The theory and empirics of exchange rates:
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
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New Jersey [u.a.]
World Scientific
2010
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| Online-Zugang: | kostenfrei Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXVII, 483 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9789812839534 9812839534 9789812839541 9812839542 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | 340 064 ME THEORY AMI EMPIRICS O F EXCHANGE RATES IMAD A MOOSA MONASH
UNIVERSITY, AUSTRALIA RAZZAQUE H BHATTI GULF UNIVERSITY FOR SCIENCE AND
TECHNOLOGY, KUWAIT WORLD SCIENTIFIC NEW JERSEY * LONDON * SINGAPORE *
BEIJING * SHANGHAI * HONG KONG * TAIPEI * CHENNAI CONTENTS PREFACE VII
LIST OF TABLES XIX LIST OF FIGURES XXI LIST OF ACRONYMS XXV CURRENCY
ABBREVIATIONS XXVII 1. WHY DO WE STUDY EXCHANGE RATES? 1 1.1.
INTRODUCTION 1 1.2. THE IMPORTANCE OF EXCHANGE RATES 3 1.2.1. THE
EXCHANGE RATE AND BUSINESS OPERATIONS 3 1.2.2. THE EXCHANGE RATE AND
MACROECONOMIC POLICY 5 1.2.3. MACROECONOMIC LINKAGES THROUGH EXCHANGE
RATES 5 1.3. STYLIZED FACTS AND FIGURES 7 1.3.1. STYLIZED FACTS:
EXCHANGE RATES ONLY . . . . 7 1.3.2. STYLIZED FACTS: SPOT RATES, FORWARD
RATES, AND MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES 12 1.4. EXCHANGE RATES AND OTHER
FINANCIAL PRICES: THE SUBPRIME CRISIS AS AN EXAMPLE 16 1.5. EXCHANGE
RATE REGIMES 19 1.5.1. EXCHANGE RATE REGIME CLASSIFICATION . . . . 19
1.5.2. EXCHANGE RATE REGIME VERIFICATION 22 1.6. WHAT IS TO COME 22 IX X
THE THEORY AND EMPIRICS OF EXCHANGE RATES 2. EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION
IN THE MUNDELL-FLEMING MODEL 26 2.1. INTRODUCTION 26 2.2. DISEQUILIBRIUM
SYSTEMS AND ALTERNATIVE ADJUSTMENT MECHANISMS 29 2.3. EFFICACY OF FIXED
AND FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES 37 2.4. DYNAMIC ADJUSTMENT UNDER FIXED AND
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES . . _ 40 2.5. DYNAMIC ADJUSTMENT AND THE ROLE OF
CAPITAL MOBILITY 42 2.6. THE APPROPRIATE USE OF MONETARY AND FISCAL
POLICIES 46 2.7. STABILIZATION POLICIES UNDER FIXED AND FLEXIBLE
EXCHANGE RATES 49 2.8. THE STANDARD MUNDELL-FLEMING MODEL 54 2.8.1.
FUNDAMENTAL PROPOSITIONS OF THE MUNDELL- FLEMING MODEL 55 2.8.2. THE
STRUCTURE OF THE MUNDELL-FLEMING MODEL 57 2.9. THE REDUCED FORM EQUATION
OF THE EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE 59 2.9.1. THE CURRENT ACCOUNT 60 2.9.2.
