Holdings: Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii

Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii: novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia

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Bibliographic Details
Format:	Book
Language:	Russian
Published:	Novosibirisk IĖiOPP SO RAN 2008
Subjects:	Geschichte 1890-2030 Wirtschaftsgeografie Wirtschaftsentwicklung Sibirien Russland > Asiatischer Teil
Online Access:	Inhaltsverzeichnis Abstract
Item Description:	In kyrill. Schr., russ. - Vorw. und Inh.-Verz. in engl. Sprache
Physical Description:	427 S. graph. Darst., Kt.
ISBN:	9785896651734

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Record in the Search Index

_version_	1804139290919174144
adam_text	ОГЛАВЛЕНИЕ Предисловие ................................................................................................................... 5 Предисловие на английском языке ................................................................................ 7 Часть I АЗИАТСКАЯ ЧАСТЬ РОССИИ КАК КОЛОНИЯ ............................................9 Глава 1. ИСТОРИЧЕСКИЙ ОПЫТ ОСВОЕНИЯ НОВЫХ ЗЕМЕЛЬ НА РУСИ .......................................................................................................... 9 1.1. Колонизация как естественный процесс развития Русского государ¬ ства .................................................................................................................. 9 1.2. Особенности начального этапа колонизации Сибири .............................. 12 1.3. Начало геополитического противостояния на восточных рубежах России ............................................................................................................ 15 Глава 2. СПЕЦИФИКА ХОЗЯЙСТВЕННОГО ОСВОЕНИЯ АЗИАТСКОЙ РОССИИ ДО 1917 ГОДА ............................................................................... 18 2.1. «Проектная экономика» в азиатской части России: три века движе¬ ния на восток ................................................................................................ 18 2.2. Аграрная специализация Азиатской России как стратегический проект ............................................................................................................ 23 Глава 3. АЗИАТСКАЯ ЧАСТЬ РОССИИ КАК РЕСУРС ГЕОПОЛИТИЧЕСКОГО ПРОТИВОСТОЯНИЯ .......................................... 26 3.1. Пространство как стратегический ресурс .................................................. 26 3.2. Геополитическая значимость пространства за Уралом ............................ 30 3.3. Сибирь как ключевой фактор превращения «Московии» в Россию ....... 33 3.4. Сибирь как геополитическая категория ..................................................... 36 3.5. Сибирь как топливно-энергетический цех страны ................................... 39 Глава 4. РАЗВИТИЕ НАУКИ В СИБИРИ В КОНТЕКСТЕ ОСВОЕНИЯ ВОСТОЧНЫХ РЕГИОНОВ РОССИИ ........................................................... 43 4.1. Экспедиционные исследования и выявление практической потреб¬ ности в местной науке на востоке страны ................................................... 43 4.2. Филиалы АН СССР на востоке страны: проекты, опыт организации, научные ориентации .................................................................................... 48 4.3. Регионализация науки и формирование и развитие комплексного академического центра на востоке СССР .................................................. 50 4.4. Проблемы реформирования науки на востоке России в 1990-е годы и инновационные вызовы ............................................................................ 55 Оглавление 417 Часть II СИБИРЬ КАК КРУПНЕЙШИЙ МАССИВ СУШИ: ЭКОНОМИКО-ГЕОГРАФИЧЕСКИЙ ПОДХОД ............................................57 Глава 5. ФАКТОР ТРАНСПОРТНО-ГЕОГРАФИЧЕСКОЙ КОНТИНЕНТАЛЬНОСТИ ДЛЯ СИБИРИ ................................................... 57 5.1. Неблагоприятные экономические следствия континентальное™ ........... 57 5.2. Возможности противодействия фактору континентальное™ ................ 61 Глава 6. ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЕ РАЙОНИРОВАНИЕ КАК ИНСТРУМЕНТ ОСЛАБЛЕНИЯ НЕГАТИВНОГО ВЛИЯНИЯ КОНТИНЕНТАЛЬНОСТИ .......................................................,.................... 63 6.1. Необходимость экономического районирования для континенталь¬ ной страны ................................................................................................... 63 6.2. Формирование территориально-производственных комплексов как один из приемов адаптации к «неудобству» континентальное™ ......... 69 6.3. Оценка эффективности ТПК Сибири ........................................................ 75 Глава 7. ОСОБАЯ РОЛЬ ЛИНЕЙНЫХ ХОЗЯЙСТВЕННО- РАССЕЛЕНЧЕСКИХ СТРУКТУР И МЕРЫ ПО ОСЛАБЛЕНИЮ НЕГАТИВНОГО ВЛИЯНИЯ КОНТИНЕНТАЛЬНОСТИ ............................ 78 7.1. Формирование современных линейных хозяйственно- расселенческих структур России ................................................................. 78 7.2. Типология городских поселений России по отношению к экономи¬ ческим осям ................................................................................................. 80 7.3. Подход к оценке последствий встраивания России в мирохозяйст¬ венную систему ..............................................................................................87 7.4. Пути и меры адаптации российской экономики к ущербам конти- нентальности ...................................................................................................90 Глава 8. ТПК И КЛАСТЕРЫ: ВОЗМОЖНОСТИ СОСУЩЕСТВОВАНИЯ ............ 96 8.1. Общее и особенное .................................................................................... 