Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems: relevance and impact on governance
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| Other Authors: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Dordrecht [u.a.]
Springer
2005
|
| Series: | Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
8 |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XXIV, 476 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 1402034512 |
Staff View
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems |b relevance and impact on governance |c ed. by Adrian V. Gheorghe |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Contents
Preface xv
Acknowledgements xxiii
i. Disaster Risk and Vulnerability Management
From Awareness to Practice
(Adrian Gheorghe, Dan Vamanu) 1
Introduction 1
1. Tools for an Educated Awareness 9
1.1 The GIS manager 11
1.2 A risk-oriented database 13
1.3 Chemical risk assessment tools 15
1.3.1 Chemical risk cadaster 15
1.3.2 Chemical accident source terms 18
1.3.3 Chemical accident consequence assessment tool 20
1.3.4 Physical and health effects of spills 22
1.3.5 Atmospheric dispersion in complex terrain 24
1.3.6 Environmental monitoring network-assisted
toxicological assessment 28
1.4 Nuclear Risk Assessment 31
1.4.1 Nuclear risk cadaster 31
vijj Contents
1.4.2 Nuclear accident source terms 34
1.4.3 Nuclear accident consequence assessment 36
1.4.4 Environmental monitoring network-assisted radiological assessment 39
1.5 Transportation Risk Tools 42
1.5.1 Routing dangerous rail/road cargoes -
comparative risk assessment 42
1.5.2 Routing dangerous rail/road cargoes -
hot spot identification 45
1.5.3 Tunnel fire assessment 48
1.5.4 The Risko Meter 50
1.6 Risks in Water Management 52
1.6.1 Pollution dispersion in surface waters 52
1.6.2 Pollution dispersion in ground waters 55
1.7 Near-Earth Objects 5 8
1.7.1 Asteroids/comets terminal monitoring and
Torino-scale assessment 58
1.7.2 Satellite motion and re-entry monitoring 60
1.7.3 Ballistic missile threat 62
1.8 Multiattribute risk assessment tools 64
1.8.1 The Risk Matrix -
a case of chemical risk acceptability assessment 64
1.9 An introduction to Quantitative Vulnerability Assessment 67
1.9.1 System vulnerability generic assessment 67
1.9.2 Territorial vulnerability assessment 69
1.9.3 Structural vulnerability assessment 71
2. Foundations - Selected Topics 73
2.1 Atmospheric dispersion 73
2.1.1 The advection-diffusion equation 73
2.1.2 Atmospheric transport in complex terrain 82
2.2 Physical background of chemical source term models 99
2.2.1 The Critical Parameters 99
2.2.2 The Molar Volumes V; ,¥3. 100
2.2.3 Maxwell s Rule for Andrews Isotherms 100
2.2.4 Shapes, volumes and heights 101
2.2.5 Adiabatic gas outflows 101
2.3 Operative models of chemical accident phenomenology 112
2.3.1 BLEVE 112
2.3.2 Pool fire 117
2.3.3 Flare 121
2.3.4 Explosion 126
2.3.5 Intoxication 134
Contents ix
2.4 Integrated dispersion and dose-effect models 139
2.5 Water pollution assessment recipes 145
2.5.1 Surface water 145
2.5.1.1 Near-field models 146
2.5.1.2 Far-field models 152
2.5.2 Ground water 157
2.5.2.1 The assessment concept 157
2.5.2.2 The model inputs 159
2.5.2.3 Spot assessment: concentration in,
and ingestion from tap water wells 162
2.5.2.4 Spot assessment: discharge excursion
in rivers/lakes 164
2.5.2.5 Spot Assessment: concentration excursion
at table-top level 167
2.5.2.6 Area Assessment: the primarily exposed areas 172
2.6 A special case: fire in tunnels 175
2.6.1 Model scope 176
2.6.2 Model outline 177
2.6.3 Fire assessment: the near source zone 177
2.6.3.1 Problem setting 177
2.6.3.2 The algorithm 179
2.6.4 The initial conditions of the axial flow problem 181
2.6.4.1 Problem setting 181
2.6.4.2 The algorithm 183
2.6.5 Fire assessment: the far-zone axial flow problem 185
2.6.5.1 The approach 185
2.6.5.2 The algorithm 185
2.6.5.3 The critical ventilation velocity and the fire range 193
