The analytics of uncertainty and information:
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York, NY [u.a.]
Cambridge Univ. Press
2013
|
| Edition: | Second edition |
| Series: | Cambridge surveys of economic literature
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Klappentext |
| Item Description: | Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke |
| Physical Description: | xiii, 493 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9780521834087 9780521541961 |
Staff View
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The analytics of uncertainty and information |c Sushil Bikhchandani (University of California, Los Angeles), Jack Hirshleifer, John G. Riley (University of California, Los Angeles) |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Contents
Acknowledgments page
χι
In
Memoriam
xiii
Introduction: The Economics of Uncertainty and Information
1
PARTI
1
Elements of Decision under Uncertainty
7
1.1
The Menu of Acts
9
1.2
The Probability Distribution
9
1.2.1
Risk versus Uncertainty
10
1.2.2
Hard versus Soft Probabilities II
1.3
The Utility Function
13
1.4
The Expected-Utility Rule
13
1.4.1
An Informal Presentation
16
1.4.2
The Independence Axiom
22
1.5
Risk Aversion
26
1.6
Utility Paradoxes and Rationality
35
1.6.1
Probability Matching
35
L6.2 Framing the Question
36
1.6.3
Allais
Paradox
38
1.6.4 Ellsberg
Paradox
41
2
Risk Bearing: The Optimum of the Individual
46
2.1
The Risk-Bearing Optimum: Basic Analysis
47
2.1.1
Contingent-Claims Markets
49
2.
1
.2
Regimes of Asset Markets
-
Complete and
Incomplete
51
2.1.3
Productive Opportunities
58
vu
viii Contents
2.2
Choosing Combinations of Mean and Standard Deviation
of Income
62
2.2.1
μ, σ,
Preferences
62
2.2.2
Opportunity Set and Risk-Bearing Optimum
66
2.3
State-Dependent Utility
77
2.3.1
An Application: The Value of Life
80
3
Comparative Statics of the Risk-Bearing Optimum
86
3.1
Measures of Risk Aversion
86
3.2
Endowment and Price Effects
95
3.2.1
Complete Markets
95
3.2.2
Incomplete Markets
98
3.3
Changes in the Distribution of Asset Payoffs
103
3.4
Stochastic Dominance
108
3.4.1
Comparison of Different Consumption Prospects
108
3.4.2
Responding to Increased Risk*
116
4
Market Equilibrium under Uncertainty
123
4.1
Market Equilibrium in Pure Exchange
123
4.1.1
Application to Share Cropping
127
4.1.2
Application to Insurance
130
4.2
Production and Exchange
137
4.2.1
Equilibrium with Production: Complete Markets
137
4.2.2
Stock Market Equilibrium*
145
4.2.3
Monopoly Power in Asset Markets*
150
4.3
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
156
PARTII
5
Information and Informational Decisions
169
5.1
Information
-
Some Conceptual Distinctions
169
5.2
Informational Decision Analysis
172
5.2.1
The Use of Evidence to Revise Beliefs
172
5.2.2
Revision of Optimal Action and the Worth of
Information
181
5.2.3
More Informative versus Less Informative Message
Services*
189
Starred sections represent more difficult or specialized materials that can be omitted
without significant loss of continuity.
Contents ix
5.2.4
Differences in
Utility
Functions and the Worth of
Information
199
5.2.5
The Worth
ofinformation:
Flexibility versus Range
of Actions
203
5.3
Multi-
Person Decisions
208
5.3.1
The Use of Experts
209
5.3.2
Group Choices
213
6
Information and Markets
224
6.1
The Inter-related Equilibria of Prior and Posterior Markets
225
6.1.1
Complete Contingent Markets
225
6.1.2
Incomplete Regimes of Markets
232
6.2
Speculation and Futures Trading
240
6.3
The Production and Dissemination of Information
247
6.3.1
Private Information and the Leakage Problem
248
6.3.2
Partial Leakage with Constant Absolute Risk
Aversion*
257
6.4
Rational Expectations
264
7
Strategic Uncertainty and Equilibrium Concepts
270
7.1
Dominant Strategy
270
7.2
Mash Equilibrium
272
7.3
Subgame-
Perfect Equilibrium
278
7.4
Further Refinements
284
7.5
Games with Private Information
292
7.6
Evolutionary Equilibrium
297
8
Informational Asymmetry and Contract Design
308
8.1
Hidden Actions ( Moral Hazard ) and Contract Design
309
8.2
Hidden Knowledge
320
8.2.1
Adverse Selection
321
8.2.2
Screening
327
8.2.3
Monopoly Price Discrimination with Hidden
Knowledge*
332
9
Competition and Hidden Knowledge
343
9.1
Screening
343
9.1.1
Screening by Means of a Non-Productive Action
344
Starred sections represent more difficult or specialized materials that can be omitted
without significant loss of continuity.
