Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics:
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Thesis Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Hamburg
Kovač
2013
|
| Series: | Schriftenreihe volkswirtschaftliche Forschungsergebnisse
189 |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Ausführliche Beschreibung Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XXIV, 355 S. graph. Darst. 21 cm, 474 g |
| ISBN: | 9783830068860 3830068867 |
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MARC
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | IMAGE 1
TABLE O F CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS XIII
PREFACE X V
LIST O F TABLES XIX
LIST O F FIGURES XXIII
I MICROMOTIVES AND MACROBEHAVIOR 1
1 ANOTHER LOOK AT SCHELLING S BOUNDED-NEIGHBORHOOD MODEL 3 1.1
INTRODUCTION 4
1.2 PATTERNS OF SEGREGATION 9
1.3 THE BASELINE MODEL 14
1.4 GENERALIZATION OF THE BASELINE MODEL 22
1.4.1 FIXED POINTS 23
1.4.2 LINEARIZATION 26
1.4.3 EQUILIBRIA AND STABILITY 28
1.5 THE ALTERNATIVE MODEL 39
1.5.1 IMPLICATIONS OF THE MODEL 43
1.5.2 NEIGHBORHOOD TIPPING 49
1.6 DIRECTIONS FOR FUTURE WORK 51
1.7 CONCLUSIONS 55
BIBLIOGRAPHY 59
VII
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1029836507
IMAGE 2
2 INDIVIDUAL DEMANDS AND T H E FORMATION O F AGGREGATE D E
MAND UNDER DUAL DECISION HYPOTHESIS 69
2.1 INTRODUCTION 69
2.2 THE PROBLEM 72
2.2.1 INDIVIDUAL BEHAVIOR 72
2.2.2 BUDGETS: CONSTRAINTS AND DISTRIBUTIONS 74
2.3 AGGREGATION 76
2.3.1 THE MAIN RESULT 76
2.3.2 IMPLICATIONS 77
2.4 CONCLUSIONS 82
BIBLIOGRAPHY 84
II FORMATION O F EXPECTATIONS 8 7
3 MODELING T H E DYNAMICS O F E U ECONOMIC SENTIMENT INDI CATORS: A N
INTERACTION-BASED APPROACH 89
3.1 INTRODUCTION 90
3.2 OVERVIEW OF THE EU BUSINESS AND CONSUMER SURVEY DATA . 92 3.3 A
FRAMEWORK FOR COLLECTIVE OPINION FORMATION 95
3.3.1 BEHAVIORAL ASSUMPTIONS 98
3.3.2 MODEL PROPERTIES 100
3.3.3 ESTIMATION 102
3.4 EMPIRICAL RESULTS 103
3.4.1 GOODNESS-OF-FIT 104
3.4.2 FORECASTING 104
3.5 CONCLUSIONS 112
BIBLIOGRAPHY 126
4 A N O T E ON T H E PREDICTABILITY O F CONSUMER CONFIDENCE IN DICES: T
H E CASE O F U K 131
4.1 INTRODUCTION 131
4.2 CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX 133
4.3 EMPIRICAL RESULTS 136
4.3.1 THE CCI COMPONENTS 136
VIII
IMAGE 3
4.3.2 THE CCI COMPOSITE 139
4.4 CONCLUSIONS 142
APPENDIX: TABLES 143
BIBLIOGRAPHY 148
III STOCK PRICES AND T H E VOLATILITY CURVATURE HY POTHESIS 151
5 THEORY 153
5.1 INTRODUCTION 153
5.2 MODEL I 157
5.2.1 ORIGINS 158
5.2.2 SUGGESTED MODELS 160
5.2.3 EXISTENCE AND UNIQUENESS OF SOLUTIONS 162
5.2.4 BEHAVIOR AT THE BOUNDARIES 163
5.2.5 STATIONARITY 164
5.3 MODEL II 165
5.3.1 EXISTENCE AND UNIQUENESS OF SOLUTIONS 165
5.3.2 BEHAVIOR AT THE BOUNDARIES 166
5.3.3 STATIONARITY 166
5.4 MODEL III 167
5.4.1 THE EQUATION 167
5.4.2 A PROTOTYPE ECONOMY 168
5.4.3 EXISTENCE OF THE GIRSANOV KERNEL 171
5.5 VOLATILITY CURVATURE HYPOTHESIS 172
5.5.1 OVERVIEW OF PREVIOUS APPROACHES 172
5.5.2 PRESENT APPROACH 176
5.5.3 FINAL REMARKS 178
5.6 CONCLUSIONS 179
BIBLIOGRAPHY 180
6 MONTE CARLO STUDY AND ESTIMATION 189
6.1 INTRODUCTION 189
6.2 SIMULATION DESIGN 190
IX
IMAGE 4
6.3 MONTE CARLO EVIDENCE 191
6.3.1 SUMMARY OF THE BASIC FACTS AND STATISTICS 191
6.3.2 TESTS FOR RANDOMNESS 196
6.3.3 TESTS FOR THE RANDOM WALK HYPOTHESIS 203
6.3.4 TESTS FOR VOLATILITY CLUSTERING 212
6.3.5 EVIDENCE ON POWER LAWS 217
6.3.6 TESTS FOR JUMPS 226
6.4 VOLATILITY SMILES 229
6.5 ESTIMATION METHODS AND EMPIRICAL PERFORMANCE 233
6.5.1 INTRODUCTION 233
6.5.2 CHOICE OF ESTIMATORS 235
6.5.3 EMPIRICAL PERFORMANCE 239
6.6 CONCLUSIONS 250
APPENDIX: TABLES 252
BIBLIOGRAPHY 259
7 APPLICATIONS 267
7.1 INTRODUCTION 267
7.2 DATA 268
7.2.1 STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF THE PRICES 270
7.2.2 STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF THE LOG-RETURNS 272
7.3 ESTIMATION 273
7.3.1 RESULTS 273
7.3.2 HYPOTHESIS TESTING 277
7.4 GOODNESS-OF-FIT 282
7.4.1 DIAGNOSTICS 1: UNIFORM RESIDUALS TESTS 283
7.4.2 DIAGNOSTICS 2: EVIDENCE FROM SIMULATIONS 286
7.5 IMPLICATIONS 292
7.5.1 A CRASH RISK OF A STOCK 293
7.5.2 EVIDENCE ON POWER LAWS 294
7.6 DISCUSSION 296
7.7 CONCLUSIONS 298
BIBLIOGRAPHY 300
SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK 305
