The lands in between: Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war
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Oxford University Press
[2019]
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| Physical Description: | xiv, 232 Seiten Karten |
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CONTENTS List of Figures Acknowledgments Abbreviations 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. ix xi xv Introduction Russia’s Hybrid War on the West The West’s Belated Response The Lands In Between The Contest for Central and Eastern Europe Core Europe and the United States The New Politics of Hybrid War 1 8 47 80 108 129 151 Notes Index 173 217
INDEX Page numbers followed byƒ indicate figures Abramovich, Roman, 161-62 agents of influence, 33-34 Alliance for European Integration, 97-99,105 Alliance for Germany, 138-39,141-42 Alternative for Germany, 35, 70,145 antimonopoly rules and regulations, 67, 68-69 Armenia. See also lands in between Russia and EU DCFTAs with EU, 76-77,88-90 Assange, Julian, 37, 39-40, 131-32,137-38 Ataka (Attack), 35,117,141-42 authoritarianism. See also mafia state; specific topics vs. democracy (see abo civilization choice; democracy) “European civil war” between the forces of, 147,158-59 nationalist, 158-59 (see also nationalism and nationalists) of Putin, 24-25,43-44 Azerbaijan, 84,106. See also lands in between Russia and EU DCFTAs with EU, 76-77,88-90,106 economic dependence on Russia, 84 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and, 84,106 Russian military in, 84 Babiš, Andrej, 122 Baltic Sea, 111-12,115-16 Baltic States/Baltic republics, 116, 125-26. See also specific countries hard line on Russia, 117-18 history, 125-26 information warfare against, 162-63 integration into EU Europe, 152 languages in, 116,123 NATO and, 54-55, 73-75, 117-18, 126 news in, 124 Russian influence in, 36-37,116
218 I INDEX Baltic States/Baltic republics (Cont.) Russia’s illegal penetration of airspace of, 74-75, 125-26,145-46 threats from and fear of Russia, 74, 125-26 vulnerability to propaganda, 116 Banks, Arron, 140-41 Barroso, Manuel, 17-18 Belarus, 96-97. See also lands in between Russia and EU DCFTAs with EU, 76-77, 88-90 economic dependence on Russia, 84 Orthodox Church in, 86, 92-93 Russian military in, 84 Big Three powers in EU, 57-58, 78-79,128 Bolotnaya Square, protests in, 25-26 Brexit support for, 131-32,140-41 (see also Brexit campaign) as victory for Russia, 78-79,150 Brexit campaign, 130-31,140-41. See also Brexit: support for funding for, 78-79, 131-32, 140-41 bribery, 98-99, 112-15, 127-28 BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China), 14-15 Britain, 35,129-30. See also Big Three powers in EU; Brexit Putin regime and, 57-58 BSI (Federal Office for Information Security), 70-71 Bugajski, Janusz, 31 Bulgaria, 65-66, 68. See also Ataka interconnecter with Romania, 65-66,111-12 bundling, product. See unbundling business ties, leveraging, 143-45 Cadier, Daniel, 99,101 Calexit, 142-43 California Yes, 142-43 Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), 108-11,127-28 energy politics, 110-16,127-28 media influence in, 123-24 military interventions and threats, 125-26 polarization and power brokers, 126-27 political influence, 116-20 Trojan horses in EU governance, 110-11,120-23 Central Election Commission (Ukraine), 136-37 Change (Poland), 35,118-19 Charap, Samuel, 99,101 Charnysh, Volha, 104 Christian Democratic Union (CDU), 39-40,70-71,138-39,145 Christian great powers, 156 Christianity,
28. See also Orthodox Church Christian values, Russian government as defender of, 71 civilization choice, 81, 82-83, 101, 107, 147-48, 149, 170-71,172 big winners who play both sides of the, 100 as defining issue for political parties, 91-92 and new politics of polarization and power brokers, 158-59 (see also under polarization) politics of, 90-93 Ukraine and, 90, 91-93, 94 clash of civilizations, 158-59 Clinton, Hillary Rodham, 25-26, 37, 159
