Holdings: Predicting social tipping points

Predicting social tipping points: current research and the way forward

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Grimm, Sonja 1978- (Author), Schneider, Gerald 1962- (Author)
Format:	Book
Language:	English
Published:	Bonn DIE 2011
Series:	Discussion paper / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik 2011,8
Online Access:	Inhaltsverzeichnis
Item Description:	Literaturangaben
Physical Description:	37 S. graph. Darst. 30 cm
ISBN:	9783889855374

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MARC


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adam_text	Titel: Predicting social tipping points Autor: Grimm, Sonja Jahr: 2011 Contents Executive Summary 1 1 Introduction 3 1.1 The concept of tipping points in the natural sciences 4 1.2 Value of the concept for the social sciences 5 1.3 Forecasting True Positives and True Negatives 7 1.4 Selection of approaches for predicting social tipping points 9 1.5 Study outline 10 2 Definition of key concepts and introduction of a theoretical model 10 2.1 Social tipping points 10 2.2 Fragile statehood 11 2.3 Our theoretical model of a social tipping point situation 13 3 Approaches for predicting tipping points 17 3.1 Structural approaches 18 3.2 Dynamic approaches 20 3.3 Game theoretic approaches 22 3.4 Comparison of the three approaches: strengths and weaknesses 24 4 The use of the tipping point concept in development policy 24 4.1 Applicability of the tipping point concept in development policy 24 4.2 Challenges of early warning 25 4.3 Conditions for successful early warning 28 5 Conclusions and recommendations 28 5.1 Main findings 28 5.2 Recommendations 29 5.3 Avenues for further research 30 Bibliography 33 Figure 1: A visualization of four ideal type social tipping point models 16 Table 1: Comparing the applicability of the three prediction approaches 17
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author	Grimm, Sonja 1978- Schneider, Gerald 1962-
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discipline	Politologie Soziologie
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id	DE-604.BV039917679
illustrated	Illustrated
indexdate	2024-07-10T00:14:06Z
institution	BVB
isbn	9783889855374
language	English
oai_aleph_id	oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-024776235
oclc_num	780134189
open_access_boolean
owner	DE-12
owner_facet	DE-12
physical	37 S. graph. Darst. 30 cm
publishDate	2011
publishDateSearch	2011
publishDateSort	2011
publisher	DIE
record_format	marc
series2	Discussion paper / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik
spelling	Grimm, Sonja 1978- Verfasser (DE-588)1012657221 aut Predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward Sonja Grimm ; Gerald Schneider. [DIE, Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik] Bonn DIE 2011 37 S. graph. Darst. 30 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Discussion paper / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik 2011,8 Literaturangaben Schneider, Gerald 1962- Verfasser (DE-588)130392324 aut Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik Discussion paper 2011,8 (DE-604)BV021251505 2011,8 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024776235&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis
spellingShingle	Grimm, Sonja 1978- Schneider, Gerald 1962- Predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward
title	Predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward
title_auth	Predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward
title_exact_search	Predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward
title_full	Predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward Sonja Grimm ; Gerald Schneider. [DIE, Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik]
title_fullStr	Predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward Sonja Grimm ; Gerald Schneider. [DIE, Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik]
title_full_unstemmed	Predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward Sonja Grimm ; Gerald Schneider. [DIE, Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik]
title_short	Predicting social tipping points
title_sort	predicting social tipping points current research and the way forward
title_sub	current research and the way forward
url	http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024776235&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
volume_link	(DE-604)BV021251505
work_keys_str_mv	AT grimmsonja predictingsocialtippingpointscurrentresearchandthewayforward AT schneidergerald predictingsocialtippingpointscurrentresearchandthewayforward

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