Mapping the markets: a guide to stockmarket analysis
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| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
London
Economist
2006
|
| Series: | Economist books
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Table of contents only Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | "This book is about how to analyze the way markets are likely to behave. It combines technical analysis, which is based on the belief that price reflects everything known about a particular market, and fundamental analysis, which takes into account an individual company's sales, earnings, and the value of its assets"--Provided by publisher. Includes bibliographical references (p. 124-127) and index |
| Physical Description: | x, 134 p. graph. Darst. 23 cm |
| ISBN: | 1861979371 9781861979377 |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Contents
Acknowledgements x
Introduction 1
Part 1 Tools for mapping the markets 5
1 Economic cycles 7
2 Stockmarket cycles 16
3 Sector rotation 28
4 Stock selection 31
Part 2 Long term cyclical drivers 59
5 Economic catch up 61
6 Demographic trends 70
7 Energy 79
8 Biotechnology 85
Part 3 Downward phases of the cycle 91
9 Global imbalances 93
10 External events 97
Part 4 Taking market bearings 101
11 Stockmarkets 103
12 Sectors 117
Conclusion 120
Note on sources 123
Bibliography 124
Index 129
List of figures
1.1 Real US GDP, 1950 2001 8
1.2 Theoretical average of Kondratieff cycles and events 9
1.3 Stylised representation of the Kondratieff, Juglar
and Kitchin cycles 11
1.4 Military spending and the interest rate in the UK, 1729 1918 13
1.5 Gross yield on UK 2.5% consols, 1954 2005 13
1.6 Gross yield on US ten year Treasury bonds, 1953 2003 14
2.1 Four year US electoral cycle 18
2.2 Four year US electoral cycle overlaid with seasonal trend 19
2.3 Four year US electoral cycle skewed by an uptrend 20
2.4 Four year US electoral cycle skewed by a downtrend 21
2.5 S P 500 in real terms, 1950 2005 21
2.6 Actual and perceived stockmarket trends 23
2.7 Bullish/bearish perceptions 24
2.8 Elliott wave pattern 25
2.9 Standard stockmarket road map 26
2.10 Standard stockmarket road map skewed upwards 26
2.11 Standard stockmarket road map skewed downwards 27
4.1 Marconi: 50 and 200 day moving averages, 2000 01 32
4.2 Marconi: 50 and 200 day moving averages, 2002 03 33
4.3 Trend lines 34
4.4 Bell curve and the leptokurtic distribution of
market fluctuations 35
4.5a Relative turning up before price: Caterpillar 37
4.5b Relative turning down before price: Wal Mart 37
4.6 LME 3 month copper with 200 day moving average, 1990 2006 38
4.7 Golden cross: 90 and 200 day moving averages, Caterpillar 39
4.8 Dead cross: 50 and 200 day moving averages, General Motors 39
4.9 Deviation from the 200 day moving average: Braemar Seascope 41
4.10 Overbought RSI: Starbucks 41
4.11 Oversold RSI: Alcoa 42
4.12 Support and resistance levels: Tesco 43
4.13 Resistance level: Reckitt Benckiser 45
4.14 S P 500 Index, 1996 2006 46
4.15 Fibonacci ratios: National Grid 48
LIST OF FIGURES
4.16 Head and shoulders: HMV Group 50
4.17 Reverse head and shoulders: Amazon.com 51
4.18 Double top: Coca Cola 51
4.19 Double bottom: 3i Group 52
4.20 Triple top: AstraZeneca 52
4.21 Rounded base: Great Portland Estates 53
4.22 Symmetrical triangle: George Wimpey 54
4 23 Right angled triangle: N. Brown Group 55
4.24 Ascending triangle: National Grid 56
4.25 Descending triangle: Aviva 57
4.26 Rectangle: sterling/yen 57
4 27 Flag: Alliance Leicester 58
P2.1 Average oil price, 1946 2004 60
6.1 Demographic trends in the US, France, China and India 72
9.1 US current account, 1980 2005 93
9.2 US personal saving as a ratio of disposable income 95
9 3 Uk personal saving as a ratio of disposable income 95
P4.1 Factors linking the economy and the stockmarket 102
11.1 Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, 1942 2002 104
11.2 S P 500 Composite price/earnings ratio, 1968 2006 105
11.3 Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, 1966 83 105
11.4 Dow Jones Index, 1981 2001 106
11.5 S P 500 Composite Index, 1968 74 107
11.6 S P 500 Composite Index, 2000 06 107
11.7 Nikkei 225 Index, 1990 2005 109
11.8 FTSE 100 Index, 1992 2005 111
11.9 FTSE Eurotop 300 Index, 1990 2005 112
11.10 Shanghai A share Index, 1995 2005 113
11.11 Bombay Sensex Index, 1992 2005 H5
11.12 India: total market price/earnings ratio, 1990 2005 116
12.1 Long term copper prices, 1885 2000 117
12.2 Long term aluminium prices, 1920 2000 118
List of tables
2.1 Dow Jones Industrial Average closing levels, 1904 2005 22
5.1 GDP per head, 2005 61
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
Acknowledgements x
Introduction 1
Part 1 Tools for mapping the markets 5
1 Economic cycles 7
2 Stockmarket cycles 16
3 Sector rotation 28
4 Stock selection 31
Part 2 Long term cyclical drivers 59
5 Economic catch up 61
6 Demographic trends 70
7 Energy 79
8 Biotechnology 85
Part 3 Downward phases of the cycle 91
9 Global imbalances 93
10 External events 97
Part 4 Taking market bearings 101
11 Stockmarkets 103
12 Sectors 117
Conclusion 120
Note on sources 123
Bibliography 124
Index 129
List of figures
1.1 Real US GDP, 1950 2001 8
1.2 Theoretical average of Kondratieff cycles and events 9
1.3 Stylised representation of the Kondratieff, Juglar
and Kitchin cycles 11
1.4 Military spending and the interest rate in the UK, 1729 1918 13
1.5 Gross yield on UK 2.5% consols, 1954 2005 13
1.6 Gross yield on US ten year Treasury bonds, 1953 2003 14
2.1 Four year US electoral cycle 18
2.2 Four year US electoral cycle overlaid with seasonal trend 19
