Violence and serious theft: development and prediction from childhood to adulthood
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York [u.a.]
Routledge
2008
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references (p. 349-373) and index Introduction and methods -- Introduction and key questions / Rolf Loeber, David P. Farrington, Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, and Helene Raskin White -- The Pittsburgh youth study : its design, data collection, and early key findings / Rolf Loeber, Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, and David P. Farrington -- Measurement instruments and constructs / Magda Stouthamer-Loeber and Rebecca Stallings -- Epidemiology of violence, serious theft, substance use, drug dealing and gang membership -- The age-crime curve in reported / David P. Farrington, Rolf Loeber, and Darrick Jolliffe -- Comparing arrests and convictions with reported offending / Rolf Loeber, David P. Farrington, and Darrick Jolliffe -- Substance use, drug dealing, gang membership, and gun carrying and their predictive associations with serious violence and serious theft / Helene Raskin White, Rolf Loeber, & David P. Farrington -- Prediction of violence, serious theft and desistance -- Promotive and risk processes at different life stages / David P. Farrington, Rolf Loeber, Darrick Jolliffe, and Dustin A. Pardini -- Developmental trajectories of violence and theft / Eric Lacourse, Veronique Dupree, and Rolf Loeber -- Desistance from and persistence in offending / Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, Rolf Loeber, Rebecca Stallings, and Eric Lacourse e |
| Beschreibung: | xxiii, 404 S. graph. Darst 24 cm |
| ISBN: | 9780805852226 |
Internformat
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Violence and serious theft |b development and prediction from childhood to adulthood |c Rolf Loeber ... |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York [u.a.] |b Routledge |c 2008 | |
| 300 | |a xxiii, 404 S. |b graph. Darst |c 24 cm | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references (p. 349-373) and index | ||
| 500 | |a Introduction and methods -- Introduction and key questions / Rolf Loeber, David P. Farrington, Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, and Helene Raskin White -- The Pittsburgh youth study : its design, data collection, and early key findings / Rolf Loeber, Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, and David P. Farrington -- Measurement instruments and constructs / Magda Stouthamer-Loeber and Rebecca Stallings -- Epidemiology of violence, serious theft, substance use, drug dealing and gang membership -- The age-crime curve in reported / David P. Farrington, Rolf Loeber, and Darrick Jolliffe -- Comparing arrests and convictions with reported offending / Rolf Loeber, David P. Farrington, and Darrick Jolliffe -- Substance use, drug dealing, gang membership, and gun carrying and their predictive associations with serious violence and serious theft / Helene Raskin White, Rolf Loeber, & David P. Farrington -- Prediction of violence, serious theft and desistance -- Promotive and risk processes at different life stages / David P. Farrington, Rolf Loeber, Darrick Jolliffe, and Dustin A. Pardini -- Developmental trajectories of violence and theft / Eric Lacourse, Veronique Dupree, and Rolf Loeber -- Desistance from and persistence in offending / Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, Rolf Loeber, Rebecca Stallings, and Eric Lacourse e | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a "Publications from the Pittsburgh youth study": p. 335-347 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Juvenile delinquency / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Criminal behavior / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Criminal behavior, Prediction of / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Criminal behavior |z Pennsylvania |z Pittsburgh |x Longitudinal studies | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Criminal behavior, Prediction of |z Pennsylvania |z Pittsburgh |v Longitudinal studies | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Juvenile delinquency |z Pennsylvania |z Pittsburgh |v Longitudinal studies | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Loeber, Rolf |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m HBZ Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016419122&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1805083195891253248 |
|---|---|
| adam_text |
Contents
List of Figures ix
List of Tables xi
Preface xv
Acknowledgments xix
Contributors ¦ xxiii
Parti
Introduction and Methods
1 Introduction and Key Questions 3
ROLF LOEBER, DAVID P. FARRINGTON, MAGDA STOUTHAMER-
LOEBER, AND HELENE RASKIN WHITE
2 The Pittsburgh Youth Study: Its Design, Data Collection, and
Early Key Findings 25
ROLF LOEBER, MAGDA STOUTHAMERLOEBER, AND DAVID P.
