Macroeconomic theory: a dynamic general equilibrium approach
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| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Princeton, NJ [u.a.]
Princeton Univ. Press
2011
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| Edition: | 2. ed. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XVII, 596 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780691152868 |
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| adam_text | Titel: Macroeconomic theory
Autor: Wickens, Michael R
Jahr: 2011
Contents
Preface xiii
1 Introduction 1
1.1 Dynamic General Equilibrium versus Traditional Macroeconomics 1
1.2 Traditional Macroeconomics 3
1.3 Dynamic General Equilibrium Macroeconomics 4
1.4 The Structure of This Book 10
2 The Centralized Economy 15
2.1 Introduction 15
2.2 The Basic Dynamic General Equilibrium Closed Economy 15
2.3 Golden Rule Solution 17
2.3.1 The Steady State 17
2.3.2 The Dynamics of the Golden Rule 20
2.4 Optimal Solution 20
2.4.1 Derivation of the Fundamental Euler Equation 20
2.4.2 Interpretation of the Euler Equation 22
2.4.3 The Intertemporal Production Possibility Frontier 23
2.4.4 Graphical Representation of the Solution 24
2.4.5 Static Equilibrium Solution 24
2.4.6 Dynamics of the Optimal Solution 26
2.4.7 Algebraic Analysis of the Saddlepath Dynamics 28
2.5 Real-Business-Cycle Dynamics 30
2.5.1 The Business Cycle 30
2.5.2 Permanent Technology Shocks 31
2.5.3 Temporary Technology Shocks 32
2.5.4 The Stability and Dynamics of the Golden Rule Revisited 32
2.6 Labor in the Basic Model 33
2.7 Investment 35
2.7.1 q-Theory 36
2.7.2 Time to Build 40
2.8 Conclusions 41
3 Economic Growth 43
3.1 Introduction 43
3.2 Modeling Economic Growth 44
vi Contents
3.3 The Solow-Swan Model of Growth 46
3.3.1 Theory 46
3.3.2 Growth and Economic Development 48
3.3.3 Balanced Growth 48
3.4 The Theory of Optimal Growth 49
3.4.1 Theory 49
3.4.2 Additional Remarks on Optimal Growth 53
3.5 Endogenous Growth 54
3.5.1 The AK Model of Endogenous Growth 55
3.5.2 Human Capital Models of Endogenous Growth 55
3.6 Conclusions 59
4 The Decentralized Economy 60
4.1 Introduction 60
4.2 Consumption 61
4.2.1 The Consumption Decision 61
4.2.2 The Intertemporal Budget Constraint 62
4.2.3 Interpreting the Euler Equation 63
4.2.4 The Consumption Function 65
4.2.5 Permanent and Temporary Shocks 67
4.3 Savings 70
4.4 Life-Cycle Theory 71
4.4.1 Implications of Life-Cycle Theory 71
4.4.2 Model of Perpetual Youth 73
4.5 Nondurable and Durable Consumption 74
4.6 Labor Supply 76
4.7 Firms 78
4.7.1 Labor Demand without Adjustment Costs 79
4.7.2 Labor Demand with Adjustment Costs 80
4.8 General Equilibrium in a Decentralized Economy 83
4.8.1 Consolidating the Household and Firm Budget Constraints 83
4.8.2 The Labor Market 85
4.8.3 The Goods Market 86
4.9 Comparison with the Centralized Model 87
4.10 Conclusions 89
5 Government: Expenditures and Public Finances 90
5.1 Introduction 90
5.2 The Government Budget Constraint 92
5.2.1 The Nominal Government Budget Constraint 92
5.2.2 The Real Government Budget Constraint 94
5.2.3 An Alternative Representation of the GBC 94
5.3 Financing Government Expenditures 95
5.3.1 Tax Finance 95
5.3.2 Bond Finance 97
5.3.3 Intertemporal Fiscal Policy 99
5.3.4 The Ricardian Equivalence Theorem 100
5.4 The Sustainability of the Fiscal Stance 102
5.4.1 Case 1: [(1 + tt)(1 + y)]/(l+ «) 1 (Stable Case) 104
5.4.2 Case 2: 0 [(1 + tt)(1 + y)]/(l+i?) 1 (Unstable Case) 106
5.4.3 Fiscal Rules 108
5.5 The Stability and Growth Pact 109
5.6 The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level 111
Contents vii
5.7 Optimizing Public Finances 112
