Economic development planning in oil economies: a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis
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| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Saarbrücken
VDM Verlag Dr. Müller
2007
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Hergestellt on demand. - Literaturverz. S. 274 - 280 |
| Physical Description: | IX, 280 S. graph. Darst. 24 cm |
| ISBN: | 9783836434553 |
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MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Economic development planning in oil economies |b a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis |c Hodjat Ghadimi |
| 264 | 1 | |a Saarbrücken |b VDM Verlag Dr. Müller |c 2007 | |
| 300 | |a IX, 280 S. |b graph. Darst. |c 24 cm | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Hergestellt on demand. - Literaturverz. S. 274 - 280 | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Entwicklungsländer | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Mathematisches Modell | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Economic development projects |z Developing countries |x Evaluation | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Petroleum industry and trade |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Petroleum industry and trade |z Developing countries |x Planning | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Petroleum |x Economic aspects |z Iran | |
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Record in the Search Index
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
DEDICATION . i
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS . ii
LIST OF TABLES . v
LIST OF FIGURES . vii
CHAPTER PAGE
I. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background . 1
1.2 Objectives of the Study . 7
1.3 Organization of the Study . 9
II. THE ECONOMY OF IRAN
2.1 Introduction . 12
2.2 General Characteristics . 13
2.3 Performance of the Iranian Economy in Recent Decades 15
2.4 Components of Gross Domestic Product . 22
2.5 Sectoral Composition and growth . 26
2.6 The Public Sector . 47
2.7 Brief Survey of Iranian Development Planning . 55
2.8 Concluding Remarks . 66
III. THE MODEL
3.1 Introduction . 71
3.2 Computable General Equilibrium Models . 72
3.3 Dynamics in CGE Models . 76
3.4 An Optimal Depletion CGE Model . 82
3.5 Structure of the Model . 85
3.6 The SAM Structure of the Model. 99
3.7 System of Notation . 104
3.8 The Dynamics of the Model . 108
3.9 The Static Model . 122
CHAPTER PAGE
IV. CALIBRATION OF THE MODEL
4.1 Introduction . 150
4.2 The Data Base . 151
4.3 Calibration of the Model Parameters . 181
4.4 Solution Strategy . 188
V. EMPIRICAL SIMULATION RESULTS
5.1 Introduction . 192
5.2 The Base Run . 194
5.3 Optimal Depletion . 200
5.4 Optimal Savings and Investment Allocation . 221
VI. CONCLUSIONS . 246
APPENENDIX
A. The Iranian Data . 256
B. List of Equations . 266
LIST OF REFERENCES . 274
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE PAGE
1. Major Oil Exporting Developing Countries: Selected Data . 3
2. Selected Macro-variables for the Iranian Economy 1339-1365. 17
3. Sectoral distribution of industrial output for selected years
(in constant billion Rials) . 35
4. Sectoral distribution of service output for selected years
(in constant Rials) . 39
5. Components of Tax Revenue for Selected Years (Billion Rials). 51
6. List of Scalars, Parameters and Variables in IRANCGE Model. 105
7. Modified Seven Sector Input-output Table for Iran, 1984 . 155
8. Components of Sectoral Operating Surplus. 158
9. Derivation of Sectoral Depreciation Rates . 162
10. Capital-output Ratios and Sectoral Capital Shares in Total
Capital Stock in a Sample of Studies . 165
11. Sectoral Capital Stocks, Rates of Return, Capital-output
Ratios and Capital Shares . 166
12. Seven Sector Input-output Table for Iran, 1984, With
Modified Value Added . 168
13. Four Sector Input-output Table for Iran, 1984 . 169
14. ASocial Accounting Matrix for Iran, 1984 . 174
15. Average Sectoral Capital Formation and Machinery Capital
Type For 1965-1977 Period . 177
16. Capital Distribution by Sector and by Capital Type . 178
17. Investment Matrix: Sector of Origin by Sector of Destination . 180
V
18. The Capital Composition Matrix . 180
19. Production Function and Factor Proportionality Parameters . 183
20. Demand Composition Shares . 185
21. Elasticity of Substitution and Transformation In a Sample
of Studies. 186
22. Estimates of Elasticity of Substitution and Transformation
for Iran. 187
23. Parameters of Foreign Trade Functions . 188
24. Percentage Change From The Base Run Level Of Oil
Production For Different Values Of The Stock
Elasticity Of Output . 213
25. Sectoral Aggregation Scheme . 259
26. Aggregated Input-output Table for Iran, 1984 . 263
27. Sectoral Employment . 264
LIST OF FIGURES
FIGURE PAGE
1. Real GDP and GDP excluding oil 1959-1986. 18
2. Growth Rate of Real GDP 1959-1986 . 19
3. Output of Oil Sector (1959-1986) . 21
4. Components of National Expenditure as Percentage
of GDP 1959-1986. 25
5. Sectors as a Percentage of GDP 1959-1986 . 28
