Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections: a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data
This paper provides a simple model to explain effect of political alignment between different tiers of government on policy choices and election outcomes. We derive precise predictions that, as long as voters attribute most of the credit for providing public goods to the local government: (i) aligne...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Munich
CESifo
2013
|
| Ausgabe: | Version: Dec. 2012 |
| Schriftenreihe: | CESifo working papers
4061 : Category 1, Public finance |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | This paper provides a simple model to explain effect of political alignment between different tiers of government on policy choices and election outcomes. We derive precise predictions that, as long as voters attribute most of the credit for providing public goods to the local government: (i) aligned municipalities receive more grants, set lower taxes and provide more public goods, (ii) the probability that the local incumbent is re-elected is higher in aligned municipalities compared to not aligned ones. Our empirical strategy to identify the alignment effects is built upon the fact that being or not aligned changes discontinuously at 50% of the vote share of local parties. This allows us to use sharp regression discontinuity design. Our theoretical predictions are largely confirmed using a new dataset on Italian public finance and electoral data at the central and local level. |
| Beschreibung: | 45 S. graph. Darst. |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000 cb4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV040957765 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20130429 | ||
| 007 | t | ||
| 008 | 130419s2013 d||| |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)844072772 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)GBV738522848 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-188 |a DE-521 |a DE-12 |a DE-M382 |a DE-19 | ||
| 084 | |a QB 910 |0 (DE-625)141231: |2 rvk | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Bracco, Emanuele |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections |b a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data |c Emanuele Bracco ; Francesco Porcelli ; Michela Redoano |
| 250 | |a Version: Dec. 2012 | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a Munich |b CESifo |c 2013 | |
| 300 | |a 45 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 1 | |a CESifo working papers |v 4061 : Category 1, Public finance | |
| 520 | 8 | |a This paper provides a simple model to explain effect of political alignment between different tiers of government on policy choices and election outcomes. We derive precise predictions that, as long as voters attribute most of the credit for providing public goods to the local government: (i) aligned municipalities receive more grants, set lower taxes and provide more public goods, (ii) the probability that the local incumbent is re-elected is higher in aligned municipalities compared to not aligned ones. Our empirical strategy to identify the alignment effects is built upon the fact that being or not aligned changes discontinuously at 50% of the vote share of local parties. This allows us to use sharp regression discontinuity design. Our theoretical predictions are largely confirmed using a new dataset on Italian public finance and electoral data at the central and local level. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Porcelli, Francesco |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Redoano, Michela |d 1968- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)123417546 |4 aut | |
| 830 | 0 | |a CESifo working papers |v 4061 : Category 1, Public finance |w (DE-604)BV013978326 |9 4061 | |
| 856 | 4 | 1 | |u http://www.cesifo-group.de/ifoHome/publications/working-papers/CESifoWP/CESifoWPdetails?wp_id=19074109 |x Verlag |z kostenfrei |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a ebook | ||
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025936180 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804150266933542912 |
|---|---|
| any_adam_object | |
| author | Bracco, Emanuele Porcelli, Francesco Redoano, Michela 1968- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)123417546 |
| author_facet | Bracco, Emanuele Porcelli, Francesco Redoano, Michela 1968- |
| author_role | aut aut aut |
| author_sort | Bracco, Emanuele |
| author_variant | e b eb f p fp m r mr |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV040957765 |
| classification_rvk | QB 910 |
| collection | ebook |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)844072772 (DE-599)GBV738522848 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | Version: Dec. 2012 |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02251nam a2200349 cb4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV040957765</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20130429 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">130419s2013 d||| |||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)844072772</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)GBV738522848</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-188</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-521</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-12</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-M382</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-19</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">QB 910</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-625)141231:</subfield><subfield code="2">rvk</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Bracco, Emanuele</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections</subfield><subfield code="b">a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data</subfield><subfield code="c">Emanuele Bracco ; Francesco Porcelli ; Michela Redoano</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="250" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Version: Dec. 2012</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Munich</subfield><subfield code="b">CESifo</subfield><subfield code="c">2013</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">45 S.