Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation: geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin ; Heidelberg
Springer
2012
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Springer theses
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIII, 139 Seiten Illustrationen |
| ISBN: | 9783642237041 3642237045 |
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| 100 | 1 | |a Jokar Arsanjani, Jamal |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)1036794601 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation |b geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling |c Jamal Jokar Arsanjani |
| 264 | 1 | |a Berlin ; Heidelberg |b Springer |c 2012 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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IMAGE 1
CONTENTS
1 GENERAL INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT 3
1.2.1 RAPID URBAN EXPANSION O F TEHRAN 3
1.2.2 LIMITATIONS OF PREVIOUS APPROACHES 4
1.3 RESEARCH HYPOTHESES 4
1.4 RESEARCH QUESTIONS 5
1.5 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES 5
1.6 RESEARCH APPROACH 6
1.7 ORGANISATION O F THE THESIS 7
REFERENCES 8
2 LITERATURE REVIEW 9
2.1 INTRODUCTION 9
2.2 LAND USE/COVER CHANGE 9
2.3 LAND USE/COVER CHANGE CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES 10
2.3.1 LOSS O F BIODIVERSITY 10
2.3.2 CLIMATE CHANGE 11
2.3.3 POLLUTION 11
2.3.4 OTHER IMPACTS 11
2.4 DRIVING FORCES OF THE LAND USE/COVER CHANGES 11
2.5 LAND USE/COVER CHANGE SIMULATION 12
2.6 LAND USE CHANGE TREND 13
2.7 PREDICTING FUTURE LAND USE PATTERNS 14
2.8 SIMULATING SPRAWL 14
2.9 APPROACHES TO THE LUCC MODELLING 15
2.10 AGENT-BASED MODELLING AND GEOSIMULATION TERMINOLOGY 15 2.10.1
AGENTS AND AGENT-BASED MODELS 16
IX
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1014072808
IMAGE 2
X CONTENTS
2.11 CHARACTERISTICS O F THE GEOSIMULATION MODEL 18
2.11.1 MANAGEMENT OF SPATIAL ENTITIES 18
2.11.2 MANAGEMENT O F SPATIAL RELATIONSHIPS 19
2.11.3 MANAGEMENT OF TIME 19
2.11.4 DIRECT MODELLING 19
2.12 THE BASIC O F GEOSIMULATION FRAMEWORK: AUTOMATA 20
2.13 CELLULAR AUTOMATA VERSUS MULTI-AGENT SYSTEMS 2 0
2.14 GEOGRAPHIC AUTOMATA SYSTEM 21
2.14.1 DEFINITIONS OF GEOGRAPHIC AUTOMATA SYSTEMS 21
2.14.2 GEOGRAPHIC AUTOMATA TYPES 22
2.14.3 GEOGRAPHIC AUTOMATA STATES AND STATE TRANSITION RULES 22
2.14.4 GEOGRAPHIC AUTOMATA SPATIAL MIGRATION RULES 23
2.14.5 GEOGRAPHIC AUTOMATA NEIGHBOURS AND NEIGHBOURHOOD RULES 23
2.14.6 TYPES OF SIMULATION SYSTEMS FOR AGENT-BASED MODELLING 24
2.15 CURRENT SIMULATION SYSTEMS 24
2.15.1 ASCAPE 25
2.15.2 STARLOGO 25
2.15.3 NETLOGO 26
2.15.4 OBEUS 26
2.15.5 AGENTSHEETS 26
2.15.6 ANYLOGIC 27
2.15.7 SWARM 27
2.15.8 MASON 27
2.15.9 NETLOGO 27
2.15.10 REPAST 28
2.15.11 AGENT ANALYST EXTENSION 28
2.16 SELECTION O F ABM IMPLEMENTATION TOOLKIT 29
2.17 DESIGNING A MULTI AGENT SYSTEM 29
2.18 FUZZY DECISION THEORY IN GEOGRAPHICAL ENTITIES 31
2.18.1 FUZZY GEOGRAPHICAL ENTITIES 33
2.18.2 PROCESSING FUZZY GEOGRAPHICAL ENTITIES 34
2.19 THE ANALYTICAL HIERARCHY PROCESS WEIGHTING 35
2.20 MORAN'S AUTOCORRELATION COEFFICIENT ANALYSIS 36
2.21 ACCURACY ASSESSMENT AND UNCERTAINTY IN MAPS COMPARISON. . . 37
2.21.1 CALIBRATION AND VALIDATION 37
2.21.2 TECHNIQUES O F VALIDATION FOR LAND CHANGE MODELS 38
2.22 SUMMARY 4 0
REFERENCES 4 0
IMAGE 3
CONTENTS XI
3 STUDY AREA DESCRIPTION 45
3.1 INTRODUCTION 45
3.2 CASE STUDY DESCRIPTION 45
3.3 GEOGRAPHY 47
3.4 TRANSPORTATION 48
3.5 CLIMATE 4 9
3.6 DEMOGRAPHY 50
3.7 POLLUTION 50
3.8 TEHRAN SPATIAL STRUCTURE 51
3.9 LAND CONSUMPTION PER PERSON 51
3.9.1 SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION O F POPULATION 53
3.9.2 PATTERN OF DAILY TRIPS 54
3.10 ANCILLARY INFORMATION 55
3.11 SUMMARY 56
REFERENCES 57
4 DATA PREPARATION AND PROCESSING 59
