Early estimation of project determinants: predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Thesis Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
München
Oldenbourg
2014
|
| Series: | Schriftenreihe Bauökonomie
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XVIII, 136 S. graph. Darst., Tab. 240 mm x 170 mm |
| ISBN: | 9783110346381 3110346389 |
Staff View
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Record in the Search Index
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CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS VII
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS IX
. LIST OF FIGURES XI
LIST OF TABLES XIII
ABSTRACT XV
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG XVII
1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 RESEARCH BACKGROUND 1
1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT 2
1.3 SCOPE, AIMS, AND HYPOTHESES 6
1.3.1 RESEARCH SCOPE 6
1.3.2 RESEARCH AIMS 7
1.3.3 FRAMEWORKS AND HYPOTHESES 7
1.3.4 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES 11
1.4 STRUCTURE OF THE MANUSCRIPT 12
2 LITERATURE REVIEW 15
2.1 CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATION 16
2.1.1 OVERVIEW 16
2.1.2 KEY STUDIES 16
2.1.3 CONCLUSION 22
2.2 CONSTRUCTION DURATION ESTIMATION 23
2.2.1 OVERVIEW 23
2.2.2 BROMILOW'S TIME-COST MODEL AND RELATED STUDIES 24
2.2.3 CRITICS ON BTC MODEL AND OTHER MODELS 27
2.2.4 CONCLUSION 30
3 METHODOLOGY 33
3.1 THE EMPIRICAL WORK 33
3.1.1 A GENERAL OUTLOOK 33
3.1.2 MOTIVATION 34
3.1.3 MODELING 35
3.1.4 QUANTITATIVE APPROACH 35
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1042634890
CONTENTS
3.2 LINEAR REGRESSION 36
3.2.1 OVERVIEW 36
3.2.2 THE STANDARD REGRESSION ASSUMPTIONS 38
3.2.3 DETECTION OF VIOLATIONS IN MODEL ASSUMPTIONS 40
3.3 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS 41
3.3.1 OVERVIEW 41
3.3.2 MULTI LAYER PERCEPTRONS 41
3.3.2.1 THE NETWORK ARCHITECTURE 42
3.3.2.2 ACTIVATION FUNCTION 43
3.3.2.3 TRAINING ALGORITHM 44
3.3.2.4 DATA NORMALIZATION 44
3.3.2.5 TRAINING AND TEST SAMPLE 45
3.3.2.6 PERFORMANCE MEASURES 45
3.3.3 GENERAL REGRESSION NEURAL NETWORK 45
3.4 CONCLUDING REMARKS 47
4 SAMPLE 49
4.1 OVERVIEW 49
4.2 RESTRICTIONS AND PREDICTOR VARIABLES 51
4.3 RESPONSE VARIABLES 53
4.4 SUPPORTING THE HYPOTHESES - PILOT ANALYSIS 54
4.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS 55
5 RESULTS OF ANALYSIS 57
5.1 REFERENCE UNIT QUANTITIES 58
5.2 COST OF STRUCTURE 65
5.2.1 SECOND LEVEL COST GROUPS OF STRUCTURE 65
5.2.2 FIRST LEVEL COST GROUPS OF STRUCTURE 80
5.2.2.1 MULTI-WAY FORECAST 81
5.2.2.2 ONE-STEP AHEAD FORECAST 85
5.3 CONSTRUCTION DURATION 89
6 COMPARISON OF THE FRAMEWORKS 93
6.1 COST ESTIMATION FRAMEWORKS 93
6.2 DURATION ESTIMATION FRAMEWORKS 101
7 IMPLEMENTATION 107
7.1 STORY OF 1300-082 107
7.2 POINT ESTIMATES 108
7.2.1 REFERENCE UNIT QUANTITIES 109
7.2.2 COST OF STRUCTURE 112
7.2.3 CONSTRUCTION DURATION 117
7.3 CONFIDENCE INTERVALS 119
8 CONCLUSIONS 125
REFERENCES 131 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Dursun, Onur |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1046253859 |
| author_facet | Dursun, Onur |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Dursun, Onur |
| author_variant | o d od |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV041571564 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)864611398 (DE-599)DNB1042634890 |
| dewey-full | 624.068 |
| dewey-hundreds | 600 - Technology (Applied sciences) |
| dewey-ones | 624 - Civil engineering |
| dewey-raw | 624.068 |
| dewey-search | 624.068 |
| dewey-sort | 3624.068 |
| dewey-tens | 620 - Engineering and allied operations |
| discipline | Bauingenieurwesen Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| indexdate | 2024-09-10T01:05:19Z |
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| isbn | 9783110346381 3110346389 |
| language | English |
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| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateSearch | 2014 |
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| series2 | Schriftenreihe Bauökonomie |
| spelling | Dursun, Onur Verfasser (DE-588)1046253859 aut Early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany Onur Dursun München Oldenbourg 2014 XVIII, 136 S. graph. Darst., Tab. 240 mm x 170 mm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Schriftenreihe Bauökonomie Zugl.: Stuttgart, Univ., Diss., 2013 Kostenschätzung (DE-588)4114297-4 gnd rswk-swf Projektkosten (DE-588)4302100-1 gnd rswk-swf Neuronales Netz (DE-588)4226127-2 gnd rswk-swf Lineare Regression (DE-588)4167709-2 gnd rswk-swf Zeitaufwand (DE-588)4435355-8 gnd rswk-swf Projektplanung (DE-588)4115649-3 gnd rswk-swf Bauvorhaben (DE-588)4120975-8 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Bauvorhaben (DE-588)4120975-8 s Projektplanung (DE-588)4115649-3 s Zeitaufwand (DE-588)4435355-8 s Projektkosten (DE-588)4302100-1 s Kostenschätzung (DE-588)4114297-4 s Lineare Regression (DE-588)4167709-2 s Neuronales Netz (DE-588)4226127-2 s DE-604 X:MVB text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=4467985&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027016943&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Dursun, Onur Early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany Kostenschätzung (DE-588)4114297-4 gnd Projektkosten (DE-588)4302100-1 gnd Neuronales Netz (DE-588)4226127-2 gnd Lineare Regression (DE-588)4167709-2 gnd Zeitaufwand (DE-588)4435355-8 gnd Projektplanung (DE-588)4115649-3 gnd Bauvorhaben (DE-588)4120975-8 gnd |
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| title | Early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany |
| title_auth | Early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany |
| title_exact_search | Early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany |
| title_full | Early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany Onur Dursun |
| title_fullStr | Early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany Onur Dursun |
| title_full_unstemmed | Early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany Onur Dursun |
| title_short | Early estimation of project determinants |
| title_sort | early estimation of project determinants predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in germany |
| title_sub | predictions through establishing the basis of new building projects in Germany |
| topic | Kostenschätzung (DE-588)4114297-4 gnd Projektkosten (DE-588)4302100-1 gnd Neuronales Netz (DE-588)4226127-2 gnd Lineare Regression (DE-588)4167709-2 gnd Zeitaufwand (DE-588)4435355-8 gnd Projektplanung (DE-588)4115649-3 gnd Bauvorhaben (DE-588)4120975-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Kostenschätzung Projektkosten Neuronales Netz Lineare Regression Zeitaufwand Projektplanung Bauvorhaben Hochschulschrift |
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