5.7.1 Optimal Government Expenditures 113
5.7.2 Optimal Tax Rates 115
5.7.3 The Optimal Level of Debt 125
5.8 Conclusions 127
6 Fiscal Policy: Further Issues 129
6.1 Introduction 129
6.2 Time-Consistent and Time-Inconsistent Fiscal Policy 129
6.2.1 Lump-Sum Taxation 131
6.2.2 Taxes on Labor and Capital 134
6.2.3 Conclusions 139
6.3 The Overlapping-Generations Model 139
6.3.1 Introduction 139
6.3.2 The Basic Overlapping-Generations Model 140
6.3.3 Short-Run Dynamics and Long-Run Equilibrium 144
6.3.4 Comparison with the Representative-Agent Model 145
6.3.5 Fiscal Policy in the OLG Model: Pensions 146
6.3.6 Conclusions 151
7 The Open Economy 153
7.1 Introduction 153
7.2 The Optimal Solution for the Open Economy 154
7.2.1 The Open Economy s Resource Constraint 154
7.2.2 The Optimal Solution 157
7.2.3 Interpretation of the Solution 158
7.2.4 Long-Run Equilibrium 159
7.2.5 Shocks to the Current Account 161
7.3 Traded and Nontraded Goods 163
7.3.1 The Long-Run Solution 167
7.4 The Terms of Trade and the Real Exchange Rate 168
7.4.1 The Law of One Price 169
7.4.2 Purchasing Power Parity 169
7.4.3 Some Stylized Facts about the Terms of Trade and
the Real Exchange Rate 170
7.5 Imperfect Substitutability of Tradeables 172
7.5.1 Pricing-to-Market, Local-Currency Pricing, and
Producer-Currency Pricing 172
7.5.2 Imperfect Substitutability of Tradeables and Nontradeables 172
7.6 Current-Account Sustainability 176
7.6.1 Balance of Payments Sustainability 176
7.6.2 The Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account 182
7.7 Conclusions 183
8 The Monetary Economy 185
8.1 Introduction 185
8.2 A Brief History of Money and Its Role 186
8.3 The Nominal Household Budget Constraint 189
8.4 The Cash-in-Advance Model of Money Demand 190
8.5 Money in the Utility Function 192
8.6 Money as an Intermediate Good or the Shopping-Time Model 195
8.7 Transactions Costs 197
8.8 Cash and Credit Purchases 199
viii Contents
8.9 Some Empirical Evidence 202
8.10 Hyperinflation and Cagan s Money-Demand Model 204
8.11 The Optimal Rate of Inflation 206
8.11.1 The Friedman Rule 206
8.11.2 The General Equilibrium Solution 207
8.12 The Super-Neutrality of Money 211
8.13 Conclusions 214
9 Imperfectly Flexible Prices 216
9.1 Introduction 216
9.2 Some Stylized Facts about Prices and Wages 217
9.3 Price Setting under Imperfect Competition 220
9.3.1 Theory of Pricing in Imperfect Competition 220
9.3.2 Price Determination in the Macroeconomy with
Imperfect Competition 222
9.3.3 Pricing with Intermediate Goods 226
9.3.4 Pricing in the Open Economy: Local and
Producer-Currency Pricing 229
9.4 Price Stickiness 230
9.4.1 Taylor Model of Overlapping Contracts 231
9.4.2 The Calvo Model of Staggered Price Adjustment 233
9.4.3 Optimal Dynamic Adjustment 234
9.4.4 Price Level Dynamics 235
9.5 The New Keynesian Phillips Curve 237
9.5.1 The New Keynesian Phillips Curve in an Open Economy 240
9.6 Conclusions 241
10 Unemployment 243
10.1 Introduction 243
10.2 Some Labor Market Data 244
10.3 Search Theory and Unemployment 246
10.3.1 The Employment Matching Function 247
10.3.2 Labor Demand 249
10.3.3 Labor Supply 250
10.3.4 Wage Bargaining 250
10.3.5 Comment 251
10.4 Efficiency-Wage Theory 253
10.4.1 Comment 257
10.5 Wage Stickiness and Unemployment 258
10.5.1 Labor Demand 258
10.5.2 Labor Supply 259
10.5.3 The Equilibrium Solution 260
10.5.4 Wage Determination 260
10.5.5 Unemployment 261
10.5.6 Comment 262
10.6 Unemployment and the Effectiveness of Fiscal and Monetary Policy 263
10.7 Conclusions 265
11 Asset Pricing and Macroeconomics 267
11.1 Introduction 267
11.2 Expected Utility and Risk 268
11.2.1 Risk Aversion 268
11.2.2 Risk Premium 269
Contents ix