FARRINGTON
3 Measurement Instruments and Constructs 39
MAGDA STOUTHAMERLOEBER AND REBECCA STALLINGS
Part II
The Epidemiology of Violence, Serious Theft, Substance Use, Drug
Dealing, and Gang Membership
4 The Age-Crime Curve in Reported Offending 77
DAVID P. FARRINGTON, ROLF LOEBER, AND DARRICK JOLLIFFE
5 Comparing Arrests and Convictions with Reported Offending 105
ROLF LOEBER, DAVID P. FARRINGTON, AND DARRICK JOLLIFFE
6 Substance Use, Drug Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun
Carrying and Their Predictive Associations with Serious
Violence and Serious Theft 137
HELENE RASKIN WHITE, ROLF LOEBER, AND DAVID P. FARRINGTON
vii
viii • Contents
Part III
Prediction of Violence, Serious Theft, and Desistance
7 Promotive and Risk Processes at Different Life Stages 169
DAVID P. FARRINGTON, ROLF LOEBER, DARRICK JOLLIFFE, AND
DUSTIN A. PARDINI
8 Developmental Trajectories of Violence and Theft 231
ERIC LACOURSE, VERONIQUE DUPERE, AND ROLF LOEBER
9 Desistance from and Persistence in Offending 269
MAGDA STOUTHAMER-LOEBER, ROLF LOEBER, REBECCA
STALLINGS, AND ERIC LACOURSE
Part IV
Conclusions
10 Conclusions and Policy Implications 309
ROLF LOEBER, DAVID P. FARRINGTON, MAGDA STOUTHAMER-
LOEBER, AND HELENE RASKIN WHITE
Appendix: Publications from the Pittsburgh Youth Study 349
References 335
Index 375
List of Figures
Figure 1.1 Rate of Homicide According to Police Data in the United States; England
and Wales; Switzerland; and the Netherlands
Figure 1.2 Rate of Rape According to Police Data in the United States; England and
Wales; Switzerland; and the Netherlands
Figure 1.3 Rate of Robbery According to Victim Surveys in the United States; England
and Wales; Switzerland; and the Netherlands
Figure 1.4 Rate of Burglary According to Victim Surveys in the United States; England
and Wales; Switzerland; and the Netherlands
Figure 1.5 Homicide Rates in Europe (1200-2000) and the United States (1920-2000)
Figure 1.6 The Association between Community Disadvantage (According to an SES
Index Based on Census Information) and Police Reports of Violent Crime in
Pittsburgh in 1990
Figure 1.7 Index Crimes Known to the Police per 100 Inhabitants in Allegheny
County
Figure 2.1 Prediction Analyses by Age Block (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Figure 4.1 Annual Prevalence of Reported Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.2 Annual Prevalence of Reported Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.3 Annual Prevalence of Reported Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.4 Annual Prevalence of Reported Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.5 Annual Frequency of Reported Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.6 Annual Frequency of Reported Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.7 Annual Frequency of Reported Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.8 Annual Frequency of Reported Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.9 Cumulative Onset of Reported Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.10 Cumulative Onset of Reported Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.11 Cumulative Onset of Reported Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.12 Cumulative Onset of Reported Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.1 Annual Prevalence of Arrests for Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.2 Annual Prevalence of Arrests for Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.3 Annual Prevalence of Arrests for Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.4 Annual Prevalence of Arrests for Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.5 Annual Frequency of Violence Arrests (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.6 Annual Frequency of Violence Arrests (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.7 Annual Frequency of Theft Arrests (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.8 Annual Frequency of Theft Arrests (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.9 Cumulative Onset of Arrests for Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.10 Cumulative Onset of Arrests for Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.11 Cumulative Onset of Arrests for Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.12 Cumulative Onset of Arrests for Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.13 Cumulative Onset of Convictions for Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.14 Cumulative Onset of Convictions for Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.15 Cumulative Onset of Convictions for Theft (Youngest Cohort)
i •*
[
i
x • List of Figures
Figure 5.16 Cumulative Onset of Convictions for Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.17 Prevalence for the All-Source Measure of Serious Violence and Theft
Combined
Figure 5.18 Prevalence for the All-Source Measure of Violence
Figure 5.19 Prevalence for the All-Source Measure of Theft
