Successful decision-making: a systematic approach to complex problems
Saved in:
| New Title: | Grünig, Rudolf Solving complex decision problems |
|---|---|
| Main Authors: | , |
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English German |
| Published: |
Berlin ; Heidelberg
Springer
2013
|
| Edition: | 3. ed. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Literaturverz. S. 193 - 195 |
| Physical Description: | XIX, 200 S. graph. Darst. 25 cm |
| ISBN: | 9783642323065 |
Staff View
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Successful decision-making |b a systematic approach to complex problems |c Rudolf Grünig ; Richard Kühn |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | 1 INTRODUCTION
1
PART I DECISION PROBLEMS AND DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURES
2 DECISION PROBLEMS 7
2.1 NOTION OF DECISION PROBLEM 7
2.2 TYPES OF DECISION PROBLEMS 7
2.3 WAYS TO SOLVE DECISION PROBLEMS 12
3 GOAL AND PROBLEM-FINDING SYSTEMS AS REQUIREMENTS FOR THE
DISCOVERY OF DECISION PROBLEMS 15
3.1 THE FUNCTIONS OF GOAL AND PROBLEM-FINDING SYSTEMS IN THE
DISCOVERY OF DECISION PROBLEMS 15
3.2 GOAL SYSTEMS 16
3.3 PROBLEM-FINDING SYSTEMS 19
4 RATIONAL DECISION-MAKING 23
4.1 SEQUENCE OF EVENTS IN DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURES 23
4.2 REQUIREMENTS OF A RATIONAL DECISION-MAKING PROCESS 28
4.3 SUPPORT OF RATIONAL DECISION-MAKING BY MANAGEMENT SCIENCE ... 30
5 DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURES 33
5.1 NOTION OF DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURE 33
5.2 DIMENSIONS OF DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURES AND THEIR VALUES .. . 34
5.3 TYPES OF DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURES 34
5.4 COMPARISON OF HEURISTIC AND ANALYTIC DECISION-MAKING
PROCEDURES 35
5.5 EXAMPLES OF THE DIFFERENT TYPES OF DECISION-MAKING
PROCEDURES 39
5.5.1 INTRODUCTORY REMARKS 39
5.5.2 EXAMPLE OF A SPECIFIC HEURISTIC DECISION-MAKING
PROCEDURE 39
5.5.3 EXAMPLE OF A GENERAL ANALYTIC DECISION-MAKING
PROCEDURE 40
XI
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1024099431
XII CONTENTS
5.5.4 EXAMPLE OF A SPECIFIC ANALYTIC DECISION-MAKING
PROCEDURE 43
5.5.5 COMPARISON OF THE THREE EXAMPLES 44
PART II A GENERAL HEURISTIC DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURE
6 OVERVIEW OF THE DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURE 49
6.1 VALUE OF A GENERAL HEURISTIC DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURE 49
6.2 PROPOSED SEQUENCE OF STEPS 50
6.3 BRIEF EXPLANATION OF THE STEPS 53
6.4 BASIS OF THE PROCEDURE 54
7 PROBLEM VERIFICATION AND ANALYSIS 59
7.1 OVERVIEW OF THE CHAPTER 59
7.2 VERIFYING THE DISCOVERED DECISION PROBLEM 59
7.3 ANALYZING THE DECISION PROBLEM 62
7.3.1 INTRODUCTION 62
7.3.2 DEFINING AND STRUCTURING THE DECISION PROBLEM 63
7.3.3 COLLECTING THE RELEVANT DATA 66
7.3.4 DETERMINING THE PROBLEM CAUSES IN THE CASE OF THREAT
PROBLEMS 68
7.3.5 VERIFYING THE OPPORTUNITY IN THE CASE OF OPPORTUNITY
PROBLEMS 71
7.3.6 DEFINING SUB-PROBLEMS AND DETERMINING
THEIR PROCESSING 72
8 DEVELOPING AND EVALUATING THE SOLUTION OPTIONS 75
8.1 OVERVIEW OF THE CHAPTER 75
8.2 DEVELOPING SOLUTION OPTIONS 75
8.2.1 INTRODUCTION 75
8.2.2 DETERMINING THE BOUNDARY CONDITIONS 75
8.2.3 DETERMINING THE SOLUTION SPACE 77
8.2.4 DEVELOPING OPTIONS 79
8.3 DETERMINING THE DECISION CRITERIA 81
8.3.1 INTRODUCTION 81
8.3.2 DETERMINING THE CRITERIA 82
8.3.3 ELIMINATING OVERLAPPING 82
8.3.4 SPECIFYING THE USE OF THE CRITERIA 83
8.4 DETERMINING ENVIRONMENTAL SCENARIOS 84
8.4.1 INTRODUCTION 84
8.4.2 DECIDING IF DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTAL SCENARIOS ARE
NEEDED 84
8.4.3 DRAWING UP THE SCENARIOS 85
8.4.4 DETERMINING THE PROBABILITIES OF THE SCENARIOS 89
CONTENTS XIII
8.5 CONFIGURATION OF THE DECISION PROBLEM AS THE RESULT OF
STEPS 3, 4 AND 5 89
8.6 DETERMINING THE CONSEQUENCES OF THE OPTIONS 91
8.6.1 INTRODUCTION 91
8.6.2 DETERMINING THE QUALITY LEVEL OF THE CONSEQUENCES AND THE
PROCEDURE FOR THEIR DETERMINATION 92
