Exact solutions for expected rates of return under markov regime switching: implications for the equity premium puzzle

This paper derives simple closed-form solutions for expected rates of return on stocks and riskless one-period bills under the assumption that shocks to the growth rates of consumption and dividends are generated by a Markov regime-switching process. These closed-form solutions are used to show that...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Abel, Andrew B. 1952- (Author)
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: Cambridge, Mass. NBER 1992
Series:Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research 4110
Summary:This paper derives simple closed-form solutions for expected rates of return on stocks and riskless one-period bills under the assumption that shocks to the growth rates of consumption and dividends are generated by a Markov regime-switching process. These closed-form solutions are used to show that the Markov regime-switching process exacerbates the equity premium puzzle and the risk-free rate puzzle. Three empirical examples illustrate the magnitude of the effects of Markov regime switching on equilibrium expected returns.
Physical Description:29 S.

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