X
IMAGE 5
APPENDIX 308
A PROOFS 311
A.L CHAPTER 1 311
A.2 CHAPTER 2 314
A.3 CHAPTER 5 316
REFERENCES 321
B OTHER APPROACHES T O MODELING SEGREGATION 323
B.L A MODEL WITH THE FIXED RULES 323
B.2 THE CRITICAL MASS MODEL 325
REFERENCES 328
C A N EXTENSION O F T H E MODELING FRAMEWORK O F CHAPTER 3 329
D A FRAMEWORK FOR MICROFOUNDATIONS FOR PART III 335
D.L NONCOOPERATIVE STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL GAMES WITH HIERAR CHICAL
PLAY 336
D.2 A VERSION OF GAME PLAYED ON A FINANCIAL MARKET 339
D.3 CONCLUDING REMARKS 340
REFERENCES 341
E OPTION PRICING TECHNIQUES 343
E.L THE APPROACH OF BLACK AND SCHOLES (1973) 343
E.2 NUMERICS 345
REFERENCES 346
F FORWARD KOLMOGOROV (FOKKER-PLANCK) EQUATIONS 347 F . L INTRODUCTION
347
F.2 IT5 PROCESSES AND STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS 347 F.2.1 ITO
PROCESSES 348
F.2.2 ITO DIFFUSIONS 351
F.2.3 KOLMOGOROV S FORWARD EQUATION 354
REFERENCES 355
XI
|
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| author | Ghonghadze, Jaba |
| author_facet | Ghonghadze, Jaba |
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| author_sort | Ghonghadze, Jaba |
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| dewey-full | 339.41 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 339 - Macroeconomics and related topics |
| dewey-raw | 339.41 |
| dewey-search | 339.41 |
| dewey-sort | 3339.41 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| spelling | Ghonghadze, Jaba Verfasser aut Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics Jaba Ghonghadze Hamburg Kovač 2013 XXIV, 355 S. graph. Darst. 21 cm, 474 g txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Schriftenreihe volkswirtschaftliche Forschungsergebnisse 189 Zugl.: Kiel, Univ., Diss., 2011 Segregation Soziologie (DE-588)4055731-5 gnd rswk-swf Erwartungsbildung (DE-588)4193073-3 gnd rswk-swf Volatilität (DE-588)4268390-7 gnd rswk-swf Verbraucherverhalten (DE-588)4062644-1 gnd rswk-swf Makroökonomische Konsumfunktion (DE-588)4139121-4 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Makroökonomische Konsumfunktion (DE-588)4139121-4 s Verbraucherverhalten (DE-588)4062644-1 s Segregation Soziologie (DE-588)4055731-5 s Erwartungsbildung (DE-588)4193073-3 s Volatilität (DE-588)4268390-7 s DE-604 Schriftenreihe volkswirtschaftliche Forschungsergebnisse 189 (DE-604)BV011622667 189 X:MVB text/html http://www.verlagdrkovac.de/978-3-8300-6886-0.htm Ausführliche Beschreibung DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026910143&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Ghonghadze, Jaba Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics Schriftenreihe volkswirtschaftliche Forschungsergebnisse Segregation Soziologie (DE-588)4055731-5 gnd Erwartungsbildung (DE-588)4193073-3 gnd Volatilität (DE-588)4268390-7 gnd Verbraucherverhalten (DE-588)4062644-1 gnd Makroökonomische Konsumfunktion (DE-588)4139121-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4055731-5 (DE-588)4193073-3 (DE-588)4268390-7 (DE-588)4062644-1 (DE-588)4139121-4 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics |
| title_auth | Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics |
| title_exact_search | Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics |
| title_full | Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics Jaba Ghonghadze |
| title_fullStr | Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics Jaba Ghonghadze |
| title_full_unstemmed | Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics Jaba Ghonghadze |
| title_short | Essays on micromotives and macrobehavior, expectation formation, and asset price dynamics |
| title_sort | essays on micromotives and macrobehavior expectation formation and asset price dynamics |
| topic | Segregation Soziologie (DE-588)4055731-5 gnd Erwartungsbildung (DE-588)4193073-3 gnd Volatilität (DE-588)4268390-7 gnd Verbraucherverhalten (DE-588)4062644-1 gnd Makroökonomische Konsumfunktion (DE-588)4139121-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Segregation Soziologie Erwartungsbildung Volatilität Verbraucherverhalten Makroökonomische Konsumfunktion Hochschulschrift |
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