Return of the tariffs: the interwar trade collapse revisited
Was the collapse of world trade between 1928 and 1937 caused by higher transport costs, increased protectionism or the collapse of the gold standard? Using recent advances in the estimation of gravity equations, I examine the partial and general equilibrium effects of bilateral distance, internation...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
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Berlin
Freie Universität Berlin
May 29, 2019
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Schriftenreihe: | Discussion paper / Freie Universität Berlin, School of Business & Economics Economics
2019, 8 |
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Online-Zugang: | kostenfrei |
Zusammenfassung: | Was the collapse of world trade between 1928 and 1937 caused by higher transport costs, increased protectionism or the collapse of the gold standard? Using recent advances in the estimation of gravity equations, I examine the partial and general equilibrium effects of bilateral distance, international borders, and the payment system on trade. My results suggest that had average tari and non-tari trade barriers remained at their 1928 level, total international trade would have been 64.6 % higher in 1937. Had the gold standard not collapsed in 1931 and had the British Empire not departed to establish its own currency and trade blocs, international trade would have been 3 % larger. Finally, had transport costs remained at their 1928 level, global trade would not have been significantly different nine years on. These results are supported by over 6,000 new hand-collected observations of ad-valorem ocean freight rates for cotton, which show an average increase of only 1.2 percentage points between 1928 and 1936. When expressed as an index, the movement of freight rates mirrors the evolution of the elasticity of trade to distance over the period |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (43 Seiten) Diagramme, Karte |
Internformat
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490 | 1 | |a Discussion paper / Freie Universität Berlin, School of Business & Economics |v 2019, 8 |a Economics | |
520 | 3 | |a Was the collapse of world trade between 1928 and 1937 caused by higher transport costs, increased protectionism or the collapse of the gold standard? Using recent advances in the estimation of gravity equations, I examine the partial and general equilibrium effects of bilateral distance, international borders, and the payment system on trade. My results suggest that had average tari and non-tari trade barriers remained at their 1928 level, total international trade would have been 64.6 % higher in 1937. Had the gold standard not collapsed in 1931 and had the British Empire not departed to establish its own currency and trade blocs, international trade would have been 3 % larger. Finally, had transport costs remained at their 1928 level, global trade would not have been significantly different nine years on. These results are supported by over 6,000 new hand-collected observations of ad-valorem ocean freight rates for cotton, which show an average increase of only 1.2 percentage points between 1928 and 1936. When expressed as an index, the movement of freight rates mirrors the evolution of the elasticity of trade to distance over the period | |
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spelling | Adam, Marc C. Verfasser (DE-588)1214653197 aut Return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited Marc Christopher Adam Berlin Freie Universität Berlin May 29, 2019 1 Online-Ressource (43 Seiten) Diagramme, Karte txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Discussion paper / Freie Universität Berlin, School of Business & Economics 2019, 8 Economics Was the collapse of world trade between 1928 and 1937 caused by higher transport costs, increased protectionism or the collapse of the gold standard? Using recent advances in the estimation of gravity equations, I examine the partial and general equilibrium effects of bilateral distance, international borders, and the payment system on trade. My results suggest that had average tari and non-tari trade barriers remained at their 1928 level, total international trade would have been 64.6 % higher in 1937. Had the gold standard not collapsed in 1931 and had the British Empire not departed to establish its own currency and trade blocs, international trade would have been 3 % larger. Finally, had transport costs remained at their 1928 level, global trade would not have been significantly different nine years on. These results are supported by over 6,000 new hand-collected observations of ad-valorem ocean freight rates for cotton, which show an average increase of only 1.2 percentage points between 1928 and 1936. When expressed as an index, the movement of freight rates mirrors the evolution of the elasticity of trade to distance over the period Geschichte 1928-1937 gnd rswk-swf Great Depression international trade gravity equation Baumwollfaser (DE-588)4136931-2 gnd rswk-swf Welthandel (DE-588)4065365-1 gnd rswk-swf Weltwirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4065471-0 gnd rswk-swf Frachtkosten (DE-588)4258754-2 gnd rswk-swf Welthandel (DE-588)4065365-1 s Frachtkosten (DE-588)4258754-2 s Baumwollfaser (DE-588)4136931-2 s Geschichte 1928-1937 z DE-188 Weltwirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4065471-0 s Freie Universität Berlin, School of Business & Economics Discussion paper 2019, 8 : Economics (DE-604)BV026641400 2019,8 https://refubium.fu-berlin.de/handle/fub188/24959 Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext |
spellingShingle | Adam, Marc C. Return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited Great Depression international trade gravity equation Baumwollfaser (DE-588)4136931-2 gnd Welthandel (DE-588)4065365-1 gnd Weltwirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4065471-0 gnd Frachtkosten (DE-588)4258754-2 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4136931-2 (DE-588)4065365-1 (DE-588)4065471-0 (DE-588)4258754-2 |
title | Return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited |
title_auth | Return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited |
title_exact_search | Return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited |
title_full | Return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited Marc Christopher Adam |
title_fullStr | Return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited Marc Christopher Adam |
title_full_unstemmed | Return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited Marc Christopher Adam |
title_short | Return of the tariffs |
title_sort | return of the tariffs the interwar trade collapse revisited |
title_sub | the interwar trade collapse revisited |
topic | Great Depression international trade gravity equation Baumwollfaser (DE-588)4136931-2 gnd Welthandel (DE-588)4065365-1 gnd Weltwirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4065471-0 gnd Frachtkosten (DE-588)4258754-2 gnd |
topic_facet | Great Depression international trade gravity equation Baumwollfaser Welthandel Weltwirtschaftskrise Frachtkosten |
url | https://refubium.fu-berlin.de/handle/fub188/24959 |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV026641400 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT adammarcc returnofthetariffstheinterwartradecollapserevisited |