Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija: ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | Bulgarian |
Veröffentlicht: |
Veliko Tărnovo
Universitetsko izdatelstvo "Sv. sv. Kiril i Metodij"
2016
|
Ausgabe: | Părvo izdanie |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Abstract |
Beschreibung: | Englische Zusammenfassung |
Beschreibung: | 324 Seiten Diagramme |
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246 | 1 | 1 | |a The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present |
250 | |a Părvo izdanie | ||
264 | 1 | |a Veliko Tărnovo |b Universitetsko izdatelstvo "Sv. sv. Kiril i Metodij" |c 2016 | |
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CtfllPaCAHHE
CnHCBK HA TAEJIHHHTE H 0 HryPHTE.11
nPE^nroBOP.21
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1. H3TOHHHIJH 3A EPOÜ, CTCTABA H
ßBEDKEHHETO HA HACEJIEHHETO.32
1.1. H3TOHHH1ÍH OTnpeAH CXaXHCXHHeCKHÜ nepHOA.32
1.2. H3TOHHH1JH OT cxaxHcxHnecKHa nepHOA.36
1.2.1. üpedponeanuH na nacenenuemo u
otcwiuuiHUH (pond.37
1.2.2. CucmeMU 3a meicyuja peeucmpaifun na
deMospcKpCKume Cböumun.39
1.2.3. JPpyeu mmoHHUifU na dannu 3a nacenenuemo
u deMospaepCKume npoijecu (peeucmpu, auKemu,
otfeuKu u dp.).40
2. H3MEHEHHÜ B EPOÜ HA HACEJIEHHETO.42
2.1. PacTe^cbT na HacejieHHexo ot npancxopHHxa ao
cx3AaßaHexo Ha nxpßaxa öxjirapcKa ¿rbpacaßa
Ha BajiKaHCKHÄ nojiyocxpOB.43
2.2. Pacxem x Ha HacejieHHexo b CpeAHOBeKOBHa
ExjirapHA (VII — XIV Beic).50
2.2.1. M3ßopu 3a onpedennne na 6pox na
nacenenuemo.51
2.2.2. OtfenKu 3a öpon na uaceneuuemo.53
2.2.3. Hhkou ajimepnamueuu juemodu 3a
otçeuKa ua Hacenenuemo.70
2.2.4. Upednootcenue 3a opon na nacenenuemo
na cpednoeeKoena E^mapun e c'bepeMennu epanuiju . 80
2.3. Pacxe^cbx Ha HacejieHHexo no 6uirapcKHxe 3eMH
b cBcxaßa Ha OcMaHCKaxa HMnepna.82
5
2.3.1. Tlocneduifu om ocMcmcKomo 3aenadReane
evpxy 6pon ua uacenenuemo.82
2.3.2. ffauuu 3a 6pon na uacenenuemo.91
2.3.3. OifeHKU 3ü öpoH na uacenenuemo.93
2.3.4. OifeuKU 3a öpon u c'bcmaea na uacenenuemo
no npeöponeauunma npe3 XIXeeK.108
2.3.5. OifeHKU 3a enmunecKun cbcmae na
uacenenuemo. 116
2.3.6. Hhkou U36odu. 121
2.4. PacTOicbT Ha HacejieHHeTO cjiejj BT 3CTaHOB5iBaHeTo
Ha GKJirapcKara Æ’bp^KaBa (1878 — 1944). 122
2.4.1. ffauuu 3a uacenenuemo. 127
2.4.2. Auanu3u na uacenenuemo. 129
2.4.3. Epoü na uacenenuemo u KOMnoueumu
na ueeoeuR npupacm.130
2.5. PacTe Kï T Ha HacejieHHeTO npe3
nepnojja 1944 — 1990 r.145
2.5.1. ffauuu 3a uacenenuemo. 150
2.5.2. Auanusu na uacenenuemo.150
2.5.3. Epoü na uacenenuemo u KOMnoueumu
na neeoeuH npupacm. 150
2.6. PacTOKBT Ha HacejieHHeTO cjie# 1990 r.153
2.6.1.1Jauuu 3a uacenenuemo. 154
2.6.2. Auanu3u ua uacenenuemo. 154
2.6.3. Epoü ua uacenenuemo u KOMnoueumu
na ueeoeuH npupacm. 154
2.7. riepcneKTHBH Ha pacTOKa Ha HacejieHHeTO
b E^jirapra.156
3. HÜKOH H3MEHEHHJT B CECTABA HA
HACEJIEHHETO.170
3.1. ETHHHecKa npHHa;yie KHOCT Ha HacejieHHeTO.170
3.1.1. C-bepeMenuo cbcmoRuue. 170
3.1.2. EmnunecKU deipopMatfuu ua naceneHuemo
npe3 eeKoeeme. 192
6
3.2. E3HKOB crbcxaB Ha HacejieHHeTO.218
3.3. CbCTaB Ha HacejieHHeTo no BepoH3noBe^aHne.219
3.4. MecTopo^aeHHe h rpaacAaHCTBo/noAaHCTBo
Ha HacejieHHeTo.220
3.4.1. Tepumopuaneu npou3xod ua Jiutfama c
MecmopocHcdeuue u36ï h E-bmapiw.225
3.4.2, ^íyotcdu epaofcdanu/nodanuiju.239
4. HÜKOH H3MEHEHH5I B £BH KEHHETO HA
HACEJIEHHETO. 241
4.1. EcTecTBeHo ABHaceHHe Ha HacejieHHeTo.241
4.1.1. Ecmecmeeuo deuotceuue ua uacenenuemo
no emuocu.242
4.1.2. Tljiodoeumocm na otceuume no ocnoeuu
emuocu.252
4.2. CpeAHa npoAB.rDKHTejiHOCT Ha npeACTOüinHii khbot . 269
3AKJHOHEHHE.284
BJIArO^APHOCTH H nOCBEIUEHHS.285
JIHTEPATYPA.292
nPHJIOJKEHHJÏ.306
PE3K3ME HA AHEJIHHCKH E3HK.322
7
THE GROWTH OF POPULATION IN BULGARIA:
FROM DAWN OF HISTORY TO THE PRESENT
SUMMARY
Bulgaria enters in demographic crisis during the last twenty years.
