-07T19:02:53Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033320939 |
| oclc_num | 961400065 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-384 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-824 DE-29 DE-739 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-20 DE-1028 DE-1049 DE-188 DE-521 DE-861 DE-898 DE-BY-UBR DE-92 DE-573 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| owner_facet | DE-384 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-824 DE-29 DE-739 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-20 DE-1028 DE-1049 DE-188 DE-521 DE-861 DE-898 DE-BY-UBR DE-92 DE-573 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (19 Seiten) 21 x 28cm |
| psigel | ebook ZDB-13-SOC |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateSearch | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | OECD Publishing |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Clark, John Verfasser aut Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts John Clark ... [et al] Paris OECD Publishing 2014 1 Online-Ressource (19 Seiten) 21 x 28cm txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget. JEL classification numbers: E17, H68. Keywords: Confidence intervals, forecast errors, government budget, nominal GDP, real GDP, treasury, uncertainty Finance and Investment Governance Gibbons, Caroline ctb Morrissey, Susan ctb Pooley, Joshua ctb https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Clark, John Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts Finance and Investment Governance |
| title | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
| title_auth | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
| title_exact_search | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
| title_full | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts John Clark ... [et al] |
| title_fullStr | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts John Clark ... [et al] |
| title_full_unstemmed | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts John Clark ... [et al] |
| title_short | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
| title_sort | estimates of uncertainty around australian budget forecasts |
| topic | Finance and Investment Governance |
| topic_facet | Finance and Investment Governance |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT clarkjohn estimatesofuncertaintyaroundaustralianbudgetforecasts AT gibbonscaroline estimatesofuncertaintyaroundaustralianbudgetforecasts AT morrisseysusan estimatesofuncertaintyaroundaustralianbudgetforecasts AT pooleyjoshua estimatesofuncertaintyaroundaustralianbudgetforecasts |