96 8.2. ТПК как элемент системы моделей народно-хозяйственного плани¬ рования ........................................................................................................ 100 8.3. Противоречит ли «ТПК-подход» рыночной экономике? ....................... 103 8.4. Характеристика понятия «региональный кластер» .................................. 107 Часть III «СДВИГ НА ВОСТОК»: СЛОЖНЫЙ ВЫБОР ПУТИ ............................... ПО Глава 9. ОЦЕНКА МЕСТА И ПЕРСПЕКТИВ РАЗВИТИЯ СИБИРИ ОБЩЕСТВЕННЫМИ ДЕЯТЕЛЯМИ XIX - НАЧАЛА XX ВЕКА ........... ПО 9.1. Можно ли жить в Сибири? ................................................................................ ПО 9.2. От колониальной зависимости к процветанию: варианты будущего ........ 112 Глава 10. ТРАНСПОРТНЫЕ ПРОЕКТЫ АЗИАТСКОЙ ЧАСТИ РОССИИ: ЗА И ПРОТИВ .............................................................................................. 115 10.1. Роль Транссиба в объединении империи .................................................. 115 10.2. Расширение потребностей по мере роста возможностей ........................ 120 418 Оглавление 10.3. Дорожное строительство в Сибири в начале XX века: новые задачи, новые проекты ...............................................................................................124 10.4. Великий Северный путь - сто лет аргументам «быть или не быть» .......126 10.5. Байкало-Амурская магистраль - первое звено Великого Северного пути .................................................................................................................128 10.6. Транспорт как «прелюдия» к хозяйственному освоению терри¬ тории ...............................................................................................................130 Глава 11. ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЕ РЕГУЛИРОВАНИЕ ЭКОНОМИКИ: ЭТАП ПРЕДПЛАНОВЫХ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЙ ......................,....................133 11.1. Экономические функции государства ......................................................133 11.2. Задачи народно-хозяйственного уровня в системе прогнозирования ... 136 Глава 12. СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКАЯ АСИММЕТРИЯ АЗИАТСКОЙ ЧАСТИ РОССИИ КАК УГРОЗА РАЗВИТИЮ И БЕЗОПАСНОСТИ СТРАНЫ .....139 12.1. Геополитическая асимметрия ...................................................................139 12.2. Демографическая асимметрия ..................................................................144 12.3. Технологическая асимметрия ....................................................................148 Глава 13. ГОСУДАРСТВО И БИЗНЕС: ПРИНЦИПЫ СОУЧАСТИЯ В УПРАВЛЕНИИ ПРОЦЕССОМ РЕАЛИЗАЦИИ КРУПНЫХ ИНФРАСТРУКТУРНЫХ ПРОЕКТОВ ...........................................................153 13.1. Основное противоречие государственно-частного партнёрства в России ............................................................................................................153 13.2. Инвестиционный потенциал государства и бизнеса ...............................158 13.3. Инвестиционный фонд РФ ........................................................................160 13.4. Причины сдерживания концессионной деятельности ............................164 13.5. Возможные схемы финансирования инфраструктурных проектов .......166 Часть IV ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ РАЗВИТИЯ ИНФРАСТРУКТУРНЫХ ОТРАСЛЕЙ АЗИАТСКОЙ ЧАСТИ РОССИИ: ИНСТРУМЕНТАРИЙ И РЕЗУЛЬТАТЫ РАСЧЁТОВ .................................................................169 Глава 14. ПОДХОД К СОСТАВЛЕНИЮ ТРАНСПОРТНО-ЭКОНОМИЧЕ- СКИХ БАЛАНСОВ .........................................................................................169 14.1. Исходные позиции ........... v .........................................................................169 14.2. Основные задачи и инструментарий составления транспортно- экономических балансов .............................................................................170 14.3. Схема взаимосвязей моделей .....................................................>..............175 14.4. Современное состояние и основные гипотезы прогнозных расчё¬ тов ....................................................................................................................177 14.5. Прогноз развития экономики России на период до 2020 г .....................180 14.6. Детализированное представление транспортной отрасли и адми¬ нистративно-территориальных единиц ......................................................182 14.7. Экспорт и импорт в формировании спроса и ресурсов на услуги транспорта .....................................................................................................185 Оглавление 419 14.8. Оценка проектов создания международных транспортных коридо¬ ров для интенсификации международного транзита ................................186 14.9. Оценка влияния железнодорожной отрасли азиатской части России на экономику страны ...................................................................................189 Глава 15. ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ ОБЪЁМОВ ТРАНСПОРТНОЙ РАБОТЫ И ФОРМИРОВАНИЕ ОПОРНОЙ ТРАНСПОРТНОЙ СЕТИ АЗИАТ¬ СКОЙ ЧАСТИ РОССИИ ..................................................................................192 15.1. Имитационная модель прогнозирования объёмов работы отдель¬ ных видов транспорта ..................................................................................192 15.2. Исходные посылки моделирования формирования опорной транс¬ портной сети .................................................................................................197 15.3. Результаты экспериментальных расчётов по модели формирования опорной транспортной сети ..........................................................................201 15.4. Формирование интегрированных производственно-транспортных зон в пределах пояса нового промышленного освоения ..........................205 15.5. Перспективы развития правобережной части Томской области в пределах зоны влияния Северосибирской магистрали .............................207 15.6. Транспортно-экономические балансы как инструмент активизации государственной региональной политики ..................................................220 Глава 16. НАРОДНО-ХОЗЯЙСТВЕННАЯ ЗНАЧИМОСТЬ ФОРМИРОВАНИЯ ТЕРРИТОРИАЛЬНЫХ ПРОИЗВОДСТВЕННО-ЭНЕРГЕТИЧЕСКИХ КОМПЛЕКСОВ ВОСТОЧНОЙ СИБИРИ И ДАЛЬНЕГО ВОСТОКА ......222 16.1. Прогнозирование потребностей в продукции электроэнергетиче¬ ского комплекса ............................................................................................222 16.2. «Проектное» наполнение прогнозируемых темпов развития ТЭК Сибири и его основных потребителей ........................................................225 16.3. Смена парадигмы развития ТЭК Восточной Сибири и Дальнего Востока и условия её воплощения ..............................................................232 16.4. Территориальные производственно-энергетические комплексы Восточной Сибири и Дальнего Востока .....................................................235 Глава 17. ЭФФЕКТИВНОСТЬ СТРАТЕГИЙ И РЕГИОНАЛЬНЫЕ ЭКОНО¬ МИЧЕСКИЕ РИСКИ ФОРМИРОВАНИЯ ВОСТОЧНО-СИБИРСКО¬ ГО НЕФТЕГАЗОВОГО КОМПЛЕКСА ..........................................................243 17.1. Постановка проблемы .................................................:..............................243 17.2. Пионерный этап формирования ВСНГК: проблемы и риски ................245 17.3. Оценки социально-экономической эффективности вариантов экс¬ портных коридоров газопроводного транспорта .......................................251 17.4. Бюджетная эффективность вариантов экспортного газопровода для восточных регионов РФ ...............................................................................258 17.5. Прогнозные оценки ВРП и социально-экономических эффектов вариантов экспортных газопроводов ..........................................................260 17.6. Сценарии формирования ВСНГК .............................................................263 17.7. Ожидаемые региональные и локальные эффекты в сценариях фор¬ мирования ВСНГК .......................................................................................267 17.8. Пути снижения организационно-экономических рисков формиро¬ вания ВСНГК ................................................................................................270 420 Оглавление Часть V РЕСУРСНЫЕ ПРОЕКТЫ В ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЙ ДИНАМИКЕ ДАЛЬНЕГО ВОСТОКА РОССИИ .................................................................274 Глава 18. НОВЫЕ ОРИЕНТИРЫ РАЗВИТИЯ ДАЛЬНЕГО ВОСТОКА РОССИИ ...........................................................................................................274 18.1. Основные факторы и тенденции развития экономики Дальнего Востока в начале XXI века ...........................................................................274 18.2. Сценарии развития экономики Дальнего Востока в долгосрочной стратегии развития России ..........................................................................277 18.3. Инновационный вектор преобразований - путь модернизации при¬ родно-ресурсного сектора экономики .......................................................278 Глава 19. ПЕРСПЕКТИВНАЯ СТРУКТУРА ЭКОНОМИКИ ДАЛЬНЕГО ВОСТОКА ........................................................................................................284 19.1. Системные изменения в динамике развития региона .............................284 19.2. Структурные показатели экономического развития Дальнего Вос¬ тока в перспективе до 2030 г ........................................................................285 Глава 20. ДИНАМИКА ДАЛЬНЕВОСТОЧНОГО МИНЕРАЛЬНО-СЫРЬЕВО¬ ГО КОМПЛЕКСА ............................................................................................290 20.1. Трансформационные изменения развития минерально-сырьевого комплекса Дальнего Востока в 1990-х - 2000-х годах ...............................290 20.2. Набор инвестиционных проектов развития дальневосточных субъ¬ ектов Федерации ...........................................................................................293 Глава 21. ДИНАМИКА ТОПЛИВНО-ЭНЕРГЕТИЧЕСКОГО КОМПЛЕКСА ДАЛЬНЕГО ВОСТОКА ..................................................................................300 21.1. Задачи стратегического развития топливно-энергетического ком¬ плекса ............................................................................................................300 21.2. Проектное и программное обеспечение новой фазы развития топ¬ ливно-энергетического комплекса Дальнего Востока ..............................301 21.3. Динамика и структура топливно-энергетического комплекса Даль¬ него Востока в двух сценариях развития ...................................................303 Глава 22. ДИНАМИКА ЛЕСНОГО КОМПЛЕКСА ДАЛЬНЕГО ВОСТОКА ..........311 22.1. Условия функционирования лесного комплекса Дальнего Востока в конце XX - начале XXI века .....................................................................311 22.2. Прогнозные варианты развития дальневосточного лесного ком¬ плекса ...........................................................................................................314 Часть VI НИЖНЕЕ ПРИАНГАРЬЕ - ПЕРВООЧЕРЕДНОЙ РЕГИОН РЕАЛИЗАЦИИ НОВОГО «СДВИГА НА ВОСТОК» ..............................324 Глава 23. КРАСНОЯРСКИЙ КРАЙ В ЭКОНОМИКЕ СИБИРИ И РОССИИ ..........324 23.1. Этапы формирования гипотез освоения территории Красноярского края ................................................................................................................324 