Climate change and agriculture in Africa: impact assessment and adaptation strategies
A comprehensive quantitative assessment of the economic impacts of climate change on Africa, this title provides vital knowledge and serves as a guide to effective adaptation strategies and investment.
Saved in:
| Format: | Book |
|---|---|
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
London [u.a.]
Earthscan
2008
|
| Edition: | 1. publ. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Summary: | A comprehensive quantitative assessment of the economic impacts of climate change on Africa, this title provides vital knowledge and serves as a guide to effective adaptation strategies and investment. |
| Physical Description: | XVI, 189 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 9781844075478 |
Staff View
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Titel: Climate change and agriculture in Africa
Autor: Dinar, Ariel
Jahr: 2008
Contents
List of Figures, Tables and Box vii
Acknowledgements xi
Foreword xiii
List of Acronyms and Abbreviations xv
1 Introduction and Rationale 1
2 Study Objectives, Structure, Methodology,
Organization and Countries Agrodimatic Conditions 11
3 Methods and Models Developed and Used in the Study 39
4 Results of the Country Analyses 53
5 Results of the Regional Analyses 81
6 Summary, Conclusions and Policy Implications 107
References 119
Annex 1: Literature Review on Adaptation in Agriculture 127
Annex 2: The Household Questionnaire 141
Index 183
List of Figures, Tables and Box
Figures
1.1 Africa: Mean annual total precipitation (mm/year) (top)
and coefficient of variation (%) (bottom) derived from
University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit
(UEA-CRU) 1951-2000 monthly time series 2
1.2 Number of drought events (top) and population
affected by drought (bottom) globally (diamonds)
and in Africa (squares) during 1975-2001 (x-axis).
People affected are defined as requiring immediate
assistance 3
1.3a Agricultural GDP of African countries in 1990
(AG_GDP_1990) in billions of 1990 $US 4
1.3b Percentage change in agricultural GDP in 2100 in
African countries due to climate change, using the
UIUC and POLD global climate change models and
experimental (EXP) coefficients. Values on the top
and bottom panels are based on the UIUC and POLD
model runs, respectively 5
1.3c Percentage change in agricultural GDP in 2100
in African countries due to climate change, using
the UIUC and POLD global climate change models
and cross sectional (CRS) coefficients. Values on die top
and bottom panels are based on the UIUC and POLD
model runs, respectively 6
2.1 Make-up of the project and its sponsors 13
2.2 GEF project sampled countries 16
2.3 Africa: Main climatic zones 18
2.4 Africa: Types of vegetation 19
2.5 Africa: Hydrography of the five main regions 20-22
viii Climate Change and Agriculture in Africa
2.6 Burkina Faso: Annual average rainfall (mm).
In the top panel are values for 1951-1980 and in
the bottom panel are values for 1971—2000 23
2.7 Climate and climatic regions in Cameroon 25
2.8 Egypt: Agricultural regions and Governorates 26
2.9 Ethiopia: Long-term average annual rainfall (mm/year) 27
2.10 Ethiopia: Current major agroclimatic zones 28
2.11 Kenya: Agroclimatic zones 30
2.12 Niger: Agricultural zones and important livestock markets 31
2.13 Agro-ecological zones in Senegal 32
2.14 South Africa: Mean annual precipitation (mm) 34
2.15 Zambia: Agroecological zones 35
2.16 Zambia: Distribution of mean annual rainfall (mm) 36
2.17a Zimbabwe: Spatial rainfall distribution 37
2.17b Zimbabwe: Spatial temperature distribution 37
2.18 Zimbabwe: Agroclimatic zones and farming regions 38
3.1 Theoretical livestock response functions 41
3.2 Africa: Baseline flow data (million cubic metres) 45
3.3 Impact of increased temperature and CO2
concentration level on crop growth stages 50
4.1 Africa: Distribution of perceptions regarding
climate change in the ten analysed countries 73
4.2 Africa: Distribution of perceptions regarding barriers
to adaptation to climate change in the ten analysed countries 74
5.1 Actual crop water use by maize, millet, sorghum,