INDEX Donald Trump and, 139,142-43, 159 (see also Trump, Donald: 2016 election campaign; United States presidential election of 2016) Cold War, 151-52 Cold War Europe, 21ƒ competition law. See antimonopoly rules and regulations Concert of Europe, 22f 155 Congress system, 155. See also Concert of Europe conspiracy theories, 90-91 reported by Russian media, 36-37, 132-33,136 corruption, 90-91,98-99,127-28. See also specific topics Cottrell, George, 140-41 Crimea, 45, 53-54 annexation by Russian Federation, 10,42,47-48, 49, 50, 52, 53-54,57-58, 74-75,83-84,94, 146-47 extremists supporting, 34-35 sanctions following, 52, 53-54, 55-56, 59 cyberattacks, 39-41,70,138-39. See also hacking on Estonia, 48 cybersecurity, 70-71, 77-78 Czechia, 160 Czechoslovakia disinformation and, 108-10, 121-23 Warsaw Pact invasion of, 108-9 Czech Republic/Czechia, 9, 35,124 energy policies, 65-66, 114, 122-23 EU membership, 45,108-10 Miloš Zeman and, 108-10 NATO membership, 45,108-9 І 219 paramilitary organizations in, 41-42, 142 Russia’s covert infiltration of, 122-23 Dayton Accords, 15-16 deep and comprehensive free trade agreements (DCFTAs) Armenia and, 76-77, 88-90 Azerbaijan and, 76-77,88-90,106 Belarus and, 76-77, 88-90 Eastern Partnership states and, 76, 88-89 European Union (EU) and, 52-53, 76-77, 80-81,88-90,93-94, 102-3,106 countries refusing to sign DCFTAs with EU, 76-77, 88-90 Georgia and, 76-77, 88-90,102-3 Moldova and, 76-77, 88-90 Russia and, 52-53, 76-77, 80-81, 93-94, 106 Ukraine and, 52-53, 76-77, 88-90, 93-94 Viktor Yanukovich and, 52-53 democracy, 23-24, 25. See also civilization
choice promotion of, 23-26,135 Russia and, 24-26,49 Democratic Party of Moldova, 3-4, 5 Denmark, 74-75 disinformation, 158. See also extremist media; fake news; Lisa F. Baltic republics and, 124 countering, 162-63 debunking, 72 difficulties in, 69-70 Czechoslovakia and, 108-10,121-23 Hungary and, 41,124
220 ļ INDEX disinformation (Cont.) media and, 131-32,133-36 Russian intelligence services and, 131-32 spread by Slovak paramilitary organizations on Internet, 41-42 used in 2014 Crimea invasion, 50 and the Wests failure to see hybrid war, 50 disinformation campaign(s), 126, 142-43. See aho disinformation in 2016 US presidential election, 35-39 “Disinformation Digest,” 71-72 divide and rule (strategy), 64, 65 methods of responding to Russia’s, 65 Dodon, Igor, 3-4, 5,97-98,104-5 Drahos, Jiri, 109-10 Eastern Europe. See also Central and Eastern Europe as shatterzone of empires, 81 (see also shatterzone of empires) Eastern Orthodox Church. See Orthodox Church Eastern Partnership, 88-89 aims of, 88 European Union (EU) and, 76-77, 88-89 launching of, 76,88 Russia’s opposition to, 76-77 summits, 52-53,88-89 Eastern Ukraine, 58-59 Russia’s invasion of, 56-57 elections. See aho under specific candidates; specific countries becomes referendums on civilizational choice between Russia and EU, 90-91 hacking and, 39-41,70-71,136-41 embargoes, 85 “end of history” thinking, 49 energy blackmail, 43,65-66, 69,111 energy politics, 120-21. See also gas Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and, 110-16,127-28 Hungary and, 43-44,113-14, 120-21,160 Putin and, 77-78,111-12,114-15 Ukraine and, 43,112-13,115 Viktor Orbán and, 113-14, 120-21,160 energy prices, 61, 78-79. See also gas prices; oil prices Energy Union, 117-18 espionage, 32, 33-34, 119-20, 121-23 Estonia, 48, 116, 123,125-26 EU Big Three. See Big Three powers in EU Eurasian Customs Union, 85 Eurasian Economic Union (EEU), 27-28, 85 joining,
27-28, 88-89, 94, 96, 97-98, 99-100,106 Euromaidan (protests in Maidan), 17-18, 25-26, 52-53, 54, 76-77, 88-89, 119 Europe. See also specific topics great-power (see great-power Europe) a multitiered, 23f the threat of, 18-20 cultural threat, 28-29 economic threat, 26-28 political threat, 23-26 a zero-sum game, 29 a whole and free, 76-77 “European civil war” between forces of liberal democracy and authoritarian nationalism, 147, 158-59
