Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence:
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Köln
2016
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | 146 Seiten Diagramme, Karten |
Internformat
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence |c vorgelegt von Dipl.-Volkswirt Jan Vogler |
264 | 1 | |a Köln |c 2016 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | C ONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 CONTRIBUTION AND O U TLIN E
..............................................................................
2
2 SPATIAL AUTOCORRELATION IN LINEAR SPATIAL MODELS 5
2.1 SPATIAL STOCHASTIC PROCESSES
.......................................................................
5
2.1.1 SPATIAL AUTOREGRESSIVE P RO C E S S
........................................................ 5
2.1.2 SPATIAL MOVING AVERAGE P R O C E S S
..................................................... 6
2.1.3 SPATIAL WEIGHT M ATRICES
....................................................................
6
2.1.4 CORRELATION STRUCTURE OF SPATIAL AUTOREGRESSIVE AND MOVING AV
ERAGE P RO C E SSE
S.................................................................................
7
2.2 LINEAR SPATIAL M
ODELS....................................................................................
8
2.3 ESTIMATION OF LINEAR SPATIAL M O D E LS
...........................................................10
2.4 SPARSE MATRIX TECHNIQUES FOR LARGE SA M P LE S
..............................................
15
3 SPATIAL LATENT GAUSSIAN MODELS 20
3.1 SPATIAL PROBIT M ODELS
.......................................................................................
21
3.2 SPATIAL COUNT DATA M O D E LS
..............................................................................
23
3.3 CENSORED DATA
.................................................................................................25
3.4 INFERENCE IN SPATIAL LATENT GAUSSIAN M ODELS
..............................................
25
3.4.1 GENERALIZED METHOD OF MOMENTS AND COMPOSITE MARGINAL LIKE
LIHOOD E STIM A TIO N
.................................................................................
26
3.4.2 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIM A TIO N
........................................................
31
3.4.3 BAYESIAN ESTIMATION OF SPATIAL LATENT GAUSSIAN M
ODELS.....................36
3.5 AUTO-MODELS: AN ALTERNATIVE TO LATENT GAUSSIAN M ODELS
.........................
40
4 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF SPATIAL LATENT GAUSSIAN MODELS 43
4.1 SPATIAL DEPENDENT VARIABLE M O D E
LS................................................................45
4.1.1 BASELINE M O D E L
....................................................................................
45
4.1.2 SPATIAL PROBIT M
ODELS...........................................................................46
4.1.3 SPATIAL COUNT DATA M O D E LS
..................................................................47
4.1.4 CENSORED DATA
.....................................................................................48
4.2 SPATIAL EIS
.......................................................................................................
48
4.2.1 EIS PRINCIPLE
........................................................................................49
4.2.2 SEQUENTIAL EIS
.....................................................................................51
4.2.3 SEQUENTIAL EIS FOR SPATIAL M O D E LS
......................................................53
4.2.4 SPATIAL PROBIT M O D E L
...........................................................................
62
4.2.5 SPATIAL POISSON MODEL
.......................................................................
64
4.2.6 CENSORED DATA
.....................................................................................65
4.3 MONTE CARLO S TU D Y
...........................................................................................65
4.3.1 SPATIAL PROBIT M ODELS
...........................................................................
67
4.3.2 SPATIAL POISSON M O D E
LS........................................................................
68
4.4 EMPIRICAL A
PPLICATIONS.....................................................................................68
4.4.1 SPATIAL PROBIT FOR THE 1996 US PRESIDENTIAL E LE C TIO N
......................
68
4.4.2 SPATIAL COUNT MODEL FOR US FIRMS LOCATION C H O IC E S
...........................
70
4.5 C
ONCLUSIONS.......................................................................................................
71
4.6 TABLES AND F IG U RE S
...........................................................................................
73
5 COMPOSITE MARGINAL LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF SPATIAL LATENT GAUSSIAN
MODELS 79
5.1 SPATIAL DEPENDENT VARIABLE M O D E
LS...............................................................80
5.2 COMPOSITE MARGINAL LIKELIHOOD A P P R O A C H
......................................................82
5.3 COMPUTATIONAL ISSU E
S........................................................................................84
5.4 MONTE CARLO S T U D Y
...........................................................................................84
5.5
CONCLUSION...........................................................................................................87
5.6 T A B LE S
.................................................................................................................88
6 A SPATIO-TEMPORAL PANEL COUNT MODEL FOR ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF
URBAN CRIME 91
6.1 PREDICTORS AND DEPENDENCE IN TIME AND SPACE OF CRIME RA TE S
......................
