Inflation and the variability of relative prices: evidence for the Euro area
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2006
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Frankfurt am Main, Univ., Diss., 2006. - Enth.: Nautz, Dieter: Inflation and relative price variability in a low inflation country. - Scharff, Juliane: Inflation and the divergence of relative prices [u.a.] |
| Beschreibung: | XI, 101 S. graph. Darst. |
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| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures IX
List of Tables XI
Overview 1
1 Inflation and Relative Price Variability in a Low Inflation
Country: Empirical Evidence for Germany 5
1.1 Introduction 5
1.2 Theories linking inflation and RPV 7
1.3 The RPV measure 9
1.4 The inflation forecast 10
1.5 The empirical link between inflation and RPV 13
1.6 The role of supply shocks: results for West Germany .... 19
1.7 Concluding remarks 22
1.8 Appendix 24
1.8.1 The categories of the German Consumer Price Index 24
V
Contents VI
1.8.1.1 The 32 categories of the CPI for unified Ger¬
many 24
1.8.1.2 The 9 categories of the West German CPI
(1962 1990) 26
1.8.2 Inflation forecast variables 27
References 28
2 Inflation and the Divergence of Relative Prices: Evidence
from a Cointegration Analysis 33
2.1 Introduction 33
2.2 The dispersion of the CPI subcategories: a cointegration
analysis for the US and Japan 36
2.3 The dispersion of the CPI subcategories: a cross country
comparison 40
2.3.1 Evidence for Germany, Spain, Japan, US, and Argentina 40
2.3.2 Evidence for the euro area 42
2.4 Conclusion 47
2.5 Appendix 49
2.5.1 Data 49
2.5.2 Tables 52
2.5.2.1 Unit root tests 52
2.5.2.2 Cointegration tests with linear deterministic
trend 54
References 58
Contents VII
3 Inflation and Relative Price Variability in the Euro Area:
Evidence from a Panel Threshold Model 61
3.1 Introduction 61
3.2 The linear relation between inflation and RPV in the euro area 64
3.2.1 Data 64
3.2.2 Inflation and RPV: the basic relationship 68
3.2.3 Expected inflation versus unexpected inflation .... 69
3.3 The non linear relation between inflation and RPV 73
3.4 The panel threshold model 75
3.4.1 The single threshold model 75
3.4.1.1 Estimation of a single threshold 75
3.4.1.2 Testing for a threshold 76
3.4.1.3 Confidence intervals for threshold estimate
and slope coefficients 78
3.4.2 Multiple thresholds 79
3.4.2.1 Estimating multiple thresholds 79
3.4.2.2 Testing for the number of thresholds .... 80
3.4.2.3 Confidence Intervals 81
3.5 Inflation thresholds and RPV: Empirical results for the euro
area 82
3.5.1 Model specification 82
3.5.2 The number of inflation thresholds 83
Contents VIII
3.5.3 Estimating the inflation thresholds and the slope co¬
efficients 84
3.6 Conclusion 87
3.7 Appendix 89
3.7.1 Data figures 89
3.7.2 Tables 92
3.7.2.1 Panel unit root tests 92
3.7.2.2 Expected core inflation and headline infla¬
tion as threshold variable 93
3.7.2.3 Unexpected inflation as threshold variable . 95
References 97
List of Figures
1.1 Inflation in unified Germany 11
1.2 Relative price variability in Germany 14
1.3 RPV and energy adjusted RPV in West Germany 20
2.1 Annual inflation rate for the US, Japan, Germany, Spain . . 49
2.2 Annual inflation rate for Argentina 50
2.3 Annual inflation rates for the euro area countries 51
3.1 Minimum and maximum of headline inflation 66
3.2 Distribution of national headline inflation rates in the euro
area 67
3.3 Headline inflation and RPV 89
3.4 Headline inflation and core inflation 90
3.5 Distribution of national core inflation rates in the euro area . 91
3.6 Minimum and maximum of core inflation 91
IX
List of Tables
1.1 Forecasting inflation in unified Germany 13
1.2 The inflation RPV link for unified Germany 15
1.3 The impact of expected and unexpected inflation on RPV . 17
1.4 The inflation RPV link allowing for asymmetry 19
1.5 Supply shocks and the inflation RPV link for West Germany 21
2.1 Johansen cointegration test between the CPI subindices, USA 37
2.2 Johansen cointegration test between the CPI subindices, Japan 39
2.3 Johansen cointegration test between the CPI subindices,
cross country comparison 41
2.4 Johansen cointegration test between the HICP subindices in
the euro area, cross country comparison 44
2.5 Average inflation and the number of cointegrating relations . 46
2.6 8 main categories of the CPI (seasonally unadjusted) .... 50