Figure 5.20 Specialization in Offending as Indicated by the Nonoverlap between Vio¬
lence and Theft
Figure 5.21 Changes in Specialization with Age
Figure 6.1 Annual Prevalence of Substance Use (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.2 Annual Prevalence of Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying
(Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.3 Annual Prevalence of Substance Use (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 6.4 Annual Prevalence of Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying
(Oldest Cohort)
Figure 6.5 Frequency of Substance Use and Dealing (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.6 Frequency of Substance Use and Dealing (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 6.7 Cumulative Onset for Substance Use (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.8 Cumulative Onset of Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying
(Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.9 Cumulative Onset of Substance Use (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 6.10 Cumulative Onset of Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying
(Oldest Cohort)
Figure 7.1 Linear Relation between a Predictor and Delinquency (Both Risk and Pro-
motive Effects)
Figure 7.2 Nonlinear Relation between a Predictor and Delinquency (Risk Effect)
Figure 7.3 Nonlinear Relation between a Predictor and Delinquency (Promotive
Effect)
Figure 7.4 The Proportion of Promotive and Risk Factors Predicting Violence from
Middle Childhood to Early Adulthood (Youngest [Y] and Oldest [O] Cohorts)
Figure 7.5 The Prediction of Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 7.6 The Prediction of Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 7.7 The Prediction of Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 7.8 The Prediction of Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 8.1 Prevalence of the All-Source Measure of Violence and Theft (Youngest and
Oldest Cohorts)
Figure 8.2 Trajectories of Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 8.3 Trajectories of Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 8.4 Trajectories of Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 8.5 Trajectories of Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 9.1 Persistence in Serious Offending
Figure 9.2 Persistence in Moderate/Serious Offending
Figure 9.3 Desistance from Moderate/Serious Offending
j
List of Tables
Table 1.1 Definitions of Terms
Table 2.1 Design and Sequence of Assessments in the Pittsburgh Youth Study
Table 2.2 Characteristics of the Cohorts at the Beginning of the Study (Wave A)
Table 3.1 Offending Constructs
Table 3.2 Youth Substance Use
Table 3.3 Youth Psychopathology
Table 3.4 Youth Competence
Table 3.5 Physical Development/Problems
Table 3.6 Family Functioning
Table 3.7 Peer Behavior, School, Neighborhood, and Demographics
Table 4.1 Onset of One Level of Offending versus Onset of Next Level of Offending
(Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 4.2 Age of Onset versus Mean Duration (in Years) of Delinquency Careers
(Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.1 Onset of One Level of Arrest versus Onset of Next Level of Arrest for Offenses
(Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.2 Age of Onset versus Mean Duration (in Years) of Careers Based on Arrest
Records (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.3 Arrests and Convictions Compared to Reported Offending (Youngest and
Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.4 Specialization in Violence and Theft (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.5 Age Changes in the Specialization of Offending Based on Reported Offend¬
ing (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.1 Average Ages of Onset of Problem Behaviors and Serious Offending (Young¬
est and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.2 Onset of One Problem Behavior versus Onset of Another Problem Behavior
(Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.3 Onset of One Problem Behavior versus Onset of Serious Violence and Seri¬
ous Theft (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.4 Average Number of Years of Duration for Each Problem Behavior and Seri¬
ous Offending (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.5 Odds Ratios Predicting Combined Serious Violence and Combined Serious Theft
from Substance Use, Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying, Controlling
for Earlier Violence or Theft (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 7.1 Results of Initial Analyses to Identify Promotive, Risk, and Mixed Predictors
of Violence and Theft
Table 7.2 Risk, Promotive, and Mixed Predictors (Youngest Cohort)
Table 7.3 Risk, Promotive, and Mixed Predictors (Oldest Cohort)
Table 7.4 Multivariate Logistic Regression Analyses for Violence (Youngest and Old¬
est Cohorts)
Table 7.5 GEE Models Predicting Violence (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
xi
!
