Forecasting and management of technology:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York [u.a.]
Wiley-Liss
1991
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. print. |
| Schriftenreihe: | Wiley series in engineering & technology management
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIV, 448 S. graph. Darst. 1 Diskette (5,25") |
| ISBN: | 0471512230 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Forecasting and management of technology |c Alan L. Porter ... |
| 250 | |a 1. print. | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804135850700701696 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | CONTENTS
PART I: OVERVIEW AND PRINCIPLES
1 Management, Technology, and the Future 3
1.1 Introduction, 3
1.2 Technology and Competitive Advantage, 4
1.2.1 Technology and National Competitive Advantage, 4
1.2.2 Technology and Competitive Advantage within the Firm, 9
1.3 The Book, 13
2 Principles of Sociotechnical Change 17
2.1 Theories of Social Change, 17
2.2 Developing a Framework for Sociotechnical Change, 20
2.2.1 Technology Forecasting, 21
2.2.2 Impact Assessment, 22
2.2.3 Technology Management, 22
2.3 The Technology Delivery System, 22
2.4 Innovation Processes, 24
2.5 Data for Managing and Studying Sociotechnical
Change, 26
2.6 Conclusion, 27
3 Technology Planning 30
3.1 Perspective on Planning, 30
3.1.1 Planning, 30
3.1.2 General Planning versus Technology Planning, 33
vii
Viii CONTENTS
3.2 Technology Planning Methods, 34
3.2.1 Planning Processes, 34
3.2.2 Impact Assessment Principles, 36
3.2.3 A Seven Step Planning Approach, 39
3.2.4 Some Illustrations of Goal Setting and Mission
Statements for Planning, 41
3.3 Tools for Technology Planning, 46
4 Forecasting 47
4.1 Introduction, 47
4.1.1 The Future Is Uncertain, 49
4.1.2 Forecasting Targets, 51
4.1.3 Criteria for Good Forecasts, 52
4.1.4 Common Errors in Forecasting, 56
4.2 Technology Forecasting, 57
4.2.1 Models of Technology Growth and Diffusion, 58
4.2.2 Technology Forecasting in Context, 62
4.2.3 Technology Forecasting Methods, 63
4.2.4 Forecasts Impact Decision Making, 66
4.3 Social Forecasting, 67
4.4 Conclusion, 69
5 Managing the Forecasting Project 71
5.1 Introduction, 71
5.2 Information Requirements, 72
5.3 Project Scheduling, 75
5.3.1 PERT, 76
5.3.2 Gantt Chart, 78
5.3.3 Project Accountability Chart, 78
5.4 Management and Communications, 80
5.4.1 Managing the Forecasting Project, 80
5.4.2 Communications Patterns, 84
5.5 Conclusion, 85
PART II: METHODS
6 General Methodological Issues 89
6.1 Inquiring Systems, 89
6.2 Scientific Inquiry and Forecasting, 92
CONTENTS iX
6.3 Strategies and Techniques for Forecasting, 93
6.3.1 Strategy for Technique Selection and Application, 93
6.3.2 Strategy for Communicating Forecasts to Users, 97
6.4 Conclusion, 98
7 The Stimulation of Creativity 10°
7.1 Five Elements of Creativity, 100
7.2 Individual Creativity, 101
7.2.1 Lateral Thinking, 101
7.2.2 Metaphors and Analogies, 104
7.2.3 Checklists, 104
7.2.4 Morphological Analysis, 105
7.2.5 Random Words, 106
7.3 Group Creativity, 108
7.3.1 Brainstorming, 108
7.3.2 Crawford Slip Writing, 110
7.3.3 Other Group Techniques, 110
7.4 Conclusion, 111
8 Monitoring 114
8.1 Introduction, 114
8.2 Principles, 117
8.2.1 Assumptions, 117
8.2.2 Types of Monitoring, 118
8.3 Monitoring Steps, 125
8.3.1 Monitoring Objectives and Focus, 125
8.3.2 Technology Description and Contextual Mapping, 126
8.3.3 Monitoring Strategy, 126
8.3.4 Interpretation and Communication, 129
8.4 Implementation, 130
8.4.1 Who Should Conduct Monitoring? 130
8.4.2 How Should Monitoring Be Conducted? 133
8.4.3 Integrating Monitoring Results with Other
Forecasting Techniques, 134
8.5 Recommended Sources, 134
