Global population blow-up and after: the demographic revolution and information society
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Hamburg
Global Marshall Plan Initiative
2006
|
| Edition: | English version |
| Series: | Report to the Club of Rome
Report to the Global Marshall Plan Initiative |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | 272 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 3980972356 |
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Record in the Search Index
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Foreword by the President of the Club of Rome
...............7
Foreword by Professor Franz Josef
Radermacher.............9
Preface
............................................11
1.
Introduction
......................................17
1.1.
Global Population Growth
..........................17
1.2.
Dynamical Approach to Social Studies
.................21
1.3.
The Statistical Nature of the Demographic Problem
.......24
1.4.
From a Qualitative Description to a Quantitative Analysis
. . 29
1.5.
Population Explosion and the Demographic Transition
.... 32
1.6.
Models in Demography
.............................35
1.7.
The Complexity of Systems and Aggregating Data
........37
2.
Global Population as a System
.......................41
2.1.
The Physics of Systems
............................41
2.2.
Stability and Self-Organization in Systems
..............45
2.3.
The World of Non-linear Systems
.....................48
2.4.
Interactions in the Population System
.................54
2.5.
Mankind as a Social Species
........................55
2.6.
Components of Growth
..............................58
3.
Modeling World Population Growth
....................61
3.1.
Principles of Modeling
.............................61
3.2.
Linear and Exponential Growth
......................62
3.3.
Hyperbolic Population Growth
.......................68
3.4.
The Law of Quadratic Growth
.......................71
3.5.
Informational Nature of Growth
........................73
4.
Population Growth and the Model
.....................79
4.1.
The First Steps of Mankind
.........................79
4.2.
Influence of Climate and Geography
...................82
4.3.
Global population since the Neolithic
..................89
4.4.
The Number of People Who Have Ever Lived
..............91
4.5
The Future Population of the World
.....................91
5.
The Sense of Time in History
........................97
5.1.
Transformation of Time
............................97
5.2.
Transforming the Time of History
....................102
5.3.
The Beginning of the Scale of Time
..................109
5.4.
Synchronism of Global Development
.................113
5.5.
Concept of Time in History
..........................117
6.
The Global Interaction
.............................123
6.1.
The Nature of the Interaction
.......................123
6.2.
Isolated Communities
.............................131
6.3.
Hierarchy of Demographic Structures
................134
6.4.
Globalization and Development
.....................134
6.5.
Socioeconomic Cycles of Development
................136
7.
The Demographic Transition
........................139
7.1.
Nature of the Demographic Transition
................139
7.2.
The Global Transition
............................143
7.3.
Processes During the Transition
....................145
7.4.
Changes in the Age Distribution
.....................147
7.5.
Transition and the System s Approach
................150
7.6.
Models and Theories of Demographic Processes
..........153
8.
Stability of Growth
...............................157
8.1.
Stability of the Demographic System
.................157
8.2.
History in Terms of Stability
.......................162
8.3.
Global Security in the Future
........................166
9.
Resources, Energy and Population
...................171
9.1.
The Open Model and the Population Imperative
.........171
9.2.
Energy and the Population Growth
..................172
9.3.
The Environment
................................175
9.4.
Do Resources Limit Growth?
.......................183
9.5.
Distribution of Population in Space
..................187
9.6.
Distribution of Wealth in the Global System
............189
9.7.
Growth of a Knowledge Economy and Culture
..........191
10.
The World of the Future
............................193
10.1.
Concluding remarks
.............................193
10.2.
Interdisciplinary Research and Demographic Policy
.....197
10.3.
Global Development at Large
......................199
10.4.
The New World
—
Stabilized and Old
................204
Appendix.
The Mathematical Theory of Global Population Growth
......219
A.I. The Demographic Problem
.........................219
A.2. The Case of Quadratic Growth
......................223
A.3. Defining the Model and Excluding the Singularities
......224
A.4. Dimentionless Variables of Time and Population
........229
A.
5.
The Limit of Population and the Number of People
Who Ever Lived
...................................232
A.6. Asymptotic Solutions and Autonomous Equations
.......233
A.7. Dynamic Stability of Growth
.......................236
A.8. Structure of Time and Demographic Cycles
............237
A.
9.
Scaling Urban Population and Fluctuations
............239
List of Figures
.....................................243
List of Tables
......................................244
References
........................................245
Name Index
.......................................256
Subject Index
......................................258
Index of Countries
..................................262
Global Marshall Plan Initiative
........................264
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
Foreword by the President of the Club of Rome
.7
Foreword by Professor Franz Josef
Radermacher.9
Preface
.11
1.
Introduction
.17
1.1.
Global Population Growth
.17
1.2.
Dynamical Approach to Social Studies
.21
1.3.
