Applied industrial and regulatory economics: the case of liberalizing the mail market
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Thesis Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2007
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | 114 S. graph. Darst. |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Titel: Applied industrial and regulatory economics
Autor: Trinkner, Urs Walter Oktavian
Jahr: 2007
Contents
Acknowledgements...................................................................................3
1. Introduction.....................................................................................6
1.1 Background and problem set..........................................................6
1.2 Outline of the book.........................................................................9
2. Drivers of Hail Demand, ^Substitution, and Forecasting...............11
2.1 Introduction..................................................................................11
2.2 Data..............................................................................................13
2.3 E-Substitution in time series analysis............................................16
2.4 Long run models for Swiss mail demand........................................18
2.5 Forecasting future mail demand....................................................22
2.6 Conclusions..................................................................................25
3. Economies of Scale, Density and Scope in Mail Delivery.................29
3.1 Introduction..................................................................................29
3.2 Background...................................................................................31
3.3 Model specification an econometric methods..................................33
3.4 Data..............................................................................................35
3.5 Estimation results.........................................................................36
3.6 Economies of scale, density and scope...........................................37
3.7 Conclusions..................................................................................40
3.8 Discussion: Mail delivery as a contested natural monopoly.............41
4. Overall Welfare Impact of Various Scenarios of Liberalization.........46
4.1 Introduction..................................................................................46
4.2 Basic model and formal results......................................................48
4.2.1. Modeling competition in postal markets.............................................4
4.2.2. Model specification.................................................................................50
4.2.3. Regulated Competition with Swiss licensing system.........................51
4.2.4. Licensing fees lead to higher prices......................................................53
4.3 Calibration with Swiss Data...........................................................54
4.3.1. Demand parameters................................................................................54
4.3.2. Cost structure...........................................................................................56
4.4 Results on Monopoly and on End-to-End Competition...................58
-4-
4.4.1. Monopoly: Positive effects of a price freeze........................................59
4.4.2. End-to-end Competition: universal service at risk.............................60
4.4.3. Ambiguous effects of the licensing rate n............................................62
4.4.4. Comparison of the four regulatory regimes and first conclusions... 64
4.5 Worksharing and Price Freeze Competition....................................65
4.5.1. Modeling Worksharing..........................................................................66
4.5.2. US Worksharing - a Pareto Improvement...........................................67
4.5.3. Price Freeze Competition.......................................................................70
4.5.4. Discussion.................................................................................................70
4.6 Access with Bypass.......................................................................71
4.7 Conclusions..................................................................................74
5. Pricing in Liberalized Two-Sided Mail Markets................................76
5.1 Introduction..................................................................................76
5.2 Background- is the postal market two-sided?...............................78
5.2.1. Pricing structures in two-sided markets..............................................79
5.2.2. Two-sidedness of the postal market.....................................................81
5.3 A two-sided postal market model...................................................83
5.3.1. Upstream competition in non-discriminatory linear tariffs..............86
5.3.2. Downstream competition in two-part tariffs.......................................88
5.4 Simulation results and discussion.................................................89
5.5 Conclusions..................................................................................93
6. Concluding Remarks.......................................................................96
6.1 Two conflicting concepts: Universal Service and Free Market..........96
6.2 Impact of a Full Market Opening on Welfare...................................98
Abbreviations....................................................................................... 101
List of Tables........................................................................................ 103
List of Figures...................................................................................... 104
References........................................................................................... 105
Curriculum Vitae.................................................................................. 114
-5-
List of Tables
Table 1: Overview of quarterly data set..................................................................................15
Table 2: Unrestricted cointegration rank test.........................................................................18
Table 3: Estimation results (Dependent variable: overall mail volume)............................20
Table 4: Distribution of total costs...........................................................................................30
Table 5: Economies of scope, scale and density.....................................................................39
Table 6: Contestability in dependence of cost characteristics..............................................43
Table 7: Major demand characteristics....................................................................................56
Table 8: Major cost characteristics............................................................................................57
Table 9: Results monopoly cases..............................................................................................59
