Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics:
Saved in:
| Format: | Book |
|---|---|
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York [u.a.]
Palgrave Macmillan
2008
|
| Edition: | 1. publ. |
| Series: | Applied Econometrics Association series
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Literaturangaben |
| Physical Description: | XII, 245 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780230500624 0230500625 |
Staff View
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES IX LIST OF FIGURES X NOTES ON THE CONTRIBUTORS
XI INTRODUCTION 1 PART I THE PURCHASING POWER PARITY AND ITS
IMPLICATIONS FOR EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGES RATES 1 THREE EXCHANGE RATE
PUZZLES: FACT OR FICTION? 9 RONALD MACDONALD .,1 INTRODUCTION 9 1.2 THE
PPP PUZZLE 10 1.2.1 TESTING PPP 14 1.2.2 ECONOMETRIC EXPLANATIONS FOR
THE PPP PUZZLE 23 1.3 THE VOLATILITY PUZZLE 32 1.3.1 THE FORWARD-LOOKING
MONETARY RELATIONSHIP AND THE MAGNIFICATION EFFECT 33 1.3.2 EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE ON INTER- AND INTRA-REGIME VOLATILITY 44 1.4 THE LEVELS PUZZLE
AND OUT-OF-SAMPLE FORECASTING 46 1.5 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 53 2 THE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE MISALIGNMENT IN THE FIVE CENTRAL EUROPEAN COUNTRIES -
SINGLE EQUATION APPROACH 61 JAN FRAIT, LUBOS KOMDREK AND MARTIN MELECKY
2.1 INTRODUCTION 61 2.2 DEVELOPMENT AND DETERMINANTS OF THE REAL
EXCHANGE RATES 63 2.2.1 THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE DEVELOPMENTS IN THE NEW
EU MEMBER STATES 63 VI CONTENTS 2.2.2 THE FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS AFFECTING
THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE 67 2.3 THE EQUILIBRIUM REAL EXCHANGE RATE
CONCEPTS 68 2.3.1 METHODS BASED ON AN ECONOMIC THEORY 69 2.3.2 OUTLINE
OF THE BEHAVIOURAL MODEL FOR EU5 COUNTRIES 70 2.4 EMPIRICAL EVALUATION
AND EVIDENCE FOR THE EU5 COUNTRIES 72 2.4.1 EMPIRICAL TECHNIQUES 72
2.4.2 MISALIGNMENTS OF THE EU5 COUNTRIES CURRENCIES 78 2.5 CONCLUSION
81 REAL EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE IN CHINA. IS THE RENRNINBI
UNDERVALUED? 94 VIRGINIE COUDERT AND CECILE COUHARDE 3.1 INTRODUCTION 94
3.2 IS THE RENMINBI UNDERVALUED? THE USUAL SUSPECTS 95 3.3 ESTIMATING
THE BALASSA EFFECT 98 3.3.1 THE BALASSA EFFECT 98 3.3.2 CROSS-SECTION
ESTIMATIONS 100 3.3.3 PANEL DATA ESTIMATIONS 103 3.4 DISCUSSION 107
3.4.1 WHY IS THERE NO BALASSA EFFECT AT WORK IN CHINA? 107 3.4.2
COMPARISONS WITH PREVIOUS RESULTS 108 3.5 CONCLUSION 110 PART II
EXCHANGE RATES DYNAMICS AND PASS-THROUGH EFFECTS EXCHANGE RATE
PASS-THROUGH EFFECT AND MONETARY POLICY IN RUSSIA 115 VICTORIA V.
DOBRYNSKAYA AND DMITRY V. LEVANDO 4.1 INTRODUCTION 115 4.2 LITERATURE
REVIEW 118 4.2.1 THEORIES OF EXCHANGE RATE PTE 118 4.2.2 EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE 119 4.2.3 INFLUENCE OF MONETARY POLICY ON PTE 121 4.3
THEORETICAL MODEL 4.4 EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS 4.4.1 DATA 4.4.2 METHODOLOGY
AND RESULTS 4.2.3 INFLUENCE OF MONETARY POLICY ON PTE 4.5 CONCLUSION
CONTENTS VII 121 123 123 125 132 135 DISAGGREGATED ECONOMETRIC MODELS TO
FORECAST INFLATION IN HUNGARY 139 VIKTOR VDRPALOTAI 5.1 INTRODUCTION 139
5.2 INFLATION FORECASTING MODELS USED BY THE MNB 140 5.3 THE
DISAGGREGATED COST PASS-THROUGH J BASED INFLATION FORECASTING MODEL 142
5.3.1 FRAMEWORK OF THE MODEL 142 J 5.3.2 ECONOMETRIC ISSUES:
DISTRIBUTED LAG ESTIMATOR DERIVED FROM SMOOTHNESS PRIORS 149 ; 5.4
EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND THE PREDICTIVE ; ACCURACY OF THE MODEL 150 I 5.5
CONCLUSIONS 153 J I J PART III EXCHANGE RATES DYNAMICS J AND STRUCTURAL