xii • List of Tables
Table 7.6 Results of Multivariate Logistic Regression Analyses for Theft (Youngest and
Oldest Cohorts)
Table 7.7 GEE Models Predicting Theft (Youngest and Oldest Cohort)
Table 7.8 Measuring Risk and Promotive Effects for Different Levels of Prevalence of
Offending
Table 7.9 Strength of Association of Key Risk and Promotive Factors Predicting Vio¬
lence (Odds Ratios)
Table 7.10 Strength of Association of Key Risk and Promotive Factors Predicting Theft
(Odds Ratios)
Table 7.11 Nonlinear Relationships
Table 8.1 Mean Duration (Years) of Violence and Theft Trajectories (Youngest and
Oldest Cohorts)
Table 8.2 Overlap of Violence and Theft Trajectory Groups (Youngest Cohort)
Table 8.3 Overlap of Violence and Theft Trajectory Groups (Oldest Cohort)
Table 8.4 Aggravating Risk and Preventive Promotive Factors at Age 7 Predicting Vio¬
lence and Theft Trajectories at Ages 10-19 (Youngest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.5 Aggravating Risk and Preventive Promotive Factors at Age 13 Predicting
Violence Trajectories at Ages 13-25 (Oldest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.6 Multivariate Multinomial Regressions of Aggravating Risk and Preven¬
tive Promotive Factors at Age 7 Predicting Violence Trajectories at Ages 10-19
(Youngest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.7 Multivariate Multinomial Regressions of Aggravating Risk and Preventive
Promotive Factors at Age 13 Predicting Violence Trajectories at Ages 13-25
(Oldest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.8 Aggravating Risk and Preventive Promotive Factors at Age 13 Predicting
Theft Trajectories at Ages 13-25 (Oldest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.9 Multivariate Multinomial Regressions of Aggravating Risk and Preventive
Promotive Factors at Age 7 Predicting Theft Trajectories at Ages 10-19 (Young¬
est Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.10 Multivariate Multinomial Regressions of Aggravating Risk and Preventive
Promotive Factors at Age 13 Predicting Theft Trajectories at Ages 13-25 (Oldest
Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 9.1 Persistence in and Desistance from Serious Offending (Youngest and Oldest
Cohorts, Based on the All-Source Measure of Offending)
Table 9.2 Persistence in and Desistance from Moderate/Serious Offending (Youngest
and Oldest Cohorts, Based on the All-Source Measure of Offending)
Table 9.3 Conditional Probability of Serious Violence and Serious Theft Trajectory
Groups versus Observed Typology (Youngest Cohort)
Table 9.4 Conditional Probability of Group Membership in the Observed Typol¬
ogy versus Serious Violence and Serious Theft Trajectory Groups (Youngest
Cohort)
Table 9.5 Conditional Probability of Serious Violence and Serious Theft Trajectory
Groups versus Observed Typology (Oldest Cohort)
Table 9.6 Conditional Probability of Group Membership in the Observed Typology
versus Serious Violence and Serious Theft Trajectory Groups (Oldest Cohort)
Table 9.7 Remedial Promotive Factors as Predictors of Desistance from Moderate/
Serious Offending (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts, Odds Ratios)
List of Tables • xiii
Table 9.8 Hindering Risk Factors Negatively Predicting Desistance from Moderate/
Serious Offending (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts, Odds Ratios)
Table 9.9 Logistic Regression of Hindering Risk and Remedial Promotive Factors Pre¬
dicting Desistance from Moderate/Serious Offending (Youngest Cohort)
Table 9.10 Logistic Regression of Hindering Risk and Remedial Promotive Factors Pre¬
dicting Desistance from Moderate/Serious Offending (Oldest Cohort) |
| adam_txt |
Contents
List of Figures ix
List of Tables xi
Preface xv
Acknowledgments xix
Contributors ¦ xxiii
Parti
Introduction and Methods
1 Introduction and Key Questions 3
ROLF LOEBER, DAVID P. FARRINGTON, MAGDA STOUTHAMER-
LOEBER, AND HELENE RASKIN WHITE
2 The Pittsburgh Youth Study: Its Design, Data Collection, and
Early Key Findings 25
ROLF LOEBER, MAGDA STOUTHAMERLOEBER, AND DAVID P.
