Holdings: Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting

Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting:

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Ercan, Ali (Author), Kavvas, M. Levent (Author), Abbasov, Rovshan (Author)
Format:	Electronic eBook
Language:	English
Published:	Cham [u.a.] Springer 2013
Series:	Springer briefs in statistics
Subjects:	Meeresspiegel Mathematisches Modell Prognose
Online Access:	BTU01 TUM01 UBA01 UBM01 UBT01 UBW01 UPA01 Volltext Inhaltsverzeichnis Abstract
Physical Description:	1 Online-Ressource (V, 51 S.) graph. Darst.
ISBN:	9783319015040 9783319015057
DOI:	10.1007/978-3-319-01505-7

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adam_text	LONG-RANGE DEPENDENCE AND SEA LEVEL FORECASTING / ERCAN, ALI : 2013 TABLE OF CONTENTS / INHALTSVERZEICHNIS 1. INTRODUCTION 2. LONG-RANGE DEPENDENCE AND ARFIMA MODELS 3. FORECASTING, CONFIDENCE BAND ESTIMATION AND UPDATING 4.CASE STUDY I: CASPIAN SEA LEVEL 5.CASE STUDY II: SEA LEVEL CHANGE AT PENINSULAR MALAYSIA AND SABAH-SARAWAK 6. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 7. REFERENCES DIESES SCHRIFTSTUECK WURDE MASCHINELL ERZEUGT. LONG-RANGE DEPENDENCE AND SEA LEVEL FORECASTING / ERCAN, ALI : 2013 ABSTRACT / INHALTSTEXT THIS STUDY SHOWS THAT THE CASPIAN SEA LEVEL TIME SERIES POSSESS LONG RANGE DEPENDENCE EVEN AFTER REMOVING LINEAR TRENDS, BASED ON ANALYSES OF THE HURST STATISTIC, THE SAMPLE AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTIONS, AND THE PERIODOGRAM OF THE SERIES. FORECASTING PERFORMANCE OF ARMA, ARIMA, ARFIMA AND TREND LINE-ARFIMA (TL-ARFIMA) COMBINATION MODELS ARE INVESTIGATED. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE BANDS AND THE FORECAST UPDATING METHODOLOGY, PROVIDED FOR ARIMA MODELS IN THE LITERATURE, ARE MODIFIED FOR THE ARFIMA MODELS. SAMPLE AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTIONS ARE UTILIZED TO ESTIMATE THE DIFFERENCING LENGTHS OF THE ARFIMA MODELS. THE CONFIDENCE BANDS OF THE FORECASTS ARE ESTIMATED USING THE PROBABILITY DENSITIES OF THE RESIDUALS WITHOUT ASSUMING A KNOWN DISTRIBUTION. THERE ARE NO LONG-TERM SEA LEVEL RECORDS FOR THE REGION OF PENINSULAR MALAYSIA AND MALAYSIA’S SABAH-SARAWAK NORTHERN REGION OF BORNEO ISLAND. IN SUCH CASES THE GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL (GCM) PROJECTIONS FOR THE 21ST CENTURY CAN BE DOWNSCALED TO THE MALAYSIA REGION BY MEANS OF REGRESSION TECHNIQUES, UTILIZING THE SHORT RECORDS OF SATELLITE ALTIMETERS IN THIS REGION AGAINST THE GCM PROJECTIONS DURING A MUTUAL OBSERVATION PERIOD. THIS BOOKWILL BE USEFUL FOR ENGINEERS AND RESEARCHERS WORKING IN THE AREAS OF APPLIED STATISTICS, CLIMATE CHANGE, SEA LEVEL CHANGE, TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, APPLIED EARTH SCIENCES, AND NONLINEAR DYNAMICS DIESES SCHRIFTSTUECK WURDE MASCHINELL ERZEUGT.
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author	Ercan, Ali Kavvas, M. Levent Abbasov, Rovshan
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spelling	Ercan, Ali Verfasser aut Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting Ali Ercan ; M. Levent Kavvas ; Rovshan K. Abbasov Cham [u.a.] Springer 2013 1 Online-Ressource (V, 51 S.) graph. Darst. txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Springer briefs in statistics Meeresspiegel (DE-588)4169254-8 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Meeresspiegel (DE-588)4169254-8 s Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s DE-604 Kavvas, M. Levent Verfasser aut Abbasov, Rovshan Verfasser (DE-588)1043782818 aut https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01505-7 Verlag Volltext Springer Fremddatenuebernahme application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026825937&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Springer Fremddatenuebernahme application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026825937&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Abstract
spellingShingle	Ercan, Ali Kavvas, M. Levent Abbasov, Rovshan Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting Meeresspiegel (DE-588)4169254-8 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd
subject_GND	(DE-588)4169254-8 (DE-588)4114528-8 (DE-588)4047390-9
title	Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting
title_auth	Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting
title_exact_search	Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting
title_full	Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting Ali Ercan ; M. Levent Kavvas ; Rovshan K. Abbasov
title_fullStr	Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting Ali Ercan ; M. Levent Kavvas ; Rovshan K. Abbasov
title_full_unstemmed	Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting Ali Ercan ; M. Levent Kavvas ; Rovshan K. Abbasov
title_short	Long-range dependence and sea level forecasting
title_sort	long range dependence and sea level forecasting
topic	Meeresspiegel (DE-588)4169254-8 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd
topic_facet	Meeresspiegel Mathematisches Modell Prognose
url	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01505-7 http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026825937&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026825937&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
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