Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership: beliefs, motivations and perceptions
"This book offers a novel approach to understanding the puzzle of nuclear proliferation by examining how leaders' beliefs and perceptions about the international system influence states' decisions to acquire nuclear weapons. Today, there is a persisting dilemma over the spread of nucl...
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
London [u.a.]
Routledge
2015
|
Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
Schriftenreihe: | Routledge global security studies
|
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Zusammenfassung: | "This book offers a novel approach to understanding the puzzle of nuclear proliferation by examining how leaders' beliefs and perceptions about the international system influence states' decisions to acquire nuclear weapons. Today, there is a persisting dilemma over the spread of nuclear weapons for both practitioners and scholars of international affairs. Uncertainty remains whether determined proliferators can be stopped, as shown by the cases of North Korea and Iran. These instances of proliferation raise questions about regional stability, the potential use of pre-emptive military action, and the potential for reactive-proliferation by neighbouring countries. Despite the serious implications surrounding the spread of these weapons, proliferation scholarship has thus far failed to solve what has been described as the "proliferation puzzle"- why do some countries choose nuclear weapons while others do not? The author argues that understanding basic psychological motivations, such as the quest for power or fear of another country, provide answers about a leader's willingness to proliferate. Proliferation willingness is a critical, yet frequently overlooked, part of the proliferation equation. Ultimately, it is the combination of willingness and proliferation opportunity (i.e. technical and scientific capabilities) that determines whether a country 'goes nuclear'. By examining several historical instances of proliferation decision-making...in South Africa, India, Libya and Australia...the book's findings highlight the fundamental role of leaders' beliefs in shaping proliferation outcomes. This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear proliferation, political psychology, security studies and IR in general".. |
Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
Beschreibung: | XIII, 235 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 9780415855525 |
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650 | 7 | |a POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Arms Control |2 bisacsh | |
650 | 7 | |a POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security |2 bisacsh | |
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650 | 4 | |a Political leadership |x Psychological aspects | |
650 | 4 | |a International relations |x Psychological aspects | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
_version_ | 1804152619004854272 |
---|---|
adam_text | CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES VIII
LIST OF TABLES IX
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS X
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS XII
1 THE PERSISTING PROLIFERATION DILEMMA 1
2 ANALYZING NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION DECISIONS 29
3 SOUTH AFRICA: THE APARTHEID BOMB 65
4 INDIA: CROSSING THE LAKSHMANA REKHA 108
5 AUSTRALIA: WALTZING WITH ATOMIC MATILDA 144
6 LIBYA: A ROGUE REDEEMED? 175
7 CONCLUSIONS: PERCEPTIONS ON PROLIFERATION 209
INDEX 229
FIGURES
1.1 HISTORICAL PROLIFERATION TREND 5
1.2 NUMBER OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS ACTIVITIES STATES, NUCLEAR
WEAPON STATES, AND TOTAL NUMBER OF STATES 9
2.1 SLIDING SCALE OF INFLUENCE OF DECISION-MAKERS BELIEFS 33
2.2 REVISED HOLSTI TYPOLOGY MATRIX 39
2.3 FIDEL CASTRO S PERCEPTIONS OF SELF AND OTHER 44
2.4 TIP PREDICTED TACTICS AND STRATEGIES 47
2.5 TIP STRATEGIC INTERACTIONS 48
2-6 EXAMPLE OF A SUBJECTIVE GAME 50
3.1 SOUTH AFRICAN LEADERS PERCEPTIONS OF SELF AND OTHER 95
3.2 VORSTER S PSC AND SUBJECTIVE GAME 98
3.3 DE KLERK S PSC AND SUBJECTIVE GAME 101
4.1 INDIAN LEADERS PERCEPTIONS OF SELF AND OTHER 132
4.2 GANDHI S PSC AND SUBJECTIVE GAME 134
4.3 VAJPAYEE S PSC AND SUBJECTIVE GAME 138
5.1 GORTON S PERCEPTIONS OF SELF AND OTHER 169
5.2 GORTON S PSC AND SUBJECTIVE GAME 171
6.1 QADDAFI S PERCEPTIONS OF SELF AND OTHER 192
6.2 QADDAFI S PSC AND SUBJECTIVE GAME 194
6.3 QADDAFI S PERCEPTION OF SELF AND OTHER, 1980-2005 203
7.1 LEADERS PERCEPTIONS OF SELF AND OTHER 212
TABLES
2.1 GEORGE S TEN QUESTIONS ABOUT OPERATIONAL CODE BELIEFS 38
2.2 OPERATIONAL CODE INDICES 40
2.3 CASTRO S OPERATIONAL CODE 43
2.4 A THEORY OF INFERENCES ABOUT PREFERENCES (TIP) 46
2.5 EXPECTATIONS FOR STRATEGIC INTERACTIONS USING TIP AND
TOM 54
3.1 SOUTH AFRICAN LEADERS OPERATIONAL CODES 93
4.1 INDIAN LEADERS OPERATIONAL CODES 131
5.1 GORTON S OPERATIONAL CODE 168
6.1 QADDAFI S OPERATIONAL CODE 191
6.2 QADDAFI S OPERATIONAL CODES, 1980-2005 199
7.1 PROLIFERATION OPPORTUNITY AND WILLINGNESS 217
|
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | O'Reilly, K. P. |
author_GND | (DE-588)1062724593 |
author_facet | O'Reilly, K. P. |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | O'Reilly, K. P. |
author_variant | k p o kp kpo |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV042136516 |
callnumber-first | J - Political Science |
callnumber-label | JZ5675 |
callnumber-raw | JZ5675 |
callnumber-search | JZ5675 |
callnumber-sort | JZ 45675 |
callnumber-subject | JZ - International Relations |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)894767310 (DE-599)BVBBV042136516 |
dewey-full | 327.1/747 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 327 - International relations |
dewey-raw | 327.1/747 |
dewey-search | 327.1/747 |
dewey-sort | 3327.1 3747 |
dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
discipline | Politologie |
edition | 1. publ. |
format | Book |
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illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-10T01:13:35Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 9780415855525 |
language | English |
lccn | 014014843 |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-027576577 |