THE CAPITAL ACCOUNT 61 2.10. STABILIZATION POLICIES UNDER ALTERNATIVE
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES 65 2.10.1. FIXED EXCHANGE RATES, CAPITAL MOBILITY
AND STABILIZATION POLICIES 66 2.10.2. FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES, CAPITAL
MOBILITY, AND STABILIZATION POLICIES 70 2.11. A CRITIQUE OF MUNDELL S
RESULTS ABOUT STABILIZATION POLICIES 74 2.11.1. MCLEOD S CRITIQUE OF
MUNDELL S RESULTS ... 74 2.11.2. NIEHANS S DOUBTS ABOUT THE EFFICACY OF
MONETARY POLICY . . ., 78 2.12. RECAPITULATION 80 CONTENTS XI 3. THE
FLEXIBLE-PRICE MONETARY MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATES 82 3.1. INTRODUCTION 82
3.2. KEY PROPOSITIONS OF THE FLEXIBLE-PRICE MONETARY MODEL 85 3.3. THE
SPECIFICATION OF THE FLEXIBLE-PRICE MONETARY MODEL 87 3.4. A DIGRAMMATIC
REPRESENTATION OF THE FLEXIBLE-PRICE MONETARY MODEL ; 89 3.5. SOME
VARIANTS OF THE FLEXIBLE-PRICE S MONETARY MODEL . 95 3.5.1. THE
RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS MONETARY MODEL . 95 3.5.2. FRANKEL S
FLEXIBLE-PRICE MONETARY MODEL WITH A WEALTH EFFECT 98 3.5.3. A GENERAL
MONETARY MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATES 99 3.6. POLICY IMPLICATIONS OF THE
FLEXIBLE-PRICE MONETARY MODEL 101 3.7. RECAPITULATION 102 4. THE THEORY
OF THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 104 4.1. THE PRICE-SPECIE FLOW MECHANISM 104
4.2. THE ELASTICITIES APPROACH AND THE J-CURVE EFFECT ... 108 4.3. THE
KEYNESIAN MULTIPLIER APPROACH 114 4.4. THE INCOME ABSORPTION APPROACH
115 4.5. THE MONETARY APPROACH TO THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS . 124 4.5.1.
FUNDAMENTAL PROPOSITIONS OF THE MONETARY APPROACH 127 4.5.2. A SIMPLE
MONETARY MODEL OF THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 132 4.5.3. A DIAGRAMMATIC
REPRESENTATION OF THE MONETARY APPROACH 134 4.5.4. AN EXPANDED MONETARY
MODEL OF THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 140 4.5.5. POLICY IMPLICATIONS OF THE
MONETARY APPROACH 141 4.6. A COMPARISON OF THE MONETARY AND KEYNESIAN
MODELS 143 XII THE THEORY AND EMPIRICS OF EXCHANGE RATES 4.7. A
SYNTHESIS OF MONETARY AND KEYNESIAN APPROACHES 144 4.8. RECAPITULATION
147 5. EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION IN THE DORNBUSCH MODEL 149 5.1.
INTRODUCTION 149 5.2. FUNDAMENTAL PROPOSITIONS OF THE DORNBUSCH MODEL .
. 151 5.3. IN DEFENSE OF THE MUNDELL-FLEMING MODEL 153 5.3.1. A
RESTATEMENT OF THE MUNDELL-FLEMING MODEL : . . - 153 5.3.2. EXCHANGE
RATE EXPECTATIONS AND ADJUSTMENT TO MONETARY EXPANSION 155 5.3.3.
FAILURE OF THE MARSHALL-LERNER CONDITION . . 159 5.3.4. EXCHANGE RATE
OVERSHOOTING AND AGGREGATE SPENDING 159 5.4. SHORT- AND LONG-RUN VIEWS
OF EXCHANGE RATES .... 162 5.4.1. EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION IN THE
SHORT RUN 162 5.4.2. EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION IN THE LONG RUN 164
5.4.3. INTERACTION BETWEEN GOODS AND ASSET MARKETS 166 5.5. THE
OVERSHOOTING MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATES 169 5.5.1. THE STRUCTURE OF THE
DORNBUSCH MODEL ... 170 5.5.2. ADJUSTMENT TO MONETARY EXPANSION 179 5.6.
THE REDUCED FORM EQUATION OF THE EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE 183 5.7.
RECAPITULATION 184 6. OTHER STICKY-PRICE MONETARY MODELS OF EXCHANGE
RATES 186 6.1. INTRODUCTION 186 6.2. THE REAL INTEREST DIFFERENTIAL
MONETARY MODEL .... 190 6.2.1. MODERATE INFLATION AND THE EXCHANGE RATE
EXPECTATIONS SCHEME 190 6.2.2. A MORE GENERAL MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATE
DETERMINATION 191 6.3. DRISKELL S GENERALIZED STOCK-FLOW STICKY-PRICE
MODEL 193 6.3.1. THE DORNBUSCH MODEL IN DISCRETE TIME . . . 193 6.3.2.
THE STOCK-FLOW MODEL 195 CONTENTS XIII 6.4. THE EQUILIBRIUM REAL
EXCHANGE RATE MONETARY MODEL 196 6.4.1. THE EXPECTATION MECHANISM AND
EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION 196 6.4.2. THE EQUILIBRIUM REAL EXCHANGE
RATE /AND CURRENT ACCOUNT 198 6.4.3. THE REDUCED-FORM EQUATION OF
EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION 200 6.4.4. THE IMPACT OF THE RISK PREMIUM ON
THE EXCHANGE RATE 202 6.5. THE BUITER-MILLER MODEL WITH CORE INFLATION
RATE ... 203 6.6. FRANKEL S STICKY-PRICE MODEL WITH A WEALTH EFFECT . .