9 Basic Tools for Quantitative Trend Extrapolation 138
9.1 Introduction, 138
9.2 Selecting the Variables to Extrapolate, 140
9.3 Naive Models, 141
X CONTENTS
9.4 Adaptive Weighting, 145
9.5 Linear Regression, 147
9.5.1 Regression Model Validity, 148
9.5.2 Fitting the Regression Equation, 148
9.5.3 Using Causal Relationships, 157
9.5.4 Evaluating the Regression Model, 160
9.6 Transformations, 163
9.7 Regression and Forecasting—Some Extensions, 165
10 Extrapolating Technological Trends 169
10.1 Trend Analysis in Technology Forecasting, 169
10.2 Steps in Trend Analysis, 169
10.3 The S Shaped Curves, 175
10.3.1 The Fisher Pry Model, 176
10.3.2 The Gompertz Model, 182
10.3.3 Choosing Fisher Pry or Gompertz, 185
10.3.4 Selecting an Upper Bound for the Forecast, 187
10.4 Toward a General Model of Technological Change:
The Lotka Volterra Equations, 187
10.4.1 Theory, 187
10.4.2 Functional Equivalences of the Model, 190
10.4.3 Issues, 197
10.5 Conclusion, 197
11 Expert Opinion 200
11.1 Introduction, 200
11.2 Selecting Experts, 201
11.3 Selecting the Technique, 204
11.4 Techniques for Gathering Expert Opinion, 205
11.4.1 Individual Input, 206
11.4.2 Committees, Seminars, and Conferences, 207
11.4.3 The Nominal Group Process, 209
11.4.4 Surveys, 212
11.4.5 The Delphi Technique, 214
11.4.6 Delphi Variants, 218
11.4.7 POSTURE, 219
11.5 Conclusion, 220
12 Simulation 222
12.1 Introduction, 222
12.2 Cross Impact Analysis, 223
12.2.1 Traditional Cross Impact, 223
CONTENTS Xi
12.2.2 Time Dependent Cl, 229
12.2.3 Other Time Dependent Cl Schemes—XimpacT, 238
12.2.4 Closure, 239
12.3 KSIM, 241
12.4 Forecasting with System Dynamics, 246
12.4.1 The System Dynamics Philosophy of Human
Systems, 247
12.4.2 System Dynamics Methodology, 249
12.4.3 Technology Forecasting with System Dynamics, 250
12.5 Gaming Simulation, 254
12.6 Conclusion, 257
( 13 Scenarios 259
, 13.1 Introduction—What are Scenarios? 259
13.2 Types of Scenarios, 260
13.3 How Are Scenarios Used? 261
13.4 Constructing Scenarios, 263
13.4.1 The Topical Dimensions, 263
13.4.2 The User, 264
13.4.3 The Time Frame, 264
13.4.4 The Assumptions, 264
13.4.5 The Dimensions, 265
13.4.6 The Number and Emphasis of Scenarios, 266
13.4.7 Building and Presenting Scenarios, 267
13.4.8 Examples of Scenarios, 267
13.5 Critiquing Scenarios, 269
13.6 Conclusion, 27C
14 Economic Forecasting and Analysis 272
14.1 Introduction, 272
14.2 Technology and the Economy, 273
14.3 Markets and Innovation, 274
14.4 Forecasting the Economy, 276
14.5 Input Output Analysis, 279
14.6 Conclusion, 283
PART III: ASSESSMENT TO MANAGE TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
15 Impact Assessment: General Issues and the Identification
of the Impacts of Technology 289
15.1 Introduction, 289
15.1.1 General Considerations, 290
15.1.2 Some Distinctions, 291
Xii CONTENTS
15.2 General Issues in Impact Assessment, 292
15.2.1 Assessment Steps, 292
15.2.2 Issues in Assessment Quality, 293
15.2.3 Impact Assessment at Different Scales of Effort, 294
15.2.4 Problem Formulation and Bounding, 296
15.3 Impact Identification, 298
15.3.1 Scanning Techniques, 298
15.3.2 Tracing Techniques, 299
15.3.3 Narrowing the Impact Set and Estimation of Effects, 300
15.4 Conclusion, 300
16 Analysis of the Impacts of Technologies 303
16.1 Introduction, 303
16.2 Impacts on Technology, 304
16.2.1 Vertical Impacts, 304
16.2.2 Horizontal Impacts, 305
16.2.3 Integrative Impacts, 307
16.3 Institutional/Organizational Impacts, 308
16.3.1 Internal Organizational Changes, 308
16.3.2 External Institutional Changes, 308
16.4 Social Impacts, 309
16.4.1 Social Impact Assessment, 309
16.4.2 Socioeconomic Impact Assessment, 310
16.5 Cultural and Behavioral Impacts, 313
16.5.1 Impacts of and on Values, 313
