Introduction to Anticipation Studies:
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Cham
Springer
[2017]
|
| Series: | Anticipation Science
volume 1 |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | UBT01 Volltext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (X, 275 p. 16 illus) |
| ISBN: | 9783319630236 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/978-3-319-63023-6 |
Staff View
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Titel: Introduction to anticipation studies
Autor: Poli, Roberto
Jahr: 2017
Contents
1 Introduction................................................................................1
References.................................................................................7
2 Anticipation in the Natural Sciences................................................................................9
2.1 Physics..........................................................................9
2.2 Biology.........................................................................12
2.2.1 The Good Samaritan...............................................................................12
2.2.2 Intelligence..............................................................................13
2.2.3 Ascendency and Overhead..............................................................................14
2.2.4 Anticipation........................................................................15
References................................................................................20
3 Anticipation in the Human and Social Sciences......................................................................23
3.1 Psychology................................................................23
3.2 Anthropology...........................................................26
3.3 Sociology......................................................................30
3.3.1 Projects and Habits................................................................................30
3.3.2 Abstract and Concrete Futures..................................................................................32
3.3.3 Forms of Coordination............................................................................36
3.3.4 Utopias - Real or Ortherwise....................................................................................39
3.3.5 Future Moves..................................................................................40
3.4 Economics....................................................................43
3.4.1 Fictions.................................................45
3.4.2 Anticipatory Organizations.........................................................................49
3.4.3 Synthetic Information............................................................................50
References........................................................................53
4 Understanding the Future....................................................................................59
4.1 Approaching the Study of the Future..........................................................................................59
4.1.1 The First Studies on the Future................................................................................60
4.1.2 Facta and Futura....................................................................................61
4.1.3 Dispositions................................................................................62
4.1.4 The Futures in the Making.................................................................................63
4.1.5 Levels of Depth of Futures Study........................................................................64
4.1.6 Futures and Utopias...................................................................................65
4.1.7 Foresight 2.0.........................................................................................67
4.2 Types of Future......................................................................................68
4.2.1 Ways of Using the Future......................................................................................69
4.2.2 Future-Generating Research........................................................................................70
4.3 Futures Literacy...................................................................................72
4.4 Toward a Theory of Anticipation?..............................................................................73
References...............................................................................74
5 Anticipation in Philosophy.................................................................................77
5.1 Philosophical Samples....................................................................................78
5.1.1 Henri Bergson....................................................................................78
5.1.2 Edmund Husserl....................................................................................78
5.1.3 George Herbert Mead.................................................................................80
5.1.4 Alfred North Whitehead...........................................................................82
5.1.5 Charles Peirce.................................................................................85
5.1.6 Hans Jonas.....................................................................................86
5.1.7 Martin Heidegger...................................................................................86
5.1.8 Gilles Deleuze.................................................................................87
5.2 Ernst Bloch......................................................................................88
5.3 Nicolai Hartmann................................................................................94
5.4 Ethics..........................................................................95
References...............................................................................98
6 Ontological Sketches......................................................101
6.1 Ontological Preliminaries............................................................................102
6.2 Structural and Functional Analysis................................................................................106
6.3 Wholes and Their Parts...................................................................................110
6.4 Encapsulation...............................................................................116
References.................................................................................118
7 Process, Cause, and Emergence...............................................................................121
7.1 Process...........................................................................121
7.2 Causation......................................................................123
7.2.1 Aristotle s Four Causes...............................................................................126
7.2.2 Organicity and the Autopoietic Cycle..........................................................126
7.2.3 The Newtonian Isolation of Causes..................................................................129
7.3 Emergence and Creativity...............................................................................130
7.4 Levels of Reality..................................................................................131
7.4.1 Towards a Layered Social Ontology................................................................133
7.4.2 Emergence and Latents................................................................................134
7.4.3 Emergents and Values.................................................................................135
7.4.4 Social Innovation...............................................................................136
References.................................................................................137
8 Time and Times....................................................................................... 139
8.1 Time as a Category............................................................... 141
8.2 Real Time....................................................................................... 142
8.2.1 First-Order Level of Time................................................ 142
8.2.2 Second-Order Level of Time........................................... 144
8.2.3 Third-Order Level of Time.............................................. 145
8.3 Thick Present: Psychological Time............................................... 147
8.4 Thick Present: Social Time............................................................ 149
8.4.1 Historical Time................................................................ 150
8.4.2 Natural and Artificial Social Rhythms............................. 151
8.4.3 Culturally-Biased Temporal Patterns............................... 153
8.4.4 Unfolding Social Acceleration......................................... 154
8.4.5 Dimensions of Future Projections................................... 157
8.4.6 Types of Social Time....................................................... 158
