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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Turchin, Peter 1957- (Author), Nefedov, Sergej Aleksandrovič 1951- (Author)
Format:	Book
Language:	English
Published:	Princeton [u.a.] Princeton Univ. Press 2009
Subjects:	Mathematisches Modell Wirtschaftsentwicklung Population > Mathematical models Demography > Mathematical models Business cycles > Mathematical models Economic development > Mathematical models Bevölkerungsentwicklung Geschichte Europa Römisches Reich
Online Access:	Inhaltsverzeichnis
Item Description:	Includes bibliographical references and index
Physical Description:	VII, 349 S. graph. Darst.
ISBN:	9780691136967

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Record in the Search Index

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adam_text	Titel: Secular cycles Autor: Turchin, Peter Jahr: 2009 Contents Table of Units and Currencies ix Chapter 1 Introduction: The Theoretical Background 1 1.1 Development of Ideas about Demographic Cycles 1 1.2 A Synthetic Theory of Secular Cycles 6 1.3 Variations and Extensions 21 1.4 Empirical Approaches 29 Chapter 2 Medieval England: The Plantagenet Cycle (1150-1485) 3 5 2.1 Overview of the Cycle 35 2.2 The Expansion Phase (1150-1260) 47 23 Stagflation (1260-1315) 49 2.4 Crisis (1315-1400) 58 2.5 Depression (1400-1485) 69 2.6 Conclusion 77 Chapter 3 Early Modern England: The Tudor-Stuart Cycle (1485-1730) 81 3.1 Overview of the Cycle 81 3.2 Expansion (1485-1580) 87 3.3 Stagflation (1580-1640) 91 3.4 Crisis (1640-60) 97 3.5 Depression (1660-1730) 101 3.6 Conclusion 107 Appendix to Chapter 3 108 Chapter 4 Medieval France: The Capetian Cycle (1150-1450) 111 4.1 Overview of the Cycle 111 4.2 Expansion (1150-1250) 115 4.3 Stagflation (1250-1315) 117 4.4 Crisis (1315-65) 121 4.5 Depression (1365-1450) 129 4.6 Conclusion: A Near Perfect Multi-secular Cycle 141 CONTENTS Chapter 5 Early Modern France: The Valois Cycle (1450-1660) 143 5.1 Overview 143 5.2 Expansion (1450-1520) 147 5.3 Stagflation (1520-10) 149 5.4 Crisis (1570-1600) 153 5.5 A Case Study: The Norman Nobility 156 5.6 Depression (1600-1660) 169 5.1 Conclusion 174 Chapter 6 Rome: The Republican Cycle (350-30 BCE) 176 6.1 Overview of the Cycle 176 6.2 An Unusually Long Expansion (350-180 BCE) 185 6.3 Stagflation (180-130 BCE) 189 6.4 The Late Republican Crisis (130-30 BCE) 201 6.5 The End of the Disintegrative Trend 205 6.6 Conclusion 208 Chapter 7 Rome: The Principate Cycle (30 BCE-285 CE) 211 7.1 Overview of the Cycle 211 1.2 Expansion (21BCE-96 CE) 224 1.3 Stagflation (96-165 CE) 229 1.4 Crisis (165-91 CE) 233 1.5 Depression (191-285 CE) 236 1.6 Conclusion 238 Chapter 8 Russia: The Muscovy Cycle (1460-1620) 240 8.1 The Fifteenth-Century Crisis 240 8.2 Expansion (1460-1530) 241 8.3 Stagflation (1530-65) 244 8.4 Crisis (1565-1615) 252 8.5 Conclusion 258 Chapter 9 Russia: The Romanov Cycle (1620-1922) 261 9.1 Expansion (1620-1800) 261 9.2 Stagflation (1800-1905) 274 9.3 Crisis (1905-22) 287 9.4 Conclusion 299 CONTENTS Chapter 10 General Conclusions 303 10.1 Population Numbers 303 10.2 Elite Dynamics 304 10.3 The State 306 10.4 Sociopolitical Instability 307 10.5 Are There General Laws of Historical Dynamics? 311 Acknowledgments 315 References Cited 317 Index 341
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author	Turchin, Peter 1957- Nefedov, Sergej Aleksandrovič 1951-
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spelling	Turchin, Peter 1957- Verfasser (DE-588)139507957 aut Secular cycles Peter Turchin and Sergey A. Nefedov Princeton [u.a.] Princeton Univ. Press 2009 VII, 349 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index Mathematisches Modell Wirtschaftsentwicklung Population Mathematical models Demography Mathematical models Business cycles Mathematical models Economic development Mathematical models Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd rswk-swf Europa (DE-588)4015701-5 gnd rswk-swf Römisches Reich (DE-588)4076778-4 gnd rswk-swf Europa (DE-588)4015701-5 g Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s DE-604 Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s Römisches Reich (DE-588)4076778-4 g Nefedov, Sergej Aleksandrovič 1951- Verfasser (DE-588)14232714X aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017996445&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis
spellingShingle	Turchin, Peter 1957- Nefedov, Sergej Aleksandrovič 1951- Secular cycles Mathematisches Modell Wirtschaftsentwicklung Population Mathematical models Demography Mathematical models Business cycles Mathematical models Economic development Mathematical models Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd
subject_GND	(DE-588)4114528-8 (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4020517-4 (DE-588)4015701-5 (DE-588)4076778-4
title	Secular cycles
title_auth	Secular cycles
title_exact_search	Secular cycles
title_full	Secular cycles Peter Turchin and Sergey A. Nefedov
title_fullStr	Secular cycles Peter Turchin and Sergey A. Nefedov
title_full_unstemmed	Secular cycles Peter Turchin and Sergey A. Nefedov
title_short	Secular cycles
title_sort	secular cycles
topic	Mathematisches Modell Wirtschaftsentwicklung Population Mathematical models Demography Mathematical models Business cycles Mathematical models Economic development Mathematical models Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd
topic_facet	Mathematisches Modell Wirtschaftsentwicklung Population Mathematical models Demography Mathematical models Business cycles Mathematical models Economic development Mathematical models Bevölkerungsentwicklung Geschichte Europa Römisches Reich
url	http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017996445&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
work_keys_str_mv	AT turchinpeter secularcycles AT nefedovsergejaleksandrovic secularcycles

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