Stalking the black swan: research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York
Columbia University Press
c2010
|
| Series: | Columbia Business School Publishing
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Physical Description: | XV, 267 S. |
| ISBN: | 9780231150484 |
Staff View
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | STALKING BLACK SWAN RESEARCH AND DECISION MAKING IN A WORLD OF EXTREME
VOLATILITY KENNETH A. POSNER ^-COLUMBIA BUSINESS SCHOOL PUBLISHING
CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS VII INTRODUCTION IX PART I: UNCERTAINTY 1
FORECASTING IN EXTREME ENVIRONMENTS 3 2 THINKING IN PROBABILITIES 32 3
THE BALANCE BETWEEN OVERCONFIDENCE AND UNDERCONFIDENCE, AND THE SPECIAL
RISK OF COMPLEX MODELING 55 PART II: INFORMATION 4 FIGHTING INFORMATION
OVERLOAD WITH STRATEGY 87 5 MAKING DECISIONS IN REAL TIME: HOW TO REACT
TO NEW INFORMATION WITHOUT FALLING VICTIM TO COGNITIVE DISSONANCE 110 6
MITIGATING INFORMATION ASYMMETRY 137 PART III: ANALYSIS AND JUDGMENT 7
MAPPINGFROM SIMPLE IDEAS TO COMPLEX ANALYSIS 157 8 THE POWER AND
PITFALLS OF MONTE CARLO MODELING 178 9 JUDGMENT V 206 NOTES 237 INDEX
257
|
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
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| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T22:41:38Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780231150484 |
| language | English |
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| physical | XV, 267 S. |
| publishDate | 2010 |
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| publisher | Columbia University Press |
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| series2 | Columbia Business School Publishing |
| spelling | Posner, Kenneth A. Verfasser aut Stalking the black swan research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility Kenneth A. Posner New York Columbia University Press c2010 XV, 267 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Columbia Business School Publishing Includes bibliographical references and index Investment analysis Investments Forecasting Business cycles Recessions Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-0-231-52167-3 GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020418193&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Posner, Kenneth A. Stalking the black swan research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility Investment analysis Investments Forecasting Business cycles Recessions |
| title | Stalking the black swan research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility |
| title_auth | Stalking the black swan research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility |
| title_exact_search | Stalking the black swan research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility |
| title_full | Stalking the black swan research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility Kenneth A. Posner |
| title_fullStr | Stalking the black swan research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility Kenneth A. Posner |
| title_full_unstemmed | Stalking the black swan research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility Kenneth A. Posner |
| title_short | Stalking the black swan |
| title_sort | stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility |
| title_sub | research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility |
| topic | Investment analysis Investments Forecasting Business cycles Recessions |
| topic_facet | Investment analysis Investments Forecasting Business cycles Recessions |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020418193&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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