6. Sectoral Growth Rates Versus GDP Growth Rate, 1959-1986 . 33
7. Crude Oil Production (Average Thousand Barrels Per Day) . 43
8. Price of the Iranian crude oil (1960-1987) . 43
9. Oil and non-oil exports . 44
10. Major Components of Government Budget (1971-1986) . 49
11. Major Components of Government Expenditure 1971-1986 . 54
12. Government Investment and Consumption . 54
13. Circular Flow of Income . 86
14. A Descriptive Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for Iran . 103
15. Factors, Prices, and Products in the CGE . 123
16 Components of National Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP. 198
17 Sectoral Share in GDP. 199
18 Sectoral Production Share. 199
19 Annual Growth Rate of Output by Sector. 200
vii
20 Oil Extraction Profile. 202
21 Effects of Various Valuation of Terminal Capital and
Resource on Depletion Path . 208
22 Effects of Change in the Relative Terminal Valuation of
Capital and Resource on Depletion Path . 210
23 Oil Production Under Alternative Stock Elasticity of Output . 212
24 Oil Production Under Two Different Discount Rates . 215
25 Combination of World Oil Price Increases and Oil Export Quotas. 220
26 Time Path of Private Marginal Propensity to Save . 222
27 Time Path of Per Capita GDP . 223
28 Government Savings Under Alternative Government
Savings Rule . 230
29 Optimal Path of Government Savings Rate. 231
30 Total Savings Under Alternative Government Savings Rule. 232
31 GDP Per Capita Under Alternative Government Savings Rule . 233
32 Sectoral Share in Total Investment . 234
33 Non-oil Sectors' Profit Rates in the Base Run . 235
34 Sectoral Investment Shares When Capital Mobility
Coefficient is Doubled . 237
35 Time Path of Total Capital Stock When the Absorptive
Capacity Constraint is Relaxed . 239
36 Time Path of Per Capita GDP When the Absorptive Capacity
Constraint is Relaxed . 239
37 Growth Rate of Sectoral Capital Stock With Absorptive
Capacity Constraint Relaxed . 240
38 GDP Per Capita Under Different Investment Allocation Schemes. 242
39 Sectoral Share in GDP Under Two Different Investment Allocation
Schemes . 243
IX |
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| isbn | 9783836434553 |
| language | English |
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| owner_facet | DE-12 |
| physical | IX, 280 S. graph. Darst. 24 cm |
| publishDate | 2007 |
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| publisher | VDM Verlag Dr. Müller |
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| spelling | Ghadimi, Hodjat Verfasser (DE-588)136740049 aut Economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis Hodjat Ghadimi Saarbrücken VDM Verlag Dr. Müller 2007 IX, 280 S. graph. Darst. 24 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Hergestellt on demand. - Literaturverz. S. 274 - 280 Entwicklungsländer Mathematisches Modell Economic development projects Developing countries Evaluation Petroleum industry and trade Mathematical models Petroleum industry and trade Developing countries Planning Petroleum Economic aspects Iran text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3023885&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017089348&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Ghadimi, Hodjat Economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis Entwicklungsländer Mathematisches Modell Economic development projects Developing countries Evaluation Petroleum industry and trade Mathematical models Petroleum industry and trade Developing countries Planning Petroleum Economic aspects Iran |
| title | Economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis |
| title_auth | Economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis |
| title_exact_search | Economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis |
| title_full | Economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis Hodjat Ghadimi |
| title_fullStr | Economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis Hodjat Ghadimi |
| title_full_unstemmed | Economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis Hodjat Ghadimi |
| title_short | Economic development planning in oil economies |
| title_sort | economic development planning in oil economies a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis |
| title_sub | a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis |
| topic | Entwicklungsländer Mathematisches Modell Economic development projects Developing countries Evaluation Petroleum industry and trade Mathematical models Petroleum industry and trade Developing countries Planning Petroleum Economic aspects Iran |
| topic_facet | Entwicklungsländer Mathematisches Modell Economic development projects Developing countries Evaluation Petroleum industry and trade Mathematical models Petroleum industry and trade Developing countries Planning Petroleum Economic aspects Iran |
| url | http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3023885&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017089348&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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