SHOCKS ON ECONOMIES [ I AN OPEN ECONOMY DYNAMIC GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM I
MODEL LINKING THE EURO AREA AND THE US ECONOMY 169 ! GREGORY CLE WALQUE
AND RAF WOUTERS 6.1 INTRODUCTION 169 J 6.2 MODEL DESCRIPTION 172 J
6.2.1 HOUSEHOLDS 172 L 6.2.2 THE FIRMS AND PRICE SETTING 176 6.2.3
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 182 6.2.4 MARKET EQUILIBRIUM 182 6.2.5 THE US
ECONOMY AND THE REST OF THE WORLD 183 6.2.6 THE MONETARY POLICY 184
6.2.7 STRUCTURAL SHOCKS SUMMARY 184 6.3 DATA AND ESTIMATION 185 6.4
IMPULSE RESPONSE FUNCTIONS FOR THE SHOCKS 191 6.4.1 PRODUCTIVITY SHOCKS
191 VIII CONTENTS 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.4.2 DOMESTIC DEMAND SHOCKS 6.4.3
MONETARY POLICY SHOCKS 6.4.4 OIL SHOCKS 6.4.5 UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE
PARITY SHOCK TO THE EXCHANGE RATE 6.4.6 ROW SHOCKS MODEL VALIDATION BY
SUMMARY STATISTICS THE UNCONDITIONAL VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION OF THE
FORECAST ERRORS CONCLUSION 201 201 204 209 209 210 214 223 7
LIBERALISATION SHOCKS AND REAL EXCHANGE RATES APPRECIATION IN THE
TRANSITION ECONOMIES 227 CHRISTOS PAPAZOGLOU 7.1 INTRODUCTION 227 7.2
THE MODEL 229 7.3 THE GENERAL SOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM 233 7.4 INCREASE IN
CORE INFLATION 235 7.5 DECREASE IN THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 237 7.6
CONCLUSIONS 239 INDEX 243
|
| adam_txt |
CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES IX LIST OF FIGURES X NOTES ON THE CONTRIBUTORS
XI INTRODUCTION 1 PART I THE PURCHASING POWER PARITY AND ITS
IMPLICATIONS FOR EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGES RATES 1 THREE EXCHANGE RATE
PUZZLES: FACT OR FICTION? 9 RONALD MACDONALD .,1 INTRODUCTION 9 1.2 THE
PPP PUZZLE 10 1.2.1 TESTING PPP 14 1.2.2 ECONOMETRIC EXPLANATIONS FOR
THE PPP PUZZLE 23 1.3 THE VOLATILITY PUZZLE 32 1.3.1 THE FORWARD-LOOKING
MONETARY RELATIONSHIP AND THE MAGNIFICATION EFFECT 33 1.3.2 EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE ON INTER- AND INTRA-REGIME VOLATILITY 44 1.4 THE LEVELS PUZZLE
AND OUT-OF-SAMPLE FORECASTING 46 1.5 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 53 2 THE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE MISALIGNMENT IN THE FIVE CENTRAL EUROPEAN COUNTRIES -
SINGLE EQUATION APPROACH 61 JAN FRAIT, LUBOS KOMDREK AND MARTIN MELECKY
2.1 INTRODUCTION 61 2.2 DEVELOPMENT AND DETERMINANTS OF THE REAL
EXCHANGE RATES 63 2.2.1 THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE DEVELOPMENTS IN THE NEW
EU MEMBER STATES 63 VI CONTENTS 2.2.2 THE FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS AFFECTING
THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE 67 2.3 THE EQUILIBRIUM REAL EXCHANGE RATE
CONCEPTS 68 2.3.1 METHODS BASED ON AN ECONOMIC THEORY 69 2.3.2 OUTLINE
OF THE BEHAVIOURAL MODEL FOR EU5 COUNTRIES 70 2.4 EMPIRICAL EVALUATION
AND EVIDENCE FOR THE EU5 COUNTRIES 72 2.4.1 EMPIRICAL TECHNIQUES 72
2.4.2 MISALIGNMENTS OF THE EU5 COUNTRIES' CURRENCIES 78 2.5 CONCLUSION
81 REAL EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE IN CHINA. IS THE RENRNINBI
UNDERVALUED? 94 VIRGINIE COUDERT AND CECILE COUHARDE 3.1 INTRODUCTION 94
3.2 IS THE RENMINBI UNDERVALUED? THE 'USUAL SUSPECTS' 95 3.3 ESTIMATING
THE BALASSA EFFECT 98 3.3.1 THE BALASSA EFFECT 98 3.3.2 CROSS-SECTION
ESTIMATIONS 100 3.3.3 PANEL DATA ESTIMATIONS 103 3.4 DISCUSSION 107
3.4.1 WHY IS THERE NO BALASSA EFFECT AT WORK IN CHINA? 107 3.4.2
COMPARISONS WITH PREVIOUS RESULTS 108 3.5 CONCLUSION 110 PART II
EXCHANGE RATES DYNAMICS AND PASS-THROUGH EFFECTS EXCHANGE RATE
PASS-THROUGH EFFECT AND MONETARY POLICY IN RUSSIA 115 VICTORIA V.