INDEX European Neighborhood Policy, 88 European Union (EU), 17-18. See abo specific topics irony of Russia’s assault on, 63-64 map, 19f Russia’s goal of destroying, 29-30 as threat to Russia, 17-18, 20-24, 25-26 Trojan horses in, 43-45, 110-11,120-23 “European values,” 92 extremist media, 131-33. See also conspiracy theories; far-right websites extremist organizations. See paramilitary organizations extremist parties, 119,126-27. See also specific parties Béla Kovács and, 33-34 funding, 34-36 influence, 117 Russia’s support for, 114-15,117, 118-20,123-24,141-43,148 main criterion for, 117 and polarization, 119-20,141-43, 148,158 extremist politicians, Russian news channels and, 38-39 Facebook, 72,130-31, 148-49,162-63 fake news, 135-37,139,150. See also disinformation Fancy Bear, 138-39 Faragé, Nigel, 38-39,131-32,140-41 far-right movements, 118. See also extremist parties far-right organizations. See paramilitary organizations far-right websites, 123,124 fascist parties, 117. See also extremist parties ļ 221 Federal Office for Information Security (BSI), 70-71 Feinberg, Andrew, 132-33 fight clubs, 130-31, 141,142 Filat, Vlad, 98-99 food prices, 61 former Soviet republics. See lands in between Russia and EU; specific topics France, 50-51. See also Big Three powers in EU; Le Pen, Marine; Macron, Emmanuel; National Front elections, 44-45, 54, 129-30, 137-38, 144-45 relations with Russia, 129-30,144 Freedom and Direct Democracy, 35 Freedom Party of Austria, 35, 117,141-42 free trade agreements. See also deep and comprehensive free trade agreements European Union (EU), 52-53
French businesses, 144 French National Front. See National Front French Republicans, 143-45 G7 (Group of Seven) and G8 (Group of Eight), 13-14 Galeotti, Mark, 46,142 gas, natural, 63-64, 77-78. See also Gazprom; third energy package banning of the re-exporting of, 67, 68 European countries dependent on Russian, 64 exporting of Russian, 63-64 liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals, 66-67,111-12 Ukraine and, 53-54, 64
222 ļ INDEX gas contracts, 65-67, 68 gas cutoffs to Lithuania, 68 to Ukraine, 45-46,48,64-66, 111 gas disputes. See gas cutoffs gas flows, Europe’s attempts to regulate Russian, 63 gas pipeline networks, 65-67, 68 gas pipeline projects, 61-62. See also gas pipelines: construction; North Stream; North Stream II; South Stream gas pipelines, 63-64, 65-67 construction, 65-67, 68, 69 (see also gas pipeline projects) gas contracts and, 65-67, 68 Gazprom and, 67-69,112-13 reverse flows, 65-66 gas prices, 53-54,64,65-67, 68-69. See also energy prices gay marriage, 93 gay rights, 28 “Gayropa,” 93, 97 Gazprom, 54-55,114 Bulgaria and, 112-13 efforts to influence Czech Republic, 114 European Union (EU) and, 54-55,67-69 incentives to buy European companies, 64 lawsuits against, 54-55, 68 Lithuania and, 68,111-12,117-18 pipelines and, 67-69, 112-13 strategy of vertical integration, 67 third energy package and, 54-55, 67, 68-69 unbundling, 117-18 Georgia, 83,101-3,148. See also Ivanishvili, Bizdina; lands in between Russia and EU; Russo-Georgian War DCFTAs with EU, 76-77, 88-90,102-3 Dmitry Medvedev and, 15-16, 50 embargoes against, 85,102-3 European Union (EU) and, 76-77, 81-82,89-90,102-3 NATO membership, 14-15,102-3 Rose Revolution, 85,135 Western orientation and aspirations, 102-3 Georgian Dream, 102-3 Gerasimov doctrine of hybrid war, 29-30, 72-73 German Bundestag, hacking attack in, 138-39 German companies, 49, 65,69,144 German Social Democrats, 143-44 Germany, 143-44. See abo Big Three powers in EU; Lisa E; Merkel, Angela; modernization partnership; North Stream II elections in,
44-45, 54, 70-71, 138-39,141-42,145 fight clubs in, 130-31 North Stream pipelines between Russia and, 112-13, 115-16, 117-18 political parties in, 143-44 (see aho Alliance for Germany; Alternative for Germany; Christian Democratic Union) Putin and, 11,144, 153-54,156 relations with Russia, 16,48,49, 50-52, 54, 57-58, 115-16, 129-30, 133-34,143-44, 156 Golden Dawn, 117,141-42 Gorbachev, Mikhail, 11,165 great power, Russia’s aspirations to bea, 155