93
6.1.1 P RE D ICTO
RS..............................................................................................
93
6.1.2 SPATIAL DEPENDENCE
..............................................................................
94
6.1.3 TEMPORAL DEPENDENCE
...........................................................................
95
6.2 D A T A
....................................................................................................................
97
6.2.1 DATA
SOURCES...........................................................................................97
6.2.2 SOME DESCRIPTIVE S TA TIS TIC S
.................................................................. 98
6.3 SPATIO-TEMPORAL PANEL COUNT MODEL FOR C R IM E S
............................................
98
6.3.1 MODEL
SPECIFICATION..............................................................................98
6.3.2 STATIONARITY AND TIME-SPACE SEPARABILITY
.......................................
100
6.3.3 SPATIO-TEMPORAL EFFECTS OF THE COVARIATES
.........................................101
6.4 EIS BASED LIKELIHOOD
INFERENCE......................................................................
103
6.4.1
LIKELIHOOD............................................................................................104
6.4.2 SPATIAL E I S
.........................................................................................105
6.4.3 SMOOTHING AND P RE D ICTIO N
................................................................108
6.5 EMPIRICAL R E S U L T S
............................................................................................110
6.5.1 BASELINE M O D E L
..................................................................................
I L L
6.5.2 RANDOM EFFECTS C O V A RIA TE
S................................................................ 112
6.5.3 FULL M O D E
L............................................................................................113
6.5.4 PREDICTIVE M O D E L
...............................................................................
115
6.6 C
ONCLUSIONS.....................................................................................................
117
6.7 TABLES AND F IG U RE S
.........................................................................................121
7 CONCLUSIONS 131
|
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Vogler, Jan |
author_GND | (DE-588)1017504687 |
author_facet | Vogler, Jan |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Vogler, Jan |
author_variant | j v jv |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV044231670 |
classification_rvk | QC 150 QH 300 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)975271192 (DE-599)HBZHT019219195 |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Thesis Book |
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institution | BVB |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029637311 |
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owner_facet | DE-N2 DE-384 DE-188 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR |
physical | 146 Seiten Diagramme, Karten |
publishDate | 2016 |
publishDateSearch | 2016 |
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spelling | Vogler, Jan Verfasser (DE-588)1017504687 aut Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence vorgelegt von Dipl.-Volkswirt Jan Vogler Köln 2016 146 Seiten Diagramme, Karten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Dissertation Universität zu Köln 2016 Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd rswk-swf Kriminalität (DE-588)4033178-7 gnd rswk-swf Staat (DE-588)4056618-3 gnd rswk-swf Räumliche Statistik (DE-588)4386767-4 gnd rswk-swf Probabilistische Testtheorie (DE-588)4496586-2 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Räumliche Statistik (DE-588)4386767-4 s Staat (DE-588)4056618-3 s Kriminalität (DE-588)4033178-7 s Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 s Probabilistische Testtheorie (DE-588)4496586-2 s DE-604 http://digitool.hbz-nrw.de:1801/webclient/DeliveryManager?pid=7123055&custom_att_2=simple_viewer Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence Inhaltsverzeichnis DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029637311&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Vogler, Jan Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd Kriminalität (DE-588)4033178-7 gnd Staat (DE-588)4056618-3 gnd Räumliche Statistik (DE-588)4386767-4 gnd Probabilistische Testtheorie (DE-588)4496586-2 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4043212-9 (DE-588)4033178-7 (DE-588)4056618-3 (DE-588)4386767-4 (DE-588)4496586-2 (DE-588)4047390-9 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
title | Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence |
title_auth | Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence |
title_exact_search | Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence |
title_full | Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence vorgelegt von Dipl.-Volkswirt Jan Vogler |
title_fullStr | Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence vorgelegt von Dipl.-Volkswirt Jan Vogler |
title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence vorgelegt von Dipl.-Volkswirt Jan Vogler |
title_short | Analysis of latent Gaussian models with spatial dependence |
title_sort | analysis of latent gaussian models with spatial dependence |
topic | Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd Kriminalität (DE-588)4033178-7 gnd Staat (DE-588)4056618-3 gnd Räumliche Statistik (DE-588)4386767-4 gnd Probabilistische Testtheorie (DE-588)4496586-2 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
topic_facet | Ökonometrisches Modell Kriminalität Staat Räumliche Statistik Probabilistische Testtheorie Prognose Hochschulschrift |
url | http://digitool.hbz-nrw.de:1801/webclient/DeliveryManager?pid=7123055&custom_att_2=simple_viewer http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029637311&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT voglerjan analysisoflatentgaussianmodelswithspatialdependence |
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