x
Contents
9.1.2
Screening with
Productive Actions
350
9.2
Reactive Equilibrium
356
9.3
Signaling
359
10
Market Institutions
367
10.1
Posted-Price Markets
367
10.2
Auctions
370
10.2
Л
Bidders Valuations Are Known
371
10.2.2
Bidders Valuations Are Independent and Privately
Known
376
10.2.3
Optimal Mechanisms*
381
10.2.4
Bidders Valuations Are Correlated*
392
10.3
Bargaining
404
10.4
Efficient Allocation with Private Information*
410
11
Long-Run Relationships and the Credibility of Threats and
Promises
422
11.1
The Multi-Period Prisoners Dilemma
422
11.1.1
The Finitely Repeated Prisoners Dilemma
423
11.1.2
The Infinitely Repeated Prisoners Dilemma
424
11.2
Subgame-
Perfect Equilibria in Infinitely Repeated Games
428
11.3
The Folk Theorem for Infinitely Repeated Games
432
11.4
The Role of Chivalry
439
11.5
Building a Reputation
442
12
Information Transmission, Acquisition, and Aggregation
453
12.1
Strategic Information Transmission and Delegation
454
12.1.1
Strategic Information Transmission
455
12.1.2
Strategic Delegation
459
12.2
Strategic Information Acquisition
461
12.2.1
Efficient Information Acquisition
462
12.2.2
Overinvestment in Information
466
12.3
Information Cascades
469
12.4
The Condorcet Jury Theorem*
477
Index
487
Starred sections represent more difficult or specialized materials that can be omitted
without significant loss of continuity.
THE ANALYTICS OF UNCERTAINTY
AND INFORMATION
SECOND EDITION
There has been explosive progress in the economic theory of uncertainty and
information in the past few decades. This subject is now taught not only in
departments of economics but also in professional schools and programs ori¬
ented toward business, government and administration, and public policy. This
book attempts to unify the subject matter in a simple, accessible manner. Part I
of the book focuses on the economics of uncertainty; Part II examines the
economics
ofinformation.
This revised and updated second edition places a greater focus on game
theory. New topics include posted-price markets, mechanism design, common-
value auctions, and the one-shot deviation principle for repeated games.
Sushil Bikhchandani is a professor in the Anderson School of Management at
the University of California, Los Angeles. His interests include auctions, market
institutions, herd behavior, and information economics. Professor
Bikhchan¬
dani
has published in numerous academic journals, including Theoretical Eco-
nomicSy Operations Research, Journal of Economic Theory, Journal of Political
Economy, and
Econometrica.
Jack Hirshleifer (August
26,
1925-July
26, 2005)
was an American economist
and long time professor at the University of California, Los Angeles. He taught
at the University of Chicago from
1955
to
1960,
and thereafter at UCLA until
2001.
Professor Hirshleifer was well known for his work on uncertainty and
information in economics, the economic analysis of conflict, and bioeconomics.
His undergraduate textbook, Price Theory and Applications, went into seven
editions. A
1958
article by Hirshleifer began the triumphant comeback of Irving
Fisher s theory of capital and interest, now deemed canonical.
John G. Riley is Distinguished Professor of Economics at the University of
California, Los Angeles. A Fellow of the Econometric Society, his research has
appeared in eminent journals such as the American Economic Review,
Econo¬
metrica,
Journal of Political Economy, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Review of
Economic Studies, Journal of Economic Theory, and the RAND Journal of Eco¬
nomics. Professor Riley is the author of Essential Microeconomics (Cambridge
University Press,
2012)
and co-author, with the late Jack Hirshleifer, of the first
edition of The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information (Cambridge University
Press,
1992).
