Superintelligence: paths, dangers, strategies
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford
Oxford University Press
2016
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Auf dem Umschlag: New afterword |
| Beschreibung: | xvi, 415 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9780198739838 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804176211500335104 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | XV
Lists of Figures, Tables, and Boxes
1. Past developments and present capabilities 1
Growth modes and big history 1
Great expectations 4
Seasons of hope and despair 6
State of the art 14
Opinions about the future of machine intelligence 22
2. Paths to superintelligence 26
Artificial intelligence 27
Whole brain emulation 35
Biological cognition 43
Brain-computer interfaces 54
Networks and organizations 58
Summary 61
3. Forms of superintelligence 63
Speed super intelligence 64
Collective superintelligence 65
Quality superintelligence 68
Direct and indirect reach 70
Sources of advantage for digital intelligence 71
4. The kinetics of an intelligence explosion 75
Timing and speed of the takeoff 75
Recalcitrance 80
Non-machine intelligence paths 80
Emulation and AIpaths 82
Optimization power and explosivity 89
5. Decisive strategic advantage 95
Will the frontrunner get a decisive strategic advantage? 96
CONTENTS I Xi
How large will the successful project be? 101
Monitoring 102
International collaboration 104
From decisive strategic advantage to singleton 106
6. Cognitive superpowers 110
Functionalities and superpowers 111
An Aí takeover scenario 115
Power over nature and agents 120
7. The superintelligent will 127
The relation between intelligence and motivation 127
Instrumental convergence 131
Self-preservation 132
Goal-content integrity 132
Cognitive enhancement 134
Technological perfection 136
Resource acquisition 137
8. Is the default outcome doom? 140
Existential catastrophe as the default outcome of an intelligence
explosion? 140
The treacherous turn 142
Malignant failure modes 146
Perverse instantiation 146
Infrastructure profusion 149
Minderime 153
9. The control problem 155
Two agency problems 155
Capability control methods 157
Boxing methods 158
Incentive methods 160
Stunting 163
Tripwires 167
Motivation selection methods 169
Direct specification 169
Domesticity 172
Indirect normativity 173
Augmentation 173
Synopsis 175
xif I CONTENTS
10. Oracles, genies, sovereigns, tools 177
Oracles 177
Genies and sovereigns 181
Tool-AIs 184
Comparison 190
11. Multipolar scenarios 194
Of horses and men 195
Wages and unemployment 195
Capital and welfare 197
The Malthusian principle in a historical perspective 199
Population growth and investment 201
Life in an algorithmic economy 203
Voluntary slavery casual death 204
Would maximally efficient work he fun? 207
Unconscious outsourcers? 210
Evolution is not necessarily up 212
Post-transition formation of a singleton? 216
A second transition 216
Superorganisms and scale economies 218
Unification by treaty 220
12. Acquiring values 226
The value-loading problem 226
Evolutionary selection 229
Reinforcement learning 230
Associative value accretion 231
Motivational scaffolding 233
Value learning 235
Emulation modulation 246
Institution design 247
Synopsis 253
13. Choosing the criteria for choosing 256
The need for indirect normativity 256
Coherent extrapolated volition 259
Some explications 260
Rationales for CEV 262
Further remarks 264
Morality models 266
Do What I Mean 270
CONTENTS | xiii
Component list 271
Goal content 272
Decision theory 274
Ep is te mology 275
Ratification 277
Getting close enough 278
14. The strategic picture 280
Science and technology strategy 281
Differential technological development 281
Preferred order of arrival 283
Rates of change and cognitive enhancement 286
Technology couplings 291
Second-guessing 293
Pathways and enablers 295
Effec ts of hardware progress 295
Should whole brain emidation research be promoted? 297
The person-affecting perspective favors speed 302
Collaboration 303
The race dynamic and its perils 303
On the benefits of collaboration 306
Working together 311
15. Crunch time 314
Philosophy with a deadline 314
What is to be done? 315
Seeking the strategic light 317
Building good capacity 317
Particular measures 318
Will the best in human nature please stand up 319
Afterword 321
Notes 325
Bibliography 383
Partial Glossary 407
Index 411
XIV
CONTENTS
|
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| isbn | 9780198739838 |
| language | English |
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| physical | xvi, 415 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2016 |
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| spelling | Bostrom, Nick 1973- Verfasser (DE-588)135992451 aut Superintelligence paths, dangers, strategies Nick Bostrom Oxford Oxford University Press 2016 xvi, 415 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Auf dem Umschlag: New afterword Künstliche Intelligenz (DE-588)4033447-8 gnd rswk-swf Kontrolle (DE-588)4032312-2 gnd rswk-swf Künstliche Intelligenz (DE-588)4033447-8 s Kontrolle (DE-588)4032312-2 s b DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Passau - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028964182&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Bostrom, Nick 1973- Superintelligence paths, dangers, strategies Künstliche Intelligenz (DE-588)4033447-8 gnd Kontrolle (DE-588)4032312-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4033447-8 (DE-588)4032312-2 |
| title | Superintelligence paths, dangers, strategies |
| title_auth | Superintelligence paths, dangers, strategies |
| title_exact_search | Superintelligence paths, dangers, strategies |
| title_full | Superintelligence paths, dangers, strategies Nick Bostrom |
| title_fullStr | Superintelligence paths, dangers, strategies Nick Bostrom |
| title_full_unstemmed | Superintelligence paths, dangers, strategies Nick Bostrom |
| title_short | Superintelligence |
| title_sort | superintelligence paths dangers strategies |
| title_sub | paths, dangers, strategies |
| topic | Künstliche Intelligenz (DE-588)4033447-8 gnd Kontrolle (DE-588)4032312-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Künstliche Intelligenz Kontrolle |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028964182&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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