4.1 INTRODUCTION 59
4.2 DATA ACQUISITION AND DATA COLLECTION 59
4.3 DATA PROCESSING 6 0
4.4 TEMPORAL LAND USE MAP EXTRACTION THROUGH REMOTE SENSING 60
4.5 TEMPORAL MAPPING AND CHANGES VISUALISATION 61
4.6 EVALUATION O F CHANGE TRENDS 62
4.7 MEASURING CHANGE AND SPRAWL 65
4.8 SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 65
4.9 MEASURING PER CAPITA CONSTRUCTION 67
4.10 ESTIMATION OF CHANGE DEMAND 67
4.11 SUMMARY 68
REFERENCE 68
5 IMPLEMENTATION O F TRADITIONAL TECHNIQUES 69
5.1 INTRODUCTION 69
5.2 SELECTED TECHNIQUES FOR IMPLEMENTATION 69
5.3 CELLULAR AUTOMATA MODEL SCENARIO 7 0
5.3.1 CA TRANSITION RULES 71
5.3.2 TRAINING PROCESS AND CALIBRATION O F THE CA MODEL 72
5.4 THE MARKOV CHAIN MODEL SCENARIO 75
5.4.1 MARKOVIAN PROPERTY TEST 76
5.4.2 EXECUTION O F THE MARKOV CHAIN MODULE 77
IMAGE 4
XII CONTENTS
5.5 CELLULAR AUTOMATA MARKOV SCENARIO 78
5.5.1 EXECUTION OF THE CELLULAR AUTOMATA MARKOV MODEL 79
5.5.2 VALIDATION OF THE CELLULAR AUTOMATA MARKOV MODEL 82
5.6 THE LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL SCENARIO 83
5.6.1 AN OVERVIEW O F THE LOGISTIC REGRESSION TECHNIQUE 84
5.6.2 IMPLEMENTATION O F THE SPATIALLY EXPLICIT LOGISTIC REGRESSION
MODEL 86
5.6.3 CALIBRATION O F THE LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL 89
5.6.4 VALIDATION O F THE LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL 9 2
5.6.5 LAND CHANGE PREDICTION 93
5.7 SUMMARY 93
REFERENCES 94
6 DESIGNING AND IMPLEMENTING MULTI AGENT GEOSIMULATION 95
6.1 INTRODUCTION 95
6.2 ABSTRACT MODEL OF THE ABM 95
6.3 AGENTS CHARACTERISTICS AND BEHAVIOUR 96
6.4 SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION O F THE AGENTS 97
6.5 CLASSIFICATION OF AGENTS 97
6.5.1 RESIDENT AGENTS 97
6.5.2 DEVELOPER AGENTS 101
6.5.3 GOVERNMENT AGENTS 104
6.5.4 THE AGENT COMBINATION PROCESS 107
6.6 SUMMARY 108
REFERENCE 108
7 ANALYSIS O F RESULTS 109
7.1 INTRODUCTION 109
7.2 DATA GATHERING AND MANAGEMENT 109
7.3 SPATIO-TEMPORAL CHANGE MAPPING 110
7.4 ANALYSIS OF SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES 110
7.5 FINDINGS THROUGH THE TRADITIONAL LUCC MODELLING APPROACHES I L L
7.5.1 CELLULAR AUTOMATA SCENARIO RESULTS I L L
7.5.2 VALIDATION O F THE CA APPROACH 112
7.5.3 OUTCOMES O F THE MARKOV CHAIN MODEL 113
7.5.4 THE MARKOV CHAIN MODEL VALIDATION 114
7.5.5 OUTCOMES O F CELLULAR AUTOMATA MARKOV 114
7.5.6 VALIDATION OF THE CELLULAR AUTOMATA MARKOV MODEL 117
IMAGE 5
CONTENTS XIII
7.5.7 OUTCOMES O F THE LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL 117
7.5.8 VALIDATION O F LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL 118
7.6 OUTCOMES O F MULTI-AGENT SIMULATION 119
7.6.1 RESIDENT AGENTS 120
7.6.2 DEVELOPER AGENTS 121
7.6.3 GOVERNMENT AGENTS 122
7.6.4 COMBINATION O F THE AGENTS AND THEIR INTERACTIONS . . . 124 7.7
VALIDATION O F THE SIMULATIONS 124
7.8 COMPARISON O F THE EMPLOYED MODELS 125
7.9 DISCUSSION O F THE OUTCOMES 126
7.10 SUMMARY 128
REFERENCES 130
8 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 131
8.1 GENERAL DISCUSSION 131
8.1.1 STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES O F EACH PARTICULAR MODEL 132
8.1.2 UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS 133
8.1.3 MODEL LIMITATIONS 133
8.1.4 DATA LIMITATIONS 134
8.2 ABM METHOD VERSUS ALTERNATIVES 134
8.3 CONCLUSIONS 134
8.4 DIRECTIONS FOR FUTURE WORKS 138
8.5 LIMITATIONS O F THE PRESENT STUDY 138
8.6 ORIGINAL GUIDELINES IN THE CONTRIBUTIONS O F THE THESIS 138
8.7 SUMMARY 139
REFERENCES 139 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Jokar Arsanjani, Jamal |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1036794601 |
| author_facet | Jokar Arsanjani, Jamal |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Jokar Arsanjani, Jamal |