groundnuts and beans in the selected districts in Africa 82
5.2 Africa: High and low 2050 and 2100 stream flow impacts 84-85
5.3 Africa: Log odds (vertical axis) of selecting medium
and high temperature (first row) and low-medium and
high precipitation tolerant crops 93
5.4 Africa: The effect of annual climate on the
probability to own livestock 94
5.5 Africa: The effect of annual climate on the probability
of livestock species choice (primary animal approach) 96
5.6 Africa: Change in probability of choosing sheep in
Africa with a uniform temperature increase of 5°C 97
5.7 Africa: Seasonal temperature and probability of
adopting irrigation 99
5.8 Africa: Seasonal precipitation and probability of
adopting irrigation 99
List of Figures, Tables and Box ix
Tables
2.1 Distribution of farming systems in the agro-ecological
zones in Africa 15
2.2 Africa: Farming system characteristics of selected countries 16
3.1 Africa: Summary of districts in each country 46
4.1 Actual crop water use and yields for maize in various
districts of project countries 54
4.2 Burkina Faso: Marginal impact of climate on net
revenue ($/ha) 61
4.3 Burkina Faso: Impacts from uniform climate scenarios
on net crop revenue 61
4.4 Cameroon: Marginal impacts of climate net
revenue ($/ha) 62
4.5 Cameroon: Impacts from uniform climate scenarios 62
4.6 Egypt: Marginal impact of temperature on net
revenue/ha (Model 4) 63
4.7 Egypt: Impact of climate change scenarios on farm
net revenue ($/ha) 64
4.8 Ethiopia: Marginal impacts of climate on net revenue/ha($) 65
4.9 Ethiopia: Average net revenue/ha impacts of
uniform climate scenarios ($) 65
4.10 Kenya: Marginal impacts of climate on net
crop revenue ($/ha) 66
4.11 Kenya: Predicted impacts of different climate scenarios
by zone ($/ha) 67
4.12 Senegal: Marginal effect of annual temperature
and precipitation change on net revenue ($/ha) 68
4.13a South Africa: Marginal effects of temperature
increase on crop net revenue ($/ha) 69
4.13b South Africa: Marginal effects of precipitation
(1 mm/month increase) on crop net revenue ($/ha) 70
4.14 Zambia: Change in net revenue from uniform
climate change scenarios ($/ha) 71
4.15 Zimbabwe: Marginal effects of seasonal temperature
and precipitation on net revenue ($/ha) 72
4.16 Zimbabwe: Impacts on net farm revenue from
uniform climate scenarios 72
5.1 Africa: Temperature (°C) and precipitation
(mm/month) normals (sample means) 87
x Climate Change and Agriculture in Africa
5.2 Africa: Number of useable observations and net
revenue per hectare 87
5.3 Africa: Marginal impacts of climate on net
revenue ($/ha) 88
5.4 Africa-wide impacts from uniform
climate scenarios 89
5.5 Africa: Gross revenue from livestock and livestock
product sales ($/farm) 89
5.6 Africa: Marginal climate effects on small and large farms 90
5.7 Africa: Uniform climate change impacts on large
and small livestock farms 91
5.8 Africa: Marginal annual climate (temperature and
precipitation) impacts on net revenue of rainfed
and irrigated agriculture 100
5.9 Africa: Shares of farmers perceptions of climate
change by country 101
Box
5.1 List of adaptation measures reported in Africa 103
|
| adam_txt |
Titel: Climate change and agriculture in Africa
Autor: Dinar, Ariel
Jahr: 2008
Contents
List of Figures, Tables and Box vii
Acknowledgements xi
Foreword xiii
List of Acronyms and Abbreviations xv
1 Introduction and Rationale 1
2 Study Objectives, Structure, Methodology,
Organization and Countries' Agrodimatic Conditions 11
3 Methods and Models Developed and Used in the Study 39
4 Results of the Country Analyses 53
5 Results of the Regional Analyses 81
6 Summary, Conclusions and Policy Implications 107
References 119
Annex 1: Literature Review on Adaptation in Agriculture 127
Annex 2: The Household Questionnaire 141
Index 183
List of Figures, Tables and Box
Figures
1.1 Africa: Mean annual total precipitation (mm/year) (top)
and coefficient of variation (%) (bottom) derived from
University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit
(UEA-CRU) 1951-2000 monthly time series 2
1.2 Number of drought events (top) and population
affected by drought (bottom) globally (diamonds)
and in Africa (squares) during 1975-2001 (x-axis).