FARRINGTON
3 Measurement Instruments and Constructs 39
MAGDA STOUTHAMERLOEBER AND REBECCA STALLINGS
Part II
The Epidemiology of Violence, Serious Theft, Substance Use, Drug
Dealing, and Gang Membership
4 The Age-Crime Curve in Reported Offending 77
DAVID P. FARRINGTON, ROLF LOEBER, AND DARRICK JOLLIFFE
5 Comparing Arrests and Convictions with Reported Offending 105
ROLF LOEBER, DAVID P. FARRINGTON, AND DARRICK JOLLIFFE
6 Substance Use, Drug Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun
Carrying and Their Predictive Associations with Serious
Violence and Serious Theft 137
HELENE RASKIN WHITE, ROLF LOEBER, AND DAVID P. FARRINGTON
vii
viii • Contents
Part III
Prediction of Violence, Serious Theft, and Desistance
7 Promotive and Risk Processes at Different Life Stages 169
DAVID P. FARRINGTON, ROLF LOEBER, DARRICK JOLLIFFE, AND
DUSTIN A. PARDINI
8 Developmental Trajectories of Violence and Theft 231
ERIC LACOURSE, VERONIQUE DUPERE, AND ROLF LOEBER
9 Desistance from and Persistence in Offending 269
MAGDA STOUTHAMER-LOEBER, ROLF LOEBER, REBECCA
STALLINGS, AND ERIC LACOURSE
Part IV
Conclusions
10 Conclusions and Policy Implications 309
ROLF LOEBER, DAVID P. FARRINGTON, MAGDA STOUTHAMER-
LOEBER, AND HELENE RASKIN WHITE
Appendix: Publications from the Pittsburgh Youth Study 349
References 335
Index 375
List of Figures
Figure 1.1 Rate of Homicide According to Police Data in the United States; England
and Wales; Switzerland; and the Netherlands
Figure 1.2 Rate of Rape According to Police Data in the United States; England and
Wales; Switzerland; and the Netherlands
Figure 1.3 Rate of Robbery According to Victim Surveys in the United States; England
and Wales; Switzerland; and the Netherlands
Figure 1.4 Rate of Burglary According to Victim Surveys in the United States; England
and Wales; Switzerland; and the Netherlands
Figure 1.5 Homicide Rates in Europe (1200-2000) and the United States (1920-2000)
Figure 1.6 The Association between Community Disadvantage (According to an SES
Index Based on Census Information) and Police Reports of Violent Crime in
Pittsburgh in 1990
Figure 1.7 Index Crimes Known to the Police per 100 Inhabitants in Allegheny
County
Figure 2.1 Prediction Analyses by Age Block (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Figure 4.1 Annual Prevalence of Reported Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.2 Annual Prevalence of Reported Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.3 Annual Prevalence of Reported Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.4 Annual Prevalence of Reported Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.5 Annual Frequency of Reported Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.6 Annual Frequency of Reported Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.7 Annual Frequency of Reported Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.8 Annual Frequency of Reported Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.9 Cumulative Onset of Reported Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.10 Cumulative Onset of Reported Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 4.11 Cumulative Onset of Reported Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 4.12 Cumulative Onset of Reported Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.1 Annual Prevalence of Arrests for Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.2 Annual Prevalence of Arrests for Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.3 Annual Prevalence of Arrests for Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.4 Annual Prevalence of Arrests for Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.5 Annual Frequency of Violence Arrests (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.6 Annual Frequency of Violence Arrests (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.7 Annual Frequency of Theft Arrests (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.8 Annual Frequency of Theft Arrests (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.9 Cumulative Onset of Arrests for Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.10 Cumulative Onset of Arrests for Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.11 Cumulative Onset of Arrests for Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.12 Cumulative Onset of Arrests for Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.13 Cumulative Onset of Convictions for Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 5.14 Cumulative Onset of Convictions for Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.15 Cumulative Onset of Convictions for Theft (Youngest Cohort)
i •*
[
i
x • List of Figures
Figure 5.16 Cumulative Onset of Convictions for Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 5.17 Prevalence for the All-Source Measure of Serious Violence and Theft
Combined
Figure 5.18 Prevalence for the All-Source Measure of Violence
Figure 5.19 Prevalence for the All-Source Measure of Theft