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physical | XIII, 235 S. graph. Darst. |
publishDate | 2015 |
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spelling | O'Reilly, K. P. Verfasser (DE-588)1062724593 aut Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs, motivations and perceptions K. P. O'Reilly 1. publ. London [u.a.] Routledge 2015 XIII, 235 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Routledge global security studies Includes bibliographical references and index "This book offers a novel approach to understanding the puzzle of nuclear proliferation by examining how leaders' beliefs and perceptions about the international system influence states' decisions to acquire nuclear weapons. Today, there is a persisting dilemma over the spread of nuclear weapons for both practitioners and scholars of international affairs. Uncertainty remains whether determined proliferators can be stopped, as shown by the cases of North Korea and Iran. These instances of proliferation raise questions about regional stability, the potential use of pre-emptive military action, and the potential for reactive-proliferation by neighbouring countries. Despite the serious implications surrounding the spread of these weapons, proliferation scholarship has thus far failed to solve what has been described as the "proliferation puzzle"- why do some countries choose nuclear weapons while others do not? The author argues that understanding basic psychological motivations, such as the quest for power or fear of another country, provide answers about a leader's willingness to proliferate. Proliferation willingness is a critical, yet frequently overlooked, part of the proliferation equation. Ultimately, it is the combination of willingness and proliferation opportunity (i.e. technical and scientific capabilities) that determines whether a country 'goes nuclear'. By examining several historical instances of proliferation decision-making...in South Africa, India, Libya and Australia...the book's findings highlight the fundamental role of leaders' beliefs in shaping proliferation outcomes. This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear proliferation, political psychology, security studies and IR in general".. POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Arms Control bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General bisacsh Internationale Politik Politik Psychologie Nuclear nonproliferation Government policy Political leadership Psychological aspects International relations Psychological aspects POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Arms Control POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General Politische Psychologie (DE-588)4175034-2 gnd rswk-swf Kernwaffe (DE-588)4003434-3 gnd rswk-swf Politische Entscheidung (DE-588)4046531-7 gnd rswk-swf Politische Führung (DE-588)4115584-1 gnd rswk-swf Proliferation Militär (DE-588)4309759-5 gnd rswk-swf Kernwaffe (DE-588)4003434-3 s Proliferation Militär (DE-588)4309759-5 s Politische Führung (DE-588)4115584-1 s Politische Psychologie (DE-588)4175034-2 s Politische Entscheidung (DE-588)4046531-7 s DE-604 SWB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027576577&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | O'Reilly, K. P. Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs, motivations and perceptions POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Arms Control bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General bisacsh Internationale Politik Politik Psychologie Nuclear nonproliferation Government policy Political leadership Psychological aspects International relations Psychological aspects POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Arms Control POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General Politische Psychologie (DE-588)4175034-2 gnd Kernwaffe (DE-588)4003434-3 gnd Politische Entscheidung (DE-588)4046531-7 gnd Politische Führung (DE-588)4115584-1 gnd Proliferation Militär (DE-588)4309759-5 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4175034-2 (DE-588)4003434-3 (DE-588)4046531-7 (DE-588)4115584-1 (DE-588)4309759-5 |
title | Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs, motivations and perceptions |
title_auth | Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs, motivations and perceptions |
title_exact_search | Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs, motivations and perceptions |
title_full | Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs, motivations and perceptions K. P. O'Reilly |
title_fullStr | Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs, motivations and perceptions K. P. O'Reilly |
title_full_unstemmed | Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs, motivations and perceptions K. P. O'Reilly |
title_short | Nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership |
title_sort | nuclear proliferation and the psychology of political leadership beliefs motivations and perceptions |
title_sub | beliefs, motivations and perceptions |
topic | POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Arms Control bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General bisacsh Internationale Politik Politik Psychologie Nuclear nonproliferation Government policy Political leadership Psychological aspects International relations Psychological aspects POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Arms Control POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General Politische Psychologie (DE-588)4175034-2 gnd Kernwaffe (DE-588)4003434-3 gnd Politische Entscheidung (DE-588)4046531-7 gnd Politische Führung (DE-588)4115584-1 gnd Proliferation Militär (DE-588)4309759-5 gnd |
topic_facet | POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Arms Control POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General Internationale Politik Politik Psychologie Nuclear nonproliferation Government policy Political leadership Psychological aspects International relations Psychological aspects Politische Psychologie Kernwaffe Politische Entscheidung Politische Führung Proliferation Militär |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027576577&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT oreillykp nuclearproliferationandthepsychologyofpoliticalleadershipbeliefsmotivationsandperceptions |