The Statistical Nature of the Demographic Problem
.24
1.4.
From a Qualitative Description to a Quantitative Analysis
. . 29
1.5.
Population Explosion and the Demographic Transition
. 32
1.6.
Models in Demography
.35
1.7.
The Complexity of Systems and Aggregating Data
.37
2.
Global Population as a System
.41
2.1.
The Physics of Systems
.41
2.2.
Stability and Self-Organization in Systems
.45
2.3.
The World of Non-linear Systems
.48
2.4.
Interactions in the Population System
.54
2.5.
Mankind as a Social Species
.55
2.6.
Components of Growth
.58
3.
Modeling World Population Growth
.61
3.1.
Principles of Modeling
.61
3.2.
Linear and Exponential Growth
.62
3.3.
Hyperbolic Population Growth
.68
3.4.
The Law of Quadratic Growth
.71
3.5.
Informational Nature of Growth
.73
4.
Population Growth and the Model
.79
4.1.
The First Steps of Mankind
.79
4.2.
Influence of Climate and Geography
.82
4.3.
Global population since the Neolithic
.89
4.4.
The Number of People Who Have Ever Lived
.91
4.5
The Future Population of the World
.91
5.
The Sense of Time in History
.97
5.1.
Transformation of Time
.97
5.2.
Transforming the Time of History
.102
5.3.
The Beginning of the Scale of Time
.109
5.4.
Synchronism of Global Development
.113
5.5.
Concept of Time in History
.117
6.
The Global Interaction
.123
6.1.
The Nature of the Interaction
.123
6.2.
Isolated Communities
.131
6.3.
Hierarchy of Demographic Structures
.134
6.4.
Globalization and Development
.134
6.5.
Socioeconomic Cycles of Development
.136
7.
The Demographic Transition
.139
7.1.
Nature of the Demographic Transition
.139
7.2.
The Global Transition
.143
7.3.
Processes During the Transition
.145
7.4.
Changes in the Age Distribution
.147
7.5.
Transition and the System's Approach
.150
7.6.
Models and Theories of Demographic Processes
.153
8.
Stability of Growth
.157
8.1.
Stability of the Demographic System
.157
8.2.
History in Terms of Stability
.162
8.3.
Global Security in the Future
.166
9.
Resources, Energy and Population
.171
9.1.
The Open Model and the Population Imperative
.171
9.2.
Energy and the Population Growth
.172
9.3.
The Environment
.175
9.4.
Do Resources Limit Growth?
.183
9.5.
Distribution of Population in Space
.187
9.6.
Distribution of Wealth in the Global System
.189
9.7.
Growth of a Knowledge Economy and Culture
.191
10.
The World of the Future
.193
10.1.
Concluding remarks
.193
10.2.
Interdisciplinary Research and Demographic Policy
.197
10.3.
Global Development at Large
.199
10.4.
The New World
—
Stabilized and Old
.204
Appendix.
The Mathematical Theory of Global Population Growth
.219
A.I. The Demographic Problem
.219
A.2. The Case of Quadratic Growth
.223
A.3. Defining the Model and Excluding the Singularities
.224
A.4. Dimentionless Variables of Time and Population
.229
A.
5.
The Limit of Population and the Number of People
Who Ever Lived
.232
A.6. Asymptotic Solutions and Autonomous Equations
.233
A.7. Dynamic Stability of Growth
.236
A.8. Structure of Time and Demographic Cycles
.237
A.
9.
Scaling Urban Population and Fluctuations
.239
List of Figures
.243
List of Tables
.244
References
.245
Name Index
.256
Subject Index
.258
Index of Countries
.262
Global Marshall Plan Initiative
.264 |
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| isbn | 3980972356 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Kapica, Sergej P. 1928-2012 Verfasser (DE-588)136002935 aut Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society Sergey P. Kapitza English version Hamburg Global Marshall Plan Initiative 2006 272 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Report to the Club of Rome Report to the Global Marshall Plan Initiative Übervölkerung (DE-588)4078497-6 gnd rswk-swf Übervölkerung (DE-588)4078497-6 s DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Augsburg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016409725&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Kapica, Sergej P. 1928-2012 Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society Übervölkerung (DE-588)4078497-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4078497-6 |
| title | Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society |
| title_auth | Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society |
| title_exact_search | Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society |
| title_full | Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society Sergey P. Kapitza |
| title_fullStr | Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society Sergey P. Kapitza |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global population blow-up and after the demographic revolution and information society Sergey P. Kapitza |
| title_short | Global population blow-up and after |
| title_sort | global population blow up and after the demographic revolution and information society |
| title_sub | the demographic revolution and information society |
| topic | Übervölkerung (DE-588)4078497-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Übervölkerung |
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