The crisis may transform in demographic catastrophe. What decisions
have to take Bulgarian government and Bulgarian society to stop negative
processes? Demographic policy has to base on trends of the demographic
processes in the past. What are these trends?
The researcher needs any adequate data of the population size and its
changes during the so long time. This time may by divided in two parts -
sources of information before the statistical period and sources of data
from the statistical period.
Bulgarian lands are inhabited since ancient times. The information of
population size is based on archeological investigations, ancient authors’
messages, analogies from present days, contemporary authors’ researches,
etc. The results are followings (contemporary borders -111 000 km sq.).
The size of population is (in thousands): 6000 BC -120,5000 BC - 200,
500 BC - 700, 1 AD - 1 000, 100 AD - 1 100, 200 AD - 1 200, 300 AD -
800, 400 AD - 500, 500 AD - 600.
The information of population size in Medieval Bulgaria (VT1-XIV c.)
is based on similar sources, inventories of households, etc. The results
are followings (contemporary borders -111 000 km sq.). The population
by years (AD) is (in thousands): 600 - 800, 650 - 850, 700 - 1 000, 750 -
1 100, 800 - 1 140, 850 - 1 220, 900 - 1 315, 950 -1 370, 1000-1 450,
1050- 1 550, 1100- 1 640, 1150- 1 790, 1200- 1 870, 1250- 1 970,
1300-2 090, 1350-2 230, 1400-1 670,1450-1 150. The population
in actual borders by years is: 800-2-2.7 millions (200 000 km sq. area),
900-4millions(340 OOOkmsq.), 1300-2.3 millions(125 OOOkmsq.).
The information of population size in Bulgarian lands under Otto-
man Empire rule (XV - XIX c.) is based on similar sources, inventories
of households, censuses of population (sins 1831), etc. The number of
population decreases twice after Ottoman invasion during XIV century
(more than 1 mill.). The structure of population by religious and ethnic
backgrounds is changed, too. The number of population by years is folio-
322
wing (in thousands): 1500-1 179,1550-1 386,1600-1 631,1650-1 990,
1700-2 257,1750-2 463,1800-2 745,1850-2 984,1875-3 402.Non-
Muslims are 60 % and Muslims - 40 % of total population in 1875.
The data of population and its structures after restoration of indep-
endent Bulgarian state (1878) usually are based on population censuses
and registration of the demographic events. The territory of Bulgaria is
variable from 1878 to 1944. The size of population increases from 2 852
600 to 7 029 349 during the period 1880-1946. The total absolute growth
is 4 176 741. The natural growth is 4 184 741 and mechanical is negative
(-7 992). Its components are: territorial changes - 290 234 and net mig-
ration negative growth (-298 226). Direct military losses are about 200
thousands and indirect - more than 400 thousands, or total - 600 thou-
sands.
The size of population increases from 7 029 349 to 8487317 duri-
ng the period 1946-1992. The total absolute growth is 1 457 968. The
natural growth is 2 362 290 and net migration negative growth is (-904
322).
The size of population decreases from 8 487 317 to 7 364 570 du-
ring the period 1992-2011. The total absolute growth is negative (-1 122
747). The natural growth is negative (-725 611) and net migration, too (-
397 136). The part of natural growth is 65 % and net migration - 35 %.
The size of population increases from 2 852 600 to 7 364 570 du-
ring the period 1880-2011. The total growth is 4 511 970. The natural
growth is 5 821 420. Its components are: births - 17 650 136 and deaths
- 11 828 716. Mechanical growth is negative (-1 309 450). Its components
are: territorial changes - 290 234 and negative net migration (-1 599 684).
Negative net migration growth is realized during the periods: 1) 1881-
1946- 18.7 %, 2) 1947-1992-56.7 % and 3) 1993-2011 -24.6 %.