References............................................................................. 163
9 Systems................................................................................. 167
9.1 Analysis and Synthesis...............................................................................170
9.2 Systems and Subsystems..............................................................................172
9.2.1 To Understand X, Look at Y!......................................................................................173
9.2.2 Controllers................................................................................174
9.2.3 Models......................................................................................175
9.3 Causes, Complexity and Dynamics.....................................................................................177
9.4 Glimpses of a New Territory................................................................................179
References...............................................................................179
10 Complexity................................................................................181
10.1 Complicated vs. Complex Systems......................................................................................183
10.2 Adequate Models.....................................................................................184
10.3 Natural Complexity..............................................................................187
10.4 Two Principles................................................................................189
References................................................................................191
11 Impredicativity....................................................................193
11.1 A First Glance at Impredicativity...........................................................................194
11.2 Basic Properties of Impredicative Systems........................................................................197
11.3 The Impredicativity of Social Systems....................................................................................199
11.3.1 Systems Over Systems.............................................................................201
11.3.2 Inside and Outside..................................................................................204
11.4 Error............................................................................206
References................................................................................209
12 The Modeling Relation..................................................................................211
12.1 Introductory Aspects....................................................................................211
12.2 Qualities and Observables..................................................................................214
12.3 Sequential and Hierarchical Cycles......................................................................................217
12.3.1 Relational Diagram....................................................................................219
12.3.2 Sequential Cycle.................................................................................220
12.3.3 Hierarchical Cycles.....................................................................................221
12.4 Impredicative, Anticipatory and CLEF Systems......................................................222
References.............................................................................223
13 The Self-Generation of Models...................................................................................225
13.1 The Two Divides...............................................................................226
13.2 Interactivism.............................................................228
13.3 Back and Forth....................................................................................230
13.3.1 Psychological Acts and their Correlates.........................................231
13.3.2 Presentations..........................................................................232
13.3.3 The Challenge of Perception......................................................................................234
13.3.4 Experimental Phenomenology..................................................................................236
References....................................................................................237
14 Applying Anticipation..................................................................................239
14.1 Learning from Samples of One or Fewer............................................................................240
14.2 Anticipation and Organizations...........................................................................241
14.3 Anticipatory Governance...............................................................................243
14.3.1 Why Anticipatory Governance is Needed..............................................244
14.3.2 Auftragstaktik...........................................................................245
14.4 Capabilities..............................................................................247
14.4.1 A Very Brief Introduction to the Capability Approach.... 248
14.4.2 The Capability Approach and the Future.............................................251
14.4.3 Becoming Agents....................................................................................253
14.4.4 Generating and Consuming Futures................................................................254
References.............................................................................254
15 What Next?....................................................................................259
15.1 Understanding Anticipation 1.......................................................................................260
15.1.1 The Present................................................................................261
15.1.2 Visibles.................................................................................262
15.1.3 Latents...................................................................................263
15.2 Understanding Anticipation II........................................................................................264
15.2.1 Implicit Anticipation...............................................................................266
15.2.2 Explicit Anticipation...............................................................................267
15.3 Anticipation and Anticipatory Systems..................................................................................268
15.4 Relational Ontology..................................................................................269
References................................................................................270
Index......................................................................................271
|
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| spelling | Poli, Roberto 1955- Verfasser (DE-588)122873327 aut Introduction to Anticipation Studies Roberto Poli Cham Springer [2017] 1 Online-Ressource (X, 275 p. 16 illus) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Anticipation Science volume 1 Philosophy Ontology Philosophy and social sciences Personality Social psychology Philosophy of the Social Sciences Personality and Social Psychology Philosophie Antizipation (DE-588)4002342-4 gnd rswk-swf Antizipation (DE-588)4002342-4 s 1\p DE-604 Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe 978-3-319-63021-2 (DE-604)BV044679434 Anticipation Science volume 1 (DE-604)BV044491397 1 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-63023-6 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029874892&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Poli, Roberto 1955- Introduction to Anticipation Studies Anticipation Science Philosophy Ontology Philosophy and social sciences Personality Social psychology Philosophy of the Social Sciences Personality and Social Psychology Philosophie Antizipation (DE-588)4002342-4 gnd |
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| title | Introduction to Anticipation Studies |
| title_auth | Introduction to Anticipation Studies |
| title_exact_search | Introduction to Anticipation Studies |
| title_full | Introduction to Anticipation Studies Roberto Poli |
| title_fullStr | Introduction to Anticipation Studies Roberto Poli |
| title_full_unstemmed | Introduction to Anticipation Studies Roberto Poli |
| title_short | Introduction to Anticipation Studies |
| title_sort | introduction to anticipation studies |
| topic | Philosophy Ontology Philosophy and social sciences Personality Social psychology Philosophy of the Social Sciences Personality and Social Psychology Philosophie Antizipation (DE-588)4002342-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Philosophy Ontology Philosophy and social sciences Personality Social psychology Philosophy of the Social Sciences Personality and Social Psychology Philosophie Antizipation |
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