| author_variant | a j j aj ajj |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV043773469 |
| classification_rvk | RB 10103 RB 10104 RB 10232 RB 10663 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)959575187 (DE-599)DNB1014072808 |
| dewey-full | 333.73130285 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 333 - Economics of land and energy |
| dewey-raw | 333.73130285 |
| dewey-search | 333.73130285 |
| dewey-sort | 3333.73130285 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften Geographie |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Springer theses |
| spelling | Jokar Arsanjani, Jamal Verfasser (DE-588)1036794601 aut Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling Jamal Jokar Arsanjani Berlin ; Heidelberg Springer 2012 XIII, 139 Seiten Illustrationen txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Springer theses Dissertation Wien Nutzungsänderung (DE-588)4042840-0 gnd rswk-swf Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd rswk-swf Bodenbedeckung (DE-588)4341288-9 gnd rswk-swf Geoinformationssystem (DE-588)4261642-6 gnd rswk-swf Mehragentensystem (DE-588)4389058-1 gnd rswk-swf Fernerkundung (DE-588)4016796-3 gnd rswk-swf Landnutzung (DE-588)4259046-2 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Bodenbedeckung (DE-588)4341288-9 s Landnutzung (DE-588)4259046-2 s Nutzungsänderung (DE-588)4042840-0 s Fernerkundung (DE-588)4016796-3 s Geoinformationssystem (DE-588)4261642-6 s Mehragentensystem (DE-588)4389058-1 s Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe Dynamic land use/cover change modelling X:MVB text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3863679&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029184545&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Jokar Arsanjani, Jamal Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling Nutzungsänderung (DE-588)4042840-0 gnd Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd Bodenbedeckung (DE-588)4341288-9 gnd Geoinformationssystem (DE-588)4261642-6 gnd Mehragentensystem (DE-588)4389058-1 gnd Fernerkundung (DE-588)4016796-3 gnd Landnutzung (DE-588)4259046-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4042840-0 (DE-588)4148259-1 (DE-588)4341288-9 (DE-588)4261642-6 (DE-588)4389058-1 (DE-588)4016796-3 (DE-588)4259046-2 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling |
| title_auth | Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling |
| title_exact_search | Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling |
| title_full | Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling Jamal Jokar Arsanjani |
| title_fullStr | Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling Jamal Jokar Arsanjani |
| title_full_unstemmed | Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling Jamal Jokar Arsanjani |
| title_short | Dynamic land-use-cover change simulation |
| title_sort | dynamic land use cover change simulation geosimulation and multi agent based modelling |
| title_sub | geosimulation and multi agent-based modelling |
| topic | Nutzungsänderung (DE-588)4042840-0 gnd Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd Bodenbedeckung (DE-588)4341288-9 gnd Geoinformationssystem (DE-588)4261642-6 gnd Mehragentensystem (DE-588)4389058-1 gnd Fernerkundung (DE-588)4016796-3 gnd Landnutzung (DE-588)4259046-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Nutzungsänderung Computersimulation Bodenbedeckung Geoinformationssystem Mehragentensystem Fernerkundung Landnutzung Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3863679&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029184545&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT jokararsanjanijamal dynamiclandusecoverchangesimulationgeosimulationandmultiagentbasedmodelling |