Understanding foreign policy decision making:
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| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Cambridge [u.a.]
Cambridge Univ. Press
2010
|
| Edition: | 1. publ. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Physical Description: | XIII, 208 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780521876452 9780521700092 |
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MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Understanding foreign policy decision making |c Alex Mintz ; Karl DeRouen |
| 250 | |a 1. publ. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a Cambridge [u.a.] |b Cambridge Univ. Press |c 2010 | |
| 300 | |a XIII, 208 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
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| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index | ||
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| 650 | 4 | |a Psychologie | |
| 650 | 4 | |a International relations |x Decision making | |
| 650 | 4 | |a International relations |x Psychological aspects | |
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Record in the Search Index
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Acknowledgments page
xiii
part one: introduction
ι
Why Study Foreign Policy from a Decision-Making
Perspective?
...................................3
Foreign Policy Decision Making
3
Why Study Foreign Policy Decision Making?
5
The Rational and Cognitive Schools
7
Comparative Foreign Policy
9
Limitations of the Decision-Making Approach
ю
Plan of the Book
ю
part two: the decision environment
2
Types of Decisions and Levels of Analysis in Foreign Policy
Decision Making
................................15
Types of Decisions
15
Unilateral, Negotiated, Structured, and Unstructured
Decisions
16
Holistic, Heuristic and Wholistic Decisions
17
Trade-offs in Decision Making
17
The Level of Analysis in Foreign Policy Decision Making
18
Individual-Level Decisions
18
Group-level Decisions
19
Coalition Decision Making
20
Case Study: Israel s Foreign Policy Making by Coalition
21
Another Example of Coalition Decision Making: Iceland s Cod
War,
1971-1974 23
The Decision Environment
25
Time Constraints
25
Information Constraints
26
vii
viii Contents
Ambiguity
27
Familiarity
27
Dynamic Setting
27
Interactive Setting
28
Risk
28
Stress
28
Accountability
30
The Role of Advisory Groups
31
Information Search Patterns
32
Holistic versus Nonholistic Search
33
Order-Sensitive versus Order-Insensitive Search
33
Alternative-Based versus Dimension-Based Search
33
Maximizing versus Satisficing Search Patterns
34
Compensatory versus Noncompensatory Rule
34
Noncompensatory Decision Rules
35
Conjunctive Decision Rule (CON)
35
Disjunctive Decision Rule
(DIS)
36
Elimination-by-aspect
(ЕВА)
Decision Rule
36
Lexicographic (LEX) Decision Rule
36
Conclusion
37
3
Biases in Decision Making
.........................38
Case Study: The U.S. Decision to Invade Iraq In
2003 -
the
Effect of Cognitive Biases on Foreign Policy Making
41
Groupthink
44
Groupthink in American Foreign Policy
45
Beyond Groupthink
47
Groupthink and Multiple Advocacy
48
Polythink
49
Case Study: Polythink at Camp David,
2000 50
Did Polythink Lead to the Collapse of the Camp David Talks?
52
Group Polarization Effect
53
Conclusion
54
part three: models of decision making
4
The Rational Actor Model
..........................57
The Rational Actor Model
57
Case Study: New Zealand s Defiance of the United States
and ANZUS
59
The Expected Utility Model of War Decision Making
60
Opportunity Costs
61
Game-Theoretic Models
62
Prisoner s Dilemma
64
Contents ix
Chicken
65
Tit-for-Tat 66
Conclusion
67
5 Alternatives
to the
Rational
Actor
Model................68
Bounded Rationality and the Cybernetic Model
68
Bureaucratic Politics
70
Organizational Politics
73
Prospect Theory
75
Sunk Costs
77
Integrating the Rational and Cognitive Models: Poliheuristic
Theory
78
What is Poliheuristic Decision Making?
