"Economic theory predicts that increasing the severity of punishments will deter criminal behavior by raising the expected price of committing crime. This implicit price can be substantially raised by making prison sentences longer, but only if offenders' discount rates are relatively low....

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Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	Lee, David S. 1972- (Author), McCrary, Justin (Author)
Format:	Book
Language:	English
Published:	Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2005
Series:	National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 11491
Subjects:	Ökonometrisches Modell Prison sentences Punishment in crime deterrence > Econometric models
Online Access:	Volltext
Summary:	"Economic theory predicts that increasing the severity of punishments will deter criminal behavior by raising the expected price of committing crime. This implicit price can be substantially raised by making prison sentences longer, but only if offenders' discount rates are relatively low. We use a large sample of felony arrests to measure the deterrence effect of criminal sanctions. We exploit the fact that young offenders are legally treated as adults--and face longer lengths of incarceration--the day they turn 18. Sufficiently patient individuals should therefore significantly lower their offending rates immediately upon turning 18. The small behavioral responses that we estimate suggest that potential offenders are extremely impatient, myopic, or both"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
Physical Description:	38, [18] S. graph. Darst.