11.3 Insurance Premium 270
11.4 No-Arbitrage and Market Efficiency 271
11.4.1 Arbitrage and No-Arbitrage 271
11.4.2 Market Efficiency 271
11.5 Asset Pricing and Contingent Claims 272
11.5.1 A Contingent Claim 273
11.5.2 The Price of an Asset 273
11.5.3 The Stochastic Discount-Factor Approach to Asset Pricing 273
11.5.4 Asset Returns 274
11.5.5 Risk-Free Return 274
11.5.6 The No-Arbitrage Relation 275
11.5.7 Risk-Neutral Valuation 275
11.6 General Equilibrium Asset Pricing 277
11.6.1 Using Contingent-Claims Analysis 277
11.6.2 Asset Pricing Using the Consumption-Based
Capital-Asset-Pricing Model (C-CAPM) 2 79
11.7 Asset Allocation 286
11.7.1 The Capital-Asset-Pricing Model (CAPM) 289
11.7.2 Asset Substitutability and No-Arbitrage 290
11.8 Consumption under Uncertainty 290
11.9 Complete Markets 291
11.9.1 Risk Sharing and Complete Markets 292
11.9.2 Market Incompleteness 295
11.10 Conclusions 296
12 Financial Markets 298
12.1 Introduction 298
12.2 The Stock Market 299
12.2.1 The Present-Value Model 299
12.2.2 The General Equilibrium Model of Stock Prices 303
12.2.3 Comment 306
12.3 The Bond Market 306
12.3.1 The Term Structure of Interest Rates 307
12.3.2 The Term Premium 312
12.3.3 Macroeconomic Sources of Risk in the Term Structure 318
12.3.4 Estimating Future Inflation from the Yield Curve 321
12.3.5 Comment 322
12.3.6 Monetary Policy and the Term Structure 323
12.3.7 Comment 327
12.3.8 DSGE Models of the Term Structure 327
12.4 The FOREX Market 331
12.4.1 Uncovered and Covered Interest Parity 333
12.4.2 The General Equilibrium Model of FOREX 342
12.4.3 Comment 345
12.5 Conclusions 346
13 Nominal Exchange Rates 348
13.1 Introduction 348
13.2 International Monetary Arrangements 1873-2011 350
13.2.1 The Gold Standard System: 1873-1937 351
13.2.2 The Bretton Woods System: 1945-71 352
13.2.3 Floating Exchange Rates: 1973-2011 353
x Contents
13.3 The Keynesian IS-LM-BP Model of the Exchange Rate 357
13.3.1 The IS-LM Model 358
13.3.2 The BP Equation 362
13.3.3 Fixed Exchange Rates: The Monetary Approach to
the Balance of Payments 365
13.3.4 Exchange-Rate Determination with Imperfect Capital
Substitutability 366
13.4 UIP and Exchange-Rate Determination 368
13.5 The Mundell-Fleming Model of the Exchange Rate 370
13.5.1 Theory 370
13.5.2 Monetary Policy 371
13.5.3 Fiscal Policy 372
13.6 The Monetary Model of the Exchange Rate 373
13.6.1 Theory 373
13.6.2 Monetary Policy 375
13.6.3 Fiscal Policy 378
13.7 The Dornbusch Model of the Exchange Rate 378
13.7.1 Theory 378
13.7.2 Monetary Policy 381
13.7.3 Fiscal Policy 383
13.7.4 Comparison of the Dornbusch and Monetary Models 385
13.8 The Monetary Model with Sticky Prices 386
13.9 The Obstfeld-Rogoff Redux Model 387
13.9.1 The Basic Redux Model with Flexible Prices 389
13.9.2 Log-Linear Approximation 394
13.9.3 The Small-Economy Version of the Redux Model
with Sticky Prices 396
13.9.4 Comment 399
13.10 Conclusions 399
14 Monetary Policy 402
14.1 Introduction 402
14.2 Inflation and the Fisher Equation 407
14.3 The Keynesian Model of Inflation 409
14.3.1 Theory 409
14.3.2 Empirical Evidence 412
14.4 The New Keynesian Model of Inflation 413
14.4.1 Theory 413
14.4.2 The Effectiveness of Inflation Targeting in the
New Keynesian Model 419
14.4.3 Inflation Targeting with a Flexible Exchange Rate 426
14.4.4 The Nominal Exchange Rate Under Inflation Targeting 430
14.4.5 Inflation Targeting and Supply Shocks 432
14.5 Optimal Inflation Targeting 434
14.5.1 Social Welfare and the Inflation Objective Function 434
14.5.2 Optimal Inflation Policy under Discretion 437
14.5.3 Optimal Inflation Policy under Commitment to a Rule 441
14.5.4 Intertemporal Optimization and Time-Consistent