INDEX great-power Europe vs. EU Europe, 155-57 problem with Russia’s vision of, 157 revisionist Russia wishing to create, 151 Russia to be a key player of, 155 would provide Russia with renewed influence, 151 great-power politics, 157,172 great powers, 156 idea of forming a club of, 156 need to accommodate, 160-61 Green Party of the United States, 38-39 Grigas, Agnia, 36-37 Griloo, Beppo, 145 Group of Seven (G7) and Group of Eight (G8), 13-14 Groysman, Volodymyr, 90 GRU (Russian military intelligence), 142 hacking, 40-41. See also cyberattacks countering, 70-71 elections and, 39-41,70-71,136-41 Hašek, Jaroslav, 160 Havel, Václav, 8 Hollande, François, 57-58 Hungarian Far Right, 33-34 Hungarian National Front, 41 Hungary, 120-21. See also Orbán, Viktor agents of influence and, 33-34 disinformation and, 41,124 energy politics and, 43-44,113-14, 120-21,160 European Union (EU) and, 121-22 far-right parties in, 119 (see also Jobbik Party) intelligence and counterintelligence operationsand, 121-22 223 NATO and, 121-22,124 Putin and, 120,124 and sanctions on Russia, 44-45,121 Ukraine and, 41,120-21,124 hybrid war steps to reduce the threat of, 161-64 terminology, 179n41 tools of, 45-46 hybrid war on the West, Russia’s. See also Russia’s turning against the West; specific topics covert action, 31-33 designed to evade detection and create facade of plausible deniability, 45-46 goals, 9-10 most effective response to, 161-62 most important element of Western response to, 55-56 overview, 29-31 problems created for Western democracies by, 158 terminology, 179n41 tools used in, 45-46
uncovering the range of Russian actions in, 31-33 who started, 11 immigration, opposition to. See xenophobia information warfare, 162-63. See also disinformation; fake news; propaganda intelligence operations. See espionage; Russian intelligence agencies; Western intelligence agencies Internet. See also websites propaganda and disinformation on, 41-42, 118-19,123 Ivanishvili, Bizdina, 81-82,101-3
224 I INDEX Jobbik Party, 33-35,117,119-20, 141-42 journalism, 71-72 journalists, banning of, 69-70, 86 Karaganov, Sergei, 156 Katrein, Ferenc, 39,121-22 Kosovo, 15-16 Kosovo War, 15 Kovács, Béla, 33-34 Kramer, David, 164 Krekó, Péter, 33-34 lands in between Russia and EU, 80-83, 170-71,172.See also specific countries caught in between, 170-72 EU’s deepening relations with, 76 EU’s influence on, 87-90 the front lines, 93-100 vulnerability to Russia, 83-87 and the West, 106-7 Lansing, John, 37-38 Lamelle, Analyst Marilyn, 144 Latvia, 60, 68,116,123, 125-26 Lázár, Zoltán, 119-20 Leanca, Iurie, 90 Lega Nord (Northern League), 35 Le Pen, Marine, 35,137-38. See also National Front lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) rights. See gay rights; “Gayropa” Light, Margot, 27 liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals, 66-67,111-12 Lisa F., criminal case of, 39,133-34, 142, 158 Lithuania, 125 European Union (EU) and, 68, 111-12 gas cutoffs, 68,111-12 Gazprom and, 68,111-12,117-18 liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals, 66-67,111-12 loans for shares scheme, 154 Lovochkina, Yuliya, 67 Lukashenko, Aleksander, 80-81 anti-EU propaganda and, 97 essence of his regime, 80-81 pillars on which his regime rests, 96-97 playing both sides and brokering between West and Russia, 80-81 Maassen, Hans-Georg, 70 Macierewicz, Anton, 41-42 Macron, Emmanuel on “European civil war” between liberal democracy and authoritarian nationalism, 147, 158-59 hackers stealing emails of, 39-40 Marine Le Pen and, 137-38 presidential campaign, 70-71, 137-38, 145,150 on Putin, 150 on Russian media and propaganda,
137-38,145,150 Wikileaks dumping emails of, 71, 137-38 mafia, 148-49, 153-54 mafia state, 11, 25,120-21 Maidan Nezalezhnosti, protests in. See Euromaidan Malaysian Airlines flight MH-17, 58-59 Marinelli, Louis, 142-43 Markus, Stanislav, 104
INDEX McMaster, H. R., 147 Medvedev, Dmitry, 49-50 Georgia and, 15-16, 50 and liberalization/modernization/ Westernization of Russia, 9, 32-33,47-48,49-50, 51-52,172 Putin and, 32-33,49-50, 51-52, 54,156 security architecture for Europe proposed by, 156 Meister, Steffan, 144 Merkel, Angela, 133-34,138-39, 142. See also Christian Democratic Union and the criminal case of Lisa E, 133-34,142 German elections and, 70,138-39 Medvedev and, 49-50, 51-52 modernization partnership with Russia, 51 Putin and, 49-50,51-52, 57-58, 124,133-34 Milov, Vladimir, 112-13 Minsk Protocol, 80-81,95 modernization partnership, 48,49,51 and the end of partnership, 51-54 Moldova, 1, 2-5,83,97-100,105. See also Dodon, Igor; lands in between Russia and EU; Plahotniuc, Vlad; Transnistria dvihzational choice, 90 corruption, 98-99 DCFTAs with EU, 76-77, 88-90 elections, 3-5, 90, 97-99 European