204 6.7. RECAPITULATION 205 7. THE MONETARY MODEL OF EXCHANGE MARKET
PRESSURE 206 7.1. INTRODUCTION 206 7.2. THE EXCHANGE MARKET PRESSURE
MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATES 208 7.3. EXCHANGE MARKET PRESSURE AND MONETARY
INDEPENDENCE 211 7.4. A SIMPLE VERSION OF THE GIRTON-ROPER MARKET
PRESSURE MODEL 213 7.5. AN EXPANDED VERSION OF THE GIRTON-ROPER MARKET
PRESSURE MODEL 216 7.6. RECAPITULATION 218 8. THE PORTFOLIO BALANCE
MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATES 220 8.1. INTRODUCTION 220 8.2. THE PORTFOLIO
BALANCE EFFECT OF WEALTH AND THE EXCHANGE RATE 222 8.3. THE CURRENT
ACCOUNT IN THE PORTFOLIO BALANCE MODEL 225 8.4. THE STRUCTURE OF THE
PORTFOLIO BALANCE MODEL 226 8.5. SHORT-RUN PROPERTIES OF THE PORTFOLIO
BALANCE MODEL . 230 8.6. STABLE PORTFOLIO BALANCE AND SHORT-RUN EXCHANGE
RATE DETERMINATION 231 8.7. MONETARY POLICY EFFECTS ON EXCHANGE AND
INTEREST RATES 235 8.7.1. MONETARY EXPANSION VIA OPEN MARKET PURCHASES
OF DOMESTIC BONDS 235 XIV THE THEORY AND EMPIRICS OF EXCHANGE RATES
8.7.2. MONETARY EXPANSION VIA OPEN MARKET PURCHASES OF FOREIGN BONDS 237
8.7.3. STERILIZED OPEN MARKET FOREIGN EXCHANGE OPERATIONS 238 8.7.4. A
RISE IN WEALTH VIA ACCUMULATION ** OF FOREIGN ASSETS 239 8.8. FISCAL
POLICY EFFECTS ON EXCHANGE AND INTEREST RATES 241 8.8.1. MONEY-FINANCED
GOVERNMENT BUDGET DEFICIT . 241 8.8.2. BOND-FINANCED GOVERNMENT BUDGET
DEFICIT 242 8.9. ALTERNATIVE SPECIFICATIONS OF THE PORTFOLIO BALANCE
MODEL 243 8.10. A SYNTHESIS OF THE MONETARY AND PORTFOLIO BALANCE MODELS
248 8.11. THE PORTFOLIO BALANCE MODEL WITH A BANKING SECTOR . . 251
8.11.1. THE MODEL 251 8.11.2. THE IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY ON EXCHANGE
AND LENDING RATES 253 8.12. THE PORTFOLIO BALANCE MODEL WITH BANK
LENDING . . . 256 8.13. RECAPITULATION 258 9. THE CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION
MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATES 260 9.1. INTRODUCTION 260 9.2. CURRENCY
SUBSTITUTION AND DOLLARIZATION 261 9.3. IMPLICATIONS OF CURRENCY
SUBSTITUTION 264 9.4. DETERMINANTS OF CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION 266 9.5.
EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION UNDER CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION 270 9.6. THE
CALVO-RODRIGUEZ OVERSHOOTING CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION MODEL 271 9.6.1.
