Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament - Pearl, Jonathan (Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 2011)
"November 2011."
Includes bibliographical references (p. 41-57)
American abolitionism : new trick or old pony? (1945-91). Limited dissent for a wartime project -- Shaping the post-war world -- Three important shifts move the United States away from disarmament -- From Kennedy to Carter : the rise of arms control -- A Reagan-era rebirth for disarmament -- Shaping a new world order, or shaped by it? : from Reykjavik to rogue states. New risks and uncertain priorities in the post-Cold War world (1991-2001) -- Disarmament continues its retreat (2001-09) -- A new center or a return to normalcy? : the four horsemen ride to town -- Forecasting the U.S. nuclear future : yes we can (eventually?). The Obama administration : pledges and actions -- Continuity, not revolution -- Guarding your optimism : conceptual roadblocks to disarmament -- Guarding your optimism : structural roadblocks to disarmament -- Conclusion