23.2. Красноярский край в стратегиях развития Сибири и России ................328 23.3. «Проектное» наполнение прогнозных расчётов ....................................332 Оглавление ^21 Глава 24. НИЖНЕЕ ПРИАНГАРЬЕ НА НОВОМ ЭТАПЕ ОСВОЕНИЯ ..................338 24.1. Исторические аспекты разработки программы освоения Нижнего Приангарья ...................................................................................................338 24.2. Формирование инвестиционного проекта освоения Нижнего При¬ ангарья ..........................................................................................................344 24.3. Анализ и оценка сбалансированности проектных предложений по освоению минерально-сырьевых ресурсов и инфраструктурному развитию Нижнего Приангарья ..................................................................346 Глава 25. ПОДХОД К ОБОСНОВАНИЮ СХЕМ ТЕРРИТОРИАЛЬНОГО ПЛАНИРОВАНИЯ РЕГИОНА ..................................................................359 25.1. Постановка проблемы ..........................................................................359 25.2. Территориальная дифференциация социально-экономического развития края ...............................................................................................362 25.3. Особенности практического использования инструментария ...............366 25.4. Варианты формирования пространственной структуры Богучан- ского промузла ............................................................................................374 25.5. Эколого-климатическое зонирование территорий в пределах влия¬ ния Северосибирской магистрали .............................................................386 Заключение ..........................................................................................................393 Литература ...........................................................................................................400 Авторы книги ......................................................................................................412 Список сокращений ............................................................................................413 422 Оглавление CONTENT Preface ..................................................................................................................................5 Parti ASIAN PART OF RUSSIA AS A COLONY .......................................................9 Chapter 1. HISTORICAL EXPERIENCE OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF NEW LANDS IN OLD RUSSIA ..................................................................................9 1.1. Colonization as a natural process in the development of Russian state .............9 1.2. Features of initial stage in colonization of Siberia ...........................................12 1.3. Start of geopolitical opposition on the eastern borders of Russia ....................15 Chapter 2. SPECIFIC FEATURES OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE ASIAN RUSSIA BEFORE 1917 YEAR ...........................................................18 2.1. Projected economy in the Asian part of Russia: three centuries of moving to the east ..............................................................18 2.2. Agricultural specialization of the Asian Russia as a strategic project ..............23 Chapter 3. ASIAN PART OF RUSSIA AS A RESOURCE OF GEOPOLITICAL OPPOSITION ....................................................................................................26 3.1. Space as strategic resource ...............................................................................26 3.2. Geopolitical importance of the space behind Ural ...........................................30 3.3. Siberia as key factor of transformation Moscovia into Russia .....................33 3.4. Siberia as geopolitical category ........................................................................36 3.5. Siberia as fuel and energy manufactory of country ..........................................39 Chapter 4. DEVELOPMENT OF SCIENCE IN SIBERIA IN THE CONTEXT OF OPENING UP OF THE EASTERN REGIONS OF RUSSIA ..........................43 4.1. Expedition studies and detection of practical demand for local science on the east of country .........................................................................43 4.2. Branches of the Academy of Sciences of the USSR on the east: projects, organizational experience, research focuses .....................................48 4.3. Regionalization of science, forming and development of complex academic center in the east of the USSR .........................................................50 4.4. Problems of reforming science in the east in 1990s and innovation challenges ......................................................................................55 Partii SIBERIA AS THE BIGGEST MASSIF OF EARTH: ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHIC APPROACH .............................................................57 Chapter 5. FACTOR OF TRANSPORT GEOGRAPHIC CONTINENT ALIT Y FOR SIBERIA ...........................................................................................................57 5.1. Unfavorable economic consequences of continentality ...................................57 5.2. Chances to counteract the factor of continentality ...........................................61 Оглавление 423 Chapter 6. ECONOMIC ZONING AS AN INSTRUMENT OF WEAKENING NEGATIVE IMPACT OF CONTINENTALITY .............................................63 6.1. Need for economic zoning for continental country ..........................................63 6.2. Forming of territorial industrial complexes (TIC) as a method to adapt to the inconvenience