Estimating crime rates from police reports and victim surveys progressive convergence in time series analyses - Ansari, Sami 1966- (LFB Scholarly Publishing LLC, 2013)
Includes bibliographical references (pages 247-258) and indexes
Machine generated contents note - ch. 1 - Introduction -- - Problem Statement -- - Purpose of the Study -- - Organization of the Study -- - Summary -- - ch. 2 - UCR And NCVS: Historical And Methodological Review -- - Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) -- - Reporting Crime to Police -- - National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) -- - Summary -- - ch. 3 - Conception, Exploration, And Explanation Of Convergence Between The UCR And NCVS: Analytical Framework And Major Hypotheses -- - UCR and NCVS: Why do they Diverge? -- - Convergence between the UCR and NCVS -- - Factors Leading to the Convergence between the UCR and NCVS -- - Research Hypotheses -- - Summary -- - ch. 4 - Data, Measurement, And Analytic Strategy -- - Data -- - Measures -- - Descriptives Statistics -- - Analytic Strategy -- - Summary -- - ch. 5 - Are The UCR And NCVS Converging? -- - Graphic Analysis of Convergence -- - Correlational Analyses of Convergence -- - Convergence Test through Regression of UCR and NCVS -- - Cointegration Analyses of Convergence -- - Convergence Analyses with Adjusted UCR Rates -- - Result Summary and Hypotheses Testing -- - Summary -- - ch. 6 - Modeling Convergence: Investigation Of Factors -- - Assumptions and Data Issues -- - Multivariate Results -- - Result Summary and Hypotheses Testing -- - Summary -- - ch. 7 - Discussion And Conclusions -- - Background and Summary of the Study -- - Discussion and Findings -- - Implications -- - Limitations -- - Future Research Directions -- - Conclusions
Ansari tests and explains the progressive convergence between the UCR and NCVS crime data series using multi method approach and time seriesanalysis. Graphic and correlational analyses support the convergence between the two series for all categories. However, the cointegration test indicates that the series are cointegrated for burglary and are in the process of converging for robbery and violent crime. The results of autoregressive models show that police productivity in terms of crime reporting and the methodological changes in the NCVS in 1992 are significant factors that reduce the diverg