Improving flood damage modelling: damage assessment, model development and application
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Potsdam
GFZ, Helmholtz-Zentrum
2012
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Scientfic Technical Report GFZ, Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam
2012,13 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Literaturverz. S. 143 - 158 |
| Beschreibung: | Getr. Zählung Ill., graph. Darst. |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Improving flood damage modelling |b damage assessment, model development and application |c von Florian Elmer |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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IMAGE 1
CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I
ABSTRACT V
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG IX
CONTENTS XIII
LIST OF FIGURES XVII
LIST OF TABLES XXI
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION 1
1 . STATE AND DEFICIENCIES OF FLOOD RISK ANALYSIS 2
2. RESEARCH QUESTIONS AND OBJECTIVES 8
3. STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS 9
CHAPTER II: A DELPHI-METHOD EXPERT SURVEY TO DERIVE STANDARDS FOR FLOOD
DAMAGE DATA COLLECTION L3_
A B S T R A CT 14
15 15 16
17 19 19 19 20
23 27 29 29 32 36
37 38 41 42 42
X111
1.
1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 2. 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 3. 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5
4.
INTRODUCTION FLOOD RISK EXPERT ELICITATION
QUESTIONING TECHNIQUES OBJECTIVES MATERIAL AND METHODS METHOD SELECTION
SURVEY LAYOUT
EXPERT PANEL METHODS FOR ANALYSES RESULTS CONSENSUS
WILLINGNESS TO ADJUST INFLUENCE OF SUB SAMPLE MEMBERSHIP STANDARDIZATION
TOWARDS STANDARDIZED DAMAGE DATA COLLECTION
CONCLUSIONS
ACKNOWL EDGEMENTS ANNEX
IMAGE 2
ANNEX A. IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS FOR ITEMS IN THE RESIDENTIAL SECTOR
(FIGURE IL3, FIGURE 11,5)
42
ANNEX B. IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS FOR ITEMS IN THE C&I SECTOR (FIGURE
II.4, FIGURE II.6) 46
CHAPTER III: STANDARDISIERTE ERFASSUNG UND BEWERTUNG VON
HOCHWASSERSCHADEN 53
ABSTRACT 54
1. EINFUHRUNG 55
2. WIE KONNEN HOCHWASSERSCHADEN BEWERTET WERDEN? 56
2.1 WAS SIND HOCHWASSERSCHADEN? 56
2.2 EINTEILUNG STRUKTURELLER BAUWERKSSCHADEN 57
2.3 MONETARE BEWERTUNG VON HOCHWASSERSCHADEN 61
3. WELCHE INFONNATIONEN WERDEN FUR EINE SCHADENSANALYSE BENOTIGT? 64
3.1 METHODE: EXPERTENBEFRAGUNG MIT DELPHI 64
3.2 VORSCHLAGE FUR EINE STANDARDISIERTE ERHEBUNG DER DATENINHALTE 65
4. SCHADENSDATEN FUR DIE WISSENSCHAFT UND PRAXIS - DIE
HOCHWASSERSCHADENSDATENBANK HO WAS 21 68
4.1 STRUKTUR UND DATENBANKKONZEPT 69
4.2 NUTZERUND NUTZUNGSKONZEPT 69
4.3 DATENBESTAND UND BEWERTUNG DER DATENQUALITAT 71
5. FAZIT 72
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG 72
SUMMARY 73
DANKSAGUNG 73
CHAPTER IV: INFLUENCE OF FLOOD FREQUENCY ON RESIDENTIAL BUILDING LOSSES
75
ABSTRACT 76
1. INTRODUCTION 77
2. DATA 82
2.1 FLOOD LOSS DATA 82
2.2 ADDITIONAL DATA 83
2.3 INTEGRATED DATA SET 84
3. METHODS 85
3.1 RECURRENCE INTERVAL AND BUILDING LOSSES 85
3.2 DIMENSIONS OF RECURRENCE INTERVAL (FLOOD FREQUENCY) 86
3.3 FLOOD TOSS MODELLING APPROACHES 87
3.4 THE NEW FLOOD LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL FLEMOPS+R 88
3.5 VALIDATION AND MODEL COMPARISON 90
4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 91
4.1 RECURRENCE INTERVAL AND BUILDING LOSSES 91
4.2 DIMENSIONS OF RECURRENCE INTERVAL 92
4.3 FLOOD LOSS MODELS 94
4.4 VALIDATION AND MODEL COMPARISON 97
5. CONCLUSIONS 101
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 102
CHAPTER V: DRIVERS OF FLOOD RISK CHANGE IN RESIDENTIAL AREAS 105
ABSTRACT 106
1. INTRODUCTION 107
2. STUDY AREA 108
XIV
IMAGE 3
3.
3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 4. 4.1
4.2 4.3 4.4 5.