Inflation Targeting 442
14.5.5 Central Bank Preferences versus Public Preferences 445
14.6 Optimal Monetary Policy Using the New Keynesian Model 446
14.6.1 Using Discretion 446
14.6.2 Rules-Based Policy 448
Contents xi
14.7 Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy 450
14.8 Monetary Policy in the Eurozone 455
14.8.1 A New Keynesian Model of the Eurozone 457
14.8.2 Optimal Eurozone Monetary Policy 458
14.8.3 Individual Country Inflation 459
14.8.4 Eurozone Country Inflation Differentials 459
14.8.5 Is There Another Solution? 460
14.9 Conclusions 461
15 Banks, Financial Intermediation, and Unconventional Monetary Policy 464
15.1 Introduction 464
15.2 Some Lessons from the Financial Crisis 465
15.3 Financial Market Imperfections 467
15.3.1 Borrowing Constraints 467
15.3.2 Default 469
15.3.3 Imperfect Information 471
15.4 Modern Banking: A Brief History and Its Role in the Financial Crisis 474
15.5 Fractional Reserve Banking 478
15.6 The Theory of Bank Runs 478
15.6.1 Households and the Banks 479
15.6.2 The Interbank Market 481
15.6.3 Central Bank Intervention 483
15.6.4 Comment 485
15.7 A Theory of Unconventional Monetary Policy 487
15.7.1 Households 488
15.7.2 Financial Intermediaries 489
15.7.3 The Central Bank 489
15.7.4 Comment 490
15.8 A DSGE Model with Default 491
15.8.1 The Nonbank Private Sector 492
15.8.2 Banks 494
15.8.3 Government 496
15.8.4 Comment 497
15.9 Conclusions 499
16 Real Business Cycles, DSGE Models, and Economic Fluctuations 501
16.1 Introduction 501
16.2 The Methodology of RBC Analysis 502
16.2.1 The Steady-State Solution 505
16.2.2 Short-Run Dynamics 506
16.3 Empirical Methods 508
16.4 Empirical Evidence on the RBC Model 511
16.4.1 The Basic RBC Model 512
16.4.2 Extensions to the Basic RBC Model 514
16.4.3 The Open-Economy RBC Model 516
16.5 DSGE Models of the Monetary Economy 521
16.5.1 The Smets-Wouters Model 522
16.5.2 Empirical Results 526
16.6 Wedges, Frictions, and Economic Fluctuations 528
16.6.1 A Benchmark Model 528
16.6.2 Alternative Explanations of the Wedges 529
16.6.3 Frictions 531
16.6.4 Comment 533
xii Contents
16.7 The Identification of a New Keynesian Model 533
16.8 Some Reflections on the Choices Involved in Constructing a
DSGE Model 534
16.9 Conclusions 536
17 Mathematical Appendix 538
17.1 Introduction 538
17.2 Dynamic Optimization 538
17.3 The Method of Lagrange Multipliers 540
17.3.1 Equality Constraints 540
17.3.2 Inequality Constraints 545
17.4 Continuous-Time Optimization 546
17.4.1 The Calculus of Variations 547
17.4.2 The Maximum Principle 548
17.5 Dynamic Programming 548
17.6 Stochastic Dynamic Optimization 552
17.7 Time Consistency and Time Inconsistency 554
17.8 The Linear Rational-Expectations Models 556
17.8.1 Rational Expectations 557
17.8.2 The First-Order Nonstochastic Equation 558
17.8.3 Whiteman s Solution Method for Linear
Rational-Expectations Models 560
17.8.4 Systems of Rational-Expectations Equations 567
References 575
Index 589
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Wickens, Michael R. 1940- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)124490670 |
| author_facet | Wickens, Michael R. 1940- |
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| classification_rvk | QC 300 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)785845669 (DE-599)BVBBV039946675 |
| dewey-full | 339 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 339 - Macroeconomics and related topics |
| dewey-raw | 339 |
| dewey-search | 339 |
| dewey-sort | 3339 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | 2. ed. |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV039946675 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:14:44Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780691152868 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-024804658 |
