Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics: a case study of the German North Sea coast
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Thesis Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Berlin [u.a.]
Springer
2013
|
| Series: | Springer theses
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XIV, 224 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 9783642323645 3642323642 9783642323652 |
Staff View
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Record in the Search Index
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IMAGE 1
CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 BACKGROUND 1
1.2 OBJECTIVE AND RESEARCH QUESTIONS 3
1.3 OUTLINE 6
REFERENCES 6
2 RESEARCH DESIGN 9
2.1 EPISTEMOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK O F RESEARCH 10
2.1.1 SIMULATION AS AN INTERDISCIPLINARY TOOL 10
2.1.2 SIMULATION AS A TECHNIQUE TO INVESTIGATE THE DETAILED DYNAMICS O F
A SYSTEM 11
2.1.3 SIMULATION AS A THOUGHT EXPERIMENT 12
2.2 SYSTEM UNDER STUDY 13
2.3 THE AGENT CONCEPT 14
2.4 MODEL BUILDING AND IMPLEMENTATION 19
2.4.1 CONCEPTUAL MODEL DEVELOPMENT 19
2.4.2 CASE STUDY O F THE GERMAN NORTH SEA COAST 21
2.4.3 COMPUTATIONAL MODEL DEVELOPMENT 25
REFERENCES 26
3 THEORETICAL RESEARCH FRAMEWORK 31
3.1 COMPLEX SYSTEMS RESEARCH 31
3.1.1 SYSTEMS 33
3.1.2 SYSTEM DYNAMICS AND BEHAVIOUR 34
3.1.3 COMPLEX AND COMPLICATED 37
3.1.4 KEY PROPERTIES OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS 38
3.1.5 ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS 45
3.2 RISK RESEARCH 48
3.2.1 RISK AND DISASTER 49
3.2.2 DYNAMICS OF VULNERABILITY 51
3.2.3 ASSESSMENT O F RISK AND VULNERABILITY 54
3.2.4 REDUCING VULNERABILITY BY SELF-PROTECTION MEASURES 62
REFERENCES 66
X I
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1024100553
IMAGE 2
XII C O N T E N T S
4 REGIONAL RESEARCH FRAMEWORK 75
4.1 THE GERMAN NORTH SEA COAST O F SCHLESWIG-HOLSTEIN 75
4.2 RISK OF STORM SURGES AND FLOODING IN THE COASTAL LOWLAND 78
4.3 RISK FROM THE PERSPECTIVE O F THE COASTAL POPULATION 82
4.4 RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE COASTAL ZONE OF SCHLESWIG-HOLSTEIN 86
REFERENCES 88
5 SYSTEM ANALYSIS 93
5.1 AGENT-BASED CONCEPTUAL MODEL DEVELOPMENT 93
5.1.1 AGENT-BASED CONCEPTUAL MODEL O F VULNERABILITY DYNAMICS 102
5.1.2 ADAPTATION OF THE CONCEPTUAL MODEL TO THE REGIONAL CONTEXT 106
5.2 MODEL INPUT: EMPIRICAL DATA BASE OF VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT. . . .
108 5.2.1 PERCEPTION AND EVALUATION O F HAZARDS AND RISK 109
5.2.2 EXPERIENCE WITH AND INFORMATION ABOUT EVENTS I L L
5.2.3 CAPACITIES OF RESIDENTS 115
5.2.4 ATTITUDE TOWARDS MEASURES AND FUTURE EXPECTATIONS O F RESIDENTS
118
5.2.5 PREFERENCES FOR SELF-PROTECTION STRATEGIES 122
5.3 MODEL DESIGN: SIMULATION MODEL OF VULNERABILITY DYNAMICS 126 5.3.1
OVERVIEW 127
5.3.2 DESIGN CONCEPTS 139
5.3.3 DETAILS 142
5.4 MODEL OUTPUT: VULNERABILITY DYNAMICS IN THE COASTAL ZONE 143
5.4.1 VULNERABILITY BASELINE 143
5.4.2 INFLUENCE O F THE AGENT PREFERENCES FOR SELF-PROTECTION STRATEGIES
149
5.4.3 INFLUENCE OF THE HUMAN-ENVIRONMENT RELATIONSHIP 157
5.4.4 INFLUENCE O F THE MICRO-MACRO RELATIONSHIP 165
5.4.5 FURTHER SIMULATION EXPERIMENTS 170
5.5 MODEL VERIFICATION AND VALIDATION 178
REFERENCES 180
6 REFLEXION 183
6.1 RELEVANCE (OF THE ABS) FOR COMPLEX SYSTEMS RESEARCH 183
6.2 RELEVANCE (OF THE ABS) FOR RISK RESEARCH 187
6.3 CONCLUSION 191
REFERENCES 197
APPENDIX 1 99
INDEX 221 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Sobiech, Cilli |
| author_facet | Sobiech, Cilli |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Sobiech, Cilli |
| author_variant | c s cs |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV040599103 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)820541472 (DE-599)DNB1024100553 |
| dewey-full | 363.3493011309435 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 363 - Other social problems and services |
| dewey-raw | 363.3493011309435 |
| dewey-search | 363.3493011309435 |
| dewey-sort | 3363.3493011309435 |
| dewey-tens | 360 - Social problems and services; associations |
| discipline | Soziologie |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| spelling | Sobiech, Cilli Verfasser aut Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the German North Sea coast Cilli Sobiech Berlin [u.a.] Springer 2013 XIV, 224 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Springer theses Zugl.: Hamburg, Univ., Diss., 2012 Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd rswk-swf Sturmflut (DE-588)4058275-9 gnd rswk-swf Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd rswk-swf Überschwemmungsgefahr (DE-588)4453039-0 gnd rswk-swf Nordseeküste (DE-588)4075482-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Nordseeküste (DE-588)4075482-0 g Sturmflut (DE-588)4058275-9 s Überschwemmungsgefahr (DE-588)4453039-0 s Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 s Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe Agent-Based Simulation of Vulnerability Dynamics X:MVB text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=4072965&prov=M&dok%5Fvar=1&dok%5Fext=htm Inhaltstext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025426870&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Sobiech, Cilli Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the German North Sea coast Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd Sturmflut (DE-588)4058275-9 gnd Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd Überschwemmungsgefahr (DE-588)4453039-0 gnd |
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| title | Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the German North Sea coast |
| title_auth | Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the German North Sea coast |
| title_exact_search | Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the German North Sea coast |
| title_full | Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the German North Sea coast Cilli Sobiech |
| title_fullStr | Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the German North Sea coast Cilli Sobiech |
| title_full_unstemmed | Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the German North Sea coast Cilli Sobiech |
| title_short | Agent-based simulation of vulnerability dynamics |
| title_sort | agent based simulation of vulnerability dynamics a case study of the german north sea coast |
| title_sub | a case study of the German North Sea coast |
| topic | Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd Sturmflut (DE-588)4058275-9 gnd Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd Überschwemmungsgefahr (DE-588)4453039-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Risikoanalyse Sturmflut Computersimulation Überschwemmungsgefahr Nordseeküste Hochschulschrift |
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