Pitfalls in measuring exchange rate misalignment: the Yuan and other currencies

"We evaluate whether the Renminbi (RMB) is misaligned, relying upon conventional statistical methods of inference. A framework built around the relationship between relative price and relative output levels is used. We find that, once sampling uncertainty and serial correlation are accounted fo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cheung, Yin-Wong ca. 20./21. Jh (Author), Chinn, Menzie David (Author), Fujii, Eiji (Author)
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2008
Series:Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research 14168
Online Access:Volltext
Summary:"We evaluate whether the Renminbi (RMB) is misaligned, relying upon conventional statistical methods of inference. A framework built around the relationship between relative price and relative output levels is used. We find that, once sampling uncertainty and serial correlation are accounted for, there is little statistical evidence that the RMB is undervalued, even though the point estimates usually indicate economically significant misalignment. The result is robust to various choices of country samples and sample periods, as well as to the inclusion of control variables. We then update the results using the latest vintage of the data to demonstrate how fragile the results are. We find that whatever misalignment we detected in our previous work disappears in this data set"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site
Physical Description:33 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm

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