Figure 5.20 Specialization in Offending as Indicated by the Nonoverlap between Vio¬
lence and Theft
Figure 5.21 Changes in Specialization with Age
Figure 6.1 Annual Prevalence of Substance Use (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.2 Annual Prevalence of Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying
(Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.3 Annual Prevalence of Substance Use (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 6.4 Annual Prevalence of Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying
(Oldest Cohort)
Figure 6.5 Frequency of Substance Use and Dealing (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.6 Frequency of Substance Use and Dealing (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 6.7 Cumulative Onset for Substance Use (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.8 Cumulative Onset of Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying
(Youngest Cohort)
Figure 6.9 Cumulative Onset of Substance Use (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 6.10 Cumulative Onset of Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying
(Oldest Cohort)
Figure 7.1 Linear Relation between a Predictor and Delinquency (Both Risk and Pro-
motive Effects)
Figure 7.2 Nonlinear Relation between a Predictor and Delinquency (Risk Effect)
Figure 7.3 Nonlinear Relation between a Predictor and Delinquency (Promotive
Effect)
Figure 7.4 The Proportion of Promotive and Risk Factors Predicting Violence from
Middle Childhood to Early Adulthood (Youngest [Y] and Oldest [O] Cohorts)
Figure 7.5 The Prediction of Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 7.6 The Prediction of Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 7.7 The Prediction of Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 7.8 The Prediction of Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 8.1 Prevalence of the All-Source Measure of Violence and Theft (Youngest and
Oldest Cohorts)
Figure 8.2 Trajectories of Violence (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 8.3 Trajectories of Violence (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 8.4 Trajectories of Theft (Youngest Cohort)
Figure 8.5 Trajectories of Theft (Oldest Cohort)
Figure 9.1 Persistence in Serious Offending
Figure 9.2 Persistence in Moderate/Serious Offending
Figure 9.3 Desistance from Moderate/Serious Offending
j
List of Tables
Table 1.1 Definitions of Terms
Table 2.1 Design and Sequence of Assessments in the Pittsburgh Youth Study
Table 2.2 Characteristics of the Cohorts at the Beginning of the Study (Wave A)
Table 3.1 Offending Constructs
Table 3.2 Youth Substance Use
Table 3.3 Youth Psychopathology
Table 3.4 Youth Competence
Table 3.5 Physical Development/Problems
Table 3.6 Family Functioning
Table 3.7 Peer Behavior, School, Neighborhood, and Demographics
Table 4.1 Onset of One Level of Offending versus Onset of Next Level of Offending
(Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 4.2 Age of Onset versus Mean Duration (in Years) of Delinquency Careers
(Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.1 Onset of One Level of Arrest versus Onset of Next Level of Arrest for Offenses
(Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.2 Age of Onset versus Mean Duration (in Years) of Careers Based on Arrest
Records (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.3 Arrests and Convictions Compared to Reported Offending (Youngest and
Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.4 Specialization in Violence and Theft (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 5.5 Age Changes in the Specialization of Offending Based on Reported Offend¬
ing (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.1 Average Ages of Onset of Problem Behaviors and Serious Offending (Young¬
est and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.2 Onset of One Problem Behavior versus Onset of Another Problem Behavior
(Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.3 Onset of One Problem Behavior versus Onset of Serious Violence and Seri¬
ous Theft (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.4 Average Number of Years of Duration for Each Problem Behavior and Seri¬
ous Offending (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 6.5 Odds Ratios Predicting Combined Serious Violence and Combined Serious Theft
from Substance Use, Dealing, Gang Membership, and Gun Carrying, Controlling
for Earlier Violence or Theft (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
Table 7.1 Results of Initial Analyses to Identify Promotive, Risk, and Mixed Predictors
of Violence and Theft
Table 7.2 Risk, Promotive, and Mixed Predictors (Youngest Cohort)
Table 7.3 Risk, Promotive, and Mixed Predictors (Oldest Cohort)
Table 7.4 Multivariate Logistic Regression Analyses for Violence (Youngest and Old¬
est Cohorts)
Table 7.5 GEE Models Predicting Violence (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts)
xi
!
