Forecasting terrorism: indicators and proven analytic techniques
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Lanham, Md.[u.a.]
Scarecrow Press
2004
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Table of contents Inhaltsverzeichnis Klappentext |
| Item Description: | Includes bibliographical references (p. 95-97) and index |
| Physical Description: | XIV, 103 S. Ill. 26 cm. + 1 CD-ROM, 12 cm |
| ISBN: | 9780810850170 0810850176 |
Staff View
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Forecasting terrorism |b indicators and proven analytic techniques |c Sundri Khalsa ; with the assistance of Martin Gordon, consulting editor |
| 264 | 1 | |a Lanham, Md.[u.a.] |b Scarecrow Press |c 2004 | |
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| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references (p. 95-97) and index | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Terrorisme - Prévention | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Terrorisme - Prévision | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Terrorisme |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Voorspelbaarheid |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Terrorismus | |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Contents
List of
Figures
vii
List of Tables
ix
Preface
xi
Acknowledgments
xiii
Introduction
1
1
How to Forecast Terrorism: Step-By-Step Explanation of the Methodology
5
2
The Acid Test: Evaluation of the Methodology against the
42
Common Warning Pitfalls
61
3
How to Make It Happen: Recommendations for Implementation
91
Bibliography
95
Index
99
About the Author
103
s
the findings of the
9/11
Commission confirm, terrorist attacks occur after
years of careful planning, and these plans always leave a trail. The key to
preventing acts of terrorism is to identify and examine indicators of terrorist
activity, such as movement of weapons, training, target surveillance, travel,
and tests of security. As Khalsa states: Warning failures are rarely due
to inadequate intelligence collection, are more frequently due to weak analysis, and are
most often due to decision makers ignoring intelligence. Decision makers, however,
ignore intelligence when analysis is weak. Thus, the problem again points to analysis.
Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators and Proven Analytic Tecbniqueo identifies
68
indicators of
terrorist activity and analyzes each with a step-by-step explanation. It also outlines
safeguards against
38
of the
42
common warning pitfalls. By following Khalsa s sophis¬
ticated methodology, analysts can more accurately recognize and assess terrorist activity
and thus provide warnings that will help prevent attacks and, ultimately, save lives.
Officials in the Defense Intelligence Agency
(DIA)
have praised Khalsa s system as
the bedrock for the evolving approach to terrorism analysis and an unprecedented
forecasting model, while the unit chief of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)
Counterterrorism Threat Monitoring Unit characterized the methodology as light-
years ahead. Forecasting Terrorism should be used by all serious policy makers and
terrorism researchers.
The enclosed CD-ROM provides a graphic display of the interface to this forecasting
system, as well as a 45-minute video that details Khalsa s methodology.
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
List of
Figures
vii
List of Tables
ix
Preface
xi
Acknowledgments
xiii
Introduction
1
1
How to Forecast Terrorism: Step-By-Step Explanation of the Methodology
5
2
The Acid Test: Evaluation of the Methodology against the
42
Common Warning Pitfalls
61
3
How to Make It Happen: Recommendations for Implementation
91
Bibliography
95
Index
99
About the Author
103
s
the findings of the
9/11
Commission confirm, terrorist attacks occur after
years of careful planning, and these plans always leave a trail. The key to
preventing acts of terrorism is to identify and examine indicators of terrorist
activity, such as movement of weapons, training, target surveillance, travel,
and tests of security. As Khalsa states: "Warning failures are rarely due
to inadequate intelligence collection, are more frequently due to weak analysis, and are
most often due to decision makers ignoring intelligence. Decision makers, however,
ignore intelligence when analysis is weak. Thus, the problem again points to analysis."
Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators and Proven Analytic Tecbniqueo identifies
68
indicators of
terrorist activity and analyzes each with a step-by-step explanation. It also outlines
safeguards against
38
of the
42
common warning pitfalls. By following Khalsa's sophis¬
ticated methodology, analysts can more accurately recognize and assess terrorist activity
and thus provide warnings that will help prevent attacks and, ultimately, save lives.
Officials in the Defense Intelligence Agency
(DIA)
have praised Khalsa's system as
"the bedrock for the evolving approach to terrorism analysis" and an "unprecedented
forecasting model," while the unit chief of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)
Counterterrorism Threat Monitoring Unit characterized the methodology as "light-
years ahead." Forecasting Terrorism should be used by all serious policy makers and
terrorism researchers.
The enclosed CD-ROM provides a graphic display of the interface to this forecasting
system, as well as a 45-minute video that details Khalsa's methodology. |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
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| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T20:47:59Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:15:25Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780810850170 0810850176 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2004015785 |
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| physical | XIV, 103 S. Ill. 26 cm. + 1 CD-ROM, 12 cm |
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| spelling | Khalsa, Sundri Verfasser aut Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques Sundri Khalsa ; with the assistance of Martin Gordon, consulting editor Lanham, Md.[u.a.] Scarecrow Press 2004 XIV, 103 S. Ill. 26 cm. + 1 CD-ROM, 12 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references (p. 95-97) and index Terrorisme - Prévention Terrorisme - Prévision Terrorisme gtt Voorspelbaarheid gtt Terrorismus Terrorism Forecasting Terrorism Prevention Terrorismus (DE-588)4059534-1 gnd rswk-swf Prävention (DE-588)4076308-0 gnd rswk-swf Terrorismus (DE-588)4059534-1 s Prävention (DE-588)4076308-0 s DE-604 http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0419/2004015785.html Table of contents Digitalisierung UB Passau application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016489085&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung UB Passau application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016489085&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext |
| spellingShingle | Khalsa, Sundri Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques Terrorisme - Prévention Terrorisme - Prévision Terrorisme gtt Voorspelbaarheid gtt Terrorismus Terrorism Forecasting Terrorism Prevention Terrorismus (DE-588)4059534-1 gnd Prävention (DE-588)4076308-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4059534-1 (DE-588)4076308-0 |
| title | Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques |
| title_auth | Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques |
| title_exact_search | Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques |
| title_full | Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques Sundri Khalsa ; with the assistance of Martin Gordon, consulting editor |
| title_fullStr | Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques Sundri Khalsa ; with the assistance of Martin Gordon, consulting editor |
| title_full_unstemmed | Forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques Sundri Khalsa ; with the assistance of Martin Gordon, consulting editor |
| title_short | Forecasting terrorism |
| title_sort | forecasting terrorism indicators and proven analytic techniques |
| title_sub | indicators and proven analytic techniques |
| topic | Terrorisme - Prévention Terrorisme - Prévision Terrorisme gtt Voorspelbaarheid gtt Terrorismus Terrorism Forecasting Terrorism Prevention Terrorismus (DE-588)4059534-1 gnd Prävention (DE-588)4076308-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Terrorisme - Prévention Terrorisme - Prévision Terrorisme Voorspelbaarheid Terrorismus Terrorism Forecasting Terrorism Prevention Prävention |
| url | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0419/2004015785.html http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016489085&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016489085&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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