ASSUMPTIONS OF THE MODEL 272 9.6.2. THE ASSET MARKET 273 9.6.3. THE
GOODS MARKET 274 9.6.4. A DIAGRAMMATIC ILLUSTRATION OF THE CURRENCY
SUBSTITUTION MODEL 277 9.7. THE IMPORTANCE OF CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION IN A
REGIONAL SETTING 281 CONTENTS XV 9.8. SOME POLICY AND ANALYTICAL ISSUES
RELATED TO CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION 282 9.8.1. SHOULD CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION
BE ENCOURAGED? 282 9.8.2. DISCOURAGING THE USE OF FOREIGN * CURRENCIES
284 9.8.3. CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION AND NOMINAL ANCHORS 284 9.8.4. MONETARY
EXPANSION AND THE_REAL EXCHANGE RATE 286 9.8.5. INFLATIONARY FINANCE
UNDER CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION 287 9.9. RECAPITULATION ; 290 10. THE
MICROSTRUCTURE APPROACH TO EXCHANGE RATES 292 10.1. MACROECONOMIC
MODELS: FAILURE AND ALTERNATIVES . . . 292 10.2. THE MICROSTRUCTURE
MODELS OF EXCHANGE RATES .... 295 10.2.1. ASSUMPTIONS OF MICROSTRUCTURE
MODELS . . . 296 10.2.2. EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION IN MICROSTRUCTURE
MODELS 297 10.2.3. INFORMATION MODELS VERSUS INVENTORY MODELS 301 10.3.
FACTORS AFFECTING EXCHANGE RATES IN MICROSTRUCTURE MODELS 302 10.3.1.
ORDER FLOW 302 10.3.2. THE BID-OFFER SPREAD 305 10.4. THE MICROSTRUCTURE
SOLUTION TO THE DETERMINATION PUZZLE 307 10.5. THE MICROSTRUCTURE
SOLUTION TO THE EXCESS VOLATILITY PUZZLE 313 10.6. THE MICROSTRUCTURE
SOLUTION TO THE FORWARD BIAS PUZZLE 316 10.6.1. THE STATISTICIAN S
PERSPECTIVE ON FORWARD BIAS 317 10.6.2. THE ECONOMIST S PERSPECTIVE ON
FORWARD BIAS 318 10.6.3. THE PRACTITIONER S PERSPECTIVE: LIMITS TO
SPECULATION 318 XVI THE THEORY AND EMPIRICS OF EXCHANGE RATES 10.6.4. A
SIMPLE EXPLANATION: MODEL MISSPECIFICATION 321 10.7. RECAPITULATION 322
11. THE NEWS MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATES 324 11.1. INTRQDUCTION 324 11.2.
THE ROLE OF NEWS IN MACROECONOMIC MODELS OF EXCHANGE RATES 325 11.2.1.
THE NEWS FRAMEWORK OF THE FLOW MODEL . . 328 11.2.2. THE NEWS FRAMEWORK
OF THE MONETARY MODELS 329 11.2.3. THE NEWS FRAMEWORK OF THE PORTFOLIO
BALANCE MODELS 331 11.3. THE ROLE OF NEWS IN THE MICROSTRUCTURE MODELS
OF EXCHANGE RATES 333 11.3.1. THE LINK BETWEEN MACROECONOMIC
FUNDAMENTALS AND EXCHANGE RATES 336 11.3.2. THE LINK BETWEEN ORDER FLOW
AND MACROECONOMIC NEWS 337 11.4. RECAPITULATION 338 12. EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE ON THE MACROECONOMIC MODELS OF EXCHANGE RATES 340 12.1.
EVIDENCE ON THE MUNDELL-FLEMING MODEL 340 12.2. EVIDENCE ON THE MONETARY
MODEL OF EXCHANGE RATES 342 12.2.1. EVIDENCE BASED ON CONVENTIONAL
ECONOMETRIC METHODS 342 12.2.2. OUT-OF-SAMPLE FORECASTING 346 12.2.3.
COINTEGRATION-BASED DYNAMIC MODELS .... 354 12.2.4. SIMULTANEOUS
EQUATION MODELS 359 12.3. EVIDENCE ON THE MONETARY MODEL UNDER RATIONAL
EXPECTATIONS 359 12.4. EVIDENCE ON THE MONETARY MODEL ALLOWING FOR
CURRENCY SUBSTITUTION 362 12.5. EVIDENCE ON THE PORTFOLIO BALANCE MODEL
365 12.6. EVIDENCE ON THE ROLE OF NEWS 369 12.7. EVIDENCE ON THE
EXCHANGE MARKET PRESSURE MODEL . . 373 12.8. RECAPITULATION 377 CONTENTS
XVII 13. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE ON THE MICROSTRUCTURE MODELS OF EXCHANGE
RATES 379 13.1. INTRODUCTION 379 13.2. THE EXPLANATORY POWER OF ORDER
FLOW 380 13.3. ORDER FLOW AND OTHER CHARACTERISTICS OF EXCHANGE RATES
393 13.4. THE FORECASTING POWER OF ORDER FLOW 395 13.5. THE MICRO IMPACT
OF MACROECONOMIC NEWS ON EXCHANGE RATES . . ..- 398 13.5.1.
MACROECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS-RELATED NEWS AND EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES 398
13.5.2. MACROECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS AND EXCHANGE RATES 399 13.5.3.
MACROECONOMIC NEWS AND EXCHANGE RATE MEAN AND VARIANCE 402 13.5.4.
MACROECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS, ORDER FLOW, AND EXCHANGE RATES 409 13.6. A
MICROSTRUCTURE TEST OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INTEGRATION 417 13.7.
RECAPITULATION 420 14. CONCLUDING THOUGHTS AND REMARKS 422 14.1. WHERE
DO WE STAND? 422 14.2. RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS IN THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MARKET 426 14.3. EXCHANGE RATE PECULIARITIES 427 14.4. PITFALLS IN
EXCHANGE RATE ECONOMICS 431 14.5. ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES TO EXCHANGE
RATES 433 14.5.1. THE POST-KEYNESIAN APPROACH 433 14.5.2. THE BEHAVIORAL
FINANCE APPROACH TO EXCHANGE RATES 435 14.5.3. CHAOS THEORY 436 14.6. DO
MACROECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS MATTER? 438 14.7. CONCLUDING REMARKS 442
REFERENCES 443 INDEX 477
|
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| author | Moosa, Imad A. 1952- Bhatti, Razzaque H. 1956- |
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| author_sort | Moosa, Imad A. 1952- |
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| id | DE-604.BV035808849 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T22:05:05Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9789812839534 9812839534 9789812839541 9812839542 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2009020157 |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-018667811 |
| oclc_num | 286504088 |
| open_access_boolean | 1 |
| owner | DE-945 DE-M382 DE-188 DE-521 DE-29 |
| owner_facet | DE-945 DE-M382 DE-188 DE-521 DE-29 |
| physical | XXVII, 483 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2010 |
| publishDateSearch | 2010 |
| publishDateSort | 2010 |
| publisher | World Scientific |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Moosa, Imad A. 1952- Verfasser (DE-588)115539948 aut The theory and empirics of exchange rates Imad A Moosa ; Razzaque H Bhatti New Jersey [u.a.] World Scientific 2010 XXVII, 483 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Mathematisches Modell Foreign exchange Foreign exchange rates Foreign exchange rates Mathematical models Wechselkurspolitik (DE-588)4131291-0 gnd rswk-swf Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4758072-0 gnd rswk-swf Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4124443-6 gnd rswk-swf Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4758072-0 s DE-604 Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4124443-6 s Wechselkurspolitik (DE-588)4131291-0 s DE-188 Bhatti, Razzaque H. 1956- Verfasser (DE-588)11553993X aut DE-601 pdf/application http://www.gbv.de/dms/zbw/601055055.pdf kostenfrei Inhaltsverzeichnis GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018667811&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Moosa, Imad A. 1952- Bhatti, Razzaque H. 1956- The theory and empirics of exchange rates Mathematisches Modell Foreign exchange Foreign exchange rates Foreign exchange rates Mathematical models Wechselkurspolitik (DE-588)4131291-0 gnd Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4758072-0 gnd Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4124443-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4131291-0 (DE-588)4758072-0 (DE-588)4124443-6 |
| title | The theory and empirics of exchange rates |
| title_auth | The theory and empirics of exchange rates |
| title_exact_search | The theory and empirics of exchange rates |
| title_full | The theory and empirics of exchange rates Imad A Moosa ; Razzaque H Bhatti |
| title_fullStr | The theory and empirics of exchange rates Imad A Moosa ; Razzaque H Bhatti |
| title_full_unstemmed | The theory and empirics of exchange rates Imad A Moosa ; Razzaque H Bhatti |
| title_short | The theory and empirics of exchange rates |
| title_sort | the theory and empirics of exchange rates |
| topic | Mathematisches Modell Foreign exchange Foreign exchange rates Foreign exchange rates Mathematical models Wechselkurspolitik (DE-588)4131291-0 gnd Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4758072-0 gnd Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4124443-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Mathematisches Modell Foreign exchange Foreign exchange rates Foreign exchange rates Mathematical models Wechselkurspolitik Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie Wechselkurstheorie |
| url | http://www.gbv.de/dms/zbw/601055055.pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018667811&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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