| oclc_num | 785845669 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-188 DE-2070s DE-703 DE-M347 DE-945 DE-M382 DE-521 DE-20 DE-739 DE-384 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-92 |
| owner_facet | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-188 DE-2070s DE-703 DE-M347 DE-945 DE-M382 DE-521 DE-20 DE-739 DE-384 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-92 |
| physical | XVII, 596 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2011 |
| publishDateSearch | 2011 |
| publishDateSort | 2011 |
| publisher | Princeton Univ. Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Wickens, Michael R. 1940- Verfasser (DE-588)124490670 aut Macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach Michael Wickens 2. ed. Princeton, NJ [u.a.] Princeton Univ. Press 2011 XVII, 596 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Macroeconomics Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd rswk-swf Dynamische Makroökonomie (DE-588)4200428-7 gnd rswk-swf Allgemeines Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4129904-8 gnd rswk-swf Theorie (DE-588)4059787-8 gnd rswk-swf Dynamisches Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4228432-6 gnd rswk-swf Dynamische Makroökonomie (DE-588)4200428-7 s Allgemeines Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4129904-8 s Theorie (DE-588)4059787-8 s DE-604 Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 s Dynamisches Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4228432-6 s DE-188 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024804658&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Wickens, Michael R. 1940- Macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach Macroeconomics Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Dynamische Makroökonomie (DE-588)4200428-7 gnd Allgemeines Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4129904-8 gnd Theorie (DE-588)4059787-8 gnd Dynamisches Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4228432-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4037174-8 (DE-588)4200428-7 (DE-588)4129904-8 (DE-588)4059787-8 (DE-588)4228432-6 |
| title | Macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach |
| title_auth | Macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach |
| title_exact_search | Macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach |
| title_full | Macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach Michael Wickens |
| title_fullStr | Macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach Michael Wickens |
| title_full_unstemmed | Macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach Michael Wickens |
| title_short | Macroeconomic theory |
| title_sort | macroeconomic theory a dynamic general equilibrium approach |
| title_sub | a dynamic general equilibrium approach |
| topic | Macroeconomics Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Dynamische Makroökonomie (DE-588)4200428-7 gnd Allgemeines Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4129904-8 gnd Theorie (DE-588)4059787-8 gnd Dynamisches Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4228432-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Macroeconomics Makroökonomie Dynamische Makroökonomie Allgemeines Gleichgewicht Theorie Dynamisches Gleichgewicht |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024804658&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT wickensmichaelr macroeconomictheoryadynamicgeneralequilibriumapproach |