2.6.6 Fire assessment: the dose, and dose-effect models 195
2.6.6.1 Fire radiation effects 195
2.6.6.2 Toxic effects 199
2.6.7 The input 202
2.6.7.1 Initial data 202
2.6.7.2 First-instance derived data 203
2.6.7.3 Run-time empirical parameters 204
2.6.7.4 Option-relating inputs 205
2.6.7.5 Input style 206
2.7 Modeling system vulnerability - a generic approach
to stability in multicomponent systems 206
3. Steps Towards Practice: Virtual Case Studies 212
3.1 A pre-application environmental statement
to decommissioning nuclear power plant X. 214
x Contents
3.1.1 Introduction 215
3.1.2 A pre-application documentation strategy 216
3.1.3 The Theater of Action 218
3.1.4 A Decommissioning Scenario 219
3.1.4.1 The primary sources and paths leading to health
and environmental hazards 220
3.1.5 Space and Time Scales 221
3.1.6 Situation Maps 223
3.1.7 Radioactive inventories 231
3.1.7.1 Fission product inventories 231
3.1.7.2 Activation inventories 235
3.1.7.3 Reactor coolant inventory 237
3.1.8 Source Terms 238
3.1.9 Meteo Scenarios 246
3.1.10 Potential Impacts of Acute (Accidental) Releases 250
3.1.11 Potential Impacts of Long-Term Releases 274
3.1.12 Potential Doses from Direct Exposure 278
3.1.13 Potential Effects from Contaminated Fluids
Discharged into the Ground Water Table 282
3.1.14 The Data Base 288
3.2 Routing a HAZMAT cargo 292
3.2.1 The case study format 294
3.2.2 The executive summary 296
4. Conclusion 307
References 309
ii. Quantitative Area Risk Analysis: Available Tools and Open Problems
(Valerio Cozzani, Severino Zanelli) 321
introduction 322
1. Quantitative assessment of domino hazards in quara 324
1.1 Propagation and escalation of accidents 324
1.2 Types of domino effect 324
1.3 Identification and assessment of accidental scenarios
caused by the first type of domino events 325
1.4 Identification and assessment of accidental scenarios
caused by the second type of domino effects 326
Contents xi
1.5 Possibility and probability of propagation 328
1.6 Software tools for domino hazard assessment 331
2. Assessment of hazards due to the formation of hazardous substances
in the loss of control of industrial chemical processes 333
2.1 Unforeseen formation of hazardous substances
in industrial accidents 333
2.2 EUCLIDE database 335
2.3 Lumping approach to the description of chemical systems 335
2.4 Procedures for hazard assessment 337
2.5 Production of experimental data on products formed
in out of control conditions 338
3. Qara case studies 339
3.1 The QARA studies 339
3.2 Formation of hazardous substances in industrial accidents 341
4. Conclusions 344
References 345
in. Aripar-gis, Trat, Optipath, Ehhra-gis: features and applications of
some tools for assisting decision-makers in risk management
(glgliola spadoni, sarah bovincini) 349
Introduction 350
1. The aripar-gis software 351
2. The trat software 352
3. The optipath procedure 354
4. The ehhra-gis software 356
5. Conclusions 358
References 359
iv. Risk Based Decision Making:
Three Examples of Practical Application Tools
(Marcus Abrahamsson, Henrik Johansson,
Jerry Nilsson, Sven Erik Magnusson ) 361
xjj Contents I
I,
Introduction 362 f
1. Decision Analysis Involving Extreme Events 363 I
|
2. Developing a Method for Analysing Municipal Vulnerability 366 i
2.1 Background 366
2.2 Procedure 367
2.3 Theoretical and technical aspects 368
2.4 Model description 369
2.5 Preliminary conclusions 373
3. Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk Analysis
Characterisation and Methods of Treatment 373
References 380
v. Catastrophe Risk Management. Vulnerability and Equity
(Aniello Amendola, Yuri Ermoliev, Tatiana Ermolieva) 383
Introduction 384
1. Integrated Catastrophe Risk Management:
insurability of earthquake losses 386
References 399
vi. Interactive Risk Management
(Beatrice Capaul) 403
Introduction 404
1. Risk Management 406
2. Risk Life Cycle Analysis and Public Safety 406
3. Interactive Risk Management 413