2.7 Unit root tests of the CPI subcategories 52
2.8 Unit root tests of the HICP subcategories 53
2.9 Johansen cointegration test (linear deterministic trend), USA 54
XI
List of Tables XII
2.10 Johansen cointegration test (linear deterministic trend), Japan 55
2.11 Johansen cointcgTation test between the CPI subindices (lin¬
ear deterministic trend) 56
2.12 Johansen cointegration test between the HICP subindices in
the euro area (linear deterministic trend) 57
3.1 The linear relation between inflation and RPV 70
3.2 The effects of expected and unexpected inflation on RPV . . 72
3.3 Test procedure establishing the number of thresholds .... 84
3.4 A double threshold model for the inflation RPV link 85
3.5 Panel unit root tests 92
3.6 Test for the number of thresholds with alternative threshold
variables 93
3.7 A double threshold model with alternative threshold variables 94
3.8 Test for the number of thresholds for expected inflation ... 95
3.9 Test for the number of thresholds for unexpected inflation . 96
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
List of Figures IX
List of Tables XI
Overview 1
1 Inflation and Relative Price Variability in a Low Inflation
Country: Empirical Evidence for Germany 5
1.1 Introduction 5
1.2 Theories linking inflation and RPV 7
1.3 The RPV measure 9
1.4 The inflation forecast 10
1.5 The empirical link between inflation and RPV 13
1.6 The role of supply shocks: results for West Germany . 19
1.7 Concluding remarks 22
1.8 Appendix 24
1.8.1 The categories of the German Consumer Price Index 24
V
Contents VI
1.8.1.1 The 32 categories of the CPI for unified Ger¬
many 24
1.8.1.2 The 9 categories of the West German CPI
(1962 1990) 26
1.8.2 Inflation forecast variables 27
References 28
2 Inflation and the Divergence of Relative Prices: Evidence
from a Cointegration Analysis 33
2.1 Introduction 33
2.2 The dispersion of the CPI subcategories: a cointegration
analysis for the US and Japan 36
2.3 The dispersion of the CPI subcategories: a cross country
comparison 40
2.3.1 Evidence for Germany, Spain, Japan, US, and Argentina 40
2.3.2 Evidence for the euro area 42
2.4 Conclusion 47
2.5 Appendix 49
2.5.1 Data 49
2.5.2 Tables 52
2.5.2.1 Unit root tests 52
2.5.2.2 Cointegration tests with linear deterministic
trend 54
References 58
Contents VII
3 Inflation and Relative Price Variability in the Euro Area:
Evidence from a Panel Threshold Model 61
3.1 Introduction 61
3.2 The linear relation between inflation and RPV in the euro area 64
3.2.1 Data 64
3.2.2 Inflation and RPV: the basic relationship 68
3.2.3 Expected inflation versus unexpected inflation . 69
3.3 The non linear relation between inflation and RPV 73
3.4 The panel threshold model 75
3.4.1 The single threshold model 75
3.4.1.1 Estimation of a single threshold 75
3.4.1.2 Testing for a threshold 76
3.4.1.3 Confidence intervals for threshold estimate
and slope coefficients 78
3.4.2 Multiple thresholds 79
3.4.2.1 Estimating multiple thresholds 79
3.4.2.2 Testing for the number of thresholds . 80
3.4.2.3 Confidence Intervals 81
3.5 Inflation thresholds and RPV: Empirical results for the euro
area 82
3.5.1 Model specification 82
3.5.2 The number of inflation thresholds 83
Contents VIII
3.5.3 Estimating the inflation thresholds and the slope co¬
efficients 84
3.6 Conclusion 87
3.7 Appendix 89
3.7.1 Data figures 89
3.7.2 Tables 92
3.7.2.1 Panel unit root tests 92
3.7.2.2 Expected core inflation and headline infla¬
tion as threshold variable 93
3.7.2.3 Unexpected inflation as threshold variable . 95
References 97
List of Figures
1.1 Inflation in unified Germany 11
1.2 Relative price variability in Germany 14
1.3 RPV and energy adjusted RPV in West Germany 20
2.1 Annual inflation rate for the US, Japan, Germany, Spain . . 49
2.2 Annual inflation rate for Argentina 50
2.3 Annual inflation rates for the euro area countries 51
3.1 Minimum and maximum of headline inflation 66
3.2 Distribution of national headline inflation rates in the euro
area 67
3.3 Headline inflation and RPV 89
3.4 Headline inflation and core inflation 90
3.5 Distribution of national core inflation rates in the euro area . 91
3.6 Minimum and maximum of core inflation 91
IX
List of Tables
1.1 Forecasting inflation in unified Germany 13
1.2 The inflation RPV link for unified Germany 15
1.3 The impact of expected and unexpected inflation on RPV . 17