People affected are defined as requiring immediate
assistance 3
1.3a Agricultural GDP of African countries in 1990
(AG_GDP_1990) in billions of 1990 $US 4
1.3b Percentage change in agricultural GDP in 2100 in
African countries due to climate change, using the
UIUC and POLD global climate change models and
experimental (EXP) coefficients. Values on the top
and bottom panels are based on the UIUC and POLD
model runs, respectively 5
1.3c Percentage change in agricultural GDP in 2100
in African countries due to climate change, using
the UIUC and POLD global climate change models
and cross sectional (CRS) coefficients. Values on die top
and bottom panels are based on the UIUC and POLD
model runs, respectively 6
2.1 Make-up of the project and its sponsors 13
2.2 GEF project sampled countries 16
2.3 Africa: Main climatic zones 18
2.4 Africa: Types of vegetation 19
2.5 Africa: Hydrography of the five main regions 20-22
viii Climate Change and Agriculture in Africa
2.6 Burkina Faso: Annual average rainfall (mm).
In the top panel are values for 1951-1980 and in
the bottom panel are values for 1971—2000 23
2.7 Climate and climatic regions in Cameroon 25
2.8 Egypt: Agricultural regions and Governorates 26
2.9 Ethiopia: Long-term average annual rainfall (mm/year) 27
2.10 Ethiopia: Current major agroclimatic zones 28
2.11 Kenya: Agroclimatic zones 30
2.12 Niger: Agricultural zones and important livestock markets 31
2.13 Agro-ecological zones in Senegal 32
2.14 South Africa: Mean annual precipitation (mm) 34
2.15 Zambia: Agroecological zones 35
2.16 Zambia: Distribution of mean annual rainfall (mm) 36
2.17a Zimbabwe: Spatial rainfall distribution 37
2.17b Zimbabwe: Spatial temperature distribution 37
2.18 Zimbabwe: Agroclimatic zones and farming regions 38
3.1 Theoretical livestock response functions 41
3.2 Africa: Baseline flow data (million cubic metres) 45
3.3 Impact of increased temperature and CO2
concentration level on crop growth stages 50
4.1 Africa: Distribution of perceptions regarding
climate change in the ten analysed countries 73
4.2 Africa: Distribution of perceptions regarding barriers
to adaptation to climate change in the ten analysed countries 74
5.1 Actual crop water use by maize, millet, sorghum,
groundnuts and beans in the selected districts in Africa 82
5.2 Africa: High and low 2050 and 2100 stream flow impacts 84-85
5.3 Africa: Log odds (vertical axis) of selecting medium
and high temperature (first row) and low-medium and
high precipitation tolerant crops 93
5.4 Africa: The effect of annual climate on the
probability to own livestock 94
5.5 Africa: The effect of annual climate on the probability
of livestock species choice (primary animal approach) 96
5.6 Africa: Change in probability of choosing sheep in
Africa with a uniform temperature increase of 5°C 97
5.7 Africa: Seasonal temperature and probability of
adopting irrigation 99
5.8 Africa: Seasonal precipitation and probability of
adopting irrigation 99
List of Figures, Tables and Box ix
Tables
2.1 Distribution of farming systems in the agro-ecological
zones in Africa 15
2.2 Africa: Farming system characteristics of selected countries 16
3.1 Africa: Summary of districts in each country 46
4.1 Actual crop water use and yields for maize in various
districts of project countries 54
4.2 Burkina Faso: Marginal impact of climate on net
revenue ($/ha) 61
4.3 Burkina Faso: Impacts from uniform climate scenarios
on net crop revenue 61
4.4 Cameroon: Marginal impacts of climate net
revenue ($/ha) 62
4.5 Cameroon: Impacts from uniform climate scenarios 62
4.6 Egypt: Marginal impact of temperature on net
revenue/ha (Model 4) 63
4.7 Egypt: Impact of climate change scenarios on farm
net revenue ($/ha) 64
4.8 Ethiopia: Marginal impacts of climate on net revenue/ha($) 65
4.9 Ethiopia: Average net revenue/ha impacts of
uniform climate scenarios ($) 65
4.10 Kenya: Marginal impacts of climate on net
crop revenue ($/ha) 66
4.11 Kenya: Predicted impacts of different climate scenarios
by zone ($/ha) 67
4.12 Senegal: Marginal effect of annual temperature
and precipitation change on net revenue ($/ha) 68
4.13a South Africa: Marginal effects of temperature