of continentality .........................................................69 6.3. Effectiveness evaluation of TIC in Siberia .......................................................75 Chapter 7. SPECIAL ROLE OF LINEAR ECONOMIC SETTLING STRUC¬ TURES AND MEASURES TO WEAKEN NEGATIVE IMPACT OF CONTINENTALITY ........................................................................................78 7.1. Forming of modern linear economic settling structures in Russia ..................78 7.2. Typology of urban settlements of Russia in regard to economical axes ..........80 7.3. Approach to the assessment of consequences after integrating Russia in the world economy system ..........................................................................87 7.4. Ways and measures of adaptation of the Russian economy to the losses of continentality ....................................................................................90 Chapter 8. TIC AND CLUSTERS: PROSPECTS FOR CO-EXISTENCE .......................96 8.1. Generals and specifics ......................................................................................96 8.2. TIC as an element of system of models for national economy planning ........100 8.3. Is TIC-approach in contradiction with market economy? ..........................103 8.4. Characteristic of the definition regional cluster ..........................................107 Part III SHIFT TO THE EAST : COMPLICATED CHOICE OF THE WAY ........... 1 10 Chapter 9. EVALUATION OF THE PLACE AND DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS OF SIBERIA BY PUBLIC FIGURES OF 19lh - BEGINNING OF 20111 CENTURY ......................................................................................................110 9.1. Is it possible to live in Siberia? ......................................................................110 9.2. From colonial dependance to prosperity: options of future ............................112 Chapter 10. TRANSPORT PROJECTS OF THE ASIAN PART OF RUSSIA: PRO AND CONTRA ...............................................................................................115 10.1. Role of the Transsiberian railway road (Transsib) in the unification of empire ..........................................................................................................115 10.2. Expanding of demands while growing powers ...........................................120 10.3. Road construction in Siberia in the beginning of 20th century. new tasks, new projects ................................................................................124 10.4. Great Northern way - hundred years of arguments to be or not to be ......126 10.5. Baikal-Amur main line - first link in the Great Northern way ....................128 10.6. Transport as a prelude to economic development of territory ..................130 Chapter 11. STATE REGULATION OF ECONOMY: STAGE OF PRE-PLAN STUDIES ........................................................................................................133 11.1. Economic functions of state .........................................................................133 11.2. Tasks of national economic level in the system of forecasting ....................136 424 Оглавление Chapter 12. STRATEGIC ASYMMETRY OF THE ASIAN PART OF RUSSIA AS A THREAT TO DEVELOPMENT AND SECURITY OF THE COUNTRY ......................................................................................................139 12.1. Geopolitical asymmetry ...............................................................................139 12.2. Demographical asymmetry ..........................................................................144 12.3. Technological asymmetry ............................................................................148 Chapter 13. STATE AND BUSINESS: PRINCIPLES OF CO-PARTNERSHIP IN MANAGEMENT THE PROCESS OF LARGE-SCALED INFRA¬ STRUCTURE PROJECTS REALIZATION .................................................153 13.1. Basic contradiction of state-private partnership in Russia ...........................153 13.2. Investment potential of state and business ...................................................158 13.3. Investment funds of Russian Federation ......................................................160 13.4. Reasons for restraint of concession activity .................................................164 13.5. Probable plots for financing infrastructure projects .....................................166 Part IV FORECASTING OF INFRASTRUCTER SECTORS DEVELOPMENT IN THE ASIAN PART OF RUSSIA: INSTRUMENTS AND RESULTS OF CALCULATIONS ..................................................................................................169 Chapter 14. APPROACH TO MAKING TRANSPORT ECONOMIC BALANCES .....169 14.1. Bench marks .................................................................................................169 14.2. Basic tasks and instruments for making transport economic balances .........170 14.3. Outline of models interconnections ............................................................175 14.4. Modern situation and major hypotheses of forecasting calculations ............177 14.5. Russia s development forecast up to 2020 ...................................................180 14.6. Detailed presentation of the transport industry and administration territorial units ..............................................................................................182 14.7. Export and import in forming demand and resources for transport services .........................................................................................................185 14.8. Projects evaluation of establishing international transport corridors to intensify