The third lens: multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Burlington, VT [u.a.]
Ashgate
2007
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Table of contents only Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | XXVI, 151 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780754647980 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The third lens |b multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making |c ed. by Mika Aaltonen |
| 264 | 1 | |a Burlington, VT [u.a.] |b Ashgate |c 2007 | |
| 300 | |a XXVI, 151 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
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| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Gestion | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Ontologie | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Prise de décision | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Decision making | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Management | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Ontology | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Aaltonen, Mika |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures and Tables vii
List of Abbreviations ix
Author Biographies xi
Acknowledgments xiii
Introduction Before This Book Was Written xv
Part 1: Re setting Our Thoughts
1 Strategic Decision making How It Is, and How It Used to Be
Mika Aaltonen 3
2 Making Sense of the Past, Present and Future
Mika Aaltonen 9
3 Sense making in Relation to Time and the Strategic Landscape
Mika Aaltonen 15
Part 2: Modelling Sense making
4 A Foresight Model for Evaluating Long term Growth: Formel G
Stefan Bergheim 29
5 A Political Early Warning response System to Address Global
and Regional Threats
Tapio Kanninen 49
6 Platforms, Pieces and Probabilities Introducing the 3P Model
Mika Aaltonen 77
Part 3: Revisiting Casual Theory
7 Sensitiveness to Initial Conditions: Reconceptualising Cause
Mika Aaltonen and T. Irene Sanders 89
8 Making Sense of a Complex World
Paul Cilliers 99
9 The Emergence of Final Cause
Eve Mitleton Kelly 111
vi The Third Lens
Part 4: Conclusions
10 Conclusions After This Book was Written
Mika Aaltonen 125
Bibliography 129
Index 145
List of Figures and Tables
Figure 1.1 The reading map xxv
Figure 2.1 The two layers hidden (below) and visible (above) 10
Figure 2.2 Path dependence and decision making 13
Figure 3.1 Four directions of influence 15
Figure 3.2 Linear, visionary and disruptive thinking 22
Figure 3.3 The chronotope space 24
Figure 3.4 Applying chronotope space 26
Figure 4.1 DBR analytical framework for long term growth
forecasts: Formel G 31
Figure 4.2 DBR trend map 40
Figure 4.3 Formel G: ranking of GDP growth 2006 2020 44
Figure 5.1 A simple framework to analyse the future: relations
between economic, systemic, environmental and
ideological change 50
Figure 5.2 The cycle of the system of national accounts 65
Figure 5.3 A conceptual framework for political monitoring 66
Figure 5.4 The situation analysis of conflicts 67
Figure 6.1 The platforms of yesterday, today and tomorrow 82
Figure 6.2 Pieces and the puzzle of the future 83
Figure 6.3 Things that will remain unchanged, and things that will
change 84
Figure 6.4 The unfulfilled and fulfilled potentiality of the pieces 85
Figure 7.1 Baker s transformation 94
Figure 10.1 Using a chronotope space to reflect upon chapters 4. 5
and 6 126
Figure 10.2 Using causal theories to reflect upon chapters 4. 5 and 6 127
Table 3.1 Conceptions of how the future is formed (C.f. Streatfield
2001) 19
Table 7.1 Approaches for identifying and influencing sensitiveness
to initial conditions 97
viii The Third Lens
Annex in Chapter 5
International efforts to standardize the description and measurement
of the realities of appropriate decades (Kanninen, 1989) 76
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
List of Figures and Tables vii
List of Abbreviations ix
Author Biographies xi
Acknowledgments xiii
Introduction Before This Book Was Written xv
Part 1: Re setting Our Thoughts
1 Strategic Decision making How It Is, and How It Used to Be
Mika Aaltonen 3
2 Making Sense of the Past, Present and Future
Mika Aaltonen 9
3 Sense making in Relation to Time and the Strategic Landscape
Mika Aaltonen 15
Part 2: Modelling Sense making
4 A Foresight Model for Evaluating Long term Growth: Formel G
Stefan Bergheim 29
5 A Political Early Warning response System to Address Global
and Regional Threats
Tapio Kanninen 49
6 Platforms, Pieces and Probabilities Introducing the 3P Model
Mika Aaltonen 77
Part 3: Revisiting Casual Theory
7 Sensitiveness to Initial Conditions: Reconceptualising Cause
Mika Aaltonen and T. Irene Sanders 89
8 Making Sense of a Complex World
Paul Cilliers 99
9 The Emergence of Final Cause
Eve Mitleton Kelly 111
vi The Third Lens
Part 4: Conclusions
10 Conclusions After This Book was Written
Mika Aaltonen 125
Bibliography 129
Index 145
List of Figures and Tables
Figure 1.1 The reading map xxv
Figure 2.1 The two layers hidden (below) and visible (above) 10
Figure 2.2 Path dependence and decision making 13
Figure 3.1 Four directions of influence 15
Figure 3.2 Linear, visionary and disruptive thinking 22
Figure 3.3 The chronotope space 24
Figure 3.4 Applying chronotope space 26
Figure 4.1 DBR' analytical framework for long term growth
forecasts: Formel G 31
Figure 4.2 DBR trend map 40
Figure 4.3 Formel G: ranking of GDP growth 2006 2020 44
Figure 5.1 A simple framework to analyse the future: relations
between economic, systemic, environmental and
ideological change 50
Figure 5.2 The cycle of the system of national accounts 65
Figure 5.3 A conceptual framework for political monitoring 66
Figure 5.4 The situation analysis of conflicts 67
Figure 6.1 The platforms of yesterday, today and tomorrow 82
Figure 6.2 Pieces and the puzzle of the future 83
Figure 6.3 Things that will remain unchanged, and things that will
change 84
Figure 6.4 The unfulfilled and fulfilled potentiality of the pieces 85
Figure 7.1 Baker's transformation 94
Figure 10.1 Using a chronotope space to reflect upon chapters 4. 5
and 6 126
Figure 10.2 Using causal theories to reflect upon chapters 4. 5 and 6 127
Table 3.1 Conceptions of how the future is formed (C.f. Streatfield
2001) 19
Table 7.1 Approaches for identifying and influencing sensitiveness
to initial conditions 97
viii The Third Lens
Annex in Chapter 5
International efforts to standardize the description and measurement
of the 'realities' of appropriate decades (Kanninen, 1989) 76 |
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| spelling | The third lens multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making ed. by Mika Aaltonen Burlington, VT [u.a.] Ashgate 2007 XXVI, 151 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index Gestion Ontologie Prise de décision Decision making Management Ontology Ontologie (DE-588)4075660-9 gnd rswk-swf Führungsentscheidung (DE-588)4390843-3 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Führungsentscheidung (DE-588)4390843-3 s Ontologie (DE-588)4075660-9 s DE-604 Aaltonen, Mika Sonstige oth http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip078/2007001512.html Table of contents only HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015696386&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | The third lens multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making Gestion Ontologie Prise de décision Decision making Management Ontology Ontologie (DE-588)4075660-9 gnd Führungsentscheidung (DE-588)4390843-3 gnd |
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| title | The third lens multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making |
| title_auth | The third lens multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making |
| title_exact_search | The third lens multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making |
| title_exact_search_txtP | The third lens multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making |
| title_full | The third lens multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making ed. by Mika Aaltonen |
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| title_full_unstemmed | The third lens multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making ed. by Mika Aaltonen |
| title_short | The third lens |
| title_sort | the third lens multi ontology sense making and strategic decision making |
| title_sub | multi-ontology sense-making and strategic decision-making |
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