Table 10: Results End-to-End Competition............................................................................61
Table 11: Results Worksharing and Price Cap Competition................................................69
Table 12: Overview of pricing structures in two-sided markets.........................................80
-103-
List of Figures
Figure 1: Historical development of addressed mail items in Switzerland.......................11
Figure 2: Quarterly mail demand (seasonally adjusted)......................................................12
Figure 3: Residuals of static OLS regression, R2=97%, DW=0.57........................................12
Figure 4: Recursive estimates yield increasing price elasticity............................................17
Figure 5: Demand shock after a 10% price increase..............................................................21
Figure 6: Exogenous (left) and endogenous (right) predictions TM...................................24
Figure 7: Exogenous (left) and endogenous (right) predictions SMI.................................24
Figure 8: Exogenous (left) and endogenous (right) predictions SM2.................................25
Figure 9: E-Substitution as a loss of market share in platform competition......................27
Figure 10: The postal value chain.............................................................................................29
Figure 11: Swiss Post s organization of mail delivery as of 2004........................................35
Figure 12. Overview over various liberalization and regulatory policies..........................47
Figure 13: Model outline...........................................................................................................49
Figure 14: Impact of the licensing rate on welfare and profits............................................63
Figure 15: EU market opening compared to US worksharing.............................................66
Figure 16: Stylized worksharing model..................................................................................67
Figure 17: Development of overall mail volumes in selected high-volume countries.....71
Figure 18: Illustration of a possible two-part tariff in the postal sector..............................76
Figure 19: Model outline...........................................................................................................84
Figure 20: Optimal pricing structure depending on interconnection rate.........................90
Figure 21: Postal operator profit per customer......................................................................91
Figure 22: Mail Volumes...........................................................................................................92
-104-
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Trinkner, Urs Walter Oktavian 1975- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)138152276 |
| author_facet | Trinkner, Urs Walter Oktavian 1975- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Trinkner, Urs Walter Oktavian 1975- |
| author_variant | u w o t uwo uwot |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV035492779 |
| classification_rvk | QR 720 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)552420768 (DE-599)BVBBV035492779 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:38:50Z |
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| spelling | Trinkner, Urs Walter Oktavian 1975- Verfasser (DE-588)138152276 aut Applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market by Urs Walter Oktavian Trinkner 2007 114 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Zürich, Univ., Diss., 2007 Deregulierung stw Postdienst stw Preiselastizität stw Schweiz stw Schätzung stw Skalenertrag stw Spieltheorie stw Theorie der Regulierung stw Theorie stw Wirkungsanalyse stw Deregulierung (DE-588)4201191-7 gnd rswk-swf Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd rswk-swf Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd rswk-swf Schätzung (DE-588)4193791-0 gnd rswk-swf Skalenertrag (DE-588)4306169-2 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Post (DE-588)4046886-0 gnd rswk-swf Preiselastizität (DE-588)4382656-8 gnd rswk-swf Schweiz (DE-588)4053881-3 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Schweiz (DE-588)4053881-3 g Post (DE-588)4046886-0 s Deregulierung (DE-588)4201191-7 s Skalenertrag (DE-588)4306169-2 s Preiselastizität (DE-588)4382656-8 s Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 s Schätzung (DE-588)4193791-0 s DE-604 Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s DE-188 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017549144&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Trinkner, Urs Walter Oktavian 1975- Applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market Deregulierung stw Postdienst stw Preiselastizität stw Schweiz stw Schätzung stw Skalenertrag stw Spieltheorie stw Theorie der Regulierung stw Theorie stw Wirkungsanalyse stw Deregulierung (DE-588)4201191-7 gnd Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd Schätzung (DE-588)4193791-0 gnd Skalenertrag (DE-588)4306169-2 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Post (DE-588)4046886-0 gnd Preiselastizität (DE-588)4382656-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4201191-7 (DE-588)4120670-8 (DE-588)4056243-8 (DE-588)4193791-0 (DE-588)4306169-2 (DE-588)4114528-8 (DE-588)4046886-0 (DE-588)4382656-8 (DE-588)4053881-3 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market |
| title_auth | Applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market |
| title_exact_search | Applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market |
| title_full | Applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market by Urs Walter Oktavian Trinkner |
| title_fullStr | Applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market by Urs Walter Oktavian Trinkner |
| title_full_unstemmed | Applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market by Urs Walter Oktavian Trinkner |
| title_short | Applied industrial and regulatory economics |
| title_sort | applied industrial and regulatory economics the case of liberalizing the mail market |
| title_sub | the case of liberalizing the mail market |
| topic | Deregulierung stw Postdienst stw Preiselastizität stw Schweiz stw Schätzung stw Skalenertrag stw Spieltheorie stw Theorie der Regulierung stw Theorie stw Wirkungsanalyse stw Deregulierung (DE-588)4201191-7 gnd Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd Schätzung (DE-588)4193791-0 gnd Skalenertrag (DE-588)4306169-2 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Post (DE-588)4046886-0 gnd Preiselastizität (DE-588)4382656-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Deregulierung Postdienst Preiselastizität Schweiz Schätzung Skalenertrag Spieltheorie Theorie der Regulierung Theorie Wirkungsanalyse Liberalisierung Mathematisches Modell Post Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017549144&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT trinknerurswalteroktavian appliedindustrialandregulatoryeconomicsthecaseofliberalizingthemailmarket |