Union (EU) and, 2-3, 76-77,81-82, 85, 87-90, 97-100, 104-5 finances, 2-3, 98-99,104-5 food embargoes, 85 225 and the media, 2-3, 5,104-5 need for Wesťs help against Russia, 2-3 Orthodox Church in, 86, 92 polarization in, 4, 97-98 politics in West compared with politics in, 1, 2 Romania and, 4, 87-88, 97-98 Socialist Party of Moldova, 3-4, 5, 97-98,104-5 Ukraine and, 90, 98, 99 vignette about, 2-3 money laundering, 148-49,161-62 Montenegrin coup plot, 75-76 Montenegro, 75-76 Moscow, 28 Moscow State University, 153, 211-12n8 multipolarity and a multipolar world, 14-15 multivector foreign policy, 93-94, 99 Muslim immigration, spreading fear of, 28-29, 39 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, 84,106 National Front (France),
35,130-32, 141-42,159 nationalism and nationalists. See ako under Macron, Emmanuel authoritarian, 158-59 far-right European, 117 (see ako extremist parties) populist parties and, 168-69 Russian, 153,154-55,165 (see ako Putin, Vladimir: Soviet pride restored by) Ukrainian, 93-96 xenophobic (see xenophobia) National Rally. See National Front National Rifle Association (NRA), 142
226 I INDEX NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization), 16-17, 54-55, 117-18,152, 158-59,163-64 Baltic States and, 54-55, 73-75, 117-18, 126 bombing of Serbia in Kosovo War, 15 Brussels, Belgium and, 32 call for strengthening, 8 Hungary and, 121-22,124 irony of Russia’s assault on, 63-64 and the media, 35-36, 122-24, 136 military responses, 73-76,77-78, 124, 125-26, 145-46 Putin and, 17, 52-53, 166 rapid response battalions following 2014 Crimea invasion, 47-48 Readiness Action Plan, 73-74 Russia’s efforts at destroying, 52 Russia’s fear of the expansion of, 16-17, 29 Russia’s goal of destroying, 29-30 and Russia’s turn against the West, 12 as threat to Russia, 17-18, 20-24 Very High Readiness Joint Task Force, 73-74 NATO membership, 74, 75-76, 83, 119-20, 121, 124, 157, 163-64 Bidzina Ivanishvili and, 102-3 Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and, 123-24,126-28 of Czech Republic, 108-9 EU membership and, 29 of former Soviet republics, 14-15, 29-30,45, 52-53, 87 (see also under Georgia; Ukraine) of Montenegro, 75-76 the possibility of Russia joining NATO, 13-14 secession, 119 US support and, 29-30 natural gas. See gas Nazi rhetoric, 123-24,125-26 Nazism, 33-34. See also People’s Party—Our Slovakia Nejedly, Martin, 108-9 neofascist organizations, 41,119. See also paramilitary organizations neofascist parties, 117. See also fascist parties neoliberal policies, 87-88,154,168-69 neo-Nazism. See People’s Party—Our Slovakia Netherlands, 59 Normandy format, 156 North Atlantic Treaty Organization. See NATO Northern League for the Independence of Padania (Lega Nord), 35 North Stream,
112-13,117-18 North Stream II, 61-62,99-100, 115-16 Novorossiya, Russia’s campaign for, 62-63 nuclear aggression, 29, 74-75,126 Russia’s threats of, 12, 72-73, 145-46, 151-52 nuclear reactors and nuclear power, 40-41, 111, 113-14,160 nuclear weapons, 29, 74-75,145-46 Nuland, Victoria, 25-26 Obama, Barack, 147-48 Russia and, 52 Odessa, Ukraine, 95-96 Odessa clashes (2014), 95-96 Oettinger, Günther, 65 oil prices, 61. See also energy prices
INDEX oligarchs, 81-82,104-5. See also specific oligarchs open-source intelligence, 31-32 Opposition Bloc, 95 Orbán, Viktor, 113-14,120-21 energy politics and, 113-14, 120-21,160 European Union (EU) and, 113-14, 120-21,126-27,160 Ferenc Katrein on, 121-22 Miloš Zeman and, 109-10 overview, 120-21 Putin and, 43-44,120-21 relations with Russia, 43-44,109-10, 113-14,120-22,126-27,160 Ukraine crisis and, 120-21 Ordeshook, Peter, 40-41 Orthodox Church, 28,86-87,92-93 pan-Slavism, 123-24 paramilitary organizations, 41-42, 118-19, 141,142 Pashinian, Nikol, 84 Paul, Amanda, 106 People’s Party-Our Slovakia, 119-20 Pinchuk, Victor, 81-82,101-3 pipelines. See gas pipelines Piskorski, Mateusz, 118 Plahotniuc, Vladimir, 2-5, 81-82,104-5 plausible deniability, facade of, 45-46, 50 Poland, 9, 35, 41-42, 117-19, 122-23, 126 liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals, 66-67,111-12 North Stream II and, 69,115-16 Ukraine and, 53-54,117-18 polarization, 147-48. See also