vii. Pilot Project on Environment and Health
Rapid Risk Assessment in Secondary Rivers of the Mean and Lower
Danube Basin. Methodology and Application
(Bruno Frattini, Neil Manning) 417
Contents xiii
Introduction 418
1. Scope 420
1.1 Target 420
1.2 Goals 420
2. Basic Structure 421
2.1 Site Hazard Index (SHI) and Ranking 423
2.2 Environmental and Health Site Risk Index (SRI) and Ranking 427
2.3 Environment and Health Vulnerability Index 429
2.4 Risk and Vulnerability Ranking 430
3. Bulgaria Implementation 431
3.1 Industrial Site Selection for Test Cases 431
3.2 Results 432
3.3 Emergency and Prevention Measures 435
4. Conclusions 438
5. References 439
viii. Facing Modern Times: Challenges in Risk Analysis
(RalfMock) 441
Introduction 442
1. Risk Analysis Methodologies in Use 443
1.1 Industrial Branches 443
1.2 Ratings of Risk Analysis Techniques 445
2. Prospective in Risk Analysis Methodology 449
References 453
ix. A Research and Development Strategy on Assessment and Management
of Technological and Natural Risks
(Alfredo C. Lucia) 457
Introduction 458
1. The Joint Research Centre and the Sixth Framework
for Research and Development (2003 - 2006) 459
xiv Contents
2. Role and Activities of the JRC
in the Field of Risk Assessment and Management 459
3. The Major Accident Hazards Bureau (MAHB) 461 j
4. Natural and Environmental Disaster Information Exchange S ystem
(NEDIES) 463
5. Management of Natural and Technological Hazards
in Candidate Countries 464
6. Risk Compatibility and Integrated Risk Assessment 465 i
7. Other Relevant Activities 467
8. The European Coordination Centre
for Aviation Incidents Reporting Systems (ECCAIRS) 468
9. The Project on Integrated Safety Assessment
and Risk Management in Civil AviatioN 469
10. Formal Collaborations with International
National or local Institutions 471
11. The Role of Research 471
references 473
Index 475
|
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| series | Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality |
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| spelling | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance ed. by Adrian V. Gheorghe Dordrecht [u.a.] Springer 2005 XXIV, 476 S. Ill., graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality 8 Entscheidungsunterstützungssystem (DE-588)4191815-0 gnd rswk-swf Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd rswk-swf Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 s Entscheidungsunterstützungssystem (DE-588)4191815-0 s DE-604 Gheorghe, Adrian V. 1945- (DE-588)170056694 edt Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality 8 (DE-604)BV006188902 8 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017480577&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality Entscheidungsunterstützungssystem (DE-588)4191815-0 gnd Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4191815-0 (DE-588)4121590-4 |
| title | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance |
| title_auth | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance |
| title_exact_search | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance |
| title_full | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance ed. by Adrian V. Gheorghe |
| title_fullStr | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance ed. by Adrian V. Gheorghe |
| title_full_unstemmed | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance ed. by Adrian V. Gheorghe |
| title_short | Integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems |
| title_sort | integrated risk and vulnerability management assisted by decision support systems relevance and impact on governance |
| title_sub | relevance and impact on governance |
| topic | Entscheidungsunterstützungssystem (DE-588)4191815-0 gnd Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Entscheidungsunterstützungssystem Risikomanagement |
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