Tackling complexity: a systemic approach for decision makers
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| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | German |
| Published: |
Sheffield
Greenleaf Publ.
2014
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XV, 186 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9781783530816 9781783530823 9781783530830 |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Titel: Tackling complexity
Autor: Probst, Gilbert J. B
Jahr: 2014
Contents
Foreword.............................................................................ix
Paul Polman
Foreword............................................................................xii
Klaus Schwab
Preface...............................................................................xiv
1. Introduction...............................................................i
1.1 Purpose of and rationale for dealing with complexity...................... 1
1.2 Audience and user guidance.................................................7
2. Case study: why a systemic
approach matters.....................................................io
3. Phase 1: Problem identification..............................21
3.1 Conceptual mistake # 1 : Abundance of data allows us to
find ultimate solutions and predict system behaviour....................22
3.2 What to do: Delimit the problem, identify
the causes and the effects...................................................28
3.2.1 Step 1 : Define the boundaries of the problem ...........................29
3.2.2 Step 2: Identify the causes and effects.....................................32
3.2.3 Step 3: Analyse future behavioural paths and impacts...................35
Case study 1 Problem identification with systems thinking:
the creation of the Ethiopia Commodity Exchange..............39
4. Phase 2: System characterisation 41
4.1 Conceptual mistake #2a: Every problem is a direct
consequence of a single cause..............................................42
4.2 Conceptual mistake #2b: We only need an accurate
snapshot of the actual state of the system
to find solutions...............................................................43
4.3 What to do: Map the complexity and explore the dynamic
properties of the system.....................................................45
4.3.1 Step 1 : Build a causal diagram and review the
boundaries of the system....................................................47
4.3.2 Step 2: Create a shared understanding of the
functioning of the system....................................................52
4.3.3 Step 3: Identify key feedback loops and entry
points for action...............................................................55
Case study 2 Representing and analysing dynamic
complexity to design effective policies: fossil
fuel subsidy reform.......................................................62
5. Phase 3: Strategy/Policy assessment 64
5.1 Conceptual mistake #3: The problem will be solved with the
implementation of the intervention selected..............................65
5.2 What to do: Identify the learning capabilities
of the system..................................................................67
5.2.1 Step 1: Design potential interventions......................................68
5.2.2 Step 2: Assess interventions (anticipate gaps, time frames
and early warning signals) ...................................................72
5.2.3 Step 3: Select viable intervention
options and indicators....................................................... 76
Case study 3 Reducing risks and maximising profits with
systemic strategy assessment: Nestlé..............................81
6. Phase 4: Decision making and
implementation.......................................................83
6.1 Conceptual mistake #4: With a problem-oriented optimisation,
the solution will maximise benefits for all................................. 84
6.2 What to do: Evaluate the proposed solution using different
perspectives, and assess the impacts across
sectors and actors............................................................ 85
6.2.1 Step 1: Use a multi-stakeholder approach................................ 86
6.2.2 Step 2: Analyse the expected impacts across
sectors and actors............................................................ 90
6.2.3 Step 3: Define the strategy and action plan.............................. 94
Case study 4 Multi-stakeholder decision making in relief
operations: the Agility CSR programme.......................... 101
7. Phase 5: Monitoring and evaluation....................i03
7.1 Conceptual mistake #5: Monitoring and evaluation do not
affect the decision-making cycle, they only evaluate
the system performance...................................................104
7.2 What to do: Assess the effectiveness of the implemented
interventions and the system responses to redefine the
top priorities and the need for further action............................ 107
7.2.1 Step 1 : Implement the strategy and monitor the
development of the system................................................109
7.2.2 Step 2: Analyse the impacts across sectors and actors.................112
7.2.3 Step 3: Use lessons learned for the next
decision-making process................................................... 114
Case study 5 Monitoring managers commitment:
Deutsche Bank............................................................120
8. Conclusions.............................................................122
Annex: Overview of key tools.......................................125
A1 Indicators.....................................................................127
A2 Influence tables .............................................................142
A3 Causal loop diagrams ...................................................... 147
A4 Scenarios..................................................................... 155
A5 Simulation ...................................................................164
References......................................................................172
About the Authors 177
Index..............................................................................179
|
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| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:57:05Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781783530816 9781783530823 9781783530830 |
| language | German |
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| physical | XV, 186 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateSearch | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Greenleaf Publ. |
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| spelling | Probst, Gilbert J. B. 1950- Verfasser (DE-588)120639688 aut Tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers Gilbert Probst and Andrea M. Bassi Sheffield Greenleaf Publ. 2014 XV, 186 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd rswk-swf Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd rswk-swf Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd rswk-swf Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 s Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 s Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 s DE-604 Bassi, Andrea Verfasser aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026900766&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Probst, Gilbert J. B. 1950- Bassi, Andrea Tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4113446-1 (DE-588)4135369-9 (DE-588)4061963-1 |
| title | Tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers |
| title_auth | Tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers |
| title_exact_search | Tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers |
| title_full | Tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers Gilbert Probst and Andrea M. Bassi |
| title_fullStr | Tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers Gilbert Probst and Andrea M. Bassi |
| title_full_unstemmed | Tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers Gilbert Probst and Andrea M. Bassi |
| title_short | Tackling complexity |
| title_sort | tackling complexity a systemic approach for decision makers |
| title_sub | a systemic approach for decision makers |
| topic | Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Entscheidungsfindung Komplexität Unternehmen |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026900766&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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