National ststistical institute (NSI) periodically makes forecasts of
the population size. The last forecast is made in 2015. It has got three
variants. The last year of forecast is 2070. The number of forecasting
population is (in thousands): variant I - 5 132; variant II- 5 500; variant
III-4 939.
The basic ethnic groups in Bulgaria are three: Bulgarian, Turkish
and Roma (Gipsy). The ethnic data is collected by censuses of population
from 1900 to 2011 (excluding 1985). The trends are following: 1) the proportion
323
of Bulgarian ethnic group usually increases (from 77 % to 85-88 %); 2)
the proportion of Turkish ethnic group usually decreases (from 14 % to 8-
9 %); 3) the proportion of Roma ethnic group is variable (2-5 %). The data by
census 2011 is defective, because many persons have not responded of
questions about ethnic, language and religious background (resp. 9.3 %,
9.8 %, 21.8%). The “real” ethnic composition is: Bulgarian ethnic group-
82.75 %, Turkish - 9.57 %, Roma - 5.53 %. Probably, the proportion of
Bulgarian ethnic group will decrease to 70 % in 2070, Turkish will by 9-10
%, and Roma will increase to 20 %.
All censuses in Bulgaria from 1880 to 1946 register a place of
birth and citizenship/nationality of the persons. This question is restored
again in 2001 and 2011. The proportion of people bom abroad dos not
outmatch 5-6 % and with foreign citizenship/nationality - 1.5 %. The
majority of people bom abroad to 1946 come from neighbor ethnic Bul-
garian areas - Macedonia, Thrace, South Dobroudja, Old West Bulgaria,
etc. They usually have got Bulgarian ethnicity.
The natural growth of population is discussed, too. That is made
by ethnic groups. The data is collected by Bulgarian state statistics from
1956 to 1974. They never have been published before. The birth rate,
death rate, natural growth rate, and infant mortality rate by ethnicity have
been discussed, too. The data has got any defects after 1965.
The women fertility (15-49 ages) by ethnic groups is discussed,
too. The data is taken from censuses in 1965, 2001 and 2011. Bulgarian
ethnic group has got a smallest fertility rate, Roma ethnic group - biggest,
and Turkish - among them.
A life expectancy by ethnic groups is discussed, too. Life tables of
mortality are built for 2001. The demographic method, demographic met-
hod with correction, and W. Brass method are applied. Bulgarian ethnic
group has got a biggest life expectancy, Roma ethnic group - smallest, and
Turkish - among them.
Some more detailed data can find in Appendix and tables among text.
324 |
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author | Arkadiev, Dimităr Petrov 1950- |
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author_facet | Arkadiev, Dimităr Petrov 1950- |
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building | Verbundindex |
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edition | Părvo izdanie |
era | Geschichte gnd |
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geographic | Bulgarien (DE-588)4008866-2 gnd |
geographic_facet | Bulgarien |
id | DE-604.BV043564129 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-08-10T01:11:35Z |
institution | BVB |
language | Bulgarian |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028979156 |
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physical | 324 Seiten Diagramme |
publishDate | 2016 |
publishDateSearch | 2016 |
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publisher | Universitetsko izdatelstvo "Sv. sv. Kiril i Metodij" |
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spelling | Arkadiev, Dimităr Petrov 1950- Verfasser (DE-588)1020451521 aut Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present Dimităr Petrov Arkadiev The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present Părvo izdanie Veliko Tărnovo Universitetsko izdatelstvo "Sv. sv. Kiril i Metodij" 2016 324 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Englische Zusammenfassung Text bulgarisch Kyrillische Schrift Geschichte gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf Bulgarien (DE-588)4008866-2 gnd rswk-swf Bulgarien (DE-588)4008866-2 g Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s Geschichte z DE-604 Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen 19 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028979156&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen 19 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028979156&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Abstract |
spellingShingle | Arkadiev, Dimităr Petrov 1950- Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)4008866-2 |
title | Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present |
title_alt | The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present |
title_auth | Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present |
title_exact_search | Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present |
title_full | Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present Dimităr Petrov Arkadiev |
title_fullStr | Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present Dimităr Petrov Arkadiev |
title_full_unstemmed | Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present Dimităr Petrov Arkadiev |
title_short | Rastežăt na naselenieto v Bălgarija |
title_sort | rastezat na naselenieto v balgarija ot zorata na istorijata dosega the growth of population in bulgaria from dawn of history to the present |
title_sub | ot zorata na istorijata dosega = The growth of population in Bulgaria: from dawn of history to the present |
topic | Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd |
topic_facet | Bevölkerungsentwicklung Bulgarien |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028979156&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028979156&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT arkadievdimitarpetrov rastezatnanaselenietovbalgarijaotzoratanaistorijatadosegathegrowthofpopulationinbulgariafromdawnofhistorytothepresent AT arkadievdimitarpetrov thegrowthofpopulationinbulgariafromdawnofhistorytothepresent |