international transit ...................................................................186 14.9. Impact evaluation of the railway road sector of the Asian part of Russia on a national economy .................................................................189 Chapter 15. FORECASTING THE SCALE OF TRANSPORT WORKING AND FORMING BASIC TRANSPORT NET IN THE ASIAN PART OF RUSSIA .............................................................................................................192 15.1. Simulation model of forecasting the scale of working for separate kinds of transport .........................................................................................192 15.2. Initial premises for the simulation of forming basic transport net ................197 15.3. Results of experimental calculations on the model of forming basic transport net .................................................................................................201 15.4. Forming of integrated industrial transport zones within the belt of new industrial development .....................................................................205 15.5. Prospects for the development of right-bank area of the Tomsk region within influence zone of the Northern Siberian main line ..........................207 15.6. Transport economic balances as an instrument for the activization of state regional policy ..........................................................................................220 Оглавление 425 Chapter 16. NATIONAL ECONOMY IMPORTANCE OF FORMING TERRITO¬ RIAL INDUSTRIAL ENERGY COMPLEXES (TEC) IN THE EAST SIBERIA AND THE FAR EAST ...................................................................222 16.1. Forecasting demands for production of electric energy complex .................222 16.2. Project filling of forecasted development rate of TEC in Siberia and its major consumers ...............................................................................225 16.3. Change of the paradigm for the development of TEC in the East Siberia and the Far East and the conditions for its implementation .........................232 16.4. Territorial industrial energy complexes of the East Siberia and the Far East ...............................................................................................................235 Chapter 17. EFFECTIVENESS OF STRATEGIES AND REGIONAL ECONOMIC RISKS IN FORMING THE EAST-SIBERIAN OIL GAS COMPLEX (ESOGC) .........................................................................................................243 17.1. Formulation of a problem .............................................................................243 17.2. Pioneer stage of forming ESOGC: problems and risks ................................245 17.3. Evaluations of social economic effectiveness for the variants of export corridors of pipeline transportation ........................................................,.....251 17.4. Budget effectiveness of the variants of export pipeline for eastern regions of Russian Federation ............................,........................................258 17.5. Forecast evaluations of VRP and social economic effects for the variants of export pipelines .........................................................................260 17.6. Scenarios of forming ESOGC ......................................................................263 17.7. Expected regional and local effects in scenarios of forming ESOGC ..........267 17.8. Ways for reduction of organizational economic risks in forming ESOGC ........................................................................................................270 Chapter V RESOURCE PROJECTS IN ECONOMIC DYNAMICS OF THE FAR EAST OF RUSSIA .............................................................................................274 Chapter 18. NEW GUIDELINES IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE FAR EAST OFRUSSIA .....................................................................................................274 18.1. Major factors and tendences in the development of the Far East econ¬ omy in the beginning of the 21st century ......................................................274 18.2. Scenarios of the development of the Far East economy within long-term strategy of Russia s development .................................................................277 18.3. Innovation vector of transformations is a way to renovate natural resources sector of the economy ..................................................................278 Chapter 19. PROSPECT STRUCTURE OF THE FAR EAST ECONOMY ...................284 19.1. System changes in the dynamics of the region s development ...................284 19.2. Structure indicators of economic development of the Far East in the prospect ..............................................................................................285 Chapter 20. DYNAMICS OF THE FAR EAST MINERAL RESOURCE COM¬ PLEX ...............................................................................................................290 20.1. Transformational changes in the development of mineral resource complex of the Far East in 1990s and 2000s years ......................................290 20.2. Set of investment projects of the development of far eastern subjects of Russian Federation ...................................................................................293 426 Оглавление Chapter 21. DYNAMICS OF FUEL ENERGY COMPLEX OF THE FAR EAST .........300 21.1. Tasks for the strategic development of fuel energy complex .......................300 21.2. Project and program provision of a new stage of fuel energy complex of the Far East .............................................................................................301 21.3. Dynamics and structure of the Far East fuel energy complex in two scenarios of its development ........................................................................303 Chapter 22. DYNAMICS OF WOOD COMPLEX OF THE FAR EAST .......................311 22.1. Conditions of functioning wood complex of the Far East in the end of 20th and the beginning of 2 1st century ......................................................311 22.2. Forecast variants for the development of far east wood complex ................314 Part VI NIZHNEE PRIANGARYE - IMMEDIATE REGION FOR REALIZA¬ TION OF A NEW SHIFT TO THE EAST ...........................................................324 Chapter 23. KRASNOYARSK REGION IN THE ECONOMY OF SIBERIA AND RUSSIA .................................................................................................324 23.1. Stages in the forming of hypotheses for the development of Kras¬ noyarsk region territories .............................................................................324 23.2. Krasnoyarsk region in the strategies of the development Siberia and Russia ...........................................................................................................328 23.3. Project filling of forecast calculations ......................................................332 Chapter 24. NIZGNEE PRIANGARYE ON THE NEW STAGE OF DEVELOP¬ MENT .............................................................................................................338 24.1. Historical aspects of the program s elaboration for the development of Nizhnee Priangarye ..................................................................................338 24.2. Forming of the investment project for the development of Nizhnee Pri¬ angarye .........................................................................................................344 24.3. Analysis and evaluation of the equilibrium level of project proposals on the development of mineral resources and infrastructure develop¬ ment of Nizhnee Priangarye .........................................................................346 Chapter 25. APPROACH TO THE RATIONALITY OF OUTLINES OF TERRI¬ TORIAL PLANNING IN THE REGION .......................................................359 25.1. Formulation of the problem ..........................................................................359 25.2. Territorial differentiation of social economic development of the region ...........................................................................................................362 25.3. Characteristics of practical use of instruments and methods ........................366 25.4. Variants of forming the spacial structure of the Boguchan industrial unit ................................................................................................................374 25.5. Ecological climate zoning of territories within the influence of the Northern Siberian main line .........................................................................386 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................393 Literature ..........................................................................................................................400 List of authors ..................................................................................................................412 List of abbreviations .........................................................................................................414 Оглавление 427 PREFACE Intensive appearance of new technologies and the velocity of their introduction is constantly increasing. More and more part of added value is producing in the area of high technologies, services, trade and other non resource sectors. However absolute volume of extracted raw materials and energy continue to grow. World powers have been for long time in a process of unannounced war (fortunately only economic at present) for new world resource regions: either in form of redestribution of sphere of influence in well-developed countries and regions or in form of entering new not occupied territories and water areas. Even bottom under the North Pole has become the point of discussions not only scientific but political as well. Though the start of intensive extraction of expected hydrocarbons there can not be earlier than in 30 years. The last on the planet not divided treasury of resources is sometimes called the Asian part of Russia. Evidently one has in mind economic non- development of this huge territory but not its belonging to a state. Tibet, for example, also is a treasury of resources but China constructed railway road to Lhasa and this way answered the question on probable internationalization in developing this territory. Unfortunately Russia is again late with its claims for Arctic as it has no well-prepared new bases on the continent and has destroyed old ones within obscure period of 1990s. The Northern Sea Route has being tried to put under international control with the argument that Russia is not able to develop northern territories and organize secure transporting. Renewal of regular flights of our long-distance strategic aviation is probably the first (though necessary and actual) step in restoring Russian priority in the development of the North. Suggested monograph is a logic continuation of many years research in the ШШ SB AS. The area of this research is the detection laws in the development of new regions of resource type and creation transport corridors on Russia territory. In this book we continue discussion on quantitative assessment of how develop territories of Asian part of Russia which are difficult of access but enormously