xii • List of Tables
Table 7.6 Results of Multivariate Logistic Regression Analyses for Theft (Youngest and
Oldest Cohorts)
Table 7.7 GEE Models Predicting Theft (Youngest and Oldest Cohort)
Table 7.8 Measuring Risk and Promotive Effects for Different Levels of Prevalence of
Offending
Table 7.9 Strength of Association of Key Risk and Promotive Factors Predicting Vio¬
lence (Odds Ratios)
Table 7.10 Strength of Association of Key Risk and Promotive Factors Predicting Theft
(Odds Ratios)
Table 7.11 Nonlinear Relationships
Table 8.1 Mean Duration (Years) of Violence and Theft Trajectories (Youngest and
Oldest Cohorts)
Table 8.2 Overlap of Violence and Theft Trajectory Groups (Youngest Cohort)
Table 8.3 Overlap of Violence and Theft Trajectory Groups (Oldest Cohort)
Table 8.4 Aggravating Risk and Preventive Promotive Factors at Age 7 Predicting Vio¬
lence and Theft Trajectories at Ages 10-19 (Youngest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.5 Aggravating Risk and Preventive Promotive Factors at Age 13 Predicting
Violence Trajectories at Ages 13-25 (Oldest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.6 Multivariate Multinomial Regressions of Aggravating Risk and Preven¬
tive Promotive Factors at Age 7 Predicting Violence Trajectories at Ages 10-19
(Youngest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.7 Multivariate Multinomial Regressions of Aggravating Risk and Preventive
Promotive Factors at Age 13 Predicting Violence Trajectories at Ages 13-25
(Oldest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.8 Aggravating Risk and Preventive Promotive Factors at Age 13 Predicting
Theft Trajectories at Ages 13-25 (Oldest Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.9 Multivariate Multinomial Regressions of Aggravating Risk and Preventive
Promotive Factors at Age 7 Predicting Theft Trajectories at Ages 10-19 (Young¬
est Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 8.10 Multivariate Multinomial Regressions of Aggravating Risk and Preventive
Promotive Factors at Age 13 Predicting Theft Trajectories at Ages 13-25 (Oldest
Cohort, Odds Ratios)
Table 9.1 Persistence in and Desistance from Serious Offending (Youngest and Oldest
Cohorts, Based on the All-Source Measure of Offending)
Table 9.2 Persistence in and Desistance from Moderate/Serious Offending (Youngest
and Oldest Cohorts, Based on the All-Source Measure of Offending)
Table 9.3 Conditional Probability of Serious Violence and Serious Theft Trajectory
Groups versus Observed Typology (Youngest Cohort)
Table 9.4 Conditional Probability of Group Membership in the Observed Typol¬
ogy versus Serious Violence and Serious Theft Trajectory Groups (Youngest
Cohort)
Table 9.5 Conditional Probability of Serious Violence and Serious Theft Trajectory
Groups versus Observed Typology (Oldest Cohort)
Table 9.6 Conditional Probability of Group Membership in the Observed Typology
versus Serious Violence and Serious Theft Trajectory Groups (Oldest Cohort)
Table 9.7 Remedial Promotive Factors as Predictors of Desistance from Moderate/
Serious Offending (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts, Odds Ratios)
List of Tables • xiii
Table 9.8 Hindering Risk Factors Negatively Predicting Desistance from Moderate/
Serious Offending (Youngest and Oldest Cohorts, Odds Ratios)
Table 9.9 Logistic Regression of Hindering Risk and Remedial Promotive Factors Pre¬
dicting Desistance from Moderate/Serious Offending (Youngest Cohort)
Table 9.10 Logistic Regression of Hindering Risk and Remedial Promotive Factors Pre¬
dicting Desistance from Moderate/Serious Offending (Oldest Cohort) |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| any_adam_object_boolean | 1 |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV023233450 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
| callnumber-label | HV9106 |
| callnumber-raw | HV9106.P55 |
| callnumber-search | HV9106.P55 |
| callnumber-sort | HV 49106 P55 |
| callnumber-subject | HV - Social Pathology, Criminology |
| contents | "Publications from the Pittsburgh youth study": p. 335-347 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)162118797 (DE-599)BVBBV023233450 |
| dewey-full | 364.3609748/86 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 364 - Criminology |
| dewey-raw | 364.3609748/86 |
| dewey-search | 364.3609748/86 |
| dewey-sort | 3364.3609748 286 |
| dewey-tens | 360 - Social problems and services; associations |
| discipline | Rechtswissenschaft |
| discipline_str_mv | Rechtswissenschaft |
| format | Book |
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| geographic | Pittsburgh, Pa. (DE-588)4115567-1 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Pittsburgh, Pa. |
| id | DE-604.BV023233450 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T20:20:55Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-20T07:44:42Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780805852226 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-016419122 |
