Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020:
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nairobi
Internat. Livestock Research Inst.
2002
|
| Series: | Socio-economics and policy research working paper
49 |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | VII, 52 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9291461253 |
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Titel: Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020
Autor: Ehui, Simeon K.
Jahr: 2002
Table of Contents
List of Tables.iv
List of Figures.v
Acknowledgements.vii
Executive summary.1
1 Introduction.2
2 Recent trends in food consumption, production and trade.4
2.1 Consumption.4
2.2 Production and trade.8
3 Projections of food demand and supply to 2020.13
3.1 The 2020 baseline assumptions.13
3.2 Projections to 2020 under baseline assumptions.15
3.3 Projections to 2020 under alternative scenarios.20
3.3.1 Impacts of slower population growth.20
3.3.2 Impacts of higher livestock productivity.22
3.3.3 Full trade liberalisation.23
3.3.4 Pessimistic scenario.28
3.3.5 Optimistic scenario.28
4 Challenges and opportunities for addressing future food security.30
4.1 Increasing agricultural productivity.30
4.1.1 Increasing crop yields.30
4.2.2 Increasing livestock productivity.32
4.2 Maintaining low population growth.35
4.3 Reducing environmental degradation.36
5 Policies and strategies for future food security.37
5.1 General policies.37
5.1.1 Improve human resource.37
5.1.2 Improve investment in agricultural research.37
5.1.3 Markets, infrastructure and institutions.38
5.1.4 Natural resources management.38
5.1.5 Macro-economic policies.39
5.1.6 Globalisation.39
5.2 Sub-regional strategies.40
5.2.1 The humid zone.41
5.2.2 The sub-humid zone.42
5.2.3 The semi-arid zone.42
5.2.4 The arid zone.43
5.2.5 The highlands.43
6 Conclusions.45
References.48
Appendix: Sub-Saharan Africa sub-regions, countries and commodities.51
List of Tables
Table 1. Total consumption of cereals and roots and tubers (x 1061),
1975-95.5
Table 2. Total consumption of meat, milk and eggs (x 1061), 1975-95.7
Table 3. Livestock productivity (yield = kg/head), 1975-95.10
Table 4. Net trade of cereals, 1975-95.11
Table 5. Net trade of meat, milk and eggs, 1975-95.12
Table 6. Baseline assumptions for projections to 2020 for sub-Saharan Africa.14
Table 7. Projections of total consumption of food crops (x 1031),
1997-2020 (baseline).17
Table 8. Projections of total production of food crops (x 1031), 1997-2020
(baseline).17
Table 9. Projections of total consumption of meat, milk and eggs (x 1031),
1997-2020 (baseline).18
Table 10. Projections of total production of meat, milk and eggs (x 10' t),
1997-2020 (baseline).18
Table 11. Assumptions for sub-Saharan Africa under pessimistic and optimistic
scenarios to 2020.27
Table 12. Agro-ecological zones (AEZs) of sub-Saharan Africa.41
IV
List of Figures
Figure 1. Consumption of milk (kg/capita), 1975-95.4
Figure 2. Consumption of roots and tubers (dry weight equivalent: kg/capita),
1975-95.5
Figure 3. Consumption of meat (kg/capita), 1975-95.6
Figure 4. Consumption of milk (kg/capita), 1975-95.6
Figure 5. Consumption of eggs (kg/capita), 1975-95.6
Figure 6. Per capita daily calorie and protein supply (average 1975-95).7
Figure 7. Percentage contribution to total daily calorie supply (average 1975-95) . 8
Figure 8. Production of crops (% change from previous year), 1965-2000.8
Figure 9. Average yields of cereal (t/ha), 1975-95.9
Figure 10. Average yields of roots and tubers (t/ha), 1975-95.9
Figure 11. Production of cereal (kg/capita), 1975-95.9
Figure 12. Production of roots and tubers (kg/capita), 1975-95.10
Figure 13. Production of livestock (% change from previous year), 1965-2000.11
Figure 14. Net trade of cereals (x 1061), 1975-95.11
Figure 15. Projections of consumption of food crops (kg/capita), 1997-2020
(baseline).16
Figure 16. Projections of average crop yields (t/ha), 1997-2020 (baseline).16
Figure 17. Projections of net trade of cereals (x 106 t), 1997-2020 (baseline).16
Figure 18. Projections of consumption of livestock (kg/capita), 1997-2020
(baseline).18
Figure 19. Projections of net trade of meat and milk (x 1051), 1997-2020
(baseline).19
Figure 20. Projections of daily calorie supply, 1997-2020 (baseline).19
Figure 21. Projections of number of malnourished children (x 1061),
1997-2020 (baseline).20
Figure 22. Projections of cereal consumption (kg/capita), alternative 2020
scenarios.21
Figure 23. Projections of roots and tubers consumption (kg/capita),
alternative 2020 scenarios.21
Figure 24. Projections of meat consumption (kg/capita), alternative 2020
scenarios.22
Figure 25. Projections of milk consumption (kg/capita), alternative 2020
scenarios.22
Figure 26. Projections of cereal production (kg/capita), alternative 2020
scenarios.23
Figure 27. Projections of roots and tubers production (kg/capita), alternative
2020 scenarios.23
Figure 28. Projections of meat production (kg/capita), alternative
2020 scenarios.24
Figure 29. Projections of milk production (kg/capita), alternative 2020
scenarios.24
Figure 30. Projections of world prices of selected commodities, alternative 2020
scenarios.25
Figure 31. Projections of net trade of cereal (x 1061), alternative 2020
scenarios.25
Figure 32. Projections of net trade of roots and tubers (x 1061), alternative 2020
scenarios.25
Figure 33. Projections of net trade of meat (x 106 t), alternative 2020 scenarios.26
Figure 34. Projections of net trade of milk (x 1061), alternative 2020 scenarios.26
Figure 35. Projections of daily calorie supply, alternative 2020 scenarios.26
Figure 36. Projections of number of malnourished children (x 106), alternative
2020 scenarios.27
Figure 37. Fertiliser consumption (kg/ha of arable land), 1965-95.32
VI |
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| spelling | Ehui, Simeon K. Verfasser aut Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 S. Ehui ... Nairobi Internat. Livestock Research Inst. 2002 VII, 52 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Socio-economics and policy research working paper 49 Land reform Ethiopia Land use Ethiopia Agrarreform (DE-588)4000776-5 gnd rswk-swf Äthiopien (DE-588)4000639-6 gnd rswk-swf Äthiopien (DE-588)4000639-6 g Agrarreform (DE-588)4000776-5 s DE-604 Socio-economics and policy research working paper 49 (DE-604)BV021272940 49 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024450739&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Ehui, Simeon K. Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 Socio-economics and policy research working paper Land reform Ethiopia Land use Ethiopia Agrarreform (DE-588)4000776-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4000776-5 (DE-588)4000639-6 |
| title | Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 |
| title_auth | Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 |
| title_exact_search | Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 |
| title_full | Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 S. Ehui ... |
| title_fullStr | Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 S. Ehui ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 S. Ehui ... |
| title_short | Food security in sub-Saharan Africa to 2020 |
| title_sort | food security in sub saharan africa to 2020 |
| topic | Land reform Ethiopia Land use Ethiopia Agrarreform (DE-588)4000776-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Land reform Ethiopia Land use Ethiopia Agrarreform Äthiopien |
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