rich of resources. We analize historical experience of our country and other states with similar reserve of not developed territory. We propose new approaches to economic evaluation of reasonable variant in developing new regions which is based on the system of interrelated economic mathematical models. Special attention has been payed to infrastructure projects in power and transport areas. Analysis of modern ways in realization new large investment projects of industrial development has showed the necessity in the revival of works on designing projects of region surface planning - initial engineer document, i.e. linked to a certain territory. One must take into account that most of these projects regard to territories of several federal legal subjects. The last fact results in Preface 7 the solution of tasks of coordinating sectoral and regional interests as well as long- term goals of the development of neighbour regions. Under the historical experience of the development new territories of Russia and some other countries as well as under the analysis of adapting to plague aspect of continentality, the authors suggest to more seriously evaluate the role of state in economic development of Russia. This role should be at least apparent. As to northern and eastern regions this aspect should be domineering. Sphere of state s participation is wide - social, subsoil assets usage, environmental protection problems etc. Though most active participation is to be in the sphere of modern infrastucture, first of all transport and energy infrastructures. In this point the most advanced form which was suggested to be state-private partnership. Most attention has been payed to the project of Nizhnee priangarye s (Lower Angara river valley) development not because it is the first mega project which has received financial support of investment fund but also as the most prepared in scientific and methodological aspects in order to design the project of region planning. Demand for such works namely for northern and eastern regions is becoming more and more vital additionally thanks to sharp increase of the labor resource factor. Because of limited amount of labor resources especially important the necessity to create good conditions of life for these labor resources in severe climate environment where people work and live. Monograph has been prepared by a large group of researchers from different academic institutes, by people from developer organizations who participate in the realization of specific investment projects. Preface
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publisher	IĖiOPP SO RAN
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spelling	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia Rossijskaja Akademija Nauk, Sibirskoe Otdelenie, Institut Ėkonomiki i Organizacii Promyšlennogo Proizvodstva. Otv. red. V. V. Kulešov Asian part of Russia Novosibirisk IĖiOPP SO RAN 2008 427 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier In kyrill. Schr., russ. - Vorw. und Inh.-Verz. in engl. Sprache Geschichte 1890-2030 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsgeografie (DE-588)4066446-6 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Sibirien (DE-588)4054780-2 gnd rswk-swf Russland Asiatischer Teil (DE-588)4457321-2 gnd rswk-swf Russland Asiatischer Teil (DE-588)4457321-2 g Sibirien (DE-588)4054780-2 g Wirtschaftsgeografie (DE-588)4066446-6 s Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s Geschichte 1890-2030 z DE-604 Kulešov, Valerij Vladimirovič 1942- Sonstige (DE-588)170124304 oth Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017675596&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017675596&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Abstract
spellingShingle	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia Wirtschaftsgeografie (DE-588)4066446-6 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd
subject_GND	(DE-588)4066446-6 (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4054780-2 (DE-588)4457321-2
title	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia
title_alt	Asian part of Russia
title_auth	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia
title_exact_search	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia
title_full	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia Rossijskaja Akademija Nauk, Sibirskoe Otdelenie, Institut Ėkonomiki i Organizacii Promyšlennogo Proizvodstva. Otv. red. V. V. Kulešov
title_fullStr	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia Rossijskaja Akademija Nauk, Sibirskoe Otdelenie, Institut Ėkonomiki i Organizacii Promyšlennogo Proizvodstva. Otv. red. V. V. Kulešov
title_full_unstemmed	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia Rossijskaja Akademija Nauk, Sibirskoe Otdelenie, Institut Ėkonomiki i Organizacii Promyšlennogo Proizvodstva. Otv. red. V. V. Kulešov
title_short	Aziatskaja častʹ Rossii
title_sort	aziatskaja castʹ rossii novyj etap osvoenija severnych i vostocnych regionov strany asian part of russia
title_sub	novyj ėtap osvoenija severnych i vostočnych regionov strany = Asian part of Russia
topic	Wirtschaftsgeografie (DE-588)4066446-6 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd
topic_facet	Wirtschaftsgeografie Wirtschaftsentwicklung Sibirien Russland Asiatischer Teil
url	http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017675596&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017675596&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
work_keys_str_mv	AT kulesovvalerijvladimirovic aziatskajacastʹrossiinovyjetaposvoenijasevernychivostocnychregionovstranyasianpartofrussia AT kulesovvalerijvladimirovic asianpartofrussia

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