2.3 Four year US electoral cycle skewed by an uptrend 20
2.4 Four year US electoral cycle skewed by a downtrend 21
2.5 S P 500 in real terms, 1950 2005 21
2.6 Actual and perceived stockmarket trends 23
2.7 Bullish/bearish perceptions 24
2.8 Elliott wave pattern 25
2.9 Standard stockmarket road map 26
2.10 Standard stockmarket road map skewed upwards 26
2.11 Standard stockmarket road map skewed downwards 27
4.1 Marconi: 50 and 200 day moving averages, 2000 01 32
4.2 Marconi: 50 and 200 day moving averages, 2002 03 33
4.3 Trend lines 34
4.4 Bell curve and the leptokurtic distribution of
market fluctuations 35
4.5a Relative turning up before price: Caterpillar 37
4.5b Relative turning down before price: Wal Mart 37
4.6 LME 3 month copper with 200 day moving average, 1990 2006 38
4.7 Golden cross: 90 and 200 day moving averages, Caterpillar 39
4.8 Dead cross: 50 and 200 day moving averages, General Motors 39
4.9 Deviation from the 200 day moving average: Braemar Seascope 41
4.10 Overbought RSI: Starbucks 41
4.11 Oversold RSI: Alcoa 42
4.12 Support and resistance levels: Tesco 43
4.13 Resistance level: Reckitt Benckiser 45
4.14 S P 500 Index, 1996 2006 46
4.15 Fibonacci ratios: National Grid 48
LIST OF FIGURES
4.16 Head and shoulders: HMV Group 50
4.17 Reverse head and shoulders: Amazon.com 51
4.18 Double top: Coca Cola 51
4.19 Double bottom: 3i Group 52
4.20 Triple top: AstraZeneca 52
4.21 Rounded base: Great Portland Estates 53
4.22 Symmetrical triangle: George Wimpey 54
4 23 Right angled triangle: N. Brown Group 55
4.24 Ascending triangle: National Grid 56
4.25 Descending triangle: Aviva 57
4.26 Rectangle: sterling/yen 57
4 27 Flag: Alliance Leicester 58
P2.1 Average oil price, 1946 2004 60
6.1 Demographic trends in the US, France, China and India 72
9.1 US current account, 1980 2005 93
9.2 US personal saving as a ratio of disposable income 95
9 3 Uk personal saving as a ratio of disposable income 95
P4.1 Factors linking the economy and the stockmarket 102
11.1 Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, 1942 2002 104
11.2 S P 500 Composite price/earnings ratio, 1968 2006 105
11.3 Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, 1966 83 105
11.4 Dow Jones Index, 1981 2001 106
11.5 S P 500 Composite Index, 1968 74 107
11.6 S P 500 Composite Index, 2000 06 107
11.7 Nikkei 225 Index, 1990 2005 109
11.8 FTSE 100 Index, 1992 2005 111
11.9 FTSE Eurotop 300 Index, 1990 2005 112
11.10 Shanghai A share Index, 1995 2005 113
11.11 Bombay Sensex Index, 1992 2005 H5
11.12 India: total market price/earnings ratio, 1990 2005 116
12.1 Long term copper prices, 1885 2000 117
12.2 Long term aluminium prices, 1920 2000 118
List of tables
2.1 Dow Jones Industrial Average closing levels, 1904 2005 22
5.1 GDP per head, 2005 61 |
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| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T17:22:14Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T20:57:01Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 1861979371 9781861979377 |
| language | English |
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| publishDate | 2006 |
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| spelling | Owen, Deborah Verfasser (DE-588)131564463 aut Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis Deborah Owen, Robin Griffiths London Economist 2006 x, 134 p. graph. Darst. 23 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Economist books "This book is about how to analyze the way markets are likely to behave. It combines technical analysis, which is based on the belief that price reflects everything known about a particular market, and fundamental analysis, which takes into account an individual company's sales, earnings, and the value of its assets"--Provided by publisher. Includes bibliographical references (p. 124-127) and index Beleggingen gtt Effectenbeurzen gtt Stock exchanges Business cycles Investments Aktienmarktanalyse (DE-588)4137412-5 gnd rswk-swf Aktienmarktanalyse (DE-588)4137412-5 s DE-604 Griffiths, Robin Verfasser aut http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0618/2006024285.html Table of contents only HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015619887&sequence=000008&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Owen, Deborah Griffiths, Robin Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis Beleggingen gtt Effectenbeurzen gtt Stock exchanges Business cycles Investments Aktienmarktanalyse (DE-588)4137412-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4137412-5 |
| title | Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis |
| title_auth | Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis |
| title_exact_search | Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis |
| title_full | Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis Deborah Owen, Robin Griffiths |
| title_fullStr | Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis Deborah Owen, Robin Griffiths |
| title_full_unstemmed | Mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis Deborah Owen, Robin Griffiths |
| title_short | Mapping the markets |
| title_sort | mapping the markets a guide to stockmarket analysis |
| title_sub | a guide to stockmarket analysis |
| topic | Beleggingen gtt Effectenbeurzen gtt Stock exchanges Business cycles Investments Aktienmarktanalyse (DE-588)4137412-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Beleggingen Effectenbeurzen Stock exchanges Business cycles Investments Aktienmarktanalyse |
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