DATA AND METHODS QUANTIFICATION OF THE FLOOD HAZARD EXPOSURE FLOOD
DAMAGE AND FLOOD RISK QUANTIFICATION OF RISK CHANGE DRIVERS RESULTS
FLOOD HAZARD EXPOSURE FLOOD DAMAGE AND FLOOD RISK QUANTIFICATION OF RISK
CHANGE DRIVERS
CONCLUSIONS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
110 111 115 118 121
121 121 122 125 129 132
133
CHAPTER VI: SUMMARY AND MAIN CONCLUSIONS 135
REFERENCES 143
ANNEX A: VORSCHLAGE FUR MINDESTERHEBUNGEN IN VERSCHIEDENEN
SCHADENSSEKTOREN I
4. VORSCHLAGE FUR MINDESTERHEBUNGEN IN VERSCHIEDENEN SCHADENSSEKTOREN II
4.1 INFORMATIONEN ZUR DOKUMENTATION UND QUALITATSSICHERUNG VI
4.2 EREIGNISBESCHREIBUNG IX
4.3 PRIVATHAUSHALTE UND WOHNGEBAUDE XVII
4.4 GEWERBLICHE WIRTSCHAFT UND OFFENTLICHE INFRASTRUKTUR (OHNE VERKEHR)
XXVIII 4.5 LAND-/FORSTWIRTSCHAFT XXXIX
4.6 VERKEHRSINFRASTRUKTUR XLVI
4.7 SCHADENSSEKTOR ,,OFFENTLICHE INFRASTRUKTUR- GEWASSER UND
WASSERBAULICHE ANLAGEN" (INKL. HOCHWASSERSCHUTZEINRICHTUNGEN) LII
4.8 ERSTELLUNG VON GESAMTSCHADENSBILANZEN LXVII
ANNEX B: SIGNIFICANCE OF 'HIGH PROBABILITY/LOW DAMAGE' VERSUS IOW
PROBABILITY/HIGH DAMAGE' FLOOD EVENTS LXXI
ABSTRACT LXXII
1. INTRODUCTION LXXIII
2. SIGNIFICANCE OF'LOW PROBABILITY/HIGH DAMAGE' FLOODS USING THE EAD
CONCEPT AS RISK INDICATOR LXXIV
2.1 DAMAGE EXPECTATION AS RISK INDICATOR LXXIV
2.2 CASE STUDIES LXXV
2.3 GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS LXXVIII
3. SOCIETAL SIGNIFICANCE OF 'LOW PROBABILITY/HIGH DAMAGE' EVENTS LXXXIV
4. INTEGRATING RISK AVERSION IN DECISIONS ON FLOOD RISK MITIGATION
LXXXVI 5. CONCLUSIONS XCIV
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS XCVI
REFERENCES XCVI
AUTHOR'S DECLARATION CHI
XV |
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| spelling | Elmer, Florian Verfasser aut Improving flood damage modelling damage assessment, model development and application von Florian Elmer Potsdam GFZ, Helmholtz-Zentrum 2012 Getr. Zählung Ill., graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Scientfic Technical Report / GFZ, Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam [20]12,13 Literaturverz. S. 143 - 158 Zugl.: Berlin, Humboldt-Univ., Diss., 2012 Hochwasserschaden (DE-588)4257648-9 gnd rswk-swf Delphi-Technik (DE-588)4330954-9 gnd rswk-swf Umfrage (DE-588)4005227-8 gnd rswk-swf Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Hochwasserschaden (DE-588)4257648-9 s Umfrage (DE-588)4005227-8 s Delphi-Technik (DE-588)4330954-9 s DE-604 Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 s Scientfic Technical Report GFZ, Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam 2012,13 (DE-604)BV040700742 2012,13 SWB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025362631&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Elmer, Florian Improving flood damage modelling damage assessment, model development and application Scientfic Technical Report GFZ, Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam Hochwasserschaden (DE-588)4257648-9 gnd Delphi-Technik (DE-588)4330954-9 gnd Umfrage (DE-588)4005227-8 gnd Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd |
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| title | Improving flood damage modelling damage assessment, model development and application |
| title_auth | Improving flood damage modelling damage assessment, model development and application |
| title_exact_search | Improving flood damage modelling damage assessment, model development and application |
| title_full | Improving flood damage modelling damage assessment, model development and application von Florian Elmer |
| title_fullStr | Improving flood damage modelling damage assessment, model development and application von Florian Elmer |
| title_full_unstemmed | Improving flood damage modelling damage assessment, model development and application von Florian Elmer |
| title_short | Improving flood damage modelling |
| title_sort | improving flood damage modelling damage assessment model development and application |
| title_sub | damage assessment, model development and application |
| topic | Hochwasserschaden (DE-588)4257648-9 gnd Delphi-Technik (DE-588)4330954-9 gnd Umfrage (DE-588)4005227-8 gnd Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Hochwasserschaden Delphi-Technik Umfrage Modellierung Hochschulschrift |
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