civilization choice in Belarus, 96 І 227 and the big winners who play both sides, 100 causes of (and efforts to create), 5-7, 39,45-46,90,110-11, 127-28, 131-32, 133-34, 159, 171-72 Russia’s support for extremist parties, 119-20, 141-43, 148, 158 war, 41, 93-94 effects of, 5-7, 82, 95-96,100, 148, 171-72 Lukashenko and, 81 and the media, 82,133-34 in Moldova, 4, 97-98 of political parties, 126,149 politics of, in the lands between, 82-83 power brokers and, 6-7, 82-83, 100-7, 147, 149 in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), 126-27 new politics of, 146-47, 149,158-61 Russia’s goal of creating, 29-30 in United States, 130 Vladimir
Plahotniuc and, 4,104-5 polarized climate, importance of flexibility in a, 6,104 polarized societies, 100-1 populism, 45-46, 108-10,147-48, 166, 168-69 factors fueling the rise in, 168 Poroshenko, Petro, 40-41, 96 Yanukovich regime and the regime of, 81-82,104 post-Soviet states. See lands in between Russia and EU power brokers, 148. See also polarization: power brokers and
228 I INDEX prodemocracy movements. See democracy: promotion of product bundling. See unbundling propaganda, 35-39, 71, 122-24, 127-28, 154-55, 171-72. See also disinformation countering Russian, 69-70, 71-72, 162-63 on Internet, 118-19, 123 paramilitary organizations spreading, 41-42 Pro Patria Party, 99 Putin, Vladimir, 11-12,13. See also specific topics Alex Tsipras and, 58 Angela Merkel and, 49-50, 51-52, 57-58, 124,133-34 ascension to presidency (1999-2000), 13,153 authoritarianism, 24-25, 43-44 Boris Yeltsin and, 153 contrasted with other Russian leaders, 11 democracy and, 24, 25-26 Dmitry Medvedev and, 32-33, 49-50,51-52, 54, 156 energy politics and, 77-78, 111-12, 114-15 Eurasian Economic Union and, 27-28 European Union (EU) and, 24, 25-26, 29 foreign policy after, 165-68 Germany and, 11,144,153-54,156 Igor Dodon and, 3-4,105 Malaysian Airlines flight MH-17 and, 58-59 in the media, 24-25 Munich speech, 14-15,48 NATO and, 17, 52-53,166 popularity, 124 relations with and attitudes toward the West, 11-12,14-15,46 return to power in 2012,10, 32-33, 47-48,51-52 on sanctions, 60,61 Soviet pride restored by, 11,153 on Soviet Union and its collapse, 11,13,49,153-54 Ukraine and, 52-53, 54, 92-93, 133-34, 156 on unipolar vs. multipolar world (order), 14-15,17 on United States, 14-15 universities and, 11-12,153 Viktor Orbán and, 43-44,120-21 Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 72 “reflexive control,” 179n41 Republicans (France), 143-45 Rheinmetall, 49 Rich, Seth, 132-33 Riga Summit (2015), 88-89 right-wing extremism. See extremist parties; far-right movements Romania, 74, 97-98
European Union (EU) and, 87-88, 89, 97-98 interconnector with Bulgaria, 65-66,111-12 Moldova and, 4,87-88, 97-98 Romney, Mitt, 9, 52 Rosatom, 113-14 Rose Revolution, 85,135 RT. See Russia Today Russia. See abo specific topics blaming the West for the problems in, 153-55 elections, 24-25 financing and building ties with mainstream political parties in Europe, 143-44
INDEX importance of people-to-people connections with, 169-70 military intervention, 41-43 military responses to, 72-76 military threats, 145-46 (see also under nuclear aggression) politicians “bought” by, 160 (see also specific politicians) Russian economy recessions, 56-57, 59-60, 62-63 sanctions and, 54-55, 56-57, 59-60,61, 62-63 Russian foreign policy, 8,13, 153,169-70. See ako specific topics after Putin, 165-68 covert campaign in Western democracies, 130-36 influence in core Europe and United States, 146-49 Russian intelligence agencies, 141. See also espionage collaboration with Russian hackers, 39-40 disinformation and, 131-32 EU officials communicating with, 32 Hungary and, 121-22 media and, 133-34 Wikileaks and, 39-40,137-38 Russian language, 85-86, 95-96,116 Russian leaders, 11,165. See also specific leaders Russian media, 85-86,133-34. See also Russia Today; specific topics Russian Orthodox Church. See Orthodox Church Russian political system, weaknesses in, 165-66 Russian protests (2011-2013). See Bolotnaya Square І 229 Russia’s turning against the West. See also hybrid war on the West reasons for, 11-14 the turning point, 14-16 the West in disbelief regarding, 16-18 Russia Today (RT), 37, 38-39, 131-33, 136,137-38, 140-41 Russo-Georgian War, 9,14-16, 57, 72-73 alleged causes of, 50,102 European Union (EU) and, 48, 57 messages conveyed by, 47-48 ramifications of, 50, 83-84 response of the West to, 48, 54 Russia’s agenda in, 50 Saakashvili, Mikheil, 85,101, 102 same-sex marriage. See gay marriage sanctions, trade. See embargoes; Ukraine sanctions against Russia,
