The plausibility of future scenarios: conceptualising an unexplored criterion in scenario planning

What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundation remain unexplored in previous research.Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents...

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1. Verfasser: Schmidt-Scheele, Ricarda (VerfasserIn)
Format: Abschlussarbeit Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Bielefeld transcript [2020]
Schriftenreihe:Science studies
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Zusammenfassung:What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundation remain unexplored in previous research.Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory, and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how plausibility assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (262 Seiten)
ISBN:9783839453193
DOI:10.14361/9783839453193

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