increase on crop net revenue ($/ha) 69
4.13b South Africa: Marginal effects of precipitation
(1 mm/month increase) on crop net revenue ($/ha) 70
4.14 Zambia: Change in net revenue from uniform
climate change scenarios ($/ha) 71
4.15 Zimbabwe: Marginal effects of seasonal temperature
and precipitation on net revenue ($/ha) 72
4.16 Zimbabwe: Impacts on net farm revenue from
uniform climate scenarios 72
5.1 Africa: Temperature (°C) and precipitation
(mm/month) normals (sample means) 87
x Climate Change and Agriculture in Africa
5.2 Africa: Number of useable observations and net
revenue per hectare 87
5.3 Africa: Marginal impacts of climate on net
revenue ($/ha) 88
5.4 Africa-wide impacts from uniform
climate scenarios 89
5.5 Africa: Gross revenue from livestock and livestock
product sales ($/farm) 89
5.6 Africa: Marginal climate effects on small and large farms 90
5.7 Africa: Uniform climate change impacts on large
and small livestock farms 91
5.8 Africa: Marginal annual climate (temperature and
precipitation) impacts on net revenue of rainfed
and irrigated agriculture 100
5.9 Africa: Shares of farmers' perceptions of climate
change by country 101
Box
5.1 List of adaptation measures reported in Africa 103 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-02T20:36:59Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:14:41Z |
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| physical | XVI, 189 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| publishDate | 2008 |
| publishDateSearch | 2008 |
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| publisher | Earthscan |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies Ariel Dinar ... 1. publ. London [u.a.] Earthscan 2008 XVI, 189 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier A comprehensive quantitative assessment of the economic impacts of climate change on Africa, this title provides vital knowledge and serves as a guide to effective adaptation strategies and investment. Klimaänderung Landwirtschaft Agriculture and state Africa Agriculture Africa Climatic changes Africa Landwirtschaft (DE-588)4034402-2 gnd rswk-swf Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd rswk-swf Afrika Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 gnd rswk-swf Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 g Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 s Landwirtschaft (DE-588)4034402-2 s DE-604 Dinar, Ariel 1947- Sonstige (DE-588)123008735 oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016458618&sequence=000006&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies Klimaänderung Landwirtschaft Agriculture and state Africa Agriculture Africa Climatic changes Africa Landwirtschaft (DE-588)4034402-2 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4034402-2 (DE-588)4164199-1 (DE-588)4000695-5 |
| title | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies |
| title_auth | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies |
| title_exact_search | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies |
| title_full | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies Ariel Dinar ... |
| title_fullStr | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies Ariel Dinar ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change and agriculture in Africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies Ariel Dinar ... |
| title_short | Climate change and agriculture in Africa |
| title_sort | climate change and agriculture in africa impact assessment and adaptation strategies |
| title_sub | impact assessment and adaptation strategies |
| topic | Klimaänderung Landwirtschaft Agriculture and state Africa Agriculture Africa Climatic changes Africa Landwirtschaft (DE-588)4034402-2 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Klimaänderung Landwirtschaft Agriculture and state Africa Agriculture Africa Climatic changes Africa Afrika |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016458618&sequence=000006&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT dinarariel climatechangeandagricultureinafricaimpactassessmentandadaptationstrategies |