54. See also embargoes countersanctions, 60-61 Europe’s level of unity on, 54 following Crimea invasion, 52, 53-54, 55-56, 59 Hungary and, 44-45,121 overview, 55-63 Putin on, 60,61 and Russian economy, 54-55, 56-57, 59-60,61,62-63 types of, 56 waves/rounds of, 55-63 Sandu, Maia, 97-98 Sarkozy, Nicholas, 48, 50 Satter, David, 11 Saudi Arabia, 61 Serbia, 15-16 Serbian Radical Party, 35
230 ļ INDEX shatterzone of empires, 81,106 Shor, Ilan, 98-99 Škripal, Sergei and Yulia poisoning of, 42-43,161-62 Slovak Conscripts, 118-19 Slovakia, paramilitary organizations in, 41-42,118-20 Slovak Revival Movement, 118-19 Snyder, Timothy D., 36-37,117, 130- 31, 151, 158-59 Social Democratic Party of Germany. See German Social Democrats Socialist Party of Moldova, 3-4, 5, 97-98,104-5 social media websites. See also Facebook; Twitter banning of Russian, 69-70, 86 South Ossetia, 50, 83-84 South Stream, 112-15 Soviet leaders, 165. See also specific leaders Soviet pride, Putins restoration of, 153 Soviet Union, 20 dissolution of, 11,13,49, 108-9, 153-54 Soviet Union 2.0, 91, 98 spot markets, natural gas and, 65-67 Sputnik (news agency), 131- 33,137-38 Stein, Jill, 38-39 “strategic deterrence,” 179n41 Surin, Alexey, 211-12n8 Surkov, Vladislav, 61-62, 93 Sweden, 74 Syria, 49,122-23,132-33 Syrian Civil War, Russian military intervention in, 109-10,119-20 think tanks, 70,71 third energy package, 54-55,63-69 building interconnectors between European gas and power networks, 65-67 Gazprom and, 54-55,67,68-69 innovations/features of, 65-67 overview and essence of, 65 Russia’s campaign against, 67 Russia’s objections to, 67 things that precipitated, 65 Timmermans, Frans, 59 Tolstoy, Piotr, 113 trade embargoes. See embargoes Transnistria, 42, 83,118 Transnistrian Moldovan Republic, 83 Transnistria War, 83 Trenin, Dmitri, 24-25 Trump, Donald, 38,139 2016 election campaign, 38,139, 140-41, 142-43,148-49,159 Hillary Clinton and, 139,142-43 Marine Le Pen and, 137-38 NATO and, 74 profiting
from both Russia and the West, 148-49 Putin and, 139 Tsipras, Alex, 44-45, 58 Tusk, Donald, 52 Twitter, 37-38,130-31, 135-38,140-41 UK (United Kingdom). See Britain UK Independence Party, 35 Ukraine, 42,43-44. See also lands in between Russia and EU banning of Russian media in, 69-70, 86 Belarus and, 96 Central Election Commission, 136-37 civilization choice, 90, 91-93, 94 cyberattacks against, 39-41 DCFTA between EU and, 52-53, 76-77, 88-90, 93-94 economics, 52-53 elections, 39-41,91-92,95,136-37 energy politics and, 43,112-13,115
INDEX European Union (EU) and, 76, 89-90,94 gas cutoffs to, 45-46,48,64-66, 111 Hungary and, 41,120-21,124 independence and sovereignty, 86-87, 94,101,170-71 languages in, 95-96,116 military, 36-37 military aid for, 74-75,124 Moldova and, 90, 98, 99 NATO membership, 14-15, 52-53, 81-82 Orthodox Church in, 86, 92-93 Poland and, 53-54,117-18 politics, 1, 25,86-87, 93-96 (see also Yanukovich, Viktor) propaganda to discredit, 123-24 protests in, 25-26 (see abo Euromaidan) Putin and, 52-53,54, 92-93, 133-34,156 Russian military intervention in, 41,42,45-46,62-63,72-74, 83-84, 93-96, 98,109-10, 133-34 (see also under Crimea; Eastern Ukraine; Minsk Protocol) trade sanctions on, 85 U.S. support for, 74-75,131-32 and the West, 54, 94 Ukraine crisis, 119,120-21,124,126 international sanctions during (see under Crimea: annexation by Russian Federation) Ukrainian crisis. See Ukraine crisis Ukrainian nationalism and nationalists, 93-96 Ukrainian oligarchs, 81-82,104 Ukrainian Orthodox Church. See Orthodox Church unbundling, 64, 67-68,111-12, 117-18 unipolar leadership, 14-15 ļ 231 unipolar world order, 14-15,16-17 United States. See also specific topics relations with Russia, 8-9 sanctions and related legislation, 61-62 United States presidential election of 2016. See also under Trump, Donald disinformation campaign, 35-39 Russian meddling in, 10 Usati, Renato, 99 values, 92-93, 169 conservative, 86, 97,100 Vilnius summit (2013), 52-53 Walesa, Lech, 8 Watts, Clint, 38 websites. See also Internet; social media websites fake lookalike, 138-39 far-right, 123,124 Western intelligence