1.4 The inflation RPV link allowing for asymmetry 19
1.5 Supply shocks and the inflation RPV link for West Germany 21
2.1 Johansen cointegration test between the CPI subindices, USA 37
2.2 Johansen cointegration test between the CPI subindices, Japan 39
2.3 Johansen cointegration test between the CPI subindices,
cross country comparison 41
2.4 Johansen cointegration test between the HICP subindices in
the euro area, cross country comparison 44
2.5 Average inflation and the number of cointegrating relations . 46
2.6 8 main categories of the CPI (seasonally unadjusted) . 50
2.7 Unit root tests of the CPI subcategories 52
2.8 Unit root tests of the HICP subcategories 53
2.9 Johansen cointegration test (linear deterministic trend), USA 54
XI
List of Tables XII
2.10 Johansen cointegration test (linear deterministic trend), Japan 55
2.11 Johansen cointcgTation test between the CPI subindices (lin¬
ear deterministic trend) 56
2.12 Johansen cointegration test between the HICP subindices in
the euro area (linear deterministic trend) 57
3.1 The linear relation between inflation and RPV 70
3.2 The effects of expected and unexpected inflation on RPV . . 72
3.3 Test procedure establishing the number of thresholds . 84
3.4 A double threshold model for the inflation RPV link 85
3.5 Panel unit root tests 92
3.6 Test for the number of thresholds with alternative threshold
variables 93
3.7 A double threshold model with alternative threshold variables 94
3.8 Test for the number of thresholds for expected inflation . 95
3.9 Test for the number of thresholds for unexpected inflation . 96 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-02T16:02:09Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T20:45:59Z |
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| spelling | Scharff, Juliane 1977- Verfasser (DE-588)132016753 aut Inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the Euro area vorgelegt von Juliane Scharff 2006 XI, 101 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Frankfurt am Main, Univ., Diss., 2006. - Enth.: Nautz, Dieter: Inflation and relative price variability in a low inflation country. - Scharff, Juliane: Inflation and the divergence of relative prices [u.a.] Frankfurt (Main), Univ., Diss. Europäische Union (DE-588)5098525-5 gnd rswk-swf Währungsunion (DE-588)4188829-7 gnd rswk-swf Änderung (DE-588)4128256-5 gnd rswk-swf Preisflexibilität (DE-588)4435885-4 gnd rswk-swf Inflation (DE-588)4026887-1 gnd rswk-swf Relativer Preis (DE-588)4121579-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Europäische Union (DE-588)5098525-5 b Währungsunion (DE-588)4188829-7 s Relativer Preis (DE-588)4121579-5 s Änderung (DE-588)4128256-5 s Inflation (DE-588)4026887-1 s DE-604 Preisflexibilität (DE-588)4435885-4 s DE-188 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015057967&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
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| title | Inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the Euro area |
| title_auth | Inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the Euro area |
| title_exact_search | Inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the Euro area |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the Euro area |
| title_full | Inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the Euro area vorgelegt von Juliane Scharff |
| title_fullStr | Inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the Euro area vorgelegt von Juliane Scharff |
| title_full_unstemmed | Inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the Euro area vorgelegt von Juliane Scharff |
| title_short | Inflation and the variability of relative prices |
| title_sort | inflation and the variability of relative prices evidence for the euro area |
| title_sub | evidence for the Euro area |
| topic | Europäische Union (DE-588)5098525-5 gnd Währungsunion (DE-588)4188829-7 gnd Änderung (DE-588)4128256-5 gnd Preisflexibilität (DE-588)4435885-4 gnd Inflation (DE-588)4026887-1 gnd Relativer Preis (DE-588)4121579-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Europäische Union Währungsunion Änderung Preisflexibilität Inflation Relativer Preis Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015057967&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT scharffjuliane inflationandthevariabilityofrelativepricesevidencefortheeuroarea |