DOBRYNSKAYA AND DMITRY V. LEVANDO 4.1 INTRODUCTION 115 4.2 LITERATURE
REVIEW 118 4.2.1 THEORIES OF EXCHANGE RATE PTE 118 4.2.2 EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE 119 4.2.3 INFLUENCE OF MONETARY POLICY ON PTE 121 4.3
THEORETICAL MODEL 4.4 EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS 4.4.1 DATA 4.4.2 METHODOLOGY
AND RESULTS 4.2.3 INFLUENCE OF MONETARY POLICY ON PTE 4.5 CONCLUSION
CONTENTS VII 121 123 123 125 132 135 DISAGGREGATED ECONOMETRIC MODELS TO
FORECAST INFLATION IN HUNGARY 139 VIKTOR VDRPALOTAI 5.1 INTRODUCTION 139
\ 5.2 INFLATION FORECASTING MODELS USED BY THE MNB 140 5.3 THE
DISAGGREGATED COST PASS-THROUGH J BASED INFLATION FORECASTING MODEL 142
\ 5.3.1 FRAMEWORK OF THE MODEL 142 J 5.3.2 ECONOMETRIC ISSUES:
DISTRIBUTED LAG \ ESTIMATOR DERIVED FROM SMOOTHNESS PRIORS 149 ; 5.4
EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND THE PREDICTIVE ; ACCURACY OF THE MODEL 150 I 5.5
CONCLUSIONS 153 J I J PART III EXCHANGE RATES DYNAMICS J AND STRUCTURAL
SHOCKS ON ECONOMIES [ I AN OPEN ECONOMY DYNAMIC GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM I
MODEL LINKING THE EURO AREA AND THE US ECONOMY 169 ! GREGORY CLE WALQUE
AND RAF WOUTERS \ 6.1 INTRODUCTION 169 J 6.2 MODEL DESCRIPTION 172 J
6.2.1 HOUSEHOLDS 172 L 6.2.2 THE FIRMS AND PRICE SETTING 176 \ 6.2.3
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 182 6.2.4 MARKET EQUILIBRIUM 182 6.2.5 THE US
ECONOMY AND THE REST OF THE WORLD 183 6.2.6 THE MONETARY POLICY 184
6.2.7 STRUCTURAL SHOCKS SUMMARY 184 6.3 DATA AND ESTIMATION 185 6.4
IMPULSE RESPONSE FUNCTIONS FOR THE SHOCKS 191 6.4.1 PRODUCTIVITY SHOCKS
191 VIII CONTENTS 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.4.2 DOMESTIC DEMAND SHOCKS 6.4.3
MONETARY POLICY SHOCKS 6.4.4 OIL SHOCKS 6.4.5 UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE
PARITY SHOCK TO THE EXCHANGE RATE 6.4.6 ROW SHOCKS MODEL VALIDATION BY
SUMMARY STATISTICS THE UNCONDITIONAL VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION OF THE
FORECAST ERRORS CONCLUSION 201 201 204 209 209 210 214 223 7
LIBERALISATION SHOCKS AND REAL EXCHANGE RATES APPRECIATION IN THE
TRANSITION ECONOMIES 227 CHRISTOS PAPAZOGLOU 7.1 INTRODUCTION 227 7.2
THE MODEL 229 7.3 THE GENERAL SOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM 233 7.4 INCREASE IN
CORE INFLATION 235 7.5 DECREASE IN THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 237 7.6
CONCLUSIONS 239 INDEX 243 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-02T20:07:56Z |
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| spelling | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics ed. by Pavlos Karadeloglou ... 1. publ. New York [u.a.] Palgrave Macmillan 2008 XII, 245 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Applied Econometrics Association series Literaturangaben Econometrics Foreign exchange rates Macroeconomics Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd rswk-swf Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 gnd rswk-swf Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd rswk-swf Wechselkursänderung (DE-588)4129405-1 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Wechselkursänderung (DE-588)4129405-1 s Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 s Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 s DE-604 Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 s DE-188 Karadeloglou, Pavlos V. 1956- Sonstige (DE-588)129330663 oth SWB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016386661&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics Econometrics Foreign exchange rates Macroeconomics Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 gnd Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Wechselkursänderung (DE-588)4129405-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4043212-9 (DE-588)4132280-0 (DE-588)4037174-8 (DE-588)4129405-1 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics |
| title_auth | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics |
| title_exact_search | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics |
| title_full | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics ed. by Pavlos Karadeloglou ... |
| title_fullStr | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics ed. by Pavlos Karadeloglou ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics ed. by Pavlos Karadeloglou ... |
| title_short | Exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics |
| title_sort | exchange rates and macroeconomic dynamics |
| topic | Econometrics Foreign exchange rates Macroeconomics Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 gnd Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Wechselkursänderung (DE-588)4129405-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Econometrics Foreign exchange rates Macroeconomics Ökonometrisches Modell Ökonometrie Makroökonomie Wechselkursänderung Aufsatzsammlung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016386661&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT karadelogloupavlosv exchangeratesandmacroeconomicdynamics |