agencies. See also espionage most striking success of, 48 sounding the alarm about hybrid war, 32 West’s (belated) response to the hybrid war delayed reaction, 48-51 fighting back, 150 leaders’ failure to recognize the hybrid war, 48-51 looking in the mirror, 168-70 reasons it took so long to recognize the hybrid war, 49-51 the West pushes back, 54-77 countering Russian propaganda, disinformation, and hacking, 69-72 Wikileaks. See also Assange, Julian emails dumped on, 71, 137-38,139
232 I INDEX Wikileaks (Cont.) Russian intelligence agencies and, 39-40,137-38 Winants, Alain, 32 World Trade Organization (WTO), 68, 85 xenophobia, 9-10, 28-29, 45-46, 147-48,168 Yanukovich, Viktor, 39-40,42, 52-54, 93-94,136-37 Yanukovich regime and Poroshenko regime, 81-82,104 Yarosh, Dmitri, 40-41 Yeltsin, Boris, 11,153,154, 165, 167 Yugoslav wars, 15 Zeman, Miloš, 45,108-10 Bayerische Staatsbibliothek München V |
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| id | DE-604.BV045891618 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2025-03-28T15:11:15Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780190936143 |
| language | English |
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| physical | xiv, 232 Seiten Karten |
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| publisher | Oxford University Press |
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| spelling | Orenstein, Mitchell A. 1967- Verfasser (DE-588)129509477 aut The lands in between Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war Mitchell A. Orenstein New York, NY Oxford University Press [2019] © 2019 xiv, 232 Seiten Karten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Hybridkrieg (DE-588)107366371X gnd rswk-swf Westliche Welt (DE-588)4079237-7 gnd rswk-swf Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd rswk-swf Hybrid warfare / Russia (Federation) Russia (Federation) / Foreign relations / Western countries Western countries / Foreign relations / Russia (Federation) Diplomatic relations Hybrid warfare Russia (Federation) Western countries Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 g Hybridkrieg (DE-588)107366371X s Westliche Welt (DE-588)4079237-7 g DE-604 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=031274641&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=031274641&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Register // Gemischte Register |
| spellingShingle | Orenstein, Mitchell A. 1967- The lands in between Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war Hybridkrieg (DE-588)107366371X gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)107366371X (DE-588)4079237-7 (DE-588)4076899-5 |
| title | The lands in between Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war |
| title_auth | The lands in between Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war |
| title_exact_search | The lands in between Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war |
| title_full | The lands in between Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war Mitchell A. Orenstein |
| title_fullStr | The lands in between Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war Mitchell A. Orenstein |
| title_full_unstemmed | The lands in between Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war Mitchell A. Orenstein |
| title_short | The lands in between |
| title_sort | the lands in between russia vs the west and the new politics of hybrid war |
| title_sub | Russia vs. the West and the new politics of hybrid war |
| topic | Hybridkrieg (DE-588)107366371X gnd |
| topic_facet | Hybridkrieg Westliche Welt Russland |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=031274641&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=031274641&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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