Probability and evidence:
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Cambridge
Cambridge University Press
2016
|
| Edition: | Cambridge philosophy classics edition |
| Series: | Cambridge philosophy classics
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Klappentext |
| Item Description: | Originally published: New York : Cambridge University Press, 1982. - Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Physical Description: | xi, 136 Seiten |
| ISBN: | 9781107142107 9781316507018 |
Staff View
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Record in the Search Index
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
OS
R
Preface to this edition by colin howson page ix
Preface xi
1 Methodology 1
Introduction 1
Aspects of the scientific method 3
A taste of Bayesianism 10
2 Probability 15
The primitive theory 15
Subjectivism 18
The rationalist interpretation 30
The logical interpretation 34
The evidential state 36
The empirical interpretation 40
3 Confirmation 48
Explications 48
The paradox 50
A Bayesian pseudo-solution to the problem of induction 59
Projection 65
4 Induction 68
(A) The nature of inductive inference 69
(B) Conditions of rationality 75
Demonstrable reliability 75
The demonstrable reliability of cf 77
Immodesty 81
Audacity 83
(C) The justification of induction 84
The impossibility of a noncircular rationale 85
Inductive demonstration of reliability 86
Semantic justification 90
5 Prediction 93
Surprise 93
vii
vm
Severe tests 97
Ad hoc hypothesis 98
Prediction versus accommodation 101
6 Evidence 110
The evidential value of varied data 110
The value of further data 113
7 Realism 121
Popper 121
Realism versus instrumentalism 124
Putnam 127
Glymour 129
Conclusion 131
Bibliography 133
Index 135
CAMBRIDGE PHILOSOPHY CLASSICS
I Probability and Evidence
I In this influential study of central Issues in the philosophy of
science, Paul Horwich elaborates on an important conception of
probability, diagnosing the failure of previous attempts to resolve
these issues as stemming from a too-rigid conception of belief.
Adopting a Bayesian strategy, he argues for a probabilistic
approach, yielding a more complete understanding of the char-
acteristics of scientific reasoning and methodology. Presented in
a fresh twenty-first century series livery, and including a specially
commissioned preface written by Colin Howson, illuminating its
enduring importance and relevance to philosophical enquiry, this
J engaging work has been revived for a new generation of readers.
ikis book is About scientific kno^leM^e, pArticulArlij
tke concept of euUence. Its purpose is to explore
scientific wetko^olo^ in li^kt of tke obuious ^et
fre^uentU) ne^lectei fAct tkAt belief is not An
All-or-notkin^ wAtter, but is susceptible to uAr^in^
¿terrees of intensity.’
ISBN 978-1-316-50701-8
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Horwich, Paul |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1012483894 |
| author_facet | Horwich, Paul |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Horwich, Paul |
| author_variant | p h ph |
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| bvnumber | BV043722612 |
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| callnumber-subject | Q - General Science |
| classification_rvk | TB 6200 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)974997264 (DE-599)BVBBV043722612 |
| dewey-full | 501 |
| dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
| dewey-ones | 501 - Philosophy and theory |
| dewey-raw | 501 |
| dewey-search | 501 |
| dewey-sort | 3501 |
| dewey-tens | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
| discipline | Allgemeine Naturwissenschaft |
| edition | Cambridge philosophy classics edition |
| format | Book |
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| physical | xi, 136 Seiten |
| publishDate | 2016 |
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| series2 | Cambridge philosophy classics |
| spelling | Horwich, Paul Verfasser (DE-588)1012483894 aut Probability and evidence Paul Horwich Cambridge philosophy classics edition Cambridge Cambridge University Press 2016 xi, 136 Seiten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Cambridge philosophy classics Originally published: New York : Cambridge University Press, 1982. - Includes bibliographical references and index Naturwissenschaft Philosophie Science Philosophy Probabilities Evidence Evidenz (DE-588)4129356-3 gnd rswk-swf Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd rswk-swf Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd rswk-swf Gewissheit (DE-588)4129355-1 gnd rswk-swf Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 gnd rswk-swf Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd rswk-swf Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 s Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 s Gewissheit (DE-588)4129355-1 s 1\p DE-604 Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 s 2\p DE-604 Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 s Evidenz (DE-588)4129356-3 s 3\p DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Bayreuth - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029134657&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung UB Bayreuth - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029134657&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 3\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Horwich, Paul Probability and evidence Naturwissenschaft Philosophie Science Philosophy Probabilities Evidence Evidenz (DE-588)4129356-3 gnd Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd Gewissheit (DE-588)4129355-1 gnd Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd |
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| title | Probability and evidence |
| title_auth | Probability and evidence |
| title_exact_search | Probability and evidence |
| title_full | Probability and evidence Paul Horwich |
| title_fullStr | Probability and evidence Paul Horwich |
| title_full_unstemmed | Probability and evidence Paul Horwich |
| title_short | Probability and evidence |
| title_sort | probability and evidence |
| topic | Naturwissenschaft Philosophie Science Philosophy Probabilities Evidence Evidenz (DE-588)4129356-3 gnd Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd Gewissheit (DE-588)4129355-1 gnd Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie (DE-588)4079013-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Naturwissenschaft Philosophie Science Philosophy Probabilities Evidence Evidenz Wahrscheinlichkeit Gewissheit Wissenschaft Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie |
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