</subfield><subfield code="b">graph. Darst.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">CESifo working papers</subfield><subfield code="v">4061 : Category 1, Public finance</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1="8" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">This paper provides a simple model to explain effect of political alignment between different tiers of government on policy choices and election outcomes. We derive precise predictions that, as long as voters attribute most of the credit for providing public goods to the local government: (i) aligned municipalities receive more grants, set lower taxes and provide more public goods, (ii) the probability that the local incumbent is re-elected is higher in aligned municipalities compared to not aligned ones. Our empirical strategy to identify the alignment effects is built upon the fact that being or not aligned changes discontinuously at 50% of the vote share of local parties. This allows us to use sharp regression discontinuity design. Our theoretical predictions are largely confirmed using a new dataset on Italian public finance and electoral data at the central and local level.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Porcelli, Francesco</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Redoano, Michela</subfield><subfield code="d">1968-</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)123417546</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="830" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">CESifo working papers</subfield><subfield code="v">4061 : Category 1, Public finance</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-604)BV013978326</subfield><subfield code="9">4061</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">http://www.cesifo-group.de/ifoHome/publications/working-papers/CESifoWP/CESifoWPdetails?wp_id=19074109</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="z">kostenfrei</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ebook</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025936180</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | DE-604.BV040957765 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:36:12Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025936180 |
| oclc_num | 844072772 |
| open_access_boolean | 1 |
| owner | DE-188 DE-521 DE-12 DE-M382 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| owner_facet | DE-188 DE-521 DE-12 DE-M382 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| physical | 45 S. graph. Darst. |
| psigel | ebook |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateSearch | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | CESifo |
| record_format | marc |
| series | CESifo working papers |
| series2 | CESifo working papers |
| spelling | Bracco, Emanuele Verfasser aut Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data Emanuele Bracco ; Francesco Porcelli ; Michela Redoano Version: Dec. 2012 Munich CESifo 2013 45 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier CESifo working papers 4061 : Category 1, Public finance This paper provides a simple model to explain effect of political alignment between different tiers of government on policy choices and election outcomes. We derive precise predictions that, as long as voters attribute most of the credit for providing public goods to the local government: (i) aligned municipalities receive more grants, set lower taxes and provide more public goods, (ii) the probability that the local incumbent is re-elected is higher in aligned municipalities compared to not aligned ones. Our empirical strategy to identify the alignment effects is built upon the fact that being or not aligned changes discontinuously at 50% of the vote share of local parties. This allows us to use sharp regression discontinuity design. Our theoretical predictions are largely confirmed using a new dataset on Italian public finance and electoral data at the central and local level. Porcelli, Francesco Verfasser aut Redoano, Michela 1968- Verfasser (DE-588)123417546 aut CESifo working papers 4061 : Category 1, Public finance (DE-604)BV013978326 4061 http://www.cesifo-group.de/ifoHome/publications/working-papers/CESifoWP/CESifoWPdetails?wp_id=19074109 Verlag kostenfrei Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Bracco, Emanuele Porcelli, Francesco Redoano, Michela 1968- Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data CESifo working papers |
| title | Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data |
| title_auth | Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data |
| title_exact_search | Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data |
| title_full | Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data Emanuele Bracco ; Francesco Porcelli ; Michela Redoano |
| title_fullStr | Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data Emanuele Bracco ; Francesco Porcelli ; Michela Redoano |
| title_full_unstemmed | Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data Emanuele Bracco ; Francesco Porcelli ; Michela Redoano |
| title_short | Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections |
| title_sort | incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections a regression discontinuity analysis using italian data |
| title_sub | a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data |
| url | http://www.cesifo-group.de/ifoHome/publications/working-papers/CESifoWP/CESifoWPdetails?wp_id=19074109 |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV013978326 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT braccoemanuele incumbenteffectsandpartisanalignmentinlocalelectionsaregressiondiscontinuityanalysisusingitaliandata AT porcellifrancesco incumbenteffectsandpartisanalignmentinlocalelectionsaregressiondiscontinuityanalysisusingitaliandata AT redoanomichela incumbenteffectsandpartisanalignmentinlocalelectionsaregressiondiscontinuityanalysisusingitaliandata |