| oclc_num | 162118797 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| physical | xxiii, 404 S. graph. Darst 24 cm |
| publishDate | 2008 |
| publishDateSearch | 2008 |
| publishDateSort | 2008 |
| publisher | Routledge |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood Rolf Loeber ... New York [u.a.] Routledge 2008 xxiii, 404 S. graph. Darst 24 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references (p. 349-373) and index Introduction and methods -- Introduction and key questions / Rolf Loeber, David P. Farrington, Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, and Helene Raskin White -- The Pittsburgh youth study : its design, data collection, and early key findings / Rolf Loeber, Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, and David P. Farrington -- Measurement instruments and constructs / Magda Stouthamer-Loeber and Rebecca Stallings -- Epidemiology of violence, serious theft, substance use, drug dealing and gang membership -- The age-crime curve in reported / David P. Farrington, Rolf Loeber, and Darrick Jolliffe -- Comparing arrests and convictions with reported offending / Rolf Loeber, David P. Farrington, and Darrick Jolliffe -- Substance use, drug dealing, gang membership, and gun carrying and their predictive associations with serious violence and serious theft / Helene Raskin White, Rolf Loeber, & David P. Farrington -- Prediction of violence, serious theft and desistance -- Promotive and risk processes at different life stages / David P. Farrington, Rolf Loeber, Darrick Jolliffe, and Dustin A. Pardini -- Developmental trajectories of violence and theft / Eric Lacourse, Veronique Dupree, and Rolf Loeber -- Desistance from and persistence in offending / Magda Stouthamer-Loeber, Rolf Loeber, Rebecca Stallings, and Eric Lacourse e "Publications from the Pittsburgh youth study": p. 335-347 Juvenile delinquency / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior, Prediction of / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior, Prediction of Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Juvenile delinquency Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Längsschnittuntersuchung (DE-588)4034036-3 gnd rswk-swf Kriminalprognose (DE-588)4128163-9 gnd rswk-swf Jugendkriminalität (DE-588)4028893-6 gnd rswk-swf Pittsburgh, Pa. (DE-588)4115567-1 gnd rswk-swf Pittsburgh, Pa. (DE-588)4115567-1 g Jugendkriminalität (DE-588)4028893-6 s Kriminalprognose (DE-588)4128163-9 s Längsschnittuntersuchung (DE-588)4034036-3 s DE-604 Loeber, Rolf Sonstige oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016419122&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood "Publications from the Pittsburgh youth study": p. 335-347 Juvenile delinquency / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior, Prediction of / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior, Prediction of Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Juvenile delinquency Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Längsschnittuntersuchung (DE-588)4034036-3 gnd Kriminalprognose (DE-588)4128163-9 gnd Jugendkriminalität (DE-588)4028893-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4034036-3 (DE-588)4128163-9 (DE-588)4028893-6 (DE-588)4115567-1 |
| title | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood |
| title_auth | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood |
| title_exact_search | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood |
| title_full | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood Rolf Loeber ... |
| title_fullStr | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood Rolf Loeber ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood Rolf Loeber ... |
| title_short | Violence and serious theft |
| title_sort | violence and serious theft development and prediction from childhood to adulthood |
| title_sub | development and prediction from childhood to adulthood |
| topic | Juvenile delinquency / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior, Prediction of / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior, Prediction of Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Juvenile delinquency Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Längsschnittuntersuchung (DE-588)4034036-3 gnd Kriminalprognose (DE-588)4128163-9 gnd Jugendkriminalität (DE-588)4028893-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Juvenile delinquency / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior, Prediction of / Pennsylvania / Pittsburgh / Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Criminal behavior, Prediction of Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Juvenile delinquency Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Longitudinal studies Längsschnittuntersuchung Kriminalprognose Jugendkriminalität Pittsburgh, Pa. |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016419122&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT loeberrolf violenceandserioustheftdevelopmentandpredictionfromchildhoodtoadulthood |