8.6.3 DETERMINING THE TIME HORIZON 94
8.6.4 DETERMINING THE CONSEQUENCE VALUES 95
9 DECISION MAXIMS FOR ESTABLISHING THE OVERALL CONSEQUENCES
OF THE OPTIONS 97
9.1 INTRODUCTION 97
9.2 DECISION MAXIMS FOR OVERCOMING POLYVALENCE 98
9.2.1 UTILITY VALUE MAXIM 98
9.2.2 QUASI-UNIVALENT DECISION MAXIM 103
9.3 DECISION MAXIMS FOR OVERCOMING RISK 104
9.3.1 EXPECTATION VALUE MAXIM 104
9.3.2 UTILITY EXPECTATION VALUE MAXIM 105
9.3.3 PROBLEMS WITH THE APPLICATION OF THE DECISION MAXIMS
FOR OVERCOMING RISK 109
9.4 DECISION MAXIMS FOR OVERCOMING UNCERTAINTY 110
9.5 COMBINING DECISION MAXIMS TO OVERCOME POLYVALENCE
AND RISK OR POLYVALENCE AND UNCERTAINTY 112
9.6 EVALUATION OF THE DECISION MAXIMS 116
10 OVERALL EVALUATION OF THE OPTIONS AND DECISION 119
10.1 INTRODUCTION 119
10.2 ELIMINATING IRRELEVANT OPTIONS 119
10.3 CHOOSING WHETHER TO PROCEED ANALYTICALLY OR SUMMARILY .... 120
10.4 DETERMINING THE OVERALL CONSEQUENCES OF THE OPTIONS
WHEN PROCEEDING ANALYTICALLY 124
10.5 CONSIDERING THE ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF THE OPTIONS
WHEN PROCEEDING SUMMARILY 124
10.6 COORDINATING THE PROPOSED SOLUTION OPTION WITH THE PROPOSED
SOLUTIONS TO OTHER SUB-PROBLEMS 125
10.7 DECIDING ON THE OPTION TO IMPLEMENT 125
11 A CASE STUDY ILLUSTRATING THE APPLICATION OF THE PROCEDURE 127
11.1 INITIAL SITUATION 127
11.2 VERIFYING THE DISCOVERED PROBLEM 129
11.3 ANALYZING THE PROBLEM 130
11.3.1 DEFINING AND STRUCTURING THE DECISION PROBLEM 130
11.3.2 OBTAINING THE RELEVANT DATA 133
11.3.3 DETERMINING THE PROBLEM CAUSES AND SETTING
THE FURTHER PROCEDURE 133
XIV CONTENTS
11.4 DEVELOPING PROBLEM-SOLVING OPTIONS 138
11.5 EVALUATING THE OPTIONS 140
11.6 MAKING THE DECISION 143
PART III SPECIAL PROBLEMS AND APPROACHES TO SOLVE THEM
12 DECISION SEQUENCES 149
12.1 DECISION SEQUENCES AND THEIR DIFFERENTIATION FROM DECISIONS
WITH SEVERAL SUB-PROBLEMS 149
12.2 VISUALIZING DECISION SEQUENCES WITH THE HELP OF
DECISION TREES 150
12.3 CHOOSING THE BEST OPTION IN A DECISION SEQUENCE : . . . 150
12.4 CASE EXAMPLE OF A DECISION SEQUENCE 153^
13 INFORMATION PROCUREMENT DECISIONS 159
13.1 INFORMATION PROCUREMENT DECISIONS AS DECISIONS AT THE
META-LEVEL 159
13.2 RECOMMENDATIONS FOR MAKING INFORMATION
PROCUREMENT DECISIONS 160
14 COLLECTIVE DECISIONS 169
14.1 COLLECTIVE DECISIONS AND THEIR IMPORTANCE IN COMPANIES .... 169
14.2 GROUP GOAL SYSTEMS AND GROUP DECISION BEHAVIOR AS
BOUNDARY CONDITIONS FOR COLLECTIVE DECISIONS 170
14.2.1 GROUP GOAL SYSTEMS 170
14.2.2 GROUP DECISION BEHAVIOR 172
14.3 RULES FOR MAKING COLLECTIVE DECISIONS 175
14.3.1 DIFFERING INDIVIDUAL ORDERS OF PREFERENCE
AS A STARTING POINT 175
14.3.2 REQUIREMENTS FOR FORMING A COLLECTIVE ORDER
OF PREFERENCE 176
14.3.3 CLASSIC RULES FOR THE FORMATION OF A COLLECTIVE
ORDER OF PREFERENCE OR FOR DETERMINING THE
OPTION PREFERRED BY THE COLLECTIVE 178
14.3.4 MORE COMPLEX PROCEDURES TO FORM THE COLLECTIVE
ORDER OF PREFERENCE 180
15 FINAL REMARKS 187
GLOSSARY 189
BIBLIOGRAPHY 193
INDEX 197
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Grünig, Rudolf 1954- Kühn, Richard 1939-2023 |
| author_GND | (DE-588)120447541 (DE-588)120447428 |
| author_facet | Grünig, Rudolf 1954- Kühn, Richard 1939-2023 |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Grünig, Rudolf 1954- |
| author_variant | r g rg r k rk |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV041150751 |
| classification_rvk | QP 300 QP 327 |
| classification_tum | WIR 543f |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)851644056 (DE-599)BVBBV041150751 |
| dewey-full | 658.403 |
| dewey-hundreds | 600 - Technology (Applied sciences) |
| dewey-ones | 658 - General management |
| dewey-raw | 658.403 |
| dewey-search | 658.403 |
| dewey-sort | 3658.403 |
| dewey-tens | 650 - Management and auxiliary services |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | 3. ed. |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV041150751 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:40:44Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9783642323065 |
| language | English German |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-026126217 |
| oclc_num | 851644056 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-1043 DE-91G DE-BY-TUM |
| owner_facet | DE-1043 DE-91G DE-BY-TUM |
| physical | XIX, 200 S. graph. Darst. 25 cm |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateSearch | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Grünig, Rudolf 1954- Verfasser (DE-588)120447541 aut Entscheidungsverfahren für komplexe Probleme Successful decision-making a systematic approach to complex problems Rudolf Grünig ; Richard Kühn 3. ed. Berlin ; Heidelberg Springer 2013 XIX, 200 S. graph. Darst. 25 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Literaturverz. S. 193 - 195 Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd rswk-swf Heuristik (DE-588)4024772-7 gnd rswk-swf Führungsentscheidung (DE-588)4390843-3 gnd rswk-swf Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd rswk-swf Problemlösen (DE-588)4076358-4 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidung (DE-588)4014904-3 gnd rswk-swf Führungsentscheidung (DE-588)4390843-3 s Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 s Management (DE-588)4037278-9 s Problemlösen (DE-588)4076358-4 s Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 s Heuristik (DE-588)4024772-7 s DE-604 Entscheidung (DE-588)4014904-3 s 1\p DE-604 Kühn, Richard 1939-2023 Verfasser (DE-588)120447428 aut Ab 4. Aufl. (2017) u.d.T. Grünig, Rudolf Solving complex decision problems DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026126217&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Grünig, Rudolf 1954- Kühn, Richard 1939-2023 Successful decision-making a systematic approach to complex problems Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd Heuristik (DE-588)4024772-7 gnd Führungsentscheidung (DE-588)4390843-3 gnd Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd Problemlösen (DE-588)4076358-4 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Entscheidung (DE-588)4014904-3 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4037278-9 (DE-588)4024772-7 (DE-588)4390843-3 (DE-588)4135369-9 (DE-588)4076358-4 (DE-588)4113446-1 (DE-588)4014904-3 |
| title | Successful decision-making a systematic approach to complex problems |
| title_alt | Entscheidungsverfahren für komplexe Probleme |
| title_auth | Successful decision-making a systematic approach to complex problems |
| title_exact_search | Successful decision-making a systematic approach to complex problems |
| title_full | Successful decision-making a systematic approach to complex problems Rudolf Grünig ; Richard Kühn |
| title_fullStr | Successful decision-making a systematic approach to complex problems Rudolf Grünig ; Richard Kühn |
| title_full_unstemmed | Successful decision-making a systematic approach to complex problems Rudolf Grünig ; Richard Kühn |
| title_new | Grünig, Rudolf Solving complex decision problems |
| title_short | Successful decision-making |
| title_sort | successful decision making a systematic approach to complex problems |
| title_sub | a systematic approach to complex problems |
| topic | Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd Heuristik (DE-588)4024772-7 gnd Führungsentscheidung (DE-588)4390843-3 gnd Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd Problemlösen (DE-588)4076358-4 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Entscheidung (DE-588)4014904-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Management Heuristik Führungsentscheidung Komplexität Problemlösen Entscheidungsfindung Entscheidung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026126217&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT grunigrudolf entscheidungsverfahrenfurkomplexeprobleme AT kuhnrichard entscheidungsverfahrenfurkomplexeprobleme AT grunigrudolf successfuldecisionmakingasystematicapproachtocomplexproblems AT kuhnrichard successfuldecisionmakingasystematicapproachtocomplexproblems |