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Bikhchandani, Sushil Hirshleifer, Jack 1925-2005 Riley, John G. |
| author_GND | (DE-588)170665062 (DE-588)108011127 (DE-588)170062961 |
| author_facet | Bikhchandani, Sushil Hirshleifer, Jack 1925-2005 Riley, John G. |
| author_role | aut aut aut |
| author_sort | Bikhchandani, Sushil |
| author_variant | s b sb j h jh j g r jg jgr |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV040990144 |
| classification_rvk | QC 020 |
| classification_tum | WIR 023f WIR 028f |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)878013139 (DE-599)BVBBV040990144 |
| dewey-full | 339.5 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 339 - Macroeconomics and related topics |
| dewey-raw | 339.5 |
| dewey-search | 339.5 |
| dewey-sort | 3339.5 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | Second edition |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV040990144 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:36:56Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780521834087 9780521541961 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025967970 |
| oclc_num | 878013139 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-634 DE-M382 DE-703 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-29 DE-521 DE-739 DE-11 DE-706 |
| owner_facet | DE-634 DE-M382 DE-703 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-29 DE-521 DE-739 DE-11 DE-706 |
| physical | xiii, 493 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateSearch | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | Cambridge Univ. Press |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Cambridge surveys of economic literature |
| spelling | Bikhchandani, Sushil Verfasser (DE-588)170665062 aut The analytics of uncertainty and information Sushil Bikhchandani (University of California, Los Angeles), Jack Hirshleifer, John G. Riley (University of California, Los Angeles) Second edition New York, NY [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2013 xiii, 493 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Cambridge surveys of economic literature Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke Unvollkommene Information (DE-588)4140474-9 gnd rswk-swf Informationsbeschaffung (DE-588)4132784-6 gnd rswk-swf Information (DE-588)4026899-8 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd rswk-swf Informationsökonomie (DE-588)4161671-6 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftstheorie (DE-588)4079351-5 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 s Information (DE-588)4026899-8 s Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 s DE-604 Wirtschaftstheorie (DE-588)4079351-5 s DE-188 Unvollkommene Information (DE-588)4140474-9 s Informationsökonomie (DE-588)4161671-6 s Informationsbeschaffung (DE-588)4132784-6 s 1\p DE-604 Hirshleifer, Jack 1925-2005 Verfasser (DE-588)108011127 aut Riley, John G. Verfasser (DE-588)170062961 aut Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025967970&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung UB Bayreuth - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025967970&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Bikhchandani, Sushil Hirshleifer, Jack 1925-2005 Riley, John G. The analytics of uncertainty and information Unvollkommene Information (DE-588)4140474-9 gnd Informationsbeschaffung (DE-588)4132784-6 gnd Information (DE-588)4026899-8 gnd Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Informationsökonomie (DE-588)4161671-6 gnd Wirtschaftstheorie (DE-588)4079351-5 gnd Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4140474-9 (DE-588)4132784-6 (DE-588)4026899-8 (DE-588)4066399-1 (DE-588)4161671-6 (DE-588)4079351-5 (DE-588)4070864-0 |
| title | The analytics of uncertainty and information |
| title_auth | The analytics of uncertainty and information |
| title_exact_search | The analytics of uncertainty and information |
| title_full | The analytics of uncertainty and information Sushil Bikhchandani (University of California, Los Angeles), Jack Hirshleifer, John G. Riley (University of California, Los Angeles) |
| title_fullStr | The analytics of uncertainty and information Sushil Bikhchandani (University of California, Los Angeles), Jack Hirshleifer, John G. Riley (University of California, Los Angeles) |
| title_full_unstemmed | The analytics of uncertainty and information Sushil Bikhchandani (University of California, Los Angeles), Jack Hirshleifer, John G. Riley (University of California, Los Angeles) |
| title_short | The analytics of uncertainty and information |
| title_sort | the analytics of uncertainty and information |
| topic | Unvollkommene Information (DE-588)4140474-9 gnd Informationsbeschaffung (DE-588)4132784-6 gnd Information (DE-588)4026899-8 gnd Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Informationsökonomie (DE-588)4161671-6 gnd Wirtschaftstheorie (DE-588)4079351-5 gnd Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Unvollkommene Information Informationsbeschaffung Information Wirtschaft Informationsökonomie Wirtschaftstheorie Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025967970&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025967970&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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