79
Case Study: The Decision not to Invade Iraq in
1991 —
An
Application of Various Decision-Making Models to a
Foreign Policy Event
81
Background
81
A Rational Actor Interpretation
82
A Cybernetic Explanation
83
A Prospect Theory Explanation
84
A Poliheuristic Explanation
85
An Organizational Politics Explanation
86
A Bureaucratic Politics Model
87
Applied Decision Analysis
87
A Simple Example: The Cuban Missile Crisis and the
Decision Matrix
88
ADA: A Closer Look
89
Application to Decisions of Leaders of Terrorist
Organizations: Bin Laden and al-Qaeda
92
Conclusion
93
part four: determinants of foreign policy
decision making
6
Psychological Factors Affecting Foreign Policy Decisions
......97
Psychological Factors
97
Cognitive Consistency
98
Evoked Set
99
Emotions
99
Images
101
Beliefs, Belief Systems, and Schema
101
Operational Code Analysis
102
Analogies and Learning
103
χ
Contents
The Munich Analogy and Use of Analogies in U.S. Foreign
Policy
104
Case Study: Analogies in U.S.-Cuban Relations,
1954-1967 106
The Analogies Provided by Guatemala,
1954 106
The Bay of Pigs
108
The Cuban
Foco
and Africa,
1965 109
Bolivia,
1966-1967 111
Leaders Personality
114
Leadership Style
115
Types of Leaders: Crusader, Strategic, Pragmatic, and
Opportunistic
116
Cognitive Mapping
119
Conclusion
120
7
International, Domestic, and Cultural Factors Influencing
Foreign Policy Decision Making
.....................121
International Factors
121
Deterrence and Arms Races
121
Strategic Surprise
125
Alliances
126
Regime Type of the Adversary
127
Domestic Factors
129
Diversionary Tactics
129
Economic Interests and Foreign Policy Decisions
130
The Role of Public Opinion
131
Electoral Cycles
132
The Effect of Domestic and International Factors on Foreign
Policy Decisions: Two-Level Games
133
Case Study: The Domestic and International Underpinnings
of Decision Making
-
the
Falklands War, 1982 134
Diversionary Behavior
134
Deterrence and Misperception
135
Electoral Impact
136
Decisions on the Use of Economic Instruments of Foreign
Policy
136
The Decision to Use Sanctions as an Instrument of Foreign
Policy
137
The Decision to Use Aid in Foreign Policy
138
Negotiation and Mediation Decisions
139
Decisions on Foreign Policy Substitutability
141
Gender Differences in Decision Making
143
Cultural Differences in Decision Making
144
Conclusion
145
Contents xi
part five: marketing foreign policy
8
Framing, Marketing, and Media Effects on Foreign Policy
Decision Making
...............................149
Marketing Effects
149
Framing Effects
150
The Frame as a Political Lens
151
Who is Framing Whom? Framing the Public
152
Framing beyond the Borders
155
Advisory Group Framing and Manipulating
156
Summary
159
Media Effects
160
Case Study: The Marketing of the U.S. Invasion of Grenada,
1983 162
Background
162
The Key Decision Makers
163
The Marketing of the Decision
163
The Decision Process
164
Could the Process Actually Have Been a Compensatory One?
166
Conclusion
166
part six: conclusion
9
Conclusion
..................................169
What Does it All Mean?: A Case Study of the U.S. Decision
to Invade Iraq in
2003 171
Conclusion
175
Appendix: Foreign Policy Simulation and Exercise
177
References
179
Index
199
|
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| author | Mintz, Alex 1953- DeRouen, Karl R. 1962- |
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| discipline | Politologie Psychologie |
| edition | 1. publ. |
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| spelling | Mintz, Alex 1953- Verfasser (DE-588)141668962 aut Understanding foreign policy decision making Alex Mintz ; Karl DeRouen 1. publ. Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2010 XIII, 208 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke Includes bibliographical references and index Internationale Politik Psychologie International relations Decision making International relations Psychological aspects Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd rswk-swf Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd rswk-swf Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 s Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 s DE-604 DeRouen, Karl R. 1962- Verfasser (DE-588)136773125 aut Digitalisierung UB Bamberg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018768291&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Mintz, Alex 1953- DeRouen, Karl R. 1962- Understanding foreign policy decision making Internationale Politik Psychologie International relations Decision making International relations Psychological aspects Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4113446-1 (DE-588)4003846-4 |
| title | Understanding foreign policy decision making |
| title_auth | Understanding foreign policy decision making |
| title_exact_search | Understanding foreign policy decision making |
| title_full | Understanding foreign policy decision making Alex Mintz ; Karl DeRouen |
| title_fullStr | Understanding foreign policy decision making Alex Mintz ; Karl DeRouen |
| title_full_unstemmed | Understanding foreign policy decision making Alex Mintz ; Karl DeRouen |
| title_short | Understanding foreign policy decision making |
| title_sort | understanding foreign policy decision making |
| topic | Internationale Politik Psychologie International relations Decision making International relations Psychological aspects Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Internationale Politik Psychologie International relations Decision making International relations Psychological aspects Entscheidungsfindung Außenpolitik |
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