16.5.2 Impacts on Behavior, 315
16.6 Political/Legal Impacts, 315
16.6.1 Political Impacts, 315
16.6.2 Legal Analysis, 316
16.7 International Impacts, 317
16.8 Environmental Impacts, 318
16.8.1 Environmental Impact Assessment Methods, 318
16.8.2 Topical Areas, 319
16.9 Health Impacts, 321
. 16.10 Conclusions, 322
17 Benefit/Cost and Risk Analysis 324
17.1 Introduction: Opportunity Costs and
Choices—Again, 324
17.2 Benefit/Cost Analysis Within the Firm, 325
17.3 Accounting for Risk—Within the Firm, 329
CONTENTS XiM
17.4 Benefit/Cost Analysis—Society s Stake and the
Manager s Response, 335
17.5 Accounting for Risk in Social Decisions—Risk
Assessment, 340
17.5.1 A Four Part Framework for Health Risk
Assessment, 343
17.5.2 Perceived Risk, 345
17.5.3 Risky Decisions, 347
17.5.4 Assessing Risks: Monetary and Basic Values, 350
17.6 Conclusion, 351
18 Evaluation of Technologies and Their Impacts 354
18.1 Introduction, 354
18.2 Criteria, 356
18.3 Alternatives, 358
18.4 Measures, 359
18.4.1 Types and Levels of Measures, 359
18.4.2 Measurement Inputs and Combinations, 361
18.5 The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), 363
18.6 Multiple Objective Methods, 369
18.7 Participation and Mediation, 374
18.7.1 Participation, 374
18.7.2 Mediation, 375
18.8 Conclusion, 376
19 Managing the Present from the Future 380
19.1 Alternative Temporal Perspectives, 380
19.2 Looking Back: Historical Lessons on Technological
Change, 381
19.3 Looking Back: Previous Forecasts and
Assessments, 383
19.4 Looking Back: From the Future, 386
19.5 Visions, 387
Appendix A The Technology Forecasting TOOLKIT 391
A.1 Introduction, 391
A.2 Hardware Systems Required to Use the Technology
Forecasting TOOLKIT, 392
A.3 Installing and Running the Technology Forecasting
TOOLKIT, 393
A.3.1 Installing the Technology Forecasting TOOLKIT, 393
A.3.2 Running the Technology Forecasting TOOLKIT, 393
XJV CONTENTS
A.4 A Quick Tutorial, 393
A.5 Individual Tools Available in the Technology Forecasting
TOOLKIT, 397
A.5.1 Analytic Hierarchy Process, 401
A.5.2 Creativity Stimulation, 401
A.5.3 Cross Impact Analysis, 402
A.5.4 KSIM—Kane Simulation, 403
A.5.5 Project Scheduling, 403
A.5.6 Trend Extrapolation, 404
Appendix B.1 F Statistic Values 406
Appendix B.2 t Statistic Values 417
Appendix C Sensitivity Analysis 419
Bibliography 421
Index 441
Enclosure: Technology Forecasting TOOLKIT Disk
(for the IBM PC and compatibles)
|
| adam_txt |
CONTENTS
PART I: OVERVIEW AND PRINCIPLES
1 Management, Technology, and the Future 3
1.1 Introduction, 3
1.2 Technology and Competitive Advantage, 4
1.2.1 Technology and National Competitive Advantage, 4
1.2.2 Technology and Competitive Advantage within the Firm, 9
1.3 The Book, 13
2 Principles of Sociotechnical Change 17
2.1 Theories of Social Change, 17
2.2 Developing a Framework for Sociotechnical Change, 20
2.2.1 Technology Forecasting, 21
2.2.2 Impact Assessment, 22
2.2.3 Technology Management, 22
2.3 The Technology Delivery System, 22
2.4 Innovation Processes, 24
2.5 Data for Managing and Studying Sociotechnical
Change, 26
2.6 Conclusion, 27
3 Technology Planning 30
3.1 Perspective on Planning, 30
3.1.1 Planning, 30
3.1.2 General Planning versus Technology Planning, 33
vii
Viii CONTENTS
3.2 Technology Planning Methods, 34
3.2.1 Planning Processes, 34
3.2.2 Impact Assessment Principles, 36
3.2.3 A Seven Step Planning Approach, 39
3.2.4 Some Illustrations of Goal Setting and Mission
Statements for Planning, 41
3.3 Tools for Technology Planning, 46
4 Forecasting 47
4.1 Introduction, 47
4.1.1 The Future Is Uncertain, 49
4.1.2 Forecasting Targets, 51
4.1.3 Criteria for Good Forecasts, 52
4.1.4 Common Errors in Forecasting, 56
4.2 Technology Forecasting, 57
4.2.1 Models of Technology Growth and Diffusion, 58
4.2.2 Technology Forecasting in Context, 62
4.2.3 Technology Forecasting Methods, 63
4.2.4 Forecasts Impact Decision Making, 66
4.3 Social Forecasting, 67
4.4 Conclusion, 69
5 Managing the Forecasting Project 71
5.1 Introduction, 71
5.2 Information Requirements, 72
5.3 Project Scheduling, 75
5.3.1 PERT, 76
5.3.2 Gantt Chart, 78
5.3.3 Project Accountability Chart, 78
5.4 Management and Communications, 80
5.4.1 Managing the Forecasting Project, 80
5.4.2 Communications Patterns, 84
5.5 Conclusion, 85
PART II: METHODS
6 General Methodological Issues 89
6.1 Inquiring Systems, 89
6.2 Scientific Inquiry and Forecasting, 92
CONTENTS iX
6.3 Strategies and Techniques for Forecasting, 93
6.3.1 Strategy for Technique Selection and Application, 93
6.3.2 Strategy for Communicating Forecasts to Users, 97
6.4 Conclusion, 98
7 The Stimulation of Creativity 10°
7.1 Five Elements of Creativity, 100
7.2 Individual Creativity, 101
7.2.1 Lateral Thinking, 101
7.2.2 Metaphors and Analogies, 104
7.2.3 Checklists, 104
7.2.4 Morphological Analysis, 105
7.2.5 Random Words, 106
7.3 Group Creativity, 108
7.3.1 Brainstorming, 108
7.3.2 Crawford Slip Writing, 110
7.3.3 Other Group Techniques, 110
7.4 Conclusion, 111
8 Monitoring 114
8.1 Introduction, 114
8.2 Principles, 117
8.2.1 Assumptions, 117
8.2.2 Types of Monitoring, 118
8.3 Monitoring Steps, 125
8.3.1 Monitoring Objectives and Focus, 125
8.3.2 Technology Description and Contextual Mapping, 126
8.3.3 Monitoring Strategy, 126
8.3.4 Interpretation and Communication, 129
8.4 Implementation, 130
8.4.1 Who Should Conduct Monitoring? 130
8.4.2 How Should Monitoring Be Conducted? 133
8.4.3 Integrating Monitoring Results with Other
Forecasting Techniques, 134
8.5 Recommended Sources, 134
9 Basic Tools for Quantitative Trend Extrapolation 138
9.1 Introduction, 138
9.2 Selecting the Variables to Extrapolate, 140
9.3 Naive Models, 141
X CONTENTS
9.4 Adaptive Weighting, 145
9.5 Linear Regression, 147
9.5.1 Regression Model Validity, 148
9.5.2 Fitting the Regression Equation, 148
9.5.3 Using Causal Relationships, 157
9.5.4 Evaluating the Regression Model, 160
9.6 Transformations, 163
9.7 Regression and Forecasting—Some Extensions, 165
10 Extrapolating Technological Trends 169
10.1 Trend Analysis in Technology Forecasting, 169
10.2 Steps in Trend Analysis, 169
10.3 The S Shaped Curves, 175
10.3.1 The Fisher Pry Model, 176
10.3.2 The Gompertz Model, 182
10.3.3 Choosing Fisher Pry or Gompertz, 185
10.3.4 Selecting an Upper Bound for the Forecast, 187
10.4 Toward a General Model of Technological Change:
The Lotka Volterra Equations, 187
10.4.1 Theory, 187
10.4.2 Functional Equivalences of the Model, 190
10.4.3 Issues, 197
10.5 Conclusion, 197
11 Expert Opinion 200
11.1 Introduction, 200
11.2 Selecting Experts, 201
11.3 Selecting the Technique, 204
11.4 Techniques for Gathering Expert Opinion, 205
11.4.1 Individual Input, 206
11.4.2 Committees, Seminars, and Conferences, 207
11.4.3 The Nominal Group Process, 209
11.4.4 Surveys, 212
11.4.5 The Delphi Technique, 214
11.4.6 Delphi Variants, 218
11.4.7 POSTURE, 219
11.5 Conclusion, 220
12 Simulation 222
12.1 Introduction, 222
12.2 Cross Impact Analysis, 223
12.2.1 Traditional Cross Impact, 223
CONTENTS Xi
12.2.2 Time Dependent Cl, 229
12.2.3 Other Time Dependent Cl Schemes—XimpacT, 238
12.2.4 Closure, 239
12.3 KSIM, 241
12.4 Forecasting with System Dynamics, 246
12.4.1 The System Dynamics Philosophy of Human
Systems, 247
12.4.2 System Dynamics Methodology, 249
12.4.3 Technology Forecasting with System Dynamics, 250
12.5 Gaming Simulation, 254
12.6 Conclusion, 257
( 13 Scenarios 259
, 13.1 Introduction—What are Scenarios? 259
13.2 Types of Scenarios, 260
13.3 How Are Scenarios Used? 261
13.4 Constructing Scenarios, 263
13.4.1 The Topical Dimensions, 263
13.4.2 The User, 264
13.4.3 The Time Frame, 264
13.4.4 The Assumptions, 264
13.4.5 The Dimensions, 265
13.4.6 The Number and Emphasis of Scenarios, 266
13.4.7 Building and Presenting Scenarios, 267
13.4.8 Examples of Scenarios, 267
13.5 Critiquing Scenarios, 269
13.6 Conclusion, 27C
14 Economic Forecasting and Analysis 272
14.1 Introduction, 272
14.2 Technology and the Economy, 273
14.3 Markets and Innovation, 274
14.4 Forecasting the Economy, 276
14.5 Input Output Analysis, 279
14.6 Conclusion, 283
PART III: ASSESSMENT TO MANAGE TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
15 Impact Assessment: General Issues and the Identification
of the Impacts of Technology 289
15.1 Introduction, 289
15.1.1 General Considerations, 290
15.1.2 Some Distinctions, 291
Xii CONTENTS
15.2 General Issues in Impact Assessment, 292
15.2.1 Assessment Steps, 292
15.2.2 Issues in Assessment Quality, 293
15.2.3 Impact Assessment at Different Scales of Effort, 294
15.2.4 Problem Formulation and Bounding, 296
15.3 Impact Identification, 298
15.3.1 Scanning Techniques, 298
15.3.2 Tracing Techniques, 299
15.3.3 Narrowing the Impact Set and Estimation of Effects, 300
15.4 Conclusion, 300
16 Analysis of the Impacts of Technologies 303
16.1 Introduction, 303
16.2 Impacts on Technology, 304
16.2.1 Vertical Impacts, 304
16.2.2 Horizontal Impacts, 305
16.2.3 Integrative Impacts, 307
16.3 Institutional/Organizational Impacts, 308
16.3.1 Internal Organizational Changes, 308
16.3.2 External Institutional Changes, 308
16.4 Social Impacts, 309
16.4.1 Social Impact Assessment, 309
16.4.2 Socioeconomic Impact Assessment, 310
16.5 Cultural and Behavioral Impacts, 313
16.5.1 Impacts of and on Values, 313
16.5.2 Impacts on Behavior, 315
16.6 Political/Legal Impacts, 315
16.6.1 Political Impacts, 315
16.6.2 Legal Analysis, 316
16.7 International Impacts, 317
16.8 Environmental Impacts, 318
16.8.1 Environmental Impact Assessment Methods, 318
16.8.2 Topical Areas, 319
16.9 Health Impacts, 321
. 16.10 Conclusions, 322
17 Benefit/Cost and Risk Analysis 324
17.1 Introduction: Opportunity Costs and
Choices—Again, 324
17.2 Benefit/Cost Analysis Within the Firm, 325
17.3 Accounting for Risk—Within the Firm, 329
CONTENTS XiM
17.4 Benefit/Cost Analysis—Society's Stake and the
Manager's Response, 335
17.5 Accounting for Risk in Social Decisions—Risk
Assessment, 340
17.5.1 A Four Part Framework for Health Risk
Assessment, 343
17.5.2 Perceived Risk, 345
17.5.3 Risky Decisions, 347
17.5.4 Assessing Risks: Monetary and Basic Values, 350
17.6 Conclusion, 351
18 Evaluation of Technologies and Their Impacts 354
18.1 Introduction, 354
18.2 Criteria, 356
18.3 Alternatives, 358
18.4 Measures, 359
18.4.1 Types and Levels of Measures, 359
18.4.2 Measurement Inputs and Combinations, 361
18.5 The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), 363
18.6 Multiple Objective Methods, 369
18.7 Participation and Mediation, 374
18.7.1 Participation, 374
18.7.2 Mediation, 375
18.8 Conclusion, 376
19 Managing the Present from the Future 380
19.1 Alternative Temporal Perspectives, 380
19.2 Looking Back: Historical Lessons on Technological
Change, 381
19.3 Looking Back: Previous Forecasts and
Assessments, 383
19.4 Looking Back: From the Future, 386
19.5 Visions, 387
Appendix A The Technology Forecasting TOOLKIT 391
A.1 Introduction, 391
A.2 Hardware Systems Required to Use the Technology
Forecasting TOOLKIT, 392
A.3 Installing and Running the Technology Forecasting
TOOLKIT, 393
A.3.1 Installing the Technology Forecasting TOOLKIT, 393
A.3.2 Running the Technology Forecasting TOOLKIT, 393
XJV CONTENTS
A.4 A Quick Tutorial, 393
A.5 Individual Tools Available in the Technology Forecasting
TOOLKIT, 397
A.5.1 Analytic Hierarchy Process, 401
A.5.2 Creativity Stimulation, 401
A.5.3 Cross Impact Analysis, 402
A.5.4 KSIM—Kane Simulation, 403
A.5.5 Project Scheduling, 403
A.5.6 Trend Extrapolation, 404
Appendix B.1 F Statistic Values 406
Appendix B.2 t Statistic Values 417
Appendix C Sensitivity Analysis 419
Bibliography 421
Index 441
Enclosure: Technology Forecasting TOOLKIT Disk
(for the IBM PC and compatibles) |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| any_adam_object_boolean | 1 |
| author_GND | (DE-588)170268667 |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV021903524 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)249198371 (DE-599)BVBBV021903524 |
| edition | 1. print. |
| format | Book |
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| genre | (DE-588)4143389-0 Aufgabensammlung gnd-content |
| genre_facet | Aufgabensammlung |
| id | DE-604.BV021903524 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T16:04:48Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T20:47:04Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0471512230 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-015118703 |
| oclc_num | 249198371 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-706 DE-634 |
| owner_facet | DE-706 DE-634 |
| physical | XIV, 448 S. graph. Darst. 1 Diskette (5,25") |
| publishDate | 1991 |
| publishDateSearch | 1991 |
| publishDateSort | 1991 |
| publisher | Wiley-Liss |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Wiley series in engineering & technology management |
| spelling | Forecasting and management of technology Alan L. Porter ... 1. print. New York [u.a.] Wiley-Liss 1991 XIV, 448 S. graph. Darst. 1 Diskette (5,25") txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wiley series in engineering & technology management Technikbewertung (DE-588)4078176-8 gnd rswk-swf Technologiemanagement (DE-588)4215161-2 gnd rswk-swf Futurologie (DE-588)4155776-1 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143389-0 Aufgabensammlung gnd-content Technikbewertung (DE-588)4078176-8 s DE-604 Futurologie (DE-588)4155776-1 s Technologiemanagement (DE-588)4215161-2 s 1\p DE-604 Porter, Alan L. Sonstige (DE-588)170268667 oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015118703&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Forecasting and management of technology Technikbewertung (DE-588)4078176-8 gnd Technologiemanagement (DE-588)4215161-2 gnd Futurologie (DE-588)4155776-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4078176-8 (DE-588)4215161-2 (DE-588)4155776-1 (DE-588)4143389-0 |
| title | Forecasting and management of technology |
| title_auth | Forecasting and management of technology |
| title_exact_search | Forecasting and management of technology |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Forecasting and management of technology |
| title_full | Forecasting and management of technology Alan L. Porter ... |
| title_fullStr | Forecasting and management of technology Alan L. Porter ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Forecasting and management of technology Alan L. Porter ... |
| title_short | Forecasting and management of technology |
| title_sort | forecasting and management of technology |
| topic | Technikbewertung (DE-588)4078176-8 gnd Technologiemanagement (DE-588)4215161-2 gnd Futurologie (DE-588)4155776-